Is the Boks' bubble about to burst?

By The masked soup-bone / Roar Rookie

After the Trans-Tasman wake-up call, Scott Robertson lamented the gulf between NZ and Aussie rugby.

That casts the mind back to Rassie Erasmus’ acceptance speech as world coach of the 2019 season when his biggest compliment was to the ten-year All Blacks legacy under Steve Hansen. He said everybody aspires to compete and match the footy played by the warriors of the land of the silver fern.

It is too true but all is not lost to the Wallabies and the rest of the rugby fraternity. It just once again underscores that there is no substitute to regular competition against world-class opposition to keep your standards up and your powder dry. Although ten wins to zero losses to wins makes for dismal statistics, the wheel of time always turns.

The standards set by the Graham Henry/Steve Hansen-era All Blacks have produced an aspiring generation of new talent that – mixed in through the COVID bubble isolation with the broad field of local, experienced, older hands – quickly blooded them to a very high standard of play, which was set free once exposed to a smaller, top-end playing pool of slightly lesser opposition.

The reality is that Australia only has the talent and player pool to field three competitive teams on the international stage against the All Blacks’ five and the Boks’ four teams.

The Aussies have just become too ambitious during isolation, plain and simple, but fortunately Dave Rennie has the built-in antidote to spare them very embarrassing blushes on the international stage

(Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Talent wise the Boks and All Blacks are on par but the politically destroyed Rand devastated the Boks’ local resources because top-end players sought greener pastures to secure their financial future. Commercialism will always come up trumps.

South African journalist Mark Keohane gave Warren Gatland some prime motivational material for the upcoming Lions tour with his assumptions and arrogance. Locally the stage is being set with the confirmation of the tour noticeably turbo-charging local standards after our myriad bubble-enforced local competitions produced turgid, sub-par performances.

Our wild geese plying their trade elsewhere are visibly upping the ante to remain in the reckoning for inclusion in the much sought-after Boks camp to stop Gatland’s troops in their tracks.

Logic dictates that we are onto a hiding after two years of international isolation but our much vaunted laager mentality when written off and Erasmus’ now famous cut-and-paste genius is dressing the table for an exciting and very unique tour.

Without the red army or any local spectators, it will hopefully still produce top-notch rugby for the purists and connoisseurs where rugby will once again be the winner.

Much has been made about Gatland’s selections by the peanut gallery but his selections point to a potentially very exciting game plan, not focused on trying to outmuscle the Boks’ monster pack and bomb squad combo but rather to outstep and out-think and then out-snipe the Boks’ formidable defensive qualities.

(Michael Bradley/Getty Images)

It’s only logic that if you can get your players to be that one step further away at the contact point when confronted by big, bruising defenders, you will tire them out and start collecting some juicy crumbs around the edges when this sucks in the wider defences.

Hence known bulldozers are conspicuous by their absence in his mix.

That’s a sound theory if you look at the selection mix. If anybody can pull this rabbit out of his hat and put it into practice, it’s definitely Gatland. But the proof of the pudding will be in the eating.

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The Boks’ class of ’19 is still a work in progress with the performance at the 2019 World Cup final just a glimpse of what this group could really achieve if they grow and expand their battle-tested game plan.

There are only two retirements from the ’19 final match-day 23 with very capable understudies ready to step up to ensure a seamless evolution and continuation of a winning formula.

The void that the streetwise Francois Louw – Siya Kolisi’s able replacement – left upon retirement can be more than capably filled by Marcell Coetzee, and Steven Kitshoff will fill most of Tendai Mtawarira’s formidable boots with a legion of talent waiting to join the bomb squad.

Most of the ’19 squad is building up a nice head of steam so running down the roster with possible improvements or injury replacements in the mix fills me with confidence that this is quite possibly not a bridge too far.

Willie le Roux, our very underrated fullback, is now ticking over nicely while Aphelele Fassi or a rejuvenated Damian Willemse are waiting in the wings.

(Photo by Adam Pretty/Getty Images)

Makazole Mapimpi and Cheslin Kolbe are both low-cap Boks that are maturing nicely with Sbu Nkosi a proven sub and Madosh Tambwe an exciting hybrid of Nkosi and Mapimpi, who is ready to to step up with a blistering turn of speed in his arsenal.

In midfield, the young Damian de Allende/Lukhanyo Am combo is set to blossom with Jesse Kriel and exciting young guns Rikus Pretorius and Wandisile Simelane ready to step up to the big stage.

Handre Pollard has become the most valuable player in world rugby after his 22-point haul in the final. He has recovered from injury and little Faf de Klerk is setting fields alight up north.

Pollard is the key. He’s become the glue of the back line and all his understudies fall short while Cobus Reinach or Elton Jantjies ably covers nine.

Frans Malherbe and Vincent Koch pick themselves as tightheads while Trevor Nyakane will be unlucky not to be included.

Bongi Mbonambi and Malcolm Marx are the ideal 40-40-minute players with Joseph Dweba an exciting young blood.

Steven Kitshoff picks himself and my wild cards as bomb squad understudies are Ox Notshe and Lizo Gqoboka. Both are powerful and very exciting talents.

Eben Etzebeth and Lood de Jager should both be fit and ready but understudies abound.

Our talisman Kolisi is building a nice head of steam at new pastures with the Sharks while Pieter-Steph du Toit returned after serious injury as if he’s never left.

The player of the ’19 final Duane Vermeulen is building up to full Thor mode while Marcell Coetzee could fit seamlessly into any one of the three positions after his Ulster heroics. He is now safely home in the Bulls’ Kraal.

Erasmus’ ace in the pack that crystallised the bomb squad is Frans Steyn.

(Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

Steyn continues to mature like a fine red wine and is an evergreen but Damian Willemse could easily slot into that mould.

It is a squad to take on all comers while inactivity raises the only unanswered questions. They will be answered in two months’ time, which is match time and sell-by date of the individual players at the top level.

I call for new young bloods to maybe bash the door down and cause some surprises.

Among the backs there is Madosh Tambwe, Wandisile Simelane and maybe Rikus Pretorius and among the forwards there is Joseph Dweba, Ox Notshe and Lizo Gqoboka.

Mark Keohane will quite possibly end up with a nice helping of egg on his face once the final whistle goes. I suspect a 3-0 whitewash is just wishful thinking and clickbait for him to stay relevant.

But the Lions versus the Boks in 2021 might go down to the wire and in future become a classic documentary follow-up to the excellent Chasing the Sun.

It is a truly unique, timeless story of a group of sportsmen that against all the odds and obstacles dared to dream they would become stronger together and in the process achieve true greatness.

Hollywood beckons.

The Crowd Says:

2021-06-30T05:31:01+00:00

Kent Dorfman

Roar Rookie


https://www.chargrilled.com.au/t-shirts/Chokers-New-Zealand-All-Blacks-t-shirt.m Best ad ’19 to the list eh?

2021-06-30T05:26:57+00:00

Kent Dorfman

Roar Rookie


& I'm sure the Boks remember Farrel's shoulder charge against Esterhuizen. Man I wish rucking were still allowed as the boks'd go boonta seeing Farrel laying on the wrong side of a ruck. Doubt they'd care if the ball was there or not

2021-06-16T03:26:10+00:00

Ulrich

Roar Rookie


The way I see it is... The Boks finished 2nd in their pool. They played Japan who were at home and had beaten Ireland and Scotland and finished to of their pool. They played Wales who beat Australia and France and finished top of their pool. They played England who beat NZ and finished top of their pool with a game to spare and had some extra off-time compared to the Boks. Beauty is in the eyes of the beholder isn't it?

2021-05-31T14:09:45+00:00

Chris

Guest


I think the year out of international rugby is going to hurt South Africa in this series. Domestically the competition has lacked intensity until about a week ago and has been tough to really guage the firm of a lot of players. But for me the biggest unknown relates to the guys overseas (especially in Japan) and the next group of players coming through. Take a guy like Fassi - devastating player, but completely different from Le Roux in terms of skills et and role in the team. Without any games since the WC there hasn't been an opportunity to blood Fassi and see how we can use his skills while someone else steps up as the second playmaker. What is Le Roux form like right now (let's be honest he was pretty rubbish at the world cup) and if we need to replace him do we go with a like for like in Willemse or do we use the Fassi's strike running? Had 2020 been a normal year we would have a better idea of where we stand. On a positive note, the locally based Springbok are starting to show their class. Du Toit has been magnificent in his two outings since returning from injury, Vermeulen was easily the best player in SA in 2020 and Kolisi finally showed some form in the Sharks-Stormers match.

2021-05-28T10:59:44+00:00

Just Nuisance

Roar Rookie


Yes, the one team in the World that has always effectively done that to the Boks is the All Blacks....but that's the kind of play they grow up with.. It's 2nd nature.. If you are not very accurate in execution Boks will punish you.

AUTHOR

2021-05-28T10:48:37+00:00

The masked soup-bone

Roar Rookie


Speeding the game up is; up to now; the only surefire way to get the Boks flustered; que the first two England tests in '18 and the opening match against the AB's at WC '19. Problem is the Boks have learnt this lesson and upped their rush defence efficiency and counter attack play (Kolbe's try '19 after a monster Marx tackle) which combined with their energy sapping two-pack forward power play have to date neutralised this threat. I suspect Gatland has a variation of this approach in mind with his selection mix so it's going to be interesting to see if he can pull a rabbit out the hat.

2021-05-28T08:54:00+00:00

BackInBlack

Guest


The “Bomb Squad” is obviously a self-appointed nickname. The “Snooze Squad” far more appropriate.

2021-05-27T17:01:29+00:00

The Neutral View From Sweden

Roar Guru


No doubt that playing against the BILs is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for the Saffa domestic teams and they will be fired up. But so has every domestic Saffa team been since 1891. The BILs have lost ONE single game against domestic Saffa teams in the last 50 years. I will argue that with the extreme player exodus from the Republic in the last 15 years, the domestic Saffa teams are weaker than ever. And the BIL players are proven and hardened Test players, there is a clear gulf in quality compared with the Saffa domestic teams.

2021-05-27T16:48:18+00:00

The Neutral View From Sweden

Roar Guru


They did not lose, it was a draw. And Shag has been around the block long enough to know that blaming the ref is little men stuff (and he is also well aware that his team has had the rub of the green a fair few times).

AUTHOR

2021-05-27T15:07:03+00:00

The masked soup-bone

Roar Rookie


The reason why I have such respect for Steve Hanson; not a peep about ref's or anything else; just the first man seen onto the field congratulating the Lions and a blunt admission that they lost...a giant of a man whose legacy was seen in the recent trans-Tasman wake-up handed to the Wallabies.

AUTHOR

2021-05-27T14:55:48+00:00

The masked soup-bone

Roar Rookie


Hi Harry; yes....underdogs and written off indeed; just the way we like it.

AUTHOR

2021-05-27T14:52:28+00:00

The masked soup-bone

Roar Rookie


Suzy Poison indeed...

AUTHOR

2021-05-27T14:51:23+00:00

The masked soup-bone

Roar Rookie


I suspect Keo's Hobbit comment was just a flashback; brain-freeze moment of seeing himself in the mirror that morning after a late night out... :happy: :laughing:

AUTHOR

2021-05-27T14:45:13+00:00

The masked soup-bone

Roar Rookie


An interesting observation....for somebody that obviously haven't experienced the psyche of SA's rugby culture first hand. None of the selected Bok squad will front the Lions before the first test so the whole squad with all coaching personnel will be watching and analysing the Lions moves and strategy in preparation for their first encounter; a super efficient method of preparation and motivation for the coaches. The Boks will be at their most vulnerable the first 20 mins of the first test which is where Gatland will have to; and want to; strike a psychological blow to set up a possible series success. Eddie Jones knew that in '18 with England when in both the first and second tests his plans gave his troops a 20 point head start only to be hauled back in which is when I first knew Rassie is resurrecting the legendary "never-say-die" Boks ethos of old. That said; the players fronting the tourists before the first test will all be motivated to play out of their skins; it is a once in a lifetime opportunity and the stage to leave a marker for higher honors. It's going to be a brutal tour for the visitors and I suspect replacement call-ups even before the first test.

2021-05-27T13:55:56+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Cheers, NB. I see Gats as a great coach, one of the greatest, but in steep decline. I think he could still get Welsh players to perform at close to optimum. But his Chiefs stint shows me he is losing touch, and his selections here show a man out of touch. Duhan over J. May? Are you serious? And when coaches decline, I suspect they get too attached (to players, ideas, doctrines, memories, and grievances). I think Daly is one of those blind spots. But I agree: I might be wrong! I hope I'm not. If Gats beats us, then I am double wrong!

2021-05-27T13:22:48+00:00

Neil Back

Roar Rookie


Can't see any logical way Daly starts at 13. If that's the type of player Gats wants in his masterplan (we assume there is one), then Slade would be there. Daly is the hybrid bench player all day for me. Capable of covering either wing, FB and centre and with a smart enough rugby brain to change things up against an opposition 50 minutes in and getting myopic. Could be wrong. It has happened.

2021-05-27T12:41:45+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


I’m hearing about deep sea fishing junkets stationed in Namibia for Danny Care, Kyle Sinckler, and James Ryan!

2021-05-27T12:19:46+00:00

The Neutral View From Sweden

Roar Guru


They can always fly in more. Same time zone. Will it not be a hustle to fly in new players with the potential quarantine time etc? Or how is it working in the Republic at the moment?

2021-05-27T12:16:52+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Yes, but I think 11 were in a test where they beat NZ. I think. It’s an experienced side, with a sprinkling of really inexperienced players (Duhan, Jonny Hill, Sam S) who are just tackle bag carriers. They can always fly in more. Same time zone.

2021-05-27T11:37:49+00:00

Ulrich

Roar Rookie


My guess is a mostly local-based bok team to face Georgia in Test 1 and then Nienaber's desired starting XV to start test 2 against Georgia.

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