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The Roar

William Cornwill

Roar Pro

Joined March 2014

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Young man from the Western Suburbs of Melbourne, loves his sports.

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Yeah I was somewhat bemused by it as well Larry.

Also, I think Order of Command would have finished a lot closer last start if he had even luck. He was about to split the pack when the gap closed and of course had to then jog trot behind them with a lap full of horse under him. Ticks nearly every box, just needs luck in the run, and Ollie generally gives them the best chance.

The Mounting Yard: Black Caviar Lightning Stakes day preview

I’m a really big fan of his, and he’ll no doubt be flying the flag for Australia in the Spring, but it’s hard to see him beating some of these types first up over 1400 meters.

Good luck if you’re playing him though.

The Mounting Yard: Black Caviar Lightning Stakes day preview

They were five goals up for the back part of the third quarter. When the game was there to be won.

The game was over then, whether you want to admit it or not.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

I’ll be writing articles most weeks in the lead up, and during the season.

Headline of this article could be very different by round 18, which is what is so good about football.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

Don’t lack much with their top talent?

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

Case in point.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

Just because you beat a team, doesn’t mean you are better than them. Huge misconception among Australian sports.

Sydney were in horrid form at that stage of the season, and geelong, much like Essendon are very inconsistent. On talent alone though they probably have the best midfield in the competition.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

So being an All Australian automatically means you are an elite player?

The only player you mentioned he’s better than is Polec, and you know it.

Did I really have to use reasoning to say that Tom Bellchambers isn’t a top 5 ruckman? Any football supporter just knows this to be fact.

Also, you don’t have to come up with reasoning to say that Collingwood, Richmond, West Coast and Melbourne are better than Essendon. Look at last year’s ladder.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

When you compare Essendon’s midfield group with the following teams, it looks pretty poor.

Geelong: Dangerfield, Ablett, Selwood, Duncan and Kelly.

Collingwood: Beams, Pendlebury, Sidebottom, Treloar and Adams.

Richmond: Martin, Cotchin, Prestia, Lambert and Edwards.

Greater Western Sydney: Kelly, Whitfield, Coniglio, Ward and Hopper.

Sydney: Parker, Kennedy, Heeney, Mills and Jack.

Melbourne: Brayshaw, Jones, Oliver, Viney and Petracca.

You could also argue that a couple of other teams have better midfields.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

Read above for my reply on the Daniher debate.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

I’d rather not say which team I support, it will just bring people to say that I’m biased, when factually I’m not. I’m grown enough to separate how much I like the teams, and how I analyse their lists.

I’m not arguing that the forward line worked better without Daniher, though you have to ask yourself whether that was because the rest of the team started performing better in his absence. Something that has nothing to do with Daniher himself.

Is it sustainable to have Stewart and McKernan as the two key forwards? I highly doubt it.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

As things currently stand, at the time of writing this article, I can’t use the likes of Redman, Ridley, Guelfi and Begley to promote Essendon’s final chances. They’ve played twenty five games between them.

It’s fine that you didn’t have huge problems without Daniher, but Stewart and McKernan are just not going to be the two key forwards in any finals side. They’re not good enough. They kicked thirty one goals between them last year, which leaves far too much reliance on the small and medium sized forwards. Even if they are extremely good ( which they are), a heavy reliance on them will leave you very vulnerable. Just ask Richmond.

Thanks for the well thought out response.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

I legitimately said that one player “wasn’t that good”, and clearly you missed the point of that. I’m not saying Shiel is a horrible footballer, he’s very serviceable and will sometimes have exceptional games. He just isn’t making an average midfield a great one.

Tell me one other time where I didn’t use reasoning when assessing a player? It’s factual that Saad and Mckenna were caught more times than they should have been last year. Are James Stewart and Shaun McKernan good enough to lead a forward line of a top four team?

I didn’t use selective stats on Dylan Shiel, and I’d challenge you to find me stats that show he is an elite midfielder of the competition.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

I never said he wasn’t good, I said he wasn’t THAT good.

He’s a B grader, so he will improve the depth in the midfield, though the lack of star power in there was telling last year, and will be again this year.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

I don’t think I’m really bagging them? Just pointing out the fact that their record hasn’t been great over the years.

They, like stats, have their place in the game. There’s far more to football than them though, and the comment I was responding to made it sound like they are good, just because Champion Data said so.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

That selection was very contentious among the footballing public. Personally didn’t agree with the selection then, and I still don’t think he is an A grader.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

What does Tom Mitchell have to do with Dylan Shiel?

I couldn’t really care about what champion data say, haven’t got the greatest of records have they?

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

I think you’ll find Devon Smith had a lack of opportunity at the Giants. Once he got that opportunity at Essendon he blossomed. Shiel had all the opportunity in the world at the giants as they saw him as one of their best midfielders, and he still never got to that A grade bracket. Can’t see him getting much better.

Stringer and Saad weren’t exactly setting the world on fire at their respective clubs, so it wasn’t hard to improve on their outputs. Especially Stringer, who is extremely talented.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

Fair enough, and that’s your opinion.

I would refute that being competitive isn’t enough. They made the same costly mistakes in both those defeats to Collingwood and Hawthorn. The same mistakes that cost them against Sydney and Brisbane the year before that. Why is that going to change this year?

The Richmond game wasn’t as competitive as the scoreboard makes it look. Richmond were up by basically five goals for that entire game, Essendon kicked some junk time goals late.

Essendon aren't the finals lock you think they are, and here's why

Thanks mate, hope some of you followed.

And I’ll try my best hahah.

The Mounting Yard: C.F ORR Stakes Day preview

Clearly you didn’t like my thoughts on the Saints list, and that’s completely fair enough. I probably wouldn’t if I was a saints fan either.

However, What I wrote was simply the truth. Do you actually think that Jack Billings is a good player in this league? He isn’t a horrible player, though he promised so much, and is delivering so little.

What off season trades? Daniel Hannebery?

The guy is finished, he is no longer and A grader. His form has been steadily declining for a couple of years now. He went from averaging thirty disposals, to averaging twenty four, and then went to eighteen. You payed him 700,000 dollars a year for five years, simply ludicrous.

I have you finishing 17th. Good luck for the season.

St Kilda are not in the worst position in the AFL. Here's why

The saints are actually one of my better liked teams.

Do you honestly think this Saints list has the same talent as the Dogs and Pies did?

Why St Kilda are in the worst position of any team in the league

Hey Larry, I’m not sure about that mate.

You’d have to ask admin I think.

The mounting yard: Saturday racing at Caulfield

Sorry mate, didn’t see this.

They are allowed to run on Friday and Saturday as well.

The Mounting Yard: Midweek racing at Mornington preview

Yeah I’m not overly keen on Nature Strip. Don’t think it can beat the very best over 1200m.

Cornwill's weekly racing previews: Randwick, George Main Stakes Day