How the mid-range Mafia could win in a three-point League

By James Beale / Roar Guru

The trade deadline came and went. The veneer still shines on teams with their new toys, like the amassed collection of a ten-year-old one week after Christmas. Yet, there’s always that one toy that shines brighter than the rest. This year’s toy? Kevin Durant’s return to the Western Conference.

According to the 34-year-old, we are a couple weeks out from seeing this all-time great play for his fifth (if you include the Seattle Supersonics) franchise. Now that the Phoenix Suns are once again stacked, like their great teams of the past, what can we expect from this new mid-range Mafia?

In a league where there are few absolute truths, KD’s reputation as the greatest midrange shooter of all time is one that feels more secure than others. Perhaps saying that is sacrilegious to some, but it’s a statement that is defendable.

Let’s now add Chris Paul and Devin Booker to the mix. As far as triumvirates go, that very likely could be the greatest mid-range force the NBA has witnessed in its 76-year history. Take each player’s stats from mid-range across their last three seasons.

Can Chris Paul win some silverware at Phoenix? (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images)

Durant: 10-16ft = .552%, 16-3P = .542%
Paul: 10-16ft = .535 %, 16-3P = .508%
Booker: 10-16ft = .503%, 16-3P = .456%

You would be hard pressed to find a better shooting trio from the mid-range across the history of the NBA. The league loves the long range, though why score two when you can get three? Fair point. I offer you the playoffs and something that football coaching legend Sir Alex Ferguson coined “squeaky bum Time”. When any sport gets tense, you need to find the easiest avenues to succeed.

The mid-range is actually an easier shot than ever before. Teams will sell out to protect the three, leaving gaping holes just inside the line for premier talents to take advantage. We’ve seen this as recently as the 2021 finals, where Booker and Paul duelled Khris Middleton in a battle for mid-range mastery.

Durant morphs this dynamic duo into an irrepressible threesome and teams will find out that scheming to protect both the mid-range and three will make defending this group virtually impossible.

Coach Monty Williams’ scheme of endless off-ball pin down sets, mixed with Paul’s playmaking genius, could create basketball nirvana. There is a chance that we could be about to witness the most aesthetically pleasing style of basketball since the Warrior’s changed the league in the 2010’s.

Young Durant was required to be an all-time scorer in Oklahoma. Golden State needed a shot creator who could blend into the flow of their system. Brooklyn wanted elite isolation production. Add rim protection, perimeter defence and playmaking (yes, he’s 7-foot so I’m sure that helps a bit) and you have the ultimate Swiss army knife.

The willingness to do all these things is what differentiates Durant from the rest. His past teams varied his role and he moulded his game, unlike countless other stars to have graced the hardwood floors.

For his entire career, Devin Booker has had to be his team’s best player. No longer.

The gravity that Durant carries will completely change Booker’s offensive value. Instead of defences having to game-plan to remove Booker as a primary threat, he is now arguably the second best offensive talent on the Suns roster, despite possessing ‘go-to-guy’ abilities. Prior to his injury, Booker was having the greatest season of his career.

His PER and OBPM (Player Efficiency Rating and Offensive Box Plus Minus stats) are both at career highs. Booker has proved that he can be a number one option on a title team and Durant’s addition is going to unleash the champion shooting guard with more open looks than he’s ever received.

Ultimately, adding a 15-year veteran and hall of famer to a group overseen by Monty Williams and ‘The Point God’ Chris Paul, you are going to have an exceptional level of basketball IQ. Their line-up flexibility, with the additions of TJ Warren and Terrence Ross, will aid Durant’s greatest skill: adaptability.

There is no doubt that this is the Sun’s best chance at attaining their first title. It’s currently hard to look past Denver making it out of the West, but I’ll leave you with this. Good luck getting rid of this Suns in a best of 7 series.

The Crowd Says:

2023-02-20T23:29:28+00:00

Brett Allen

Roar Rookie


Phoenix was the best landing spot for KD. For one, he doesn’t have to police the locker room, he’s simply not cut out for that role, he can let CP3 do that. He can just do what he did at the Warriors, get his 27/8/5 a night at ruthless efficiency, and if Monty can get him to lock in defensively they’ll be hard to stop, assuming CP3 can stay healthy. That’s a big if. Will be interesting how this affects Ayton’s touches & shots, and his attitude if they both go down.

AUTHOR

2023-02-20T21:22:07+00:00

James Beale

Roar Guru


I think in regards to depth they gave up Bridges who has been great and an iron man in regards to how often he is available, as well as cam Johnson who just came back from injury and a player who hadn’t touched the floor for them all season. In return getting a top 15 player all time, so I’m not too worried about the depth. They’ll get the rotation down to 8-9 guys come playoff time. I’m with you on the CP3 comment, it’s been worrying but at the end of the day he’s so experienced and savvy that he’s only going to help the team rather than hurt it. If anyone can slot into a team in around 20 odd games it’s KD, the man is a savonte and as I said in the article, he’ll adapt to whatever the team needs. Again you’re right about the West being fairly open this year. Who knows how CP3 looks next year, do they replace him and if so who with? I think this could be their best shot at a title, but that’s said in the moment without knowing what the future has in store I suppose.

2023-02-20T11:37:02+00:00

Bell31

Roar Rookie


Nice article - my worry about the Suns is their depth come play-off time - I'm not fully across their roster, but they gave up a fair bit to get KD (you just have to look at how Bridges is playing for the nets over a few games) and also, CP3's game has been off-kilter this year --- also, although KD is sublime, 20 games isn't much to gel as a team --- I think they might be better placed next year than this year to make a deep run, although the counter is that there is no stand-out team in the West this year.

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