Super Rugby Expert tips: Round 3

By Brett McKay / Expert

Well then, an up and down start to Super Rugby tipping for this season, which I suspect is something we’re all going to need to get used to.

The previously friendless Lions were the party-poopers again last week, comfortably accounting for the Stormers and seven tipsters in this forum. The Highlanders and Chiefs brought more than a few people undone, too.

Paddy and Elisha have the honour this week, jagging six from a possible eight points. Biltong followed with five, Spiro, Scott and myself managed four points, and the tipster I last week described as an “extraordinaire” was 0/4 by last Sunday, and finished with three in the end.

Here are the tips for Super Rugby Round 3…

Paddy Effeney

Tips: Crusaders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Chiefs, Reds, Brumbies, Bulls.

Explain yourself: I love the sound of “sixth in The Roar’s tipping competition” in the morning. Long may it continue!

The Crusaders are obviously a good side, as they showed in a cracker against the Chiefs on Friday afternoon, so both of these teams get the nod from me. The Cheetahs will stamp the Rebels, though I’d love to be wrong here. Surely, the Stormers have to bounce back from a heavy loss to the Lions last week, while the men from Jo-berg will experience their first fall of the season against the Bulls.

Waratahs versus Reds has given me an aneurism, but I’m sticking with my heart. If they can beat the Brums at home, they can do it to the Tahs as well. Speaking of the Brums, they will hand the Force back-to-back losses.

I must say I’m thoroughly looking forward to looking down from the top of that tipping ladder at the end of the weekend.

The Chiefs are good enough for me to bank on them with a powerplay as well.

Elisha Pearce

Tips: Crusaders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Chiefs, Waratahs, Brumbies, Lions.

Explain yourself: The Crusaders won’t miss that many kicks again, because Todd Blackadder would probably go full Francis Underwood and have agents appear at the kickers’ houses.

The Cheetahs haven’t looked good yet and will inevitably lose on the road… next week against the Reds; they’ll sneak home against the Rebels. I know the Stormers are a step back this year, but they aren’t a “lose at home to a Hurricanes team that doesn’t play its most promising youngster”-sized step back yet.

I’m going with the Chiefs in what will be an entertaining match-up. Two sides that can move the ball. I’ll stick with my Waratahs this week. Sick ‘em Jacques. Then the Brumbies get to annihilate the Force slightly less than the Waratahs did, leading to many reactionary pieces (maybe from me) that the Tahs have passed the Brums.

And finally, the Lions in an upset against the Bulls even though I don’t think that’s an upset anymore.

The Crusaders get my power pick out of reverence to Mr Underwood, too.

Biltongbek

Tips: Crusaders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Chiefs, Waratahs, Brumbies, Bulls.

Explain yourself: Blues have individual talent, but even though the Crusaders lost against the Chiefs, their forward pack will win this for them.

It’s the first game up for the Rebels, and the Cheetahs will want to win this one to get off to a good start, and there is always the Willie le Roux magic. Head to head, the Canes lag behind the Stormers; in the past six years they have beaten the Stormers only once at home.

Highlanders looked good last weekend, but the Chiefs’ defence against the Crusaders were great, and the Chiefs have a much better pack than the Blues. Reds have won the last five matches against the Tahs, but this is Folau’s team, and they are at home. Brumbies ran out of ideas against the Reds, but the Force aren’t there yet.

And surely the Lions can’t make it three in a row? Can they?

Tough round to pick a powerplay, but the Chiefs likely the safest bet. I think.

Spiro Zavos

Tips: Crusaders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Chiefs, Waratahs, Brumbies, Bulls.

Explain yourself: Last weekend was difficult to pick because we did not have any real form, outside of the South African sides, to work on.

My picks are based on the form and results of last week. This does not provide for the improvement that some teams (the Hurricanes and Brumbies?) could reveal with a game in the system.

I was doubtful on this count about counting out all the teams, except for the Force, so I exercised my powerplay against them.

Scott Allen

Tips: Crusaders, Rebels, Stormers, Chiefs, Reds, Brumbies, Bulls.

Explain yourself: I’ve gone for the Crusaders again this week as they played well last week (apart from goal kicking). I think the Rebels can get a win over the Cheetahs and that the Stormers will bounce back.

The Chiefs should win comfortably as should the Brumbies. Can the Bulls get their season up and running against the Lions? I think so.

Which leaves the Waratahs against the Reds – it’s going to be a great match but I was impressed by how the Reds survived that second half onslaught from the Brumbies, so I’ve tipped them.

My powerplay was a choice between the Chiefs or the Brumbies. The Highlanders were pretty good last week whereas the Force were dreadful, so I’ve gone with the Brumbies.

Brett McKay

Tips: Crusaders, Rebels, Stormers, Chiefs, Waratahs, Brumbies, Lions.

Explain yourself: I’ve gone for the Crusaders again, mainly because I’ve gone colder on the Blues than a Canberra Stadium media box pie. I sense a Rebels upset, and now that I’ve said this to Gordon Bray, I’m kind of committed.

The Stormers were average last week, but like the Brumbies, I can’t see them playing two bad games in a row. I liked the Highlanders last week, but the Chiefs turned in pretty much the performance of the week, and can’t be ignored. And how can you not pick the Lions currently?

This just leaves the Tahs-Reds. The Reds defence was excellent last week, as was the Waratahs attack. A real hard one, in which the coin has come down for NSW, after spinning on its edge for a good while.

I’m backing the Brumbies to atone, and they get the powerplay, as well.

Tristan Rayner

Tips: Crusaders, Cheetahs, Hurricanes, Chiefs, Waratahs, Brumbies, Lions.

Explain yourself: Place egg on face from previous round and chef it up to create a stir-fry for success!

This round, we’re all hoping for away wins, more or less. But I’ve stuck with my faith in Cheika. The ones that don’t feel right are the Lions over the Bulls, and Hurricanes (and their four All Black backline?) over the Stormers.

Also, a question for Brett – do our tips influence yours? Is anything sacred?

[Brett’s note – as a rule, I’m going to pick as many opposite to you as possible, Tristo… 😉 ]

The summary

Round 3 Scott Allen Biltongbek Patrick Effeney Brett McKay Elisha Pearce Tristan Rayner Spiro Zavos
Overall 5 6 7 5 7 4 6
Last week 4 5 6 4 6 3 4
BLU v CRU Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders
REB v CHE Rebels Cheetahs Cheetahs Rebels Cheetahs Cheetahs Cheetahs
STO v HUR Stormers Stormers Stormers Stormers Stormers Hurricanes Stormers
CHI v HIG Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
WAR v RED Reds Waratahs Reds Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs
FOR v BRU Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies
BUL v LIO Bulls Bulls Bulls Lions Lions Lions Bulls
POWERPLAY Brumbies Chiefs Chiefs Brumbies Crusaders Chiefs Brumbies
Sharks BYE

The Crowd Says:

2014-03-01T18:05:20+00:00


:D My luck turned around, first two nada, zero, zip, and then a perfect run there after. ;)

2014-03-01T02:55:10+00:00

Tristan Rayner

Editor


Bring on the sledges I say!

AUTHOR

2014-03-01T01:34:31+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Fair to say I dis-concur, mate... I thought you said you were good at this tipping business? ;-)

AUTHOR

2014-03-01T01:33:24+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Oh but it can, Biltong. You could be in Tristan's situation... :P

2014-02-28T22:52:36+00:00

Tristan Rayner

Editor


Mate the Stormers robbed me.

2014-02-28T21:56:12+00:00

Digby

Roar Guru


Can't believe no one thought this was funny. Back to the drawing board then. ;)

2014-02-28T21:38:39+00:00

firstxv

Guest


there was easily enough there from last week and last year to suggest a blues win. Eden park, a spirited fightback last week, a demolition same game this time last year. and none picked it....hmmmm.

2014-02-28T15:32:29+00:00

strupper2003

Guest


Haha, none of our experts picked the Blues. Hahahahahaha. Lets see if the Force can beat the Brumbies.

2014-02-28T13:13:10+00:00


I suspect I must give this tipping up for a bad job, hell, it can't go any worse.

2014-02-28T12:16:04+00:00

Billy Bob

Guest


Brett and Scott were the only ones to pick the Rebels.mmmmm

2014-02-28T11:34:05+00:00

jameswm

Guest


McKay and Allen 1 from 2 so far. Everyone else 0 from 2.

2014-02-28T11:12:32+00:00

ToboCop

Guest


Great to see Aussie conferences performing this year (so far) Hopefully peaking just in time for 2015 -- Comment from The Roar's iPhone app.

AUTHOR

2014-02-28T08:36:27+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


My tipping does tend to have that effect...

2014-02-28T08:34:41+00:00

Tane Mahuta

Guest


I think the Blues used your picks as inspiration.

AUTHOR

2014-02-28T08:26:08+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Blues 32 Crusaders 24 :shock: So this week hasn't started well....

2014-02-28T08:24:13+00:00

Tane Mahuta

Guest


There is no anti-Reds bias. Its all in your head. Im serious.

2014-02-28T06:37:55+00:00

Tane Mahuta

Guest


How can the Tahs win? By scoring more points Pet-duhhh K. Please dont slander me. I never said Folau was too slow. I never said he couldnt "chime in". I never said Folau was just OK. Peter you are a LIAR. A blatent, childish LIAR. I also never said there were "many" players ahead of him. I said he wasnt the best fullback in the world and le Roux, Halfpenny, Brown and Dagg were ahead of him. I would also argue Kearney is a better fullback but I did say he was a potent attacking weapon. Yes I think Folau should play wing and an international coach agreed. No coaches agree with Beale on the wing mate so pull your head in.

2014-02-28T05:33:16+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


If it is wet just bring Crawford on for Betham. Betham struggles to catch in dry weather let alone wet and Crawf brings with him a kicking game. Fairly easy sub to make.

2014-02-28T05:32:24+00:00

Combesy

Roar Guru


i think messa stopped reading his articles and starting become cynical

2014-02-28T05:30:35+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


Holmes does seem to have a bit of an instinct for kicking - couple that with a coach in Foley and I see your point! I think he is capable of opening it up a bit more - just don't think he has been pushed to under his current coach nor would he have been under White.

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