When you live and drive in a country like Malaysia, you can do one of two things.
You can play by the official rules and get backlogged in a stockpile of vehicles in front of you.
The other way is to ‘go native’. The same can be said for Michael Cheika’s Wallabies against Ireland.
If you can’t beat them join them
The best way to make progress is not to overtake the car in front of you, but to adopt creative ways to beat those further afield.
By intelligently beating the team that beat the All Blacks, Ireland has snuggled themselves into the ‘Big Three’. They now have an opportunity to drive a stake through the heart of Cheik-ball and the Wallabies, before having another crack at the All Blacks.
Has Ireland Cheik-mated the Wallabies?
Cheik-ball, when implemented well, is one of the most exciting things in world rugby. Every collision is brutal. Every cleanout is drama. Every incursion by the backs is thrilling.
It works like a giant wrecking ball. It is heavy. It is dangerous. It needs precise control from the pivot. It cannot have any weak links in the chain. The pivots must be pin-point and clinical.
But the Wallaby pack is not heavy, with a diminutive backrow and an average tight-five. As a result, the Wallabies possess a ‘ball-and-chain’ of the prison variety instead of the intended wrecker.
Joe Schmidt must be licking his chops. He will look to adopt the Cheik-ball killer set by France – rush defence. Exploit set piece weakness. Spoil the recycle. Counter attack quickly before the Wallabies re-align. Add a few more surprises. Not hard.
Vacancy position: second fly-half
Michael Cheika is no mug. He knows he needs attack variety. The real Cheik-ball requires two fly-halves. One needs to play flat, working with his scrumhalf to get the team on the front foot. The other needs to play deep to read the game, exploit weaknesses and vary the attack.
The current Wallabies team is missing the second fly-half. This allowed Le Bleus to rush and nullify the wrecking ball. This is why last weekend, the Wallabies had majority of possession and territory and lost the game. The French shoved Australia into a corner, until Quade Cooper arrived and started playing a pivot role – from the wing.
Without a dynamic playmaker, the Wallabies are going into a knife fight without the knife. Cheika needs someone who knows what he wants, and can create the attacking variety. There is only one person who fits this bill – Kurtley Beale. Quade Cooper will probably be able to fit in quite quickly also.
Prioritise defence over scrums against Ireland
Last week, the Wallabies looked as tired as the side that lost against Argentina in Mendoza. Before Argentina, the Wallabies were worn out by an energy sapping saga in Johannesburg, followed by a very different ‘saga’ altogether on the infamous flight to Argentina.
Last week, the tiredness seemed to stem from overtraining, covering areas such as attack, scrum, defence etc.
Cheika cannot overtrain. Fortunately for him, due to injury, the Emerald scrum is weaker. This allows the Wallabies to focus on defence against a varied Irish attack. The Irish attack pattern shares some similarity to the Queensland Reds, using forwards to create momentum, allowing their halves to then create havoc.
The Wallabies defence should work on two things. Firstly, they should expect the unexpected, which means the backs and backrow should nullify tactical kicks and set-piece moves. Secondly, the defensive line should target to disrupt the Irish halves. Last but not least, counter attacks – re-alignment and scrambling.
There is a lot of work to do. So, given limited time, manpower and energy, this should take priority over everything else.
Plucking the four leaf clover – with locks
In this situation, the best way to keep the scrum competitive is not training, it’s selection. The Wallabies and Australia will be well served to pick locks who can scrum successfully at international level.
Another uncharacteristic selection is breakaway, in particular blindside flanker. In this position Michael Hooper, Sean McMahon and Matt Hodgson are too light. This runs contrary to NSW’s championship-winning three-lock model. It is also the same model used by Ewen McKenzie’s Wallabies.
Stopping the Green Machine
Michael Cheika has rung the bell of change. We may see the three-lock solution back in action, to swing the wrecking ball with more force.
But McKenzie’s Wallabies showed the way to defeat the Irish last year by using Cheik-ball: a three-lock approach, a solid five-eighth (Matt Toomua) to take the ball up, and a playmaker (Cooper) in the pocket.
The bookies’ odds are for a famous Irish win. But Cheika has the tools in his possession to ‘upset the upset’ and return Australian back to the ‘Big Three’.
RobC
Roar Guru
Thanks Jez. HA. Not sure. Horrible article? Huge aloha?
jeznez
Roar Guru
Why did the editors give you a "HA" tag? Good article.
Squirrel
Guest
I think Hoiles would be a better option than Schatz. I don't get how all the qld forwards are being rewarded after their s15 performance. Their pack was terrible
RobC
Roar Guru
Attending by 5yo girl's dance performance at 10am. Otherwise would join the fun. Enjoy tomorrow
hoqni
Guest
KL at the Roar! Woohoo. Go the Wallabies
Magic Sponge
Guest
Just imagine we had Pots the wallabies would be a totally different side. Mongrel and front forward ball. AGREE SportyM Lets give Pots citizenship as quick as we get overseas Olympic wrestlers citizenship. Is there a forward in Australia playing club rugby like Pots. There has to be one. Where is the mongrel the nasty no nonsense Cockbain type player. Our pack are like schoolboys against the French Abs and England. Our toughest forwards are Hooper and Faainga but they are our smallest forwards and do get punished. This is why Cheika is perservering and hoping on Skelton. Again Beale does offer speed and hope (though I don't rate him at all). It is time to try as Cheika has to be a magician to get the wallabies consistently winning with a pack with no mongrel. It has come down to hope we become polished in time. There are no more alternatives after this tour. It will be stick and hope they produce way above their abilities.
DaniE
Roar Guru
Just a bunch of U6/7/8s playing a couple of games with Tigers & Cobras at Padang Merbok, 9am. Should be a hot, funny morning :D
RobC
Roar Guru
Hes starting to redeem himself. Good call re JOC. Brave selection. Youre no cheicken! :)
Harry Jones
Expert
Howzit Rob. I'm working on an article about rugby in Mexico.
grapeseed
Guest
OK just cheiked again and saw your pun.
grapeseed
Guest
Not trolling sorry mate, I've got a soft spot for JOC for some reason (as a player, not a Brand). He's no 5/8, but a more mature version of a bloke with the same skillset would make an ideal playmaking I/C who can also move in traffic and kick a few goals.
HarryT
Guest
Don't forget speed RC. It is no accident that Cheik and Trent Robinson have become friends. The similarities between modern rugby and league are ever increasing and Cheik is incorporating their systems constantly. His next generation Tahs, Grey, Latu, Holloway and Roach, would all make fine league players. But it seems that you already know this. I sort of feel that we haven't yet seen half the WB that he will pick for the RWC.
RobC
Roar Guru
Whats on this Saturday DaniE? where / when
RobC
Roar Guru
Ya, its in his wiki profile and articles. He was player/coach under head coach Buck Shelford. Buck 'rogered' so Rod was thrust into coaching full-time. After 18 months, he moved on.
RobC
Roar Guru
Is it in Mongolia Tissot? Worse than Mumbai?
RobC
Roar Guru
You guys heard about Kiki cam right? What a disgrace...
RobC
Roar Guru
Mate. I have two youtube playlists for personal review, study. One called Sport Played in Heaven. The other one is 'Heaven isn't good Enough' Those engagements belongs to the second category
RobC
Roar Guru
Glad you liked it, HarryT. Yeah, RD wont like it. Because its not Rugby. Its league! One of the things i wanted to see from EM's dirty laundry list is leg drive. But I put it towards bottom of the list, because it seemed EM was focused on getting the basics right, and aligned with states imo The best leg drive is Cheik-ball: - Thats done via wind-up rugby league hitups off a half-back. Except it happens faster off a Rugby scrum-half. - This is the wrecking ball that Tahs have developed nicely. - I dont think WBs need an oversized pack. Instead I reckon in the future we need a pack w/low centre of gravity (to deliver leg drive). Just like our top centres. If you combine this with a killer centre pairing, WBs will be too good on the paddock. Assuming we deliver good set piece.
RobC
Roar Guru
grapeseed. Are you being cheiky? 2nd 5 should be a hybrid of QC and Horne, I reckon
ThelmaWrites
Guest
Six years ago (has it been that long?) I asked on the Roar why Rod Kafer and Tim Horan don't coach. Someone told me Kafer had actually coached Saracens but quit soon after. I was told that a lot of coaching is man-management.