Will the Dragons cope without their stars?

By Brad Thorne / Roar Pro

Over the first 12 rounds of the 2018 NRL season the St George Illawarra Dragons 2018 have set the benchmark for the competition.

Showing an entertaining attacking style while remaining hard-nosed and resilient has seen the Dragons sit atop the ladder from the early rounds, and as we enter the representative and bye rounds, the Dragons sit equal first on points with the Penrith Panthers.

There is no denying that to this point in the season the Red V have looked every part a premiership threat, but with the looming selection of a host of key players for their state or country coupled with a ‘tricky’ draw over the next 4-6 games, the Dragons may face an uphill battle to maintain their status as premiership favourites.

The heartbeat of the Dragons 2018 side has been their tireless forwards turning up week in, week out and grinding opposition packs out of the contest. The work rate of players like James Graham and Jack De Belin combined with high-impact plays from the likes of Tyson Frizell, Paul Vaughan, and Tariq Sims has been the cornerstone of the Dragons game early in the season.

Off the back of the forward momentum and platform provided, classy halves pairing Gareth Widdop and Ben Hunt appear to be playing with confidence and poise. The combination of tough forward play and creative halves has provided plenty of opportunity for strike weapons Matt Dufty, Tim Lafai and Euan Aitken to showcase their attacking ability.

A big part of the dragons success has obviously come due to the form of key players in their side, but with good individual form comes recognition and call-up for representative honours. So it will be bitter-sweet for the Dragons club to see so many of their form players play at both state and country level.

(Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Before the State of Origin sides were named on Monday, pundits had as many as seven Dragons players pencilled into respective state sides. Unfortunately for Tariq Sims, Euan Aitken and Cameron McInnes, they were overlooked. But a trio of forwards including Paul Vaughan, Tyson Frizell, Jack De Belin were selected in Brad Fittler’s Blues line-up, while Ben Hunt will wear the number seven for Kevin Walters’ Maroons.

Another representative game will be played in the coming weeks with New Zealand taking on the England national side in Denver, USA. The Dragons can expect to be without Gareth Widdop and James Graham, who will take their place in the Wayne Bennett-coached England team. Legendary clubman and prolific try-scorer Jason Nightingale could also find himself on a plane to Denver with new coach Michael Maguire’s Kiwi side.

With a total player count of seven starters missing from the team at various times over the next month or so, the Dragons depth and roster quality will certainly be questioned and may consequently decide where they finish on the ladder come September.

A player who can expect plenty of responsibility during this period is utility Kurt Mann. Mann has filled a number of roles for the Dragons since joining in 2016 but has ultimately failed to lock down a starting position. It’s a safe bet that Mann will secure plenty of minutes over the next few games and could even take control of the side in the halves.

The ever-reliable Leeson Ah Mau should run out in the starting forward pack to fill a void left by those playing in sky blue. Ah Mau has been in great form from the interchange bench in 2018 and will look to continue.

[latest_videos_strip category=”league” name=”League”]

Another man who will shoulder responsibility in the engine room is journeyman Jeremy Latimore. Latimore is another interchange forward to who has played an important role for the Red V in 2018. He will need to rely on every bit of experience he posses to keep the Dragons forward pack on a roll.

Young forwards Hame Sele, Jacob Host and Luciano Leilua could also see more game time as coach Paul McGregor will look to negotiate a tricky draw over the next few rounds.

Off the back of a devastating loss to the Penrith Panthers, the Dragons have a bye in Round 13 followed by an away clash against the Bulldogs and games against Manly, Parramatta, Melbourne and the Tigers. While this may seem a relatively easy draw – I don’t believe there are any easy games in the NRL – with only one top-eight opponent, sides like Parramatta and the Bulldogs have little more to play for in 2018 than pride. Recent seasons have proven that teams in this position are dangerous opponents and quite often impact the final make-up of the top eight

I believe that while the players would be disappointed, the fact that hooker Cameron McInnes, strike weapon Euan Aitken and inspirational back-rower Tariq Sims were all overlooked for rep honours is a blessing for McGregor’s Dragons.

Along with plenty of depth in their forward pack and a simple game plan, this should be enough to see the Dragons through this period and remain firmly implanted in the top four by the time their stars return from rep duty.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2018-06-05T21:56:41+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


I can’t help but agree with you on the 2014 analysis.! I was at both of Penrith’s finals that year and it made no sense that a win in week 1 resulted in playing the side that finished 7th at their home stadium.?!? That year really hurt.. taking my Panthers hat off and looking at the situation from a neutral perspective... Penrith managed to topple the Roosters (minor premiers no less) at that exact stadium as an ‘away’ game.. so I can hardly claim that it’s the sole reason we weren’t at the big dance.! The argument over suburban grounds won’t conclude anytime soon. There isn’t a simple answer, and there are plenty of arguments both ways. Personally I would love home ground advantage to be exactly that. Regardless of crowd numbers, if 20,000 Penrith supporters are going to pack out the stadium to the 2,000 away fans... Penrith earned that right by finishing 1st or 2nd.

2018-06-05T01:51:19+00:00

Matt

Guest


is 30,000 any advantage if support was greater for the lower ranked team? 20,000 at Penrith (where home fans would get priority) would be something like 15,000 home fans and 5,000 visitors. Which game offers the better chance of winning?

2018-06-05T01:46:00+00:00

Matt

Guest


Sorry Brad, but I think it's a nonsense argument that the stadium policy lovers bleat on about, that crowd participation is more important than home ground advantage because as I say, several non-metro grounds are not crowd pullers, so where is their case for these teams? Winning the 1 v 4, or 2 v 3 at your home ground, and then returning to the same home ground for the Prelim is immeasurably worth more than the case of some missing out on seeing it live. Ask any fan whether they would be happy to be turned away from a game, in the knowledge it was a packed house and greatly helped get the team to the Grand Final. We only need to go back to 2014 when Penrith won the 1 v 4 game, (which has always translated into a home Prelim two weeks later), but not only played away from Penrith, they played at the oppositions home ground (?!!?). Surely there needs to be a clause which prevents the lower ranked team playing at their home ground. (Surely?). Manly played twice at the opposition home ground in the same series. All things being equal, it should have been a sell-out at Penrith, and I really believe it was a Panthers Grand Final place that was hijacked by this stupid rule. Gus outa tar and feather the guy that thought this one while he's at it.

AUTHOR

2018-06-03T23:21:20+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


Completely agree. I don’t know what the answer is though. I can concede that in the scenario of Penrith 1st, Dragons 4th, there is a benefit of taking the game to ANZ for crowd numbers. I can see 30,000+ turning up to see the game. But in years gone by the ‘home final’ was a bigger inscentive to a top 4 side than the ‘second chance’. Penrith haven’t been beaten at home yet this season, and if they manage 1st place, they should be rewarded with the home ground advantage. No doubt would be a sell out, but they’d have to turn away the 10,000+ fans that would have fit into ANZ.

2018-06-03T17:48:48+00:00

Matt

Guest


Something really needs to be done by the NRL when it comes to the scenario of Panthers finishing 1st, Dragons 4th - or Dragons 1st, Panthers 4th - and either way, they meet at the same venue because suburban home finals are banned (the irony being that Nth Qld, Storm, and NZ would be lucky to get 20,000 to their home grounds)

2018-06-03T05:16:59+00:00

KenoathCarnt

Guest


Not only do Penrith have great constant pressure in defence and attack, they are oozing with confidence and so much eye catching skills.

AUTHOR

2018-06-03T00:40:44+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


I see your point. When you look at it that way, it may seem that the impact could be minimal. However, I don’t think 4 and 5 days recovery from SOO will leave their players in the best condition. Even if they do back up, what sort of physical state will they be in.? Especially given most of their rep players are forwards, I can’t see De Belin for example playing 60-80mins in the Origin arena on a Wednesday, then backing up with 80mins on the weekend for St George.

AUTHOR

2018-06-03T00:36:15+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


I agree that it’s far too early to call a winner for 2018, and I don’t believe I’ve done so. As I suggested in the article, the upcoming rep and bye period could have an impact on where the Dragons finish on the ladder. There is a big advantage in scoring one of those top 4 spots in particular. And my concern for the Red V is that if they struggle while missing players, it could mean they miss the top 4.

AUTHOR

2018-06-03T00:32:57+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


Penrith’s depth and junior system isn’t comparable to any other side in the league. We seem to have a host of kids that step up when called upon, and then get snapped up by other clubs. I’m expecting players like Tyrone May and Jerome Luai to find other clubs willing to give them a crack at first grade. Because if Cleary resigns, their long term prospects at the foot of the mountain don’t look promising.

AUTHOR

2018-06-03T00:29:29+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


Sorry for the oversight with the Tigers. Perhaps I was just projecting forward to when they play, I don’t see the Tigers in the 8 by then. My concern with their roster is depth in the halves. Mann is a makeshift half at best, and I don’t see any other tried and tested halves on their roster.

AUTHOR

2018-06-03T00:25:42+00:00

Brad Thorne

Roar Pro


As a Panthers supporter... that was great to see.!

2018-06-02T18:22:34+00:00

KenoathCarnt

Guest


Did you not see the Penrith game?

2018-06-02T05:40:37+00:00

Matt

Guest


Yes db, Cleary. Maloney took over the 7 while he was injured. Wallace hasn't worn 7 for two years. Maybe time to hand back the guru license. My point, if it wasn't clear enough, is that Panthers have already shown how strong their depth is, whilst Dragons are a long way off from proving the same.

2018-06-02T04:28:19+00:00

Geoff Dustby

Guest


they are currently having a 10 day break between games. their origin players will have 5 days after origin 1. there will be a 4 day break after origin 2 and the only time they will be without their origin stars is before origin 3.

2018-06-02T04:26:10+00:00

Geoff Dustby

Guest


that hate flows through you

2018-06-01T22:40:12+00:00

db

Guest


Maybe he's referring to Nathan Cleary.

2018-06-01T21:38:54+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


The Dragons depth will be tested when they play TWO top 8 sides ( Storm & Tigers), but on paper the depth is there to cover the gaps. Hopefully injuries won't become too big an issue. Realistically, the Dragons should expect to win at least 3 or 4 of these games over the next 5 weeks, if they're going to be fair dinkum finals contenders. The Bunnies will be in a similar boat, losing Inglis, Cook and Gagai but are likely to loose at least 2 of the Burgess brothers for Denver. Interested to see how they go too.

2018-06-01T21:25:55+00:00

Gurudoright

Guest


“Panthers lost their halfback for two months and hardly missed a beat.” Maybe that says more about Wallace than the team.

2018-06-01T20:26:05+00:00

mbp

Guest


seriously too early to say who will win the premiership. it will all come down to the health of each roster and who is peaking at the right time. all that can be said is that the teams at the top of the table, dragons penrith souths and the warriors have put themselves in the mix. start making predictions 4 to 5 weeks out from the finals...!

2018-06-01T19:01:27+00:00

Matt

Guest


Hunt has played the entire season apart from the last half an hour against Penrith and the score, from that point on, was 20-0. Panthers lost their halfback for two months and hardly missed a beat. Origin season will definitely give you your answer as they play Bulldogs@ANZ, then Manly and Parra @Home. Lose any of these cellar dweller matches and you will know either they are nothing without Hunt, else the Dragon bubble has burst (again).

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar