Nico Rosberg's title within sight

By Bayden Westerweller / Roar Guru

Nico Rosberg lies in an enviable position as Formula One marks its annual pilgrimage to the jewel in the series’ crown, this weekend’s Monaco Grand Prix.

Four consecutive victories to commence his campaign, complemented by three on the bounce at the famed circuit, lends the German a confidence seldom attained by any driver throughout their career.

Though it’s telling that the only race not claimed by the 30-year-old this season represents the greatest asset in his bid to emulate his father, Keke, to become only the second next-generation world champion, two decades following Damon Hill’s memorable triumph in 1996.

The Spanish Grand Prix has already been etched into ubiquity as the race which restored the sport’s innocence, on account of Max Verstappen’s victory to conclude a whirlwind fortnight, in which the 18-year old was promoted to Red Bull at Daniil Kvyat’s expense. The Russian’s demise has already been condemned to footnote status, with the assistance of another notable outcome that afternoon.

A collision between teammates consistently polarises opinion, guarantees collateral, if not irreversible damage transcending the field of battle, yet ultimately possesses the ability to define the trajectory of a season.

Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton’s opening lap collision at Barcelona requires no explanation, suffice to say that it drew a line in the sand, one which had been a long time coming in the former’s instance, and the German wasn’t making any apologies in the aftermath. Instead, a contrite Hamilton appeared marginalised, while Rosberg’s standing within the team was enhanced to an unprecedented level.

The forthcoming five events afford Rosberg the opportunity to tighten the noose which already possesses little slack. Should the German emerge at the conclusion of July’s British Grand Prix with an enhanced lead over Hamilton – notwithstanding Kimi Raikkonen’s stealthy rise to second in the standings or any other protagonist’s ascendancy – much will have to go awry across the balance of his campaign to be denied once more.

Monaco holds fond memories for Rosberg, thus a triumph would not be surprising. The sojourn across the Atlantic to the esteemed Montreal poses a greater test to the 30-year-old’s title credentials, as a circuit that Hamilton has excelled at since his debut victory in 2007.

One-third of the season will have passed by this stage, thus it’d be tough to envisage the Briton mounting a legitimate bid for a third consecutive title if he has not opened his victory account within this window.

The ‘European’ Grand Prix at Azerbaijan’s Baku street circuit represents an unknown quantity, though the return to Europe proper for the Austrian Grand Prix – a true power circuit, where Rosberg has claimed both editions since the event’s restoration to the calendar in 2014 – looms as another opportunity to glean maximum points.

So the grid will assemble at Britain in July, another venue synonymous with Mercedes success in recent seasons, and most pertinently Hamilton’s homeland, where he has prevailed at the past two editions.

That weekend looms as the crossroads for any competition, both internally and externally, to present their case, as the notional halfway point of the season will have been reached at the event’s conclusion. By extension, attention will have been directed by most towards the imminent regulation changes for 2017.

There’s nothing to suggest that Rosberg won’t have won seven or eight events by this juncture, and between Hamilton’s repeated misfortunes, Red Bull’s ostensible resurgence, coupled with Ferrari’s unrealised potential, his rivals continuing to share the minor points would allow the German to grow his considerable lead with relative aplomb.

Rosberg has earned the luxury of scripting his own fate, and making statements of intent such as the one witnessed at Barcelona, yet the phase to ensure that his legwork is validated has just commenced.

If he executes, it’s going to be tough to see anybody other than the German claiming this year’s title.

The Crowd Says:

2016-06-07T12:24:44+00:00

Rodney Gordon

Expert


Bring on a title for Rosberg, hopefully he can get enough wins throughout the rest of the season to silence the Hamilton fanboys who will insist that his achievement is undeserved, then let's see a Red Bull resurgence next year led by Ricciardo and hopefully get a mixed championship.

AUTHOR

2016-05-30T11:15:57+00:00

Bayden Westerweller

Roar Guru


Monaco was a huge opportunity for Rosberg to stamp his authority on the season and he didn't, thus we're back to a finely poised battle. From a momentum perspective, the victory for Hamilton will be huge considering his dry spell - notwithstanding some fortune at Daniel Ricciardo's unfortunate expense, thus it will be interesting to see whether he can sustain this.

AUTHOR

2016-05-30T11:08:39+00:00

Bayden Westerweller

Roar Guru


I must admit that the title itself is misleading, it was sub edited from my intended headline which certainly didn't suggest that Nico has the title in the bag. Nevertheless, the piece itself was not fortuitously timed, Rosberg had an anonymous Sunday and to a large extent, weekend, though he still has the buffer which his lead heading into the race permitted - to have an off day. He won't want to make a habit of his Sunday showing, and Hamilton is every chance of claiming Canada.

2016-05-30T08:22:04+00:00

anon

Guest


Bad timing to come out with this article, Bayden. Hamilton back in it. Rosberg showing again that he's the third best German driver on the grid. Actually, he might be the 4th best German driver after this performance. Wehrlein might have surpassed Rosberg with a solid 14 place lol.

2016-05-29T06:43:49+00:00

anon

Guest


We're 5 races into a 21 race season that won't finish for another 6 months. Rosberg has a 43 point lead. When Hamilton beat Rosberg in Austin to claim the title he had a 76 point lead in the championship. One mechanical failure for Rosberg or maybe a late race puncture for Rosberg or someone moves across his front wing then Hamilton is once again the favourite for the championship. If Rosberg got out to a 70 point lead I might say it's Rosberg's to lose. Even then I wouldn't be surprised if Hamitlon comes back because he's fundamentally quicker and they're in the same equipment - therefore Hamilton should theoretically have the edge on him every race. It's not like it's two drivers in two different cars battling for the championship. Some cars will be better at places like Monaco and Singapore, some cars better Spa and Silverstone. Therefore in that instance, even if you are the quicker driver, you won't have the edge on your opponent at every race. Vettel overturned a 15 point deficit in the final race of 2010 for chrissakes. Even a 24 point lead going into the final race won't be enough for Rosberg.

AUTHOR

2016-05-26T06:42:19+00:00

Bayden Westerweller

Roar Guru


Ferrari needs to revert to the drawing board on the tactical front and the results should follow. Red Bull boasts arguably the best outright chassis on the grid, thus its' own upgrades coupled with whatever the 'TAG-Heuer' brings to the table is cause for optimism. The only trap is for the contenders to realise where to draw the line on pursuing Mercedes this season and turning attention to the wholesale changes from 2017. It'd be a shame to see one of the aforementioned venturing too far down the path that they're playing catch up, as was the case in 2009 for Ferrari and McLaren - who developed until the hilt in '08, and Red Bull itself restlessly upgrading for the balance of 2013 whilst the rest, and most poignantly, Mercedes, had their eyes on the 2014 regulations.

2016-05-26T04:06:38+00:00

Connor Bennett

Editor


If Ferrari can get the s**t together and the new engines fire up Red Bull, we could be in for a tantalising second half of the season

AUTHOR

2016-05-26T03:15:11+00:00

Bayden Westerweller

Roar Guru


The incentive is there for Lewis, he must harness it if he wishes to remind the growing critics that his head is still in the game. Monaco twelve months ago would still eat at him, so he'll want to rectify that this weekend, whilst Canada is a circuit he shares great affinity with, if he allows Rosberg in particular to best him there, the spotlight will be well and truly on him if it isn't already. Canada looms as the moment for Red Bull to display whether they have any designs on taking it to Mercedes on a genuine level. Any repeat outcome of Spain at the Principality will represent a bonus. As for Ferrari, its' potential is scary, though until realised, it's hard to see them figuring at the pointy end of the season. A victory would go a long way to reinstilling the wavering faith.

2016-05-26T02:57:45+00:00

Connor Bennett

Editor


You can't help but feel that Hamilton is on the cusp of going on a tear through a few races, and muscling his way back up towards Rosberg in the standings. I think most people would like a Rosberg win in the end, but no one can complain about a thrilling battle for the title. The new Renault power units for Red Bull should spice things up a bit for the rest of the field at Monaco and beyond, and hopefully close that gap to the silver arrows

AUTHOR

2016-05-26T02:48:45+00:00

Bayden Westerweller

Roar Guru


This is true, Hamilton has optimised the outcomes on each occasion. Though he won't be able to get away with this much longer so long as Nico finishes ahead of him, and it's on him not to compromise himself from the outset of each weekend or race itself moving forward. Ferrari is certainly guilty of dropping the ball when opportunities present themselves, whilst Red Bull similarly encountered issues such as China with Ricciardo's puncture and Kvyat's first corner wipeout, which denied them greater outcomes. Despite Verstappen's victory at Spain, both Red Bulls could have been on the podium had the strategies played out differently. It'll be a spectacle if Nico does prevail, not least from his standing following Lewis' consecutive triumphs, plus the unique circumstances of his heritage as you allude to.

2016-05-26T02:24:53+00:00

Connor Bennett

Editor


Despite all the mechanical breakdowns and 'bad luck' that's hit Hamilton so far this season, people are often forgetting he's still actually in third place in the Championship. I don't know if that says more about Hamilton seizing his chances when he does get them, or the rest of the field not able to play catch up very well when the door opens up. Anyway, I wonder how many times in any sports history, a father and son have won championships or titles despite being heralded from different countries. Keke being Finnish and Nico German

AUTHOR

2016-05-26T01:20:56+00:00

Bayden Westerweller

Roar Guru


Other circuits in the back half of the season such as Hungary, Belgium and Italy have also been kinder to Hamilton over each's career, thus each triumph over his team-mate at notional strongholds will drive the knife an inch deeper into the Briton's resilience.

2016-05-25T21:46:33+00:00

Jawad Yaqub

Roar Guru


There's plenty of races coming up that Hamilton has owned over the last two years over Rosberg, including Silverstone despite the latter's 2013 victory. Rosberg will be stamping a psychological authority over Hamilton if he comes out the victor at Montreal, Silverstone and further down with Singapore.

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