For the second time this season, the Sydney Swans welcome back the biggest name in AFL, superstar forward Lance Franklin, for their Round 4 clash against the Bombers at the SCG on Thursday night.
After kicking three goals in the Swans’ 33-point win against Adelaide in Round 2, Franklin trained strongly and firmed for selection leading into the weekend.
John Longmire said it was fantastic to have the spearhead back in the team.
“He trained today and he’s been pulling up well,” Longmire said.
“His program was that he trained last week really hard and trained again Saturday, trained today, and then hopefully he pulls up well and be ready to go.”
It was just the Bombers’ luck that Franklin, having been rested for the Swans’ Round 3 win against the reigning premiers, returns to play for the Swans in Thursday night’s blockbuster clash.
Despite enjoying more success against the Bombers while playing for Hawthorn, than for Sydney, Franklin still remains a focus and a danger for the Bombers, even at 34.
The Swans to their credit, haven’t been overly reliant on the forward so far in 2021, spreading the load across their entire forward line.
Emerging forward Sam Wicks, who kicked three goals in a near-best-on-ground performance last Saturday, was Sydney’s most targeted forward, while Hayden McLean was their second most targeted player inside 50.
Their start to the season has been nothing short of astonishing, completely subverting expectations and triggering a rapid reevaluation of the teams’ prospects for the season.
Knocking off reigning premiers Richmond was another notch to their bow, after dominating the Brisbane Lions in an emphatic opening-round message to the rest of the competition and dispatching the Adelaide Crows with relative ease.
As recently as Monday, Jonathon Brown and Cameron Mooney predicted the Swans would make the grand final, with fellow pundits Gerald Healy and David King claiming that the Swans stats reflect that of a top-our side, leading to comparisons of the 1993 Baby Bombers.
Cale Hooker, most famous for his chase of Lance Franklin in his 2010 goal of the year, booted five goals against St Kilda on Saturday and won’t renew hostilities with Lance, ‘Dons coach Ben Rutten said.
“He will stay forward,” Rutten said of Hooker.
“He’s been hitting the scoreboard well but the most pleasing thing with Cale’s game is he’s been competing really hard and he’s been connecting with his forwards. He didn’t train there all pre-season so he’s still learning a little bit of some timing stuff and positioning, but he’s getting better all the time.”
“I think what we’re seeing more and more with Sydney, and most teams, is they’re not a one-dimensional footy club. They’re not solely reliant on Buddy playing for them to be a good team, so we’ll certainly pay the respect that we need to for Buddy but understand there’s a bigger job at hand.”
Captain Dyson Heppell returns to the side, having missed consecutive matches with a back complaint, tempering the loss of Jye Caldwell, Dylan Shiel, and Sam Draper.
(Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)
Key matchups
Darcy Parish vs Callum Mills
Darcy Parish and Callum Mills are both rising star midfielders, having served their AFL apprenticeships in defence. Both were hugely impactful in their sides’ respective wins, both arguably best on the ground. Parish has had a bigger impact on the centre square clearances and is one of the key reasons why Essendon is ranked second for centre clearances.
Jake Stringer vs Dane Rampe
Jake Stringer’s return to form couldn’t have been better timed for the Bombers, who were staring down the barrel of a winless start to the season. Losing weight, gaining fitness, and a new lease on life, the premiership forward looks to have returned to his damaging best.
Dane Rampe is still at the top of his game and will have to do his utmost to quell the dangerous barometer once he enters his domain.
Dane Rampe (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)
Lance Franklin vs Brandon Zerk-Thatcher
There are no more daunting tasks than taking on a rampaging Lance Franklin. In Essendon’s case, Franklin’s neither rampaging nor feasting. But don’t poke the sleeping Lion or he’s likely to rip shreds. 3 goals in his return game from almost two seasons out of footy proved that he’s still more than capable of mixing it with the best.
The six points
1: The Swans continue to dominate the scoring ledger, ranked first for goals for the second consecutive week. For years under John Longmire, the Swans struggled to score more than 100 points a dozen times a season, but now they’ve equaled their best scoring start to a season since 2001, averaging 121 points per game.
2: The Swans have stars on every line, having claimed the first three nominations for the NAB AFL Rising Star award. Tall forward Logan McDonald is the next player tipped to be nominated for the award, and an explosive game from him on Thursday night could make it a magical four nominations from the opening four matches.
3: The Swans are punishing teams on turnovers at the moment, ranked first for scores from turnovers, forward-half turnovers, and turnover differential, averaging 84 points per game from turnovers alone. The Swans are also ranked first for scores from the back half, scores per inside 50, goal assists, marks inside 50, and goal efficiency.
4: The Bombers have to expect the pressure on Thursday night. While they’ve been dominant in clearances this season, ranked second for centre clearances, the Swans have simply been maniac in pressuring the ball carrier, ranked first for post-clearance pressure. Gerald Healy called it the Red and White Tsunami on The Couch on Monday night.
5: The Bombers’ tackling and defensive pressure sees them ranked in the top 6 of teams for tackles and one-percenters, while the Swans are ranked 15th and 11th respectively, a sign of the way the teams play.
6: Despite the Swans’ structured and precise method of attack, they’re one of the lower ball-using teams in the league, ranked 10th for uncontested possessions, while the Bombers are ranked 3rd. The Bombers’ tendency to overuse the ball under pressure saw them cough up the ball multiple times against Hawthorn and Port Adelaide.
IT’S A BIG WEEK FOR…
Nick Blakey has been playing a mix of roles for the Swans and looks set to continue playing his half-back flank/wing role. With James Rowbottom, James Bell, Will Hayward, and Dylan Stephens waiting in the wings, the young midfielder will need to ensure that he lifts to keep his place in the side.
Prediction:
Sydney Swans by 27 points
SCG, Thursday, April 8th, 7.20pm AEST
Broadcast guide
Melbourne: 7, Fox Footy 504, Kayo from 7pm
Adelaide: 7, Fox Footy 504, Kayo from 6.30pm
Sydney: 7 Mate, Fox Footy 504, Kayo from 7pm
Perth: 7 Mate, Fox Footy 504, Kayo from 5pm
Brisbane: Fox Footy 504, Kayo from 7pm
Last five meetings
R2 2020 Essendon Bombers 12.7 (79) d Sydney Swans 11.7 (73)
R16 2019 Essendon Bombers 11.10 (76) d Sydney Swans 9.12 (66)
R8 2019 Sydney Swans 11.11 (77) d Essendon Bombers 10.12 (72)
R19 2018 Essendon Bombers 15.19 (109) d Sydney Swans 10.6 (66)
EF 2017 Sydney Swans 19.7 (121) d Essendon Bombers 8.8 (56)
Kick to Kick
Roar Rookie
This could be close. Essendon are ranked second in the league this year for centre clearances. That’s an important stat at the short SCG where the centre clearance winner gets quick access to the forward 50. It’s the area where Adelaide worried Sydney and would have worried the Swans more had the Crows kicked straight. After a big win last weekend for each, one of these teams will end the night deflated.
Chris M
Guest
I hope that Sydney win by a big margin but I wouldn't be surprised if the game is closer than most people seem to think. The battles between Sydney and Essendon have often been tight and playing at the SCG hasn't been as advantageous to the Swans in recent years. Let's hope the SCG suits their newly developed game plans. The Swans first year players may need to be managed at different stages so that they are refreshed by the end of the season if the Swans do maintain their form and make the finals. If they do make the finals, there will be no resting of Buddy for any knock-out game if he is still fit then and playing well. The Swans players in rehab, Rowbottom, Fox, Naismith and Ronke, don't have injuries that are likely to keep them out for the rest of the season. Resting some of the younger players may give an opportunity to Stephens, Hayward, Ling, Bell, Melican and Gould if they have been showing improvement from last year by playing well in the reserves scratch matches. If Bruce can kick 10 in a game under the new rules, how many is Buddy still able to kick? I hope they don't rest the big Bud for the Swans' game against North Melbourne if the Kangaroos are still playing as poorly as they have been.
okapiman
Roar Rookie
If Swans take form in for the first three rounds. Will win in a canter. The question is when will the young brigade drop off. Campbell struggled in Rd 3. Gulden slowed down.. Buddy kicks 5 regardless...
Roger of Sydney
Roar Rookie
Any team that turns up on the day can win any game, BUT Swannies are near impossible to close down, just so many runners and good options forward and back. The only way for the Bombers to win is to get the ball and not give it back or the Swans will do what they have done the last three weeks.