My way-too-early Rugby World Cup predictions

By Hugh Hearns / Roar Rookie

The Rugby World Cup kicks off in just under ten months and rugby fans around the world are already preparing for what promises to be an enthralling tournament.

These are my way too early predictions for how this tournament will play out. I fully expect some people to disagree with me, so don’t feel bad for ripping on my picks in the comments.

» Rugby World Cup Ladder

Pool A

  1. Ireland
  2. Scotland
  3. Japan
  4. Samoa
  5. Russia

There’s not much to say here, as this group appears to be very straightforward. Expect both Ireland and Scotland to dominate the other members of the group and Ireland to edge Scotland with their depth.

(Phil Walter/Getty Images)

Pool B

  1. New Zealand
  2. South Africa
  3. Italy
  4. Repechage winner (Canada)
  5. Namibia

Yeah, I know that Canada isn’t technically the repechage winner yet, but I fully expect them to defeat Hong Kong and beat Namibia to avoid the wooden spoon in this group. Italy will defeat Canada once again, but like they did in RWC 2015, when Daniel Tailliferre Hauman van der Merwe was excellent, it has been proven that he cannot put the team on his back once Canada reaches a certain level of opposition – not even Beauden Barrett could.

In the New Zealand vs South Africa showdown, Beauden Barrett will be able to be a difference-maker in what will be a close match defined by playmaking in the back line.

(Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Pool C

  1. England
  2. France
  3. Argentina
  4. Tonga
  5. USA

Argentina always seem to be the dark horse in rugby world cups, but that trend will end here. There’s no Irish team here for them to beat – I say that as an Ireland fan – and France proved themselves to be a better side a week ago in Paris.

Argentina are exciting, but England and France, unlike Ireland, are set up to neutralise the threat they possess. Do not mistake a good match-up for quality – Argentina are Ireland’s bogey team, and that’s it.

(David Rogers – RFU/The RFU Collection via Getty Images)

Pool D

  1. Wales
  2. Australia
  3. Fiji
  4. Georgia
  5. Uruguay

I’m fully aware this is an Australian site and that I may not be agreed with here. I don’t blame you at all for that, but let’s be honest – Australian rugby is in crisis mode and the Australian team should be thankful that they aren’t in a group in which they could be left out of the Round of 16. For example, yes, I totally bashed Argentina five seconds ago, but their style puts teams under pressure. Australia, based on current trends, could fall victim to that.

(AAP Image/Dean Lewins)

Quarter-final 1: England (winner) vs Australia
England run out clear winners here, confirming how much the Northern Hemisphere has caught up to the Southern Hemisphere since the last World Cup Round of 16.

Quarter-final 2: New Zealand (winner) vs Scotland
One thing I will not do is call this a blowout, because it won’t be. Finn Russell, Huw Jones and Stuart Hogg will help keep things interesting, but ultimately New Zealand’s quest for a threepeat will not end in the Round of 16.

Quarter-final 3: Wales vs France (winner)
I wouldn’t be able to confidently bet anything on this matchup, but I’ll give it to France as I can see them being warmed up better for this game as they’re coming from a tougher group. Some may see this as a disadvantage, but I see the opposite.

Quarter-final 4: Ireland (winner) vs South Africa
No, Ireland will not win this matchup 38-3 like they did in Dublin a year ago, but they will boss proceedings once again and have a decisive victory against the Boks. Welcome to the semi-finals, Ireland.

Semi-final 1: England (winner) vs New Zealand
Yep, you read that right: England will avenge their 16-15 loss in Twickenham a few weeks ago with a semi-final victory in the World Cup. The storyline of this world cup will continue to be the Northern Hemisphere’s rise to dominance in a way rugby has never seen before.

Semi-final 2: France vs Ireland (winner)
At this point in the competition depth will be increasingly prevalent. No team in world rugby has more than Ireland does right now, as they beat New Zealand with a second-choice scrum half and a third-choice flanker.

Bronze final: New Zealand (winner) vs France
New Zealand return after their first rugby world cup loss since 2007 with something to prove and pick France apart.

Final: England vs Ireland (winner)
This Ireland squad is used to winning big games against their neighbours from across the Irish Sea at this point, and Johnny Sexton will out-duel Owen Farrell once again to see Ireland join the illustrious club of world cup winners.

The Crowd Says:

2018-11-25T03:40:53+00:00

Deladi

Guest


It pains me to say but you can probably take Australia off that list and leave it as being four most likely to win. Wallabies have unfortunately become the sick man of rugby.

2018-11-24T23:22:33+00:00

Mal Alford

Guest


Pool C same as 2003, except ABs have enough depth to take on the big guns in the semis if someone gets injured early. They'll beat England there, then take Ireland in the final, 40-15. Fijis best chance of making quarters with Australia's rubbish form.

2018-11-24T06:03:14+00:00

Phantom

Roar Rookie


Mega chokers.

2018-11-24T05:26:38+00:00

Phantom

Roar Rookie


Ireland’s and England’s depth will be sorely tested in this tournament. I think the winner will again be a sh team with the final being a rematch between the abs and the boks.

2018-11-24T03:55:05+00:00

One Eye

Roar Rookie


England have never beaten NZ in a World Cup, nor away from home I believe. NZ mid season will be a very different prospect than NZ end of season as well.

2018-11-24T01:14:05+00:00

sione

Roar Rookie


AB supporter here Hugh, well done to your boys last week, a great effort. As to the World Cup, you could well be right with Ireland going to the final, it'll be interesting to see how well the NH teams play AWAY this 6 Nations. I don't think we are the favourites now, but think that next year in Asia in humid conditions we will be right in the bunch when it comes to playing in consecutive weeks in neutral venues. Also I feel the environment there will really suit Australia, often a very good team in tournament conditions in neutral venues. The Saffas also a HUGE threat in this situation. You guys, England, France, Australia, South Africa, the ABs. Some one's got to go all the way. Can't wait.

2018-11-23T22:56:00+00:00

Kiwi in East Perth

Guest


Assuming of course that NZ beat S.A and win their 1/4 final.????

2018-11-23T22:49:41+00:00

Kiwi in East Perth

Guest


If the Wallabies get their act together, they have the best draw and with a bit of luck they could make the WC final.

2018-11-23T22:44:21+00:00

Kiwi in East Perth

Guest


Yes agreed. England will have 5 tough matches in 5 weeks to make the final. Its never been done before and will be there downfall. On a dry track in Japan and with a fresher squad as NZ play SA in the first week. I would call NZ as favourites and they won't under estimate them after Twickers this year.

2018-11-23T21:01:31+00:00

Dean

Guest


The Irish fans and press of late 2018 remind me a lot of the English in late 2014.

2018-11-23T19:17:05+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Was more impressed with England with far more missing key players than Ireland and Eddie has an advantage in knowing Japan rugby, the grounds, weather stadiums etc more than any other coach. Its a long way to go and to make predictions on the back of the end of year tours, at a time that is always going to see the north sides in the better light isnt wise.Had we made them after the France Ireland England tours theyd probably be fairly different again, none of them looking overly convincing, certainly noy world cup winners.

2018-11-23T18:36:22+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Timings not in their favour either. 6 N in feb, march then six months of no real competitive tests, probably a few friendlies chucked in. Theyll be fresh, depending on their club involvement but also raw.

2018-11-23T18:31:23+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Huh? Worked for twenty years though. Ireland have a long way to go. I dont think in this tournament Ireland go from a best ever result being a pool match vs oz in 2011 to winning pool and all three knockouts. Doesnt happen, esoe ially when their best away result vs any of the previous winners last two years is 9 points. Theyve yet to be convincing on a sustained, away capaign. In terms of their chances theyre one of probably three and on a good for a couple of others, five. One of NZ, Ireland, England, SA or Oz are going to win this, oz probably the outer but in my opinion a better chance than france, wales, arg, or scotland on the hot, fastturfs of Japan, at that time of year. NZ are getting picked apart at the moment by fans, media, ‘experts’ coming out of the woodwork all over the place so a good place to be in. Theyll still be the most feared side at the tourney. They still have the most consistently highly skilled individuals of any side, form and teamwork taking a bit of a hit this year. SA, oz and Argie tend to get bolstered by a few NH additions, provided they dont break team protocols...beale always seems to be in the middle of anything going on doesnt he?

2018-11-23T16:12:43+00:00

JonB

Roar Rookie


Some premature predictions there mate

2018-11-23T13:42:44+00:00

Tasman sea brotherhood17

Roar Rookie


Springboks will knock Ireland out in Quarter finals to Play ABs in the Final...no NH side will play in the WC Final....six nations will be to much for NH sides, where Superugby comp will benefit SH sides.

2018-11-23T13:40:18+00:00

Brian

Guest


The most significant problem for Ireland is Sexton. They are an injury to the 10 away from bombing out in quarters as in 2015. Carbery is really yet to convince of his suitability as backup. But he will get good ongoing experience at Munster and I would not be surprised to see him start in 6 nations more than the once against Italy. Was Madigan really that bad that they had to ditch him altogether? And the only positive I ever heard about Jackson was an Irish fan saying that he no longer gave up all hope when he was named as a starter.

2018-11-23T13:34:44+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


ABs should be seen as prohibitive favourite. But ... The beauty of this draw is they face a fearless young fast SA team in the first match!

2018-11-23T13:14:24+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Injury rates continue to climb, rule-bending is an art, and tight games tend to be won by the big stars. So ... A symbiosis of squad depth AND top-shelf star quality, with referee-reading skills is the mix needed in this humid Eastern tourney. There only look to be 5 teams with the depth, nous, and stars to raise this Cup: NZ, SA, England, Wales, and Ireland. But ARG and OZ could knock a couple of NH teams out, and of the five “deep” teams (with smarts and stars) I’ve identified, SA and Wales seem the least equipped to lose their 3 best players.

2018-11-23T12:57:47+00:00

Daniel Ferguson

Guest


Touchè

2018-11-23T10:48:34+00:00

BledisloeAsUsual

Guest


Fact is a lot of the northern hemisphere sides don’t travel well, just like an Englishman in Costa del Sol. Be a whole different ball game at RWC. Although I’m sure every Irishman and bandwagon Irish fan will be there as if Conor McGregor was having a biff

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