Rugby World Cup tipping Week 4: now we're getting serious

By Brett McKay / Expert

It’s ard to believe we’re here already, but the final block of pool-stage games is upon us. For a tournament that has been coming for an eternity, it’s going to be over in a flash.

This last little block of games features some tantalising games among them, plus a couple that could have some big impact on some of the pools.

Could this be the most memorable week of the tournament to date?

LAST WEEK: Digger, Geoff, Brett and The Crowd 12; Harry and Nobes 11.

OVERALL: The Crowd 30; Geoff 29; Digger 28; Harry and Brett 27; Nobes 26.

Digger
Tips: Australia, New Zealand, England, Ireland, Namibia, Tonga, Wales, Japan

So, in what seems like a flash, the pool stage is almost over, and we still have plenty to look forward to in this last push before the business end of the tournament gets cracking.

There are two games in particular to keep an eye on with direct repercussions for the quarter-finals.

England and France, who will decide the winner of their pool and individual quarter-final paths, and the impressive Japan taking on the Scots.

The Japanese are looking to not only win their individual pool at a RWC for the first time, but qualify for their maiden finals appearance in front of their faithful, while Scotland will be looking to upset the apple cart and keep themselves in the hunt. Fittingly, this exciting clash will be the last pool game of this World Cup.

(WILLIAM WEST/AFP/Getty Images)

For my money here, the English and Brave Blossoms look the goods but this World Cup has thrown some curve balls so far, so let’s see if there are a few surprises yet to come.

Geoff
Tips: Australia, New Zealand, England, Ireland, Namibia, Tonga, Wales, Scotland

With the final block of pool matches upon us, four major talking points jump out. Will the Wallabies have an effective lead-in to the quarter-finals and be able to assert themselves against Georgia for longer periods than they managed against Uruguay? To do so they’ll need to be better disciplined and sure of hand, to be able to work the Lelos around the park and then take their opportunities when they present themselves.

Who does Italy have left to play in the front row against New Zealand? Whoever it is, let’s hope they know the difference between up and down, top and bottom.

With Argentina’s demise, the England vs France game is no longer the blockbuster it could have been, which pushes us right along into the big one on Sunday night: the sensational host country Japan, playing for their first ever quarter-final appearance, against Scotland. I’d love to see it happen, but the weight of expectation is ridiculously high, and the Scots are surely not as low as what everyone has been saying. Scotland for me.

The fourth talking point is the weather. If Japan’s weather forecasters are anything like Australia’s, Typhoon Hagibis should have blown off course already and be about to pass through Upper Mongolia as we speak. Let’s hope so.

Brett
Tips: Australia, New Zealand, England, Ireland, Namibia, USA, Wales, Japan

Maybe it’s because I lost a couple of days to the 13-man code and the Canberra Raiders’ tilt at a first NRL premiership in 25 years, but I really feel like I’ve missed a chunk of games, which has me finding it hard to believe we’re into the last week of the pools already.

This might be the block of games in which we seem some surprising results.

Is this the week for France’s standard incredible RWC performance? Will Namibia or Canada learn more from their heavy defeats to date? Does much more professional rugby experience in MLR help the US, or are Tonga still getting what they need out of the Pacific Nations Cup?

(Photo By Brendan Moran/Sportsfile via Getty Images)

And then it’s Japan vs Scotland.

This RWC has been already so memorable because of two things: the Japanese crowds and the venues, and most importantly, the Brave Blossoms themselves. The perfect reward for both would be that Japan tops the pool, and they reach their first ever knockout stage. It would be absolutely amazing.

But I love Scotland, and want them to get through just as much. This is perhaps the hardest tip of the pool stage to date. And I think the hosts just have the slight edge.

Harry
Tips: Australia, New Zealand, England, Ireland, Namibia, USA, Wales, Japan

Red is the new yellow, Japan is the new Japan, Ireland is the new Scotland, and nothing is new about the Pacific Island teams in the Cup.

You wouldn’t want to be lifted in the line out by Italian props. They’ll prematurely eject you, and then one of them will also be ejected.

Geoff has deep inside observation advantage over all the panel, but I’m going with my gut.

I’m going with the Brave Cherry-Picking Blossoms over the no-try Jocks, because humid home field advantage is worth seven points, and they needed two more shades of Gray.

Tough Namibia and the well-coached USA for the minnow vs minnow wins.

Nobes
Tips: Australia, New Zealand, England, Ireland, Namibia, Tonga, Wales, Japan

Nobes isn’t able to elaborate on his tips this week, but we look forward to his return next week.

Week 4 Digger Harry Geoff Brett Nobes Crowd
AUS vs GEO AUS AUS AUS AUS AUS AUS
NZL vs ITA NZL NZL NZL NZL NZL NZL
ENG vs FRA ENG ENG ENG ENG ENG ENG
IRE vs SAM IRE IRE IRE IRE IRE IRE
NAM vs CAN NAM NAM NAM NAM NAM NAM
USA vs TGA TGA USA TGA USA TGA TGA
WAL vs URU WAL WAL WAL WAL WAL WAL
JPN vs SCO JPN JPN SCO JPN JPN JPN
Last week 12 11 12 12 11 12
Total score 28 27 29 27 26 30

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The Crowd Says:

2019-10-10T13:17:53+00:00

FunBus

Roar Rookie


Swings and roundabouts, I think. They definitely wanted to give game time to Mako Vunipola, Wilson, Slade, Nowell, and Launchbury. On the plus side, they can't incur any more injuries (unless in training). Got to hit the ground running against Oz, though.

2019-10-10T12:44:42+00:00

RugbyNovice

Guest


Do you reckon that'll work for England or against them? They'll definitely be rested, but might they be undercooked?

2019-10-10T12:10:32+00:00

Footy Franks

Guest


Poor organisation, weather and refs has reduced future World Cup saleability. No respect for ticket holders who pay thousands for tickets. Treated like dirt.

2019-10-10T09:23:04+00:00

Carlin

Roar Rookie


I was looking forward to seeing how France came out to play against England. With the rumours of a player revolt, thats generally when they play their best rugby. Wonder if they can keep the revolt up till the 1/4s. Australia will be too quick in the backs for Georgia, but looking forward to the forward battle. Ireland should be too strong for Samoa. Ireland will be desperate to get this game played. Namibia and Tonga should get wins. Both had games that will boost their confidence. And the USA would have had a shorter turnaround. Wales in a canter vs Uruguay. The crunch match. I have picked the hosts due to the positive hype around them. It will be close though.

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T08:28:21+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


yes, that's what's being discussed, Chinmay. That was always possible..

2019-10-10T08:16:26+00:00

Chinmay Hejmadi

Roar Guru


They still ended up cancelling two games...

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T07:38:22+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


In fairness, we did know that the possibility of games being cancelled during the pool stage was there before the tournament started. And as I've mentioned elsewhere, it's my understanding that reserve days are in place for the knockout games. So the contingencies were there in place..

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T07:34:55+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Fair to say I agree with you completely, mate!

2019-10-10T07:29:34+00:00


Thanks Keith, knew my Spider sense wasn’t useless after all :laughing:

2019-10-10T07:27:39+00:00

Keith

Guest


Having been at the England - Tonga game, those Tongan forwards were blowing hard after about 10 minutes, and a lot of walking in the 2nd half. USA to win on fitness.

2019-10-10T07:00:35+00:00


Hi Brett, I just think USA has more in them than we have seen and think this is the match they will target. I could be horribly wrong, my Spider sense is tingling :happy:

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:51:17+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Could be a sound investment, Terry.. :thumbup: :rugby:

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:50:44+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Thats true, Pete, but the Ireland v Samoa game is in Fukuoka, down on the southern most island of Kyushu, which appears to be well out of range. Unless of course there's a sudden change of typhoon course!! :shocked:

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:45:42+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Correct RT. Scotland need to ensure Japan take no points out of the game at all..

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:44:07+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


I think read now Ralph that England won't have played for 2 weeks once the QF - probably against Australia - rolls around... :shocked:

2019-10-10T06:38:33+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


This is a monumental stuff up by the organisers. I was warned that games might be cancelled before I flew to japan before the tournament had even started. If I could’ve been warned then I’m sure the organisers would have had enough time to put a contingency plan in place.

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:36:21+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Neither had the Scots until the last few days.. :laughing:

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:34:57+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Part of the issue is that rest days aren't possible for the pool games, whereas I'm pretty sure they are for knockout games..

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:32:42+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Scotland will just be happy to play, at this point, Kane! RWC hoping typhoon is off shore again by Sunday, of course, but not nearly as much as the Scots!! :stoked:

AUTHOR

2019-10-10T06:30:12+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


BB, I must admit to surprise that Tonga are $1.40 favourites over the USA. That one feels like a toss of the coin to me...

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