What we have learned so far in the Rugby Championship

By Two Eyed Cyclop / Roar Guru

It is probably a good time to produce a first term report card on the start of the RC and have a look at how the teams are travelling.

After the washout in week one, the second round was played in near perfect conditions, so here we go.

Australia
The roller coaster ride continues. Firstly, I hear injury used as an excuse too often. Fact of life is that in this brutal sport no team is ever at full strength, ever. In the last game the All Blacks were missing several top players.

There is a need to develop the structures and depth to deal with it. The NRC is assuming massive importance.

Secondly there always seems to be an Australian saviour just round the corner. But until the Wallabies offer threats across the park, the effect of these players will be minimal, as they can be targeted and isolated too easily. Israel Folau and occasionally Hooper, two world-class Wallabies, are beginning to cop an increasing amount of criticism from a small but increasing section of fans, unfairly in my opinion.

They are too easily targeted by a top team like the All Blacks.

Finally it is becoming abundantly clear that Link is beginning to hit the same brick wall that the much maligned Robbie Deans was facing. Not enough quality depth, having to play people out of position and most critically the lack of a core of hardened and abrasive forwards to take it to the other team.

The hue and cry to bring this or that person in is only re-cycling the same stock (Scott Higginbotham, James Horwill and so on).

Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn’t. Until real depth is developed in the forwards (not a short term solution) the WBs will be competitive in patches but not consistently.

New Zealand
It appears that all the talk about their imminent decline has been put to bed. Their last performance was sublime and in that mood they are unbeatable. But, and there is always a but, these performances have been interspaced with some average and at times mediocre performances.

They have been good enough to scrape wins when they played badly in achieving 17 consecutive triumphs, but at some point somebody will punish them.

England did in 2012. In a knock-out competition like the World Cup, it could prove disastrous again for the All Blacks.

So although they are probably happy with the way they are tracking, their inconsistency must be giving them some cause for concern. It at least keeps the rest of the pack interested and hopeful that they can catch them on an off day. The Wallabies almost did in Sydney as well as England earlier this year.

South Africa
I must admit the Boks are really confusing me. I feel they have regressed since last year, when they looked the real deal and really challenged the All Blacks. They were robbed of the chance to compete in the first encounter and run the All Blacks close in the Ellis Park classic, where but for the fact that they caught the All Blacks in one of their sublime moods, they would have won.

On that day the Boks would have comfortably beaten any other side in the world.

But that fluent mixture of power and pace seems to have disappeared from their game this year and they seem to be reverting to type again, trying to steamroll everything in front of them and looking lost when it is not happening.

This is a shame really because the playing stock is and has always been there. It is possible that it is simply a loss of form and confidence that tends to be cyclical, but they just don’t look right at the moment.

Having said all this it is possible that I am not giving enough credit to Argentina for the way they played the Boks in their two encounters, something that you don’t see very often. My gut feeling is that the Boks are off-colour and they will gel at some point soon. I always felt they might take a game off the All Blacks this year, and I haven’t discounted that notion yet.

Argentina
Well they have certainly put to bed the notion that they don’t belong in this competition, I love having them. Considering the logistical difficulties they face in putting a team on the park, the travelling and their internal politics they have astounded me this year.

How often do you see a Bok pack being dominated? But they weren’t just dominated, they were dismantled.

My glee at watching it was only tempered by the fact that the All Blacks and especially the Wallabies have to face them still, and it could turn very, very ugly. Also in the last Test their willingness to attack and run the ball made for compelling viewing.

I feel the only thing that saved the Boks is the fact that the Pumas conditioning is not quite there yet for an 80-minute performance.

I feel it in my bones that they are building up for their maiden win this year and any of the Australasian partners that doesn’t take them seriously will pay the price.

There you have it let’s see how it goes from here onwards.

Next two rounds? I expect the All Blacks to beat Argentina and the Boks at home and the Wallabies to sneak wins against them as well.

Last two rounds? I expect the Boks to win both and the Pumas to take at least one. Which one? You tell me.

The Crowd Says:

2014-08-27T08:41:48+00:00

StrYdeRZA

Guest


Not only that, but we'll have all the excitement of Armand changing his name to Julia!!

2014-08-26T09:16:54+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


ARG has 7-8 really good players And a decent XV that belies their #12 ranking (That rank bc they play their A team in June) Problem is they don't have strong bench Or a squad of tested players to pull from Still, they could make NZ work hard

2014-08-26T09:01:53+00:00

James

Guest


Somer also makes a great point with his last line "As rugby becomes increasingly global with the exchange of ideas and talent, it just isn’t possible for one team to smash every other team all of the time."

2014-08-26T09:00:46+00:00


I will buy you a bottle of cheap whiskey if that is the case ;)

2014-08-26T08:53:55+00:00

James

Guest


I think what Wal was suggesting, is that sometimes teams can only perform as well as they're allowed to & there's no doubt that every single tier 1 nation loves having a crack at the AB's. That chance for a win over the mighty AB's, a place in history, even if it's a test with nothing on it but national pride. I mean look at the French, they seem uninterested unless they're playing the AB's or England, Australia only want the Bledisloe, the Springboks & AB's have a historical rivalry of epic proportions, England always obsess over smashing the AB's "aura". & then there's Ireland, Scotland, & Argentina looking for their first ever victory & a place in history that will last a century, Wales are looking to break a 60 year drought & the next Welsh team to beat the AB's will no doubt be celebrated in Welsh history. Italy are probably note quite in that bracket yet, as they're still yet to acheive success over any of the 3 SANZAR sides. I mean look at all the documentaries on youtube (& I mean serious, full length documentaries) about clubs sides that beat the AB's in the amateur days, those victories are still celebrated to this day. All teams desperately gun for that AB's scalp, unless they feel the personnel gap is to wide to be bridged, eg Some Scottish, Italian, & Pacific Islands sides in recent history have given in before the test started. But in general, teams come at the AB's with an extra arm & leg every time they play them.

AUTHOR

2014-08-26T08:53:15+00:00

Two Eyed Cyclop

Roar Guru


Thy just have to win one this year, more likely the WBs. If they don't, I agree it is becoming a massive mental block. I was convinced they were going to do it last year but to my amazement the WBs destroyed them over there.

AUTHOR

2014-08-26T08:50:15+00:00

Two Eyed Cyclop

Roar Guru


That is the 64 million dollar one and my main concern for them, they tend to gravitate from the sublime to the mediocre at times, and somebody will make them pay at some stage like England in 2012. I don't mind that as long as it is not in England next year. And that Argentinian scrum is truly scary, unless the Boks have completely gone off the boil. It will be very interesting to watch the scrums in the next game.

AUTHOR

2014-08-26T08:44:55+00:00

Two Eyed Cyclop

Roar Guru


I think he is confused as me Bruticus, certainly doesn't seem to have settled on a lot of long term combinations. Thrushing around for the best fit would be my best description.

2014-08-26T06:34:24+00:00

woodart

Guest


you are correct, The All Blacks , have for about a hundred years, thought of the springboks as the old enemy, and nothing will change that.

2014-08-26T06:07:59+00:00

nickoldschool

Roar Guru


Nice one TEC. Imo the argies still have the same 'mental blockage' most NH teams still have when they play the big 3 ( I think England is over it though, just). They know everyone expect them to lose and to some extent, I think they tacitly accept their fate before even playing the match. If the Pumas had played against the same 23 saffas wearing a Welsh, French or Scottish jersey they would have won this game imo. The day they start believing in themselves, they will start winning games against SA and Oz.

2014-08-26T05:25:28+00:00

Old Bugger

Guest


TEC Great read and summation mate. The interesting issue for me is can the AB's lift again for the Puma game....mmmm!! They are renowned for being incredibly inconsistent after a sub-lime game where they struggle to lift their intensity again in the next game - and of course vice versa from a tough old day in the office to playing a blinder. I just think Cron will be working some OT with the scrum before the next couple of games.

2014-08-26T04:28:00+00:00

Bruticus

Roar Pro


With all the talk surrounding McKenzie's selections, what do you think about Meyer's selections so far Two Eye?

2014-08-26T04:25:37+00:00

Ken Stewart

Guest


South Africa will beat the wallabies twice and the All Blacks once. SA to win the RC and I am a staunch ABs supporter.

AUTHOR

2014-08-26T01:50:44+00:00

Two Eyed Cyclop

Roar Guru


True OJ, but the reason I fancy the WBs to sneak it is that really they have nowhere else to go. If they lose the RC as well the Bledislow is gone in reality, and they must be hurting. Also the pressure to beat one of the other big two must be enormous,

AUTHOR

2014-08-26T01:44:12+00:00

Two Eyed Cyclop

Roar Guru


I am talking more performances as opposed to results Somer. I am in awe of their record and they have consistently won, but have had a few close shaves. Credit to them again that in most cases they manage to rescue matches they could have lost. But it is a slight worry for the WC next year, it only takes one bad performance and somebody else to be really on the ball and its curtains. That is why I won't be unduly concerned if they drop one or two this year, to get it out of their system so to speak.

2014-08-26T01:15:34+00:00

ohtani's jacket

Guest


I'm expecting the All Blacks to struggle against Argentina in the next test as they've done at home for the past three years (dating back to the World Cup.) There will be a natural comedown from last weekend's test and I doubt we'll be quite as physical. If Australia can get up and beat South Africa then you might as well engrave New Zealand's name on the trophy. That will be an interesting game though history suggests there's a propensity for it to be ugly.

2014-08-26T01:09:24+00:00

Wal

Roar Guru


Agreed Somer No team throughout history has ever played well in every test (despite some rose tinted glasses) The 87 team perhaps came the closest even then some close win and a draw. It also discounts the oppostion in the recent matches where the AB's looked vunerable Ireland played a blinder for 60 minutes England played 2 halves of domiante rugby.

2014-08-26T01:00:40+00:00

Wal

Roar Guru


I am afraid we might see the poor Wallabies cop and second week of angry forwards looking to make amends for poor performances from previous weeks. A big one coming from the Bok tight 5.

2014-08-26T00:04:03+00:00

somer

Guest


Nice article TEC, a good summation of where everyone's at. One criticism I have though is the comment about AB consistency. Given their fantastic record since the WC I would argue they are incredibly consistent, astonishingly so. There's only a few eras that can compete with this one and they were back in the day before professionalism, when there were fewer nations taking rugby seriously, fewer internationals played and without the exhaustive analysis and preparation that occurs today. As rugby becomes increasingly global with the exchange of ideas and talent, it just isn't possible for one team to smash every other team all of the time.

AUTHOR

2014-08-25T23:26:46+00:00

Two Eyed Cyclop

Roar Guru


Tracking the same way as last year, almost.

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