2015 AFL season: Round 9 preview

By Avatar / Roar Guru

The ultimate grudge match of the season and a major milestone for one of the AFL’s great ironmen which will be played out during the Dreamtime at the G.

The match between the Western Bulldogs and GWS Giants, which will feature Ryan Griffen against the club he walked out on last October for the first time, could threaten to overshadow the annual match between Richmond and Essendon at the MCG on Saturday night.

Elsewhere, the Sydney Swans will be out to heap more misery on the beleaguered Carlton Football Club, which this week sacked its coach Mick Malthouse following a run-in with officials over the timing of their decision to review his position at the club.

Sydney Swans versus Carlton
While the Sydney Swans have been tracking very well this season, sitting third on the ladder with a 6-2 record, the same cannot be said for the bottom-placed Carlton.

The Blues had announced that they would review his position during the club’s Round 11 bye, in the wake of their poor start to the season which has seen them win just once in the opening eight rounds.

However, the relationship between Malthouse and the Carlton board suddenly became untenable after the former gave an interview on radio criticising the latter over their decision to give him just two weeks to save his job.

Just like the Mark Neeld saga at Melbourne two years ago, the current crisis at Carlton is threatening to drag the AFL down and it reached boiling point on Tuesday afternoon with the dismissal of Malthouse.

Meanwhile, all is going well at the Sydney Swans and their win over Hawthorn came despite Lance Franklin enduring his first scoreless match since making his AFL debut for Hawthorn, ironically against the Swans, way back in 2005.

The win over the Hawks follows on from impressive victories against Melbourne and the Geelong Cats, and the clash against Carlton will be the first of three winnable matches for John Longmire’s men leading into their Round 12 bye.

Thus, the Swans couldn’t be in such a better position to challenge for the 2015 flag and a win over the struggling Blues, who will be coached by John Barker in the interim term, will only stake their claims.

Prediction: Sydney Swans by 75 points.

Hawthorn versus Gold Coast Suns
Win big, lose small. That’s been the theme for the Hawthorn Football Club this season as they struggle to get form together, having not yet won consecutive matches this season.

This inconsistent form continued when they coughed up a two-goal advantage in the final quarter to lose to the Sydney Swans by just four points last Saturday night.

This has left the dual defending premiers at four wins and four losses, and in somewhat of a precarious position entering the middle third of the season.

But they will get no better chance than to bounce back when they host the struggling Gold Coast Suns, whose season turned more uglier after a 69-point loss to Collingwood at home, in Launceston this Saturday afternoon.

The Suns, whose fortunes have not been helped by a horror injury toll, crashed to their seventh loss of the season last week against the Pies but only Carlton’s poorer percentage is keeping them off the foot of the ladder.

And with this match being the first of three consecutive matches against genuine premiership contenders in the Hawks, the Sydney Swans and Fremantle, things could get worse before the Suns get to rest their battered bodies in Round 12.

Prediction: Hawthorn by 50 points.

Melbourne versus Port Adelaide
After reaching the preliminary final last year, and getting to within a kick of eventual premiers Hawthorn, Port Adelaide appear to be struggling under the weight of expectations in 2015.

Their poor start to the season continued last Sunday when it lost to Richmond by 33 points at the Adelaide Oval, with poor kicking again not helping their cause.

This Saturday’s clash against improving Melbourne could be the last chance they have of resurrecting their season, or even staking their claim for a top-four position which many expected them to achieve this season.

Though they should start favourites, they will be wary of the form showed by Melbourne in its 39 point win over the Western Bulldogs last start, and their two narrow losses to the Power last season.

Having lost their last three matches against quality opposition in the Dockers, Swans and Hawks, Paul Roos’ men took a few days’ rest and the move paid dividends as they banked their third win for the season last week.

However, with both teams coming off a six-day break, and with this match to be played in Alice Springs, it will remain to be seen which team acclimatises better to the expected warm conditions.

Prediction: Port Adelaide by 24 points.

Western Bulldogs versus GWS Giants
The ultimate grudge match of the season is here and Western Bulldogs fans will be out to jeer, heckle and boo their former captain, Ryan Griffen, all they like when the Bulldogs and GWS clash under the roof at Etihad Stadium this Saturday night.

Last October, Griffen dropped a huge bombshell when he announced that he wanted to be traded to the Giants, following reports of a communication rift between him and then-coach Brendan McCartney.

It came in the wake of yet another disappointing season for the Western Bulldogs which ended with a six-point loss to the AFL’s youngest club, with Devon Smith kicking the match winning goal for the Giants after Jake Stringer dropped an uncontested mark with 30 seconds remaining.

Meanwhile, 2013 number one draft pick Tom Boyd requested to be traded the other way after struggling to break into the improving GWS side which would win six matches last year and has already equalled that tally within the first eight rounds of this season.

The chain of events late last year has led to this match being dubbed the “Boyd-Griffen Cup”, and marked another chapter in the simmering rivalry between the two clubs which started with Callan Ward leaving the Whitten Oval at the end of 2011 to link up with the AFL’s newest franchise.

It’s fair to say that in the same sense as the rivalries between Essendon and Hawthorn, and that of Carlton and Collingwood, among many others, fans of both the GWS Giants and Western Bulldogs don’t like to share any love between them.

Having already equalled their best-ever season tally of six wins from last year, the Giants will get the chance to win a record-breaking seventh match for the year and ensure that Ryan Griffen enjoys the last laugh on the club he walked out on with a win over the Western Bulldogs this Saturday night.

Prediction: GWS Giants by 32 points.

Richmond versus Essendon
Forget the fact that it’s the annual Dreamtime at the G, one man will take centre stage when Richmond and Essendon clash at the MCG on Saturday night.

Essendon fullback Dustin Fletcher, who turned 40 earlier this month, will bring up his 400th AFL game and thus join Michael Tuck and Kevin Bartlett as the only two men who have managed to last at least this far into their careers.

There was talk that the man himself would be rested so that his milestone could be commemorated in a home game against the Geelong Cats in Round 10, however, given the enormity of this weekend’s match against Richmond, coach James Hird remained adamant that he would play this Saturday night.

Both Richmond and Essendon enter this match in good form, the Tigers having defeated Collingwood and Port Adelaide in the past fortnight while the Bombers are coming off an impressive 58-point win over the Brisbane Lions at home.

But can the Bombers, who haven’t lost the annual Dreamtime at the G fixture since 2011, celebrate Dustin Fletcher’s 400th AFL game with a win, or will the Tigers, like they did in Hird and Sheedy’s farewell match way back in 2007, come out and spoil the celebrations?

Prediction: Essendon by 30 points.

Adelaide Crows versus Fremantle
The Fremantle Dockers will hope to keep alive its undefeated start to the season when they head to the Adelaide Oval to face an Adelaide Crows side desperate to bounce back after being outrun by the GWS Giants in Sydney last week.

While the Crows were made to play catch-up football for most of their match last week, the Dockers continued to show why they are the new premiership favourites, thrashing North Melbourne by 73 points at home.

And while they will be expected to win their ninth straight match, it won’t come easy – even though they have won their last three against the Crows, the most recent of which was a 40-point win at home in Round 12 last year – they did lose on their previous trip to the Oval against Port Adelaide four rounds earlier.

While Phil Walsh’s men should present a formidable challenge for Ross Lyon’s men, the class of the ladder leaders should tell the difference as they look to skip at least two games clear of the chasing pack by the end of the round.

Prediction: Fremantle by 22 points.

Brisbane Lions versus St Kilda
After notching up two victories to move off the bottom of the ladder, the Brisbane Lions were sent crashing back down to earth following a 58-point loss to Essendon at Etihad Stadium last week.

It was a disappointing result given the Lions appeared to be gaining some momentum thanks to a nine-point win over bottom-placed Carlton and an impressive 37-point win over finals pretenders Port Adelaide at the Gabba.

However, Justin Leppitsch’s men will be expected to bounce back when they welcome 15th-placed St Kilda to the Gabba this Sunday.

The Saints have endured a disappointing fortnight since coming from 55 points down to defeat the Western Bulldogs in Round 6, going down to the Adelaide Crows and West Coast Eagles by 46 and 53 points respectively.

Captain Nick Riewoldt may be considered for selection after missing the match against the Eagles due to concussion, and the Saints will badly need him as they try to avoid a second straight wooden spoon.

In fact, this match will indirectly mark a decade since Riewoldt was infamously targeted by several Lions defenders, in particular Jamie Charman and Chris Scott, in a spiteful 2005 season opener.

It now remains to be seen which side will bounce back from their recent disappointments.

Prediction: Brisbane Lions by 15 points.

Collingwood versus North Melbourne
Following two relatively disappointing losses to the Geelong Cats and Richmond, Collingwood bounced back in devastating fashion, commemorating Scott Pendlebury’s 200th AFL game with a 69-point thrashing of the Gold Coast Suns on the Gold Coast last week.

That has seen the move up to fifth on the ladder, and at present they are the best-performed Victorian club so far this season, with the four teams above them on the ladder all coming from either Western Australia or New South Wales.

The Pies will be expected to continue their good start to the season against the notoriously inconsistent North Melbourne, who are coming off a heavy 73-point loss to ladder leaders Fremantle in Perth.

To say the least, despite the acquisitions of Jarrad Waite and Shaun Higgins during the off-season, the Roos have failed to meet pre-season expectations after playing off in the preliminary final last year.

Brad Scott’s men sit 12th on the ladder with four wins and four losses but with a percentage of 90.4per cent. Thus, if they are to revive their hopes of achieving a top-four finish, they need to start finding form and hopefully it starts with them defeating Collingwood in the first of only two MCG matches for the Roos this regular season.

However, the Pies should prove too strong as they look to lead the way for the Victorian clubs, in the face of the dominance of the ladder by the two Western Australia and two New South Wales clubs.

Prediction: Collingwood by 25 points.

West Coast Eagles versus Geelong Cats
Despite thrashing Carlton by 77 points last week, the Geelong Cats still remain outside the top eight and will face a tough challenge if they are to break into it, as they face the red-hot West Coast Eagles at Domain Stadium this Sunday.

The Cats’ poor start to the season, in which it dropped three of their opening four matches for the first time since 2004, has led to many believing that their aura of domaince could be about to come to an end sooner rather than later.

However, the club has bounced back to win three of their last four matches, and even though they have won their last two against the Eagles by sizeable margins, will have to be at their best against Adam Simpson’s second-placed men.

The Eagles’ terrific start to the season continued last Saturday when it defeated St Kilda by 53 points under the roof of Etihad Stadium, but the side will be without Elliot Yeo after he copped a one-match suspension for striking.

Still, his absence isn’t expected to affect the Eagles’ favouritism for their only meeting against the Cats this season, although they have lost the last two by huge margins including by 66 points the last time they played in Perth.

Prediction: West Coast Eagles by 20 points.

The Crowd Says:

2015-05-30T04:25:03+00:00

jax

Guest


WC should be able to do a number on the Cats. I'm expecting them to run over the top of them in the 2nd half. Keep an eye out for Brant Colledge. It will only be his 3rd game tor WC and his first game for the year so don't expect to much but he is going to be another beauty for WC. He was recruited as a key forward but Simmo has been turned him into a midfielder and he has been excelling in that role in the WAFL. At 192cm (6"4) he is the same height as Mundy. WC now has Yeo and Colledge as very big-bodied midfielders that can both take contested marks and kick goals and they are only 21 and 20 years of age respectively. This WC midfield is going to be very hard to stop in the coming years. They just need to string some games together now.

2015-05-29T01:34:32+00:00

Jack Smith

Roar Guru


Their history of the last few years doubts that. And must I remind you whom they have beat this year - Brisbane, Geelong, Richmond and Essendon. All teams who were in poor form at the time, and only Richmond is scraping into the 8. Anyway, we'll see this weekend.

2015-05-28T11:49:20+00:00

andrew

Guest


not sure about that jack. north have won all 4 times this season when they have gone into the game at favourites. and lost all 4 times they have gone into the match as outsiders. it would thought they are footy tipsters best friend. if you are tipping wrong in your footy tips more often than other sides so far this season you might think they are worldbeaters by tipping them to win in games as outsiders or total duds, tipping them to lose when favourites.

2015-05-28T07:32:17+00:00

Jack Smith

Roar Guru


Quite possibly why the Roos might lose. Never back Roos because they should win.

2015-05-28T07:31:32+00:00

Jack Smith

Roar Guru


Agreed. Swans are terrible in the rain. Lucky we win any game in the rain. Fremantle probably won on a bit of home advantage.

2015-05-27T14:30:13+00:00

Pope Paul vii

Guest


Richmond will surely not be that stupid? NM over Collies because they must

2015-05-27T12:34:40+00:00

andrew

Guest


north (like others sides that finished up high last year) have had a tough draw to start the season. they have played 6 finalists from last year (3 wins and 3 losses - not too bad !!, given they are after all a 5th-8th side anyway). this draw has so far included trips to geelong, perth and adl. anyone who thought north are struggling and would be better than 4-4 (esp with no wells or dal santo) is delusional. they are right on track to finish 5th-8th - which is about where their talent will take them.

2015-05-27T11:05:00+00:00

berrlins

Roar Pro


I really hope the blues respond to this week by giving a good showing but no Judd or Gibbs makes it very very hard, Port should find some form against Melbourne, its hard to predict Richmond or Essendon but I think despite Essendons slightly superior midfield Richmond should get up on the back of a more composed and better forward line, Daniher has been shaky at best this season, had a good week against the lions but that was against a pretty horrible defense. the two that trip me up are the dogs/giants and Pies/North, If the dogs bring that pressure that won them the first two games of the season and they kick straight they are a chance but damn GWS have some skills and even if Winson comes back to play, Mumford is the more dominant Ruck. for Collingwood and the Kangas it could go either way. I think I echo everyone here in lamenting how hard it is to tip North. I think I will have to go with the Pies based on consistency only.

2015-05-27T09:05:40+00:00

Me Too

Guest


if saints backline is still out injured they'll struggle. no tall timber at all.

2015-05-27T07:59:24+00:00

Ant

Guest


Daniher- 4.0 in last year's elim final opposed to AA Scott Thompson and Firrito etc. Kicked 3.1 against Hawthorn this year opposed to Gibson, Lake and Frawley. Kicked 3.1 on Michael Jamison and kicked 6.2 on highly rated young defenders Clarke and Gardiner. Pretty sure that's a decent effort. Essendon's never had trouble scoring against Richmond, Rance or no Rance. If Joe doesn't kick a few, then Jake will. If they kick 5 between them, I'll back Cooney, Chapman, Goddard and one of the Merretts to hit the scoreboard as well. Essendon kick 13+ goals they'll win.

2015-05-27T07:39:48+00:00

jax

Guest


Daniher kicks one bag against the Lions and he's suddenly the saviour that you can depend on? Considering he didn't have a recognised key defender playing on him last week 6 goals should not be a surprise. It will be a different story when he comes up against Rance so let's see how he goes then. He certainly hasn't shown that he can kick bags of goals against a quality defender before but his confidence might be up now, let's see.

2015-05-27T07:32:17+00:00

jax

Guest


"If Geelong have beaten West Coast convincingly in Perth their last two outings, perhaps there’s good reason?" Because the Cats were a better team back then and because WC had massive injuries for the last 2 years and they were much younger, much less developed and they weren't playing 4 quarter footy. The tables have turned somewhat with the Cats having slid back and WC starting to rise. Should be a good game and could got either way. I'm expecting a Cats ambush and the Cats will go in with confidence knowing that WC don't have a recognised key defender to play on Hawkins and Clarke. The team that wins the midfield battle should win the game. "North Melbourne are $1.70 favourites against Collingwood. Is there any good reason you think Collingwood will beat them?" Because it's North and we are never quite sure what we are going to get from them in any given week.

2015-05-27T06:56:46+00:00

Ant

Guest


Lol. Watson, Heppell, Goddard, Zaharakis, Cooney and Stanton should (and will) whoop Richmond. Daniher just kicked six and Carlisle could easily have had five. Where's Richmond's scores going to come from? Riewoldt and Griffiths don't have a hope in hell against Hurley and Hooker in their current form. Richmond choke at the slightest evidence of pressure (see every Dreamtime game since 2011).

2015-05-27T06:51:07+00:00

Ant

Guest


They've beaten Port Adelaide who are in an absolute funk. Essendon's footy looked pretty convincing to me on Sunday.

2015-05-27T05:44:29+00:00

DylanC

Roar Rookie


How anyone thinks Collingwood are any good is beyond me. They have only had four real challenging games this year against Adelaide, Essendon, Geelong and Richmond. They are 1 and 3 in those games and their only win was against Essendon who absolutely capitulated in rain. Their other wins have come against Brisbane, St Kilda, Carlton and Gold Coast, all of whom will most likely round out this year’s bottom four. And while I do agree you never know with North, they should go in warm favourites. They also have a tendency to bounce back from a bad lose with a win. North comfortably for me.

2015-05-27T05:27:38+00:00

Winston

Guest


I totally agre with that. And the 2 games we lost, one was against Freo in Perth where we nearly stole it, and the other in atrocious conditions where anything could have happened. Not trying to make excuses for our losses, but more to put things into perspective and recognise that the team is actually doing really really well.

2015-05-27T05:26:03+00:00

Jack Smith

Roar Guru


How anyone cant trust North against the Pies is beyond me. They could come out and smash the Pies. Just as easily as the Pies could wipe the floor with them. I have no idea who to tip.

2015-05-27T05:24:10+00:00

Jack Smith

Roar Guru


Michael I see us as doing what we have for years - largely going under the radar. Something that didn't happen last year and we didn't really handle the pressure of actually being favourites. We got smashed as a result. We're cruising at the moment having lost 2 games by a combined total of 3 goals. A bit like Hawks in that respect.

2015-05-27T05:00:45+00:00

William Cornwill

Roar Guru


70/30 Tigers way in my view.

2015-05-27T04:59:32+00:00

Bobbo7

Guest


50/50 game if ever there was one

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