What the west needs now

By Rob9 / Roar Guru

Covid has brought so many sectors of society to their knees over the last three or four months. Professional sport has been at the forefront of these losses with its inflated overheads driven by the ongoing quest for success.

In this country, no sport is in a more precarious position than the great game of rugby union which was already on tremendously shaky ground heading into 2020.

In response to this unprecedented event, Rugby Australia is currently mapping its plan for a season like no other that will initially involve a Super Rugby AU concept that includes Australia’s four existing Super Rugby teams along with the previously outcast and now Andrew Forrest-backed, Western Force.

Forrest has previously announced himself on Australia’s rugby scene as a ‘white knight’, with the ability to aid Australia’s and (in particular) WA’s rugby fortunes. Beyond the creation of Global Rapid Rugby which has provided some form of an ‘elite’ product to WA’s sporting public, his impact in these endeavours to date has been limited.

Now though, with the Force being handed a lifeline by RA – Twiggy can become a saviour of the game in the West while putting Australia in a favourable position to rebuild in this new world that awaits us on the other side of Covid-19.

In short, what we need from Twiggy now is a keen eye for talent and his deep pockets to bring them back to our shores. Let me explain.

While Australian rugby was heading towards rock bottom even before this pandemic hit, it’s easy to forget that Covid hasn’t been discriminating in its savagery. The huge salaries on offer in the northern hemisphere and investment in foreign talent were also under the spotlight before 2020.

It appears that what we’re moving through at the moment is expediting these discussions and bringing them to a head.

Kurtley Beale’s recent modest signing for Racing 92 suggests that the belt tightening is already underway. The Parisian club is set to shell out 400,000 Euros for Beale’s services. He’s obviously at a different stage of his career, but this is half of his salary during his sojourn with Wasps in 2016.

Kurtley Beale (Photo by Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images)

Covid has been a great ‘leveller’ and as those fans of the Reds found out, contracts aren’t worth much more than the paper they’re printed on at the moment with doubts in both hemispheres over whether clubs will have the ability to uphold their deals.

In this weird and whacky world that we’ve entered into, I’ve little doubt that there will be clubs more than open to the idea of offloading some of the international talent that’s currently occupying their books. And with that, enter Andrew ‘Twiggy’ Forrest.

His immediate goal has to be to make it impossible for RA to repeat history and take away what they did in 2017 – a license to compete at the highest domestic level. The best way to achieve this is through success and fortunately for the Force, with Twiggy standing behind them – they’re in a favourable position to attain some if he’s willing to put pen to cheque book.

The Force have managed to build a decent NRC-level list, but now they’re playing at a (Australian conference) Super Rugby level so there has to be question marks over whether they’ll be able to regularly hold their own, let-alone succeed.

RA haven’t given the Force a lot of time but I would have management on the phone to get in touch with Australian talent plying their trade in the Top 14, Top League and Premiership to bring them back home and playing in a mish-mashed team of expatriates.

Imagine the following XV entering into Super Rugby AU as the 2020 Western Force:

1. Paddy Ryan
2. Tolu Latu
3. Sam Talakai
4. Will Skelton
5. Adam Coleman
6. Lopeti Timani
7. Liam Gill
8. Sean McMahon
9. Nic Stirzacer
10. Jack Debreczini
11. Taqele Naiyaravoro
12. Duncan Paia’aua
13. Samu Kerevi
14. Sefa Nairavalu
15. Jono Lance

With the best of the existing squad supporting them, such a side would have to be described as title contenders at worst.

The Force assembling a strong and reasonably young squad of talent will also have a flow-on effect for the fortunes of Dave Rennie’s Wallabies. Half of these names wouldn’t look out of place in a 2020 Wallaby squad with possibly half of those even pressing for a starting berth.

From the Ashes of 2020, Twiggy’s Force can rise as an on and off field success that demands a presence in Australia’s elite rugby tier, whatever that may look like in the future. Furthermore, some depth to the pool of international-level talent can be added to best position the Wallabies to attain some much-needed success when Test rugby returns.

This certainly isn’t the solution for all of Australian rugby’s woes, but it’s one way that’s well within Andrew Forrest’s scope to have a positive impact on WA’s and Australia’s output while achieving a bit of traction on a couple of important fronts in the required rebuild.

The Crowd Says:

2020-06-07T04:18:03+00:00

Alby

Guest


There are a lot of emotive positions or views being shared here. For Rugby WA / Force the position is simply as follows: > History will not be ignored, and the Force will make its own decisions in its interests > The team roster will add and value players judiciously to build a team and develop unity > Performance improvement matters, immediate success does not, competitiveness does > Build an entity can stand with independence as a pillar of certainty and substance > Maintain a position of strategic independent comparative strength relative to RA > Not get locked into any forward RA dependence, shape the outcomes with authority > Only commit so far in any venture with RA to ensure continued tension / uncertainty for RA > Recognise that RA and the eastern states no longer hold strong negotiating positions > Effectively engage and leverage the significant Rugby supporter base in WA > Continue to build on strategic rugby partnerships in Asia as a key priority

2020-06-07T02:00:41+00:00

robel

Roar Pro


So an even worse situation. Another national body telling the ARU what to do. Either way, the ARU made the decision to acquiesce to NZ, treasonous, or the decision themselves, despicable.

2020-06-06T15:09:21+00:00

AndyS

Guest


I guess that depend on whether your definition of a good time is everyone slavishly agreeing with everything you say. Probably says more about you than me though. But if it helps define our differences in understanding: Is rugby, RA and SANZAAR is entering uncharted territory? Absolutely, these times are unprecedented in the era of professional rugby. Have RA been rubbish, and are likely to be rubbish again? Duh… Is a monumental shift underway? Well, no more than a maybe on that. The SANZAAR you place so much credence in has openly said that whatever happens this year aside, everyone is still bound by contractual agreement through to at least 2030. That would pretty much stuff the Force right there, and rope RA back into the same situation as last year. Might they be wrong and the structure of the game be completely unrecognisable from what they’ve ever been before? Perhaps, subject to all the legal ramifications of the point above. But if so, as a minimum it would leave RA with New Zealand, who as you noted to Robel below may have been the driving force behind the elimination of the fifth team. If so, are they likely to have suddenly reassessed the competitiveness of Australian rugby? Or are they more likely to demand another sacrifice in the name of competitiveness? I know where my money would lie, regardless of anything RA might recognise or embrace. Is the situation hopeless, or have you sugar-coated it? Nope, give you that. But your faith that the circumstances have somehow resulted in some sort of “road to Damascus moment” seems fanciful at best when all that has really changed are the top two faces on the board. There is every chance that they are all actually just sitting around cursing their luck that Covid interfered with their cunning plan to take rugby away from Foxtel and give it to the masses, and regretting that poor old Raelene had to pay the price. There is definitely nothing in the current situation that would give reason to think that RA have learned a single thing, until they prove otherwise. So what is the alternate for WA rugby community? Well, for this year, treat it as an anomaly. Because there is not a single thing in the current situation that indicates that RA will suddenly turn their backs on their partners in favour of you, or that they have somehow learned some lesson about your value, or even that you will be the last casualty. It may not be much, but indeed hope that GRR takes off and is the vehicle to grow your game because there is little reason to believe that RA will suddenly come up with something better where you will suddenly be within the magic circle of 'Australian Rugby'. If they now say they can, maybe play along for a bit, but whatever you do don’t give up the bird in the hand. Because if they have demonstrated anything over the last three years, it is that they have no interest in rugby’s potential in the West. Well, outside of tapping you by way of the odd Test to fund 'real' rugby, anyway.

2020-06-06T14:32:48+00:00

ScottD

Roar Guru


RA's current financial position is caused by spending more money than they earn. Over the years I have been employed to turn a few companies around and the one thing they all had in common is not acting to reduce expenditure until they had too. Blind to reality RA has continued to lose money for 3 years and make money only in RWC years as if this was a viable business model. At an annual budget of $120m per year a 3% reduction in the cost base ($4m pa) is an easy ask and would make RA solvent even in these "unprecedented" times. If one thing comes out of this I hope it is simply that need a bit of basic business sense in RA.

2020-06-06T14:16:09+00:00

ScottD

Roar Guru


all the best ones ?

2020-06-06T12:17:44+00:00

Ex force fan

Guest


So do 20,000 Australian for which he made that promise to. He kept everything single promises he made this far to the WA rugby community why would I not trust his word? Anyone what alternative do we have? Trust the backstabbing weasels at Rugby Australia? Not even the Board members can trust each other in that organisation. The WA rugby community understands that RA see us as less worthy rugby supporters that those in NSW, QLD, ACT and VIC. That is why we cannot trust RA to ever again. We should not give RA the opportunity again to axe us and continue pursuing the GRR despite what happens in the covid cup.

AUTHOR

2020-06-06T08:50:10+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


You just don’t seem to grasp it. Gee you’d be a good time down at the pub wouldn’t you? How can you not understand that rugby and SANZAAR is entering uncharted territory? Yes, (again) RA have been poor and there’s every possibility that they’ll make poor choices again. But a monumental shift is underway and there’s every possibility that the structure of the game and the associated pressures/influences will be completely unrecognisable from what they’ve ever been before. The Force were a victim of SANZAAR’s (yes, ARU’s) globalist agenda. The consensus suggests that this pressure in the new world will be removed or at least subdued from what it was. If the Force are offered a full time spot in the countries top national tier beyond 2020, then you would have to draw the conclusion that RA have recognised this and have embraced a more domestic orientated approach. To quote myself once more, it’s a hopeless position the game finds itself in. I’m sure even you would recognise that I haven’t exactly sugarcoated the current state of the game. As such, there aren’t many certainties to hold onto. Just the ‘globalist approach’ that SANZAAR has pursued for so long has been a dismal failure. What’s the alternate option for WA rugby (community). ‘Hope’ that GRR takes off and is the vehicle to grow the game and realise rugby’s potential in the West? Good luck with that.

2020-06-06T08:03:29+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Apologies if you thought I was misparaphrasing you, but it seemed the obvious conclusion from your statement that while it's possible RA might be subjected to any one of the various pressures in future, it’s highly unlikely the combination could ever happen again. That seemed to summarise your previous posts (along the lines of "It was complicated"), but patent nonsense as any of those examples showed. But it seems your point was indeed something else. At the risk of again summarising your position then, it would seem to be that you hope they have learned their lesson from the last five to ten years, you hope they now know what will definitely work next time, you hope RA now understand Australia's backyard must always be prioritised over anything their partners might desire, you hope the new faces at RA will be better than the old faces, and you hope they've all learned those lessons despite not having been around for any of the lessons..? Not sure how their partners might feel about some of those, but that seems like an awful lot to be simultaneously hoping. So far, it looks to me like the same organisation, same structure, with different faces but from the same backgrounds, same stakeholders to satisfy, all having the same key drivers and interests. Perhaps a miracle will happen and a butterfly will emerge from the caterpillar, but I can state from experience that hope is the worst of all investment strategies. Can't imagine those at the Force haven't learned the same lesson. And the depths of the current situation is specifically why they should be cautious. Maybe it is all that talk of hope, but the situation seems to me more akin to a bunch of people afloat in a lifeboat. All the insight in the world as to how they got there is useless, as is whose fault it was and in what proportion. All the hope in the world won't help either. There will be some little things that can be done poorly or well that might help eke things out a bit or improve the chances of rescue, but sooner or later someone is going to ask who the next acceptable sacrifice might be...

AUTHOR

2020-06-06T06:58:37+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


An alternate view: https://www.espn.co.uk/rugby/story/_/id/19116818/aru-bows-new-zealand-pressure-cut-super-rugby-franchise

AUTHOR

2020-06-06T06:21:13+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


This isn’t a routine rights negotiation and a tinkering of the product to capture more short term broadcast $. This is the backside has fallen out of it and a different approach than the one that’s got us here is required now. If RA and the partners don’t recognise that then they’re being complicit in willful neglect.

2020-06-06T06:19:27+00:00

robel

Roar Pro


The ARU went to the London meeting with a plan. It was there that they told SAANZAR that they would remove a team. The team that would be removed was the one who had agreed to a joint ownership model with the ARU just a few months before. It was always going to be the Force because members of the board had a vested interest in the Rebels survival (except Stooke, the one honourable member). SAANZAR didn't make the decision for the ARU, it was the ARU who told SAANZAR they would cut a team.

AUTHOR

2020-06-06T05:59:32+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


‘I understand what you are saying’ No you don’t. If you did, you would rattle off rubbish like your most recent comment and this: ‘you seem to think it was a once-in-a-million, unique blend of stars aligning type event’ Again, I am done spoon feeding you Andy. I don’t know how many times I have to say it to you... RA hars demonstrated incredibly poor administration and is more responsible for the mess we find ourselves in (considering they’re at the controls of our strategic direction) than anything else. They have failed the game. But you would hope they have learned from the failed pathway they have taken us down. Hopefully now they would have more of an insight into what does and doesn’t work and as a result have developed an understanding of the importance of looking after our own backyard first and prioritizing that above any partners desires. This is the point- we are at rock bottom. Never have we had to rebuild from so low and there’s learning to be taken from what’s got us there. I would have thought you’d have recognised this, surely you can now that it’s been spelt out for you. This and the fact that there is new blood within RA’s administration suggests that we may finally be ready to take a new approach- not to mention the options to resume something even remotely like the status quo are limited.

2020-06-06T05:16:46+00:00

ForceFan

Roar Rookie


Judging on past performance, I doubt if we'll see a plethora of big names being added to the Western Forces play list. The focus has been on building the game in WA (and developing the game elsewhere in the region). Western Force fans have enjoyed the efforts of the current squad which has stayed focus on keeping fit through the CV19 restrictions. However, the current squad is smaller than the other Aussie franchises and could do with some injury coverage in some key positions. I hope the focus is on the return pf players who are WA developed players or on those who have previously played for the WF. This focus has a good chance of having a competitive team which will surprise many, in much the same way as it did in last year's NRC final.

2020-06-06T05:03:16+00:00

AndyS

Guest


In fact, you are not even being consistent within your own naive view of the world. You said yourself that when the partners presented the desire to drop one of our teams, RA had no choice other than comply or pull out of the partnership. So even if it was just that one thing in some future instance, despite Australia rolling in money, RA would have no option but to do what they were told. So it potentially only needs one of those scenarios, and it all happens again.

2020-06-06T02:45:24+00:00

AndyS

Guest


I understand what you are saying, but am gobsmacked you seem to think it was a once-in-a-million, unique blend of stars aligning type event. But it won't be...unless Australia completely cuts itself off from all contact with the rest of the rugby world, they will always be subject to external pressures. Just about every version of alternate SR mooted involves NZ as a minimum, and most have Japan too, for instance. And there will never, ever be enough cash...regardless of how much there is, someone will always want more for something. The immediate future is going to be full of that, so the question is, what will happen when someone wants something and waves some cash in front of RA next time? If the World League got revived but it meant a shortened SR, do you think they would hesitate? Or Japan was prepared to underwrite an SR after a South African exit, but only if they got one more team than there was room for? Or if, in the absence of any other options, NZ is up for a Trans-Tasman comp but doesn't think Australia will be competitive with more than three teams? Somewhere, sometime, they will inevitably be presented with a choice again featuring all of those same pressures. And when it does, what so you think RA would do based on past form?

AUTHOR

2020-06-05T23:02:54+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


‘Really – so never again will RA ever feel the pinch of finances, or be in partnership with a party whose priorities might not perfectly align with those of Australia, or stand to gain financially or politically by having one less team to support?’ You can’t help yourself can you? Yes, there’s the possibility that RA may be met with one of these scenarios in the future (particularly the first one- the fact you mention it speaks volumes). But it’s highly unlikely that the landscape the Force exited (that includes the combined pressures that were at play) will be replicated again. Andy, I’m done holding your hand through this. Stay well.

2020-06-05T14:15:41+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Really - so never again will RA ever feel the pinch of finances, or be in partnership with a party whose priorities might not perfectly align with those of Australia, or stand to gain financially or politically by having one less team to support? We'll see, and see what they do if such a circumstance occurs again. Maybe as soon as the next contract. Put simply, it boils down to where RA draws the line between what is an acceptable course of action and what isn't, and who is on which side of that line. As for the Force, I guess they will have to put their imagining hat on and see if they can ever envisage such circumstances ever occurring again. And if they can, decide whether they would then want to be one of the red-headed stepchildren again, because they definitively know which side of that line they are on.

AUTHOR

2020-06-05T11:56:51+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


Andy, you’re putting words into my mouth with your simplifying of a complex decision making process in an environment that’s being influenced by multiple factors. I’m not here to add all of the layers for you. As for your ‘seems to be anyone but RA’ jibe- read my last paragraph. And with your appetite for quoting me back, it’s a shame you missed this one; ‘Taking nothing away from RA’s role in the removal of the Force (it was a team within RA’s jurisdiction and the position of the Force within Australian rugby is ultimately their responsibility)’. There’s every reason to think that there will be no ‘similar circumstances’ in play again. Again, 2 of the 5 countries involved until this year are likely to be gone and it seems to be a matter of time before SA follow suit. That’s kind of at the foundation of my point and the reason for the Force to view this as a real opportunity to be bought back permanently. Never have this many of the SANZAAR cards been up in the air.

2020-06-05T11:15:10+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Well, first it was all SANZAAR's idea to get rid of the Force, then it was "SANZAAR being dictated to by their broadcast partners around what they thought consumers wanted". Seems it was anyone but RA, despite RA openly stating they did it for the money... But in the end it is largely irrelevant why they did it. The point is they are that sort of shambles, were prepared to do it, and would likely do exactly the same again in similar circumstances. It is not like anything in the current situation will make them better or less desperate either. Expedience is likely to be their watchword for some time to come, and frankly it is not just the Force that should be cautious going forward.

AUTHOR

2020-06-05T09:39:18+00:00

Rob9

Roar Guru


Where do you think that profit comes from? SANZAAR is responsible for creating the product, but of course the broadcasters have had an influence in the dastardly beast that SR’s become. But did I say it’s ‘their fault’? They’re paying the bills and assuming the risk, they have every right to have a say and SANZAAR has every right to push back and accept a lower price to protect their product’s future sustainability. Unfortunately for the broadcaster, their investment isn’t paying off and unfortunately for SANZAAR, they pulled their pants down for the sake of a quick buck and now they find themselves in the desperate position of trying to win fans back. In no way shape or form am I suggesting that RA represents a picture of adequacy. Far from it! There is no other factor that’s more responsible for the hopeless position that the game finds itself in than the poor administration that’s come from St Leonard’s.

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