Was Ryan Burton robbed?

By Sam Staunton / Roar Rookie

After enduring a crippling four years facing the AFL’s worst ever doping scandal, the Essendon Bombers have enjoyed a fairy-tale season.

Not only did returning defender Michael Hurley receive an All Australian selection along with teammates Zach Merrett and Joe Daniher and not only did they clinch a finals berth, but they also boast the 2017 Rising Star.

Number one draft pick Andrew McGrath has slotted seamlessly into the Essendon outfit, playing like a seasoned veteran. The Canadian-born youngster has excelled in his position as a small lock-down defender, and he even spent time late in the season up on the wings.

With a promising career ahead of him, McGrath took out the 2017 Rising Star award, posting an impressive 51 votes and trouncing his fellow nominees.

But while McGrath would be considered more than worthy in most AFL seasons, the question on the minds of many is: was runner up Hawk Ryan Burton robbed of the accolade?

Burton, like McGrath, has eased his way into the backline and provided Hawthorn with magnificent composure and poise. While he didn’t have the added pressure of holding the title of number one draft pick, he was required to man a key defensive post in the absence of experienced stars Josh Gibson, Ben Stratton, James Frawley and Grant Birchall – a tough task for an inexperienced player.

However, despite being dubbed in the second half of the home-and-away season as the Rising Star favourite, Burton polled only 41 votes, ten short of McGrath and failing to poll the maximum five votes from any of the 11 judges. After shaping up as one of the tightest races ever for the award, the ten-vote margin came rather unexpectedly.

The most surprising aspect of it all is the statistical discrepancy existing between the two defenders. Compared to McGrath, Burton averaged more disposals, including effective disposals, and more marks, tackles, metres gained, inside 50s and rebound 50s, and also he chimed in with three more goals.

(Image: AAP Image/Julian Smith)

Burton was ranked first among Rising Star nominees for total intercepts and second for total one percenters, fields in which McGrath ranked second and eighth respectively. Many of these are critical statistical categories for defenders, and Burton prevails in all of them.

Granted, statistics aren’t everything – for example, back in their primes a 15-possession game from Cyril Rioli could potentially have far more impact than a 30-possession game from Dane Swan – but given both future stars tend to use the ball highly effectively, what gives McGrath the edge over Burton?

Was it the young Don’s effort in Essendon’s 43-point loss to Adelaide in Round 21? McGrath held All Australian Crow Eddie Betts to just a single behind while collecting 25 disposals himself.

This was a star performance from McGrath, but it can’t have been what set him apart from Burton, who was equally impressive against the minor premiers. The Hawks pulled off an incredible upset win against the Crows in Round 14, and it was two clutch goals in the third quarter from Burton that inspired Hawthorn to victory.

Burton also played a vital role in nullifying the dangerous Adelaide forward line and notched up 21 disposals in the process. Burton’s coolness undoubtedly set up the win that turned Hawthorn’s season around.

Whatever it was that influenced the Rising Star judges to place McGrath so far ahead of Burton has left many scratching their heads. Essendon fans have been left delighted while Hawks are feeling the pain for their beloved future superstar. The look on Burton’s face said it all when McGrath was crowned; he was devastated.

Rest assured, though, Burto, and think of your teammate Cyril Rioli. The superstar Hawk was also Rising Star runner-up in his first full season, falling short to now out-of-favour Rhys Palmer, but it is Rioli who now boasts the more decorated career. He’s a four-time premiership player and a Norm Smith medallist, and he’s dubbed as one of the most exciting players in the comp.

Throw in the names Marcus Bontempelli, who was runner-up, and Patrick Dangerfield, who came third, and suddenly second place doesn’t sound too bad.

Both deserve to be congratulated on their seasons, and Andrew McGrath has an outstanding year and is a deserving winner. The 2018 season is Burton’s time to prove his critics wrong.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2017-09-12T13:34:53+00:00

Sam Staunton

Roar Rookie


Thanks heaps John!

2017-09-12T12:41:50+00:00

john

Guest


one of the best articles about the rising star I have seen. Brilliant analysis.

2017-09-06T01:44:12+00:00

Pedro The Fisherman

Roar Rookie


Actually SPP didn't really have a "standout" year overall. He averaged less than 17 disposals per game, and 1/4 of them were Clangers. Only half of his possessions were contested and that is not particularly impressive for a midfielder. He looks promising but that is not enough to win a Rising Star.

2017-09-06T00:59:27+00:00

johno

Guest


Sooo - P-P had a bad 4 games at the end of the season. His first 18 or so was more than enough to lock away the rising star. You typically get knackered when working in he midfield rather than playing as the loose man in defence or 6th defender

2017-09-05T08:59:12+00:00

The Hawk

Guest


Yep, he was robbed!

2017-09-05T05:54:05+00:00

Liam

Guest


48 disposals with 31 clangers those four matches too! In the two-game stretch against the saints and crows he had 16 disposals, 5 of which were effective with 31% disposal efficiency, and 17 clangers, that's why he didn't come close to McGrath (certainly the deserved winner imho) in a nutshell.

2017-09-05T05:19:18+00:00

Birdman

Guest


yep. P-P petered out late so not robbed

2017-09-05T05:01:43+00:00

Pedro The Fisherman

Roar Rookie


Powell-Pepper was effective (and probably the leading candidate for the Rising Star) until mid season when he ran out of puff. He had 48 Disposals in the last 4 matches of the season (and that is not enough from a midfielder).

2017-09-05T04:35:54+00:00

johno

Guest


If anyone was robbed it was Powell-Pepper, straight into his teams engine room and was effective from the get go

2017-09-05T04:02:02+00:00

TomC

Roar Guru


I thought McGrath was slightly better overall. It's not really a particularly significant award though.

AUTHOR

2017-09-05T02:34:16+00:00

Sam Staunton

Roar Rookie


Agreed, definitely was bias towards McGrath from the media which cost Burton.

2017-09-05T02:28:16+00:00

Birdman

Guest


clearly a victim of a late season media campaign by pro-Bombers 'journos' but Burton should learn that team success is far more enduring than individual award particularly one as nebulous and often unfathomable as the Rising Star.

2017-09-04T23:49:01+00:00

Pedro The Fisherman

Roar Rookie


That pretty much sums it up Trevor (although Sam Powell-Pepper had a disappointing close to the season which probably (and deservedly) cost him votes in the Rising Star). For me, McGrath is a good player but the Essendon "romance/infatuation" from the media helped him across the line. If I could take anyone from this year,s rising star award to play for my team I would take Burton (closely followed by Hipwood).

2017-09-04T22:08:49+00:00

Trevor

Guest


Watched almost every game for both Essendon and Hawthorn this year and can say with absolute certainty that Ryan Burton was comfortably the better of the two players. He had harder match ups defensively, but still managed more of the ball and used it better. Honestly thought he would get all 5 votes from every judge (thought Powell-Pepper the more likely to take votes off him). Hard to fathom how he got none. I think Burton made the AFL team of the week twice to McGrath's once and finished ahead of him on the Coaches Association Award also.

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