Sydney and Brisbane racing selections: Randwick and Eagle Farm tips for Saturday, May 29

By Dixie / Roar Guru

We definitely tread towards winter racing with this week’s Randwick meeting.

There’s apprentices taking weight off some good chances, top jocks away in Brisbane and a lot of midweek form. The track should be around a soft six. I’ve done my numbers that way.

I’ve done some Eagle Farm form too. There is some quality there in the Kingsford Smith and a cracking three-year-old race where one of my recent winners can do the business again.

Dixie’s 2021 tally
Outlay: 216 units
Return: 340.6 units
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet, New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.

Sydney racing selections

Race 3 – 13 Akatino (one unit)
I have the OTI horses sorting this out. The blowout for mine is Akatino down there on the minimum. Jay Ford and 52 kilos, yes please. He’s now had three goes since coming over from Germany. He carried 61 and ran okay in lower grade in a couple of them before getting an ugly run on a heavy track last time.

Sound of Cannons seems to have got his manners after developing a habit for poor starts, his last start was good at this trip and he drops to a nice weight after lugging over 60 kilos in his three starts this preparation. Avion Fury and Brown Thomas are next.

Race 4 – 11 Bright Rubick (one unit)
Bright Rubick has generally run at the big end of two-year-old and three-year-old races. She’s been beautifully placed here coming into a grade race with no weight on her back. More Prophets is the danger. She comes out of the same race and was unlucky there, but a nine-kilo swing means I’ll place my hard earned on the Rubick.

Race 5 – 2 Stolz (one unit)
Stolz has been in and around it this prep. He’s well positioned here with Louise Day’s two-kilo weight claim. La Foret is a nice type who should be better with a run under his belt to start his prep. Lennon rates okay and Nags to Riches is the horse going places having only had four starts.

Race 6 – 6 Wandabaa (two units)
Louise Day back-to-back? Wandabaa is in here perfectly at 1100 metres, three from six at the trip, three from seven on soft going and has won at HQ. While Wandabaa steps back from group level, Marway steps up after smashing them at Wagga and in midweeks. Adelong will roll along with Marway up front, which again just sets up beautifully.

Race 7 – 2 Canasta (one unit)
This is not a race I’ll be going too hard on. Canasta is worth a play fresh in this class. Running at 1300 metres tells me he’s done some work into this. Knight and St Covet’s Spirit (non-winner) rate okay. I’m happy to risk April Rain at the odds but she is going places.

Race 8 – 13 Lina’s Hero (one unit)
There was a bit of tossing and turning between two Waller runners (Ford versus Day too – torn). I am leaning towards Lina’s Hero with a bit more upside still blowing out some cobwebs since arriving from Hong Kong. True Detective was the other one in my crosshairs. He’s generally around the mark at Saturday level and is a nice horse.

Race 9 – 15 Just Field (one unit)
The lottery is last this week. I’ve gone wide and found Just Field. She’s been hopeless early in her last couple, but if she can finish off like she did at Hawkesbury in listed class, she’s right in this at any old price. In saying that, it’s a wide quaddie leg, Hulk and Belucci Babe are right in it. Jay Ford finishing a big day with Prarie Fire at 50/1-plus isn’t the worst either.

Brisbane racing tips

Race 2 – 12 Westlink (one unit)
I am going to stick with Westlink. His run at the Gold Coast was great and he was okay at Doomben a fortnight ago. The hard track is a tick. He won’t win without me.

Race 3 – 7 Exoboom (two units)
Exoboom was just amazing at Hawkesbury two starts back. At his best he dominates this. I’m keen to see Ayrton. This horse has some big wraps on him after some big Melbourne runs.

Race 9 – 3 Socialising (one unit)
I’ll take the local at big odds to bring the day home at Eagle Farm. Sweet Deal might prefer 1300 metres, Exhilirates has travelled up after a tilt in Adelaide, and Socialising is primed for a big one on her home track. The 1200 is her trip, she’s seven from 15 on hard surfaces, it’s her time and at any old price.

So there it is, what a day. I’ll be up at Eagle Farm. Please hit me up with your thoughts on the big day. Kingsford Smith? It looks a good race. I am leaning to Savatiano.

The Crowd Says:

2021-05-29T06:17:01+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


small win today

2021-05-29T06:02:24+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


jamie kah is a great rider

2021-05-29T06:02:07+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


trekking so wide all the way, unlucky.

2021-05-29T03:48:27+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


had small bet on gravina. Having good day so far.

AUTHOR

2021-05-29T03:34:54+00:00

Dixie

Roar Guru


Yeah ditto with Westlink. Broke my heart!!

2021-05-29T02:46:42+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


..ck nearly won at $16, thought I would win 200m out. what a stupid price given its form on dry tracks

2021-05-29T02:39:06+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


amish boy big odds in next

AUTHOR

2021-05-29T02:36:21+00:00

Dixie

Roar Guru


Think Victorem/Outback Barbie the blowouts

AUTHOR

2021-05-29T02:34:08+00:00

Dixie

Roar Guru


Not my sort of race really, Port Louis was backed from about 30/1 into 4/1 in the Champagne, he’s my watch.

2021-05-29T01:38:47+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


might cover bet on trekking with a couple given prices are good. But I like the three favourites on a dry track. Savitiano has all the favours, right distance and good barrier.

2021-05-29T01:36:48+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


yes, probably the last 3-4 races of Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, unless something with form catches my eye in mounting yard for early races. Good luck to all of the Roar punters.

2021-05-29T00:59:07+00:00

Simon Willis

Roar Rookie


Thought you might have something on him. I’ve had something on Victorem and a little one on trekking I do agree deserves one more chance now onto a good track

2021-05-29T00:58:05+00:00

Simon Willis

Roar Rookie


Not this week Chris I ran short on time. You going to have a few bets today?

2021-05-28T23:56:01+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


no write up this week Simon

2021-05-28T23:29:31+00:00

Chris Lewis

Roar Guru


race 8 brisbane WFA. tough race, so i am going for value with trekking given there will be a lot of pace and track is dry. Trekking is vastly better on a dry surface. Favourite savitiano will be hard to beat, but hope pace is really, really fast to take something out of her when they straighten. Gytrash is also another top horse in race.

2021-05-28T21:30:17+00:00

Simon Willis

Roar Rookie


Nice analysis Dixie, good read. Love the Bright Rubick tip huge weight swings as you’ve said and no luck at all last start so wide. I’ll be having mine on her too. I’m going for an upset in the Kingsford Smith just with the two faves being vetted through the week. I think Victorem can run a massive race from a soft draw. Excuses last two runs and before that not far off masked crusader who was carrying 5.5kg less. At 20/1 I think is a good ew play. Any thoughts the BRC sires? tough race.

AUTHOR

2021-05-28T21:15:21+00:00

Dixie

Roar Guru


Yeah fair call. I think she had a trial (blow) week of her fresh run, I saw that as a big tick into this. Straddie nommed? Anyway, Sweet Deal probably blows them away in any case...

2021-05-28T20:40:06+00:00

1DER

Guest


I'm with Socialising also with impressive run first up, and Eagle Farm suits. The one negative being that her best runs have always been after 21+ days between runs and she is second up two weeks from her first this prep. Getting out in price from her opening quote around $20 so will back her again in a couple of eachway doubles.

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