Debunking the Ben Stokes myth

By Dennis Freedman / Roar Guru

Nations have always had joy in claiming things from New Zealand as their own. Whether it be melodic Crowded House, the fiery Russell Crowe or Phar Lap, Australia have been very good at it.

The English have now discovered this treasure chest of jewels and have claimed a plucky, pimply kid in Ben Stokes as their next Ian Botham.

All this stems from the putrid level of cricket that was put on display by the Poms during the latest Ashes series. This perfect example of how to stink up a major sporting event allowed the young Stokes to make his debut in Adelaide.

Four Tests later and we have the next Ian Botham.

Ian Botham? Yep, they claim he is the next Ian Botham.

Never one to back away from the truth, I have turned to my old friend the stats book to see if the hype matches the reality.

What the stats book shows is that in the eight innings he batted, Stokes made only one century and averaged a rather Richie Benaud like 22 in the other seven innings.

Let’s compare that to Australia’s worst performed batsman on the tour, George Bailey, who also came in at number six.

Our George finished the series with a shared batting world record with Brian Lara and an average of 26.

All in all, I reckon they are much the same.

Remember when Usman Khawaja made 37 in his first innings and all of Australia drooled like they’d just seen naked pics of Angelina Jolie and/or Brad Pitt?

Well he averaged 33 in his first eight Test innings and no one rates him as the next Botham.

“But Stokes bowls!” I hear you cry from Manchester or Christchurch.

Sure, he took a 6-99, but given he and Broad were the only two fit bowlers in Sydney, he was bound to bowl enough overs to get some wickets.

He ended up with an Anderson like average of 32 but an Imran Tahir like economy rate of 4.21.

And he has red hair.

For comparison, Australia’s most loved cricket personality, Shane Watson, has a better bowling average and we don’t call him the next Ian Botham. We just call him something that rhymes with banker.

So there you have it. Ben Stokes is overrated. Not quite James Anderson overrated, but well on his way.

But don’t lose hope New Zenglish supporters. There is always Scott Borthwick as a back-up.

The Crowd Says:

2014-01-13T01:46:17+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


As I said you are ignorant of cricket history. In Botham we're talking about a player who set loads of records as an all-rounder over many years, not someone who has had one good over. You made the quote: “To be fair, if it wasn’t for the 1981 Ashes, Ian Botham wouldn’t be remembered for much other than hanging around longer than he should have…” That is clearly wrong.

AUTHOR

2014-01-10T09:07:48+00:00

Dennis Freedman

Roar Guru


So? George Bailey shares a Test batting record with Brian Lara

2014-01-10T02:24:47+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


DF - your ignorance is well and truly out in the breeze here mate. Your statistical analysis is ordinary but your knowledge of cricket history is laughable. "To be fair, if it wasn’t for the 1981 Ashes, Ian Botham wouldn’t be remembered for much other than hanging around longer than he should have…" You are aware that Ian Botham was for a time the leading wicket taker in the history of test cricket? Botham held (and maybe still does hold) the record as being the quickest to the test doubles of 100 wickets / 1,000 runs, 200 / 2,000 and 300 / 3,000 in terms of age and number of tests. He scored a 100 and took 5 wickets in an innings on five occasions. No one else has done this more than twice. He was also the first player to score a century and take 10 wickets in a match.

2014-01-10T02:01:56+00:00

Bayman

Guest


....The Gregster.....four Test hundreds (as many as Watson, or Burge, or McCosker and more than Hughes, Smith, Benaud, Sheahan, Ryder, Barnes, Hilditch, Symonds, Edwards et al) and a Test batting average of 41.08. I bet George Bailey would like some of that. In fact, Greg Mathews has scored more Test hundreds than 378 of Australia's 436 Test cricketers.....and only 47 have scored more Test Hundreds - since 1877.

AUTHOR

2014-01-10T00:48:29+00:00

Dennis Freedman

Roar Guru


Chris, why can't we use standard deviation mathematic theory on cricket stats? Call it "Cricket Ball"

2014-01-10T00:27:10+00:00

Chris Kettlewell

Roar Guru


Apparently he was the first Englishman to score a century and take 6 wickets in an innings in his first four tests since Ian Botham. So that may have brought up some comparisons. And lets face it, Botham will be the comparison point for any pace bowling allrounder that England produce ever.

2014-01-10T00:25:17+00:00

Chris Kettlewell

Roar Guru


That is just ridiculous. Removing the century and saying that without it his average would be pretty bad. Let's remove Warners two centuries and not out 80-something because they are outlying events. Oh, his series looks pretty bad now. Let's remove Clarke's two hundreds or Smith's two hundreds. Also pretty bad? The stats are the stats. In fact, that one hundred should carry more significance when you factor in that it was the only century scored by any of England's players in the entire series! I thought it was interesting how they were saying he was the first Englishman to score a century and take 6 wickets in his first four tests since Ian Botham. The last player to do that for Australia was, of course, that great allrounder Michael Clarke with a century on debut and 6/9. Obviously you also get "early in the career" type records and things where names are mentioned and your response is "who?" because they probably only played a few matches and were never heard of again. It's not how a players first series goes but how they develop over a long period of time that they'll be remembered for. But while Stokes also got out cheaply with the bat sometimes (like every other batsman in the series did) he looked harder to get out in most cases than just about all the other English batsmen and having not played the first match was second top scorer at the best average. At the same time, I doubt Australia had plans for him like they had for all the other batsmen. That's one thing that often helps young batsmen have a good first few matches. So calling him the next anything is pretty tough on him. Just let him be who his is and he may well be a very good test cricketer for England yet.

2014-01-09T13:58:44+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


An article without conviction.stokes looks really good with the bat and 'can' become a quality test seamer when he improves his length which he'll probably do.

2014-01-09T13:16:25+00:00

Rich Wilkinson

Guest


"The point of the article was to highlight that the hype was ridiculous" The only hype comparing Stokes to Botham is in this article. In humour I thought that you had created the hype then went on to say its ridiculous. There really arent any Botham comparisons here in the UK (you said yourself you didnt really know where it had been written)- not by anyone that any half intelligent cricket fan subscribes to. Is this article comedy (in which case i found it pretty funny) or for real???? If its for real then its fair to say that there is better analysis out there...

AUTHOR

2014-01-09T12:09:18+00:00

Dennis Freedman

Roar Guru


Tim, The point of the article was to highlight that the hype was ridiculous. I'm sure Stokes will be an OK cricketer. To be fair, if it wasn't for the 1981 Ashes, Ian Botham wouldn't be remembered for much other than hanging around longer than he should have...like Sachin

2014-01-09T11:48:02+00:00

Tim Wray

Roar Rookie


Sure, his statistics were nothing special and performances probably don't warrant the Botham comparisons this early in his career, but if you consider them in the context of how abysmally England played during the Ashes and on the other hand, how amazingly well Australia did, it's easy to see that he is a bright young prospect for English cricket. I say this because I think that Ben Stokes showed enough on this tour, on an embattled and defeated team that he has the heart, skill and ability to play test cricket as a high quality all-rounder, maybe not as good as Sir Ian, but good enough to hold down a spot in the side for a long time to come.

AUTHOR

2014-01-09T10:39:03+00:00

Dennis Freedman

Roar Guru


I don't even know who reported he was the next Botham, but I assume someone did. Probably The Mirror

2014-01-09T08:34:51+00:00

Spooky

Guest


I think we need to see him bat after a big night out before we make comparisons to Sir Ian.

2014-01-09T08:31:58+00:00

Nik

Guest


Sooooo.... if we're claiming a batsmen's best innings is an "outlying event", then wouldn't it make sense to do the same for Bailey? Which would take is average down to <19. In the interest of rubbing out "outlying events", let's also extract Jorge's Not Out, which would take his average down to circa 15.

2014-01-09T07:23:52+00:00

Rich Wilkinson

Guest


Erm, sorry to stop the ribbing fun but there is not the level of hype claimed about Ben Stokes here in the UK. Everyone knows that Ian Botham hunted then ate raw kangaroo steak for Breakfast washed down with a fine red Beaujolais before demolishing the Aussies. Stokes has been fed on lightly grilled lentils and tofu washed down with the milk from a virgin goat every morning

2014-01-09T06:03:22+00:00

SammyH

Guest


Can't we at least let the bloke start his Test career before we begin picking it apart?! He's played four games & showed his team of seasoned pros how to go about it. The kid's 22 years old. He's made a good start. End of.

AUTHOR

2014-01-09T02:44:50+00:00

Dennis Freedman

Roar Guru


That's my point Barry I am challenging and re filtering how we look at stats We already do it by other factors eg home v away, which country it was against, etc Removing outlying events provides for some interesting reading. Eg Marcus North made 5 tons in 21 matches. Sounds great. But remove the tons and he only made double figures 50% of the innings remaining. Is that as valuable as a guy who averages 35 like North, but makes between 25 and 45 every innings?

2014-01-09T02:09:39+00:00

Troy

Guest


Quite correct. Stokes had an OK series that looked great compared to the awful series his compatriots had. Still, he's only young, so that's promising for England.

2014-01-09T01:50:16+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


"Stokes made only one century and averaged a rather Richie Benaud like 22 in the other seven innings." A batting average is a batting average. You can't take someone's hundreds out and then re-calculate the remainder. What does Michael Clarke average when you take out all his 100s? Ponting? Bradman? For the record I liked HOW stokes played but agree that it's a little over hyped at the moment. His 6-99 was off less than 20 overs and 3 wickets were tailenders going the tonk. His 100 was pretty brave in the circumstances as was his 40-odd in Sydney but some of his other performances were pretty ordinary.

AUTHOR

2014-01-09T01:08:30+00:00

Dennis Freedman

Roar Guru


Interesting call Corey averages 37 with the bat and 19 with the ball at Test level Also has a Test century and half the Economy Rate of Stokes Interesting call

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