Roger Federer: The definitive GOAT

By Ritesh Misra / Roar Guru

Legendary cricket all-rounder Kapil Dev has a firm view that one can never be the greatest of all time, but at most the greatest of their generation.

One cannot compare different eras for various due to different playing conditions and quality of opponents. How can you equate Dennis Lillee to Dale Steyn or Rod Laver to Roger Federer?

Federer has won an unprecedented 20th Grand Slam championship with his five-set win over Marin Cilic in the 2018 Australian Open final. Incredibly, he has a real chance to become world No.1 again if he reaches the semi-finals of the Rotterdam ATP 500 this month. If he does so, he’ll become the oldest No.1 ever.

So, can we start talking about Federer as the definitive GOAT?

Rafael Nadal’s diehard fans insist Federer couldn’t be the GOAT due to his 10-23 head-to-head record against the Spaniard. Since Nadal is five years younger, with success across all courts his invincibility on clay, it seemed he would overhaul Federer’s tally of Grand Slam titles.

Some said the debate was settled at the 2017 Australian Open. Federer had 17 Grand Slam titles to Rafa’s 14. Federer had lost his previous four matches to top ten opponents and would potentially face four top ten opponents (which he did).

He had a five-year Grand Slam drought – his previous longest break had been just two years, from 2010 to 2012. More importantly, the 2017 Aussie Open final was against his nemesis, Nadal.

A win for Rafa would have made it 17-15 at majors and, with the French Open around the corner, that would likely close to 17-16, the clay maestro just one behind.

Pertinently, the only Grand Slam Federer had defeated Rafa at was Wimbledon. The two champions have never met at the US Open, Rafa won all five of their meetings at Roland-Garros – four in finals – while Federer had lost all three matches they played at the Aussie Open, including one final.

Hence, a loss at the 2017 Australian Open would have meant a fourth consecutive loss at the venue to Nadal and a seventh loss in nine Grand Slam finals. It would have also meant that Federer’s last Grand Slam final win over Rafa would have been way back in 2007, at Wimbledon.

With Federer a break behind in the fifth and final set it seemed all over, but he roared back to claim an unlikely victory.

(Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

That win gave the Swiss renewed confidence as he beat Rafa three more times in 2017. It also solved one of the biggest anomalies of tennis – where the undisputed No.1 was consistently losing to his great rival.

However, Rafa being Rafa, he stayed within striking distance by winning the 2017 French Open. Federer then won his eighth Wimbledon to take the lead to four once again. Incredibly, Nadal won the US Open to reduce the lead to three once more.

But his triumph at the 2018 Australian Open firms Federer’s case to be the definitive GOAT.

Ageless
At 36, Federer has won three out of the last five Grand Slams. Compared across all sports, this is as awesome as George Foreman becoming world heavyweight champion at 45, Cameroon footballer Roger Milla scoring a World Cup goal at 42, and Jack Nicklaus taking out the US Masters at 46.

Longevity
The Swiss has completed all 1300-plus of his professional matches – he hasn’t retired once – which shows how fit he is. He has spent 302 weeks at world No.1, the only player to break the 300 mark. This could yet increase.

His 2017 wins at the Australian Open and Wimbledon showed that at 35 he could win two majors in a year, which he last achieved at 27. He retained the Australian Open Championship in 2006 and 2007, and in 2017 and 2018 – a bewildering stat more than a decade apart. He’s won three of his last four Grand Slam tournaments, a feat he last achieved in 2008-09.

(AAP Image/Lukas Coch)

Consistency
Federer has taken consistency to a new level, reaching 52 Grand Slam quarter-finals – Jimmy Connors is a distant second, with 41. Among current players, Novak Djokovic (40), Nadal (33) and Andy Murray (30) are next in line.

At Grand Slam semis, Federer has 43. With his 14th semi-final entry at the Australian Open, he equalled Connors’ 14 US Open semi-finals as the highest at a single major. Federer has also reached 30 Grand Slam finals, which is the highest ever, Nadal’s 23 being next best.

Federer has won 20 Grand Slam titles, with Nadal second at 16. Unbelievably, from 2003 Wimbledon to 2010 US Open, Federer won 16 of 27 Grand Slams and played in the final of six more. In that seven-year period, he was present in all but five Grand Slam finals.

All-court record
Federer now has eight Wimbledon titles, ahead of William Renshaw and Pete Sampras (both seven). He also has six Australian Opens, equal to Roy Emerson and Novak Djokovic, and five US Opens, on par with Jimmy Connors.

He has just one French Open title, but we have to remember he was in the era of the invincible Nadal (ten). We also have to consider that he lost five times to Nadal at the French Open, and the only time the Spaniard lost to someone else (Robin Soderling) Federer seized the opportunity to claim the title.

Indeed, Federer’s overall record at Roland-Garros shows how good a clay court player he is compared to, say, the great Sampras, who had only a solitary semi-final at the French Open.

Style of play
According to Nadal, Federer “was born to play tennis”. His playing style is classic, unhurried and relaxed, with his one-handed backhand probably the most beautiful gift he’s given the game.

Incredibly, Federer said recently he won’t teach his kids the one-handed backhand, which Christopher Clarey of the New York Times said was “like Da Vinci telling his kids not to draw”.

This poetry in motion style has contributed to make Federer arguably the most loved sportsperson in the world. He’s won the ATP Fans’ Favorite award for 16 straight years since 2003.

The Stefan Edberg Sportsmanship Award is voted on by players, for the player who has conducted himself with highest level of professionalism and integrity, and who promoted the game through off-court activities. Federer has won it a record 13 times from 2004 to 2017, with the only exception being Nadal’s win in 2010.

Can Nadal bridge the gap again? If anyone can, it’s him, but it would be a monumental feat. At 36, Federer is moving better than ever, and somehow his serve and backhand seem to have improved.

Goran Ivanisevic says the Swiss can play at this level for five more years. Pat Cash says the Federer of today would beat the Federer of seven or eight years ago.

Added to this, fitness is strategy, which comes with maturity. According to Mats Wilander, Federer has the uncanny ability to hold himself back in the earlier stages of a tournament, so he can stroll through to the later stages and up the ante.

It’s certainly possible that his Grand Slam tally won’t end at 20.

After his 2018 Australian Open title, Roger Federer does seem to be the definitive GOAT.

The Crowd Says:

2018-02-16T22:32:35+00:00

duecer

Guest


Back to No. 1, breaking yet more records - oldest no.1 (surprisingly he was one of the oldest no.1's the last time he was at the top), biggest gap between stints at no. 1, longest gap from first becoming no.1. Think it settles the debate.

2018-02-14T03:55:42+00:00

express34texas

Guest


It wasn't boring Bruce, you're way oversimplifying it, though right to an extent. Longer points sometimes, not always, makes for more entertaining tennis for fans. The players were becoming too good, so surfaces have definitely slowed some overall to even this out. But, even on the fastest surfaces today, there's usually good tennis to be seen. Agassi did well in the 1990s, too, without a power game.

2018-02-14T01:20:54+00:00

Bruce

Guest


This is true. in the mid and late 90s there was a lot of concern about how boring men's tennis had become due to the dominant serving. Big serve - unreturnable, ace, ace, error and the game is over. Rule changes were considered (only 1 serve). Men's tennis was becoming quite boring....until Federer came along.

2018-02-13T22:18:34+00:00

Denis Daly

Guest


Federer is the GOAT. He has 20 slams, 96 tournaments, 302 weeks at number 1, and 6 ATP tour finals wins. He has been in 30 slam finals (that is almost 8 years of reaching all four). At one stage he was in 18 out of 19 slams. Federer has beaten a 29 year old Sampras at Wimbledon, he has beaten Agassi in the US open final (when Agassi was as efficient at winning as Fed is now, in fact Fed has copied a lot from Agassi), he beat Safin, who used to demolish Sampras (even a peak Sampras), and he beat a peak Hewitt (who also beat a peak Sampras in the US open final), He reached 5 French Open finals, 11 Wimbledon finals, 7 US open finals, and 7 Australian open finals. Only Nadal has won more matches at Rolland Garros, and Federer has not played there the last 2 years. Federer is pushing on 100 wins in all the non clay slam tournaments. Federer has won close to 1,200 matches. Federer has been in 43 slam semis and 52 quarters (equivalent of 13 years of reaching all four slam quarters). Federer tends NOT get knocked out other players who are playing sensational, unlike Novak and Nadal. Federer has and has always had tremendous enthusiasms and joy playing tennis. He exudes and communicates joy, and shrugs off disappointment very quickly, and looks forward. His style of play is Federeresque (enough said). Federer is highly motivated to demolish records in 2018, and beyond. Tokyo Olympics are within his compass. Federer may very well finish as the oldest ATP world number one in 2018. Federer has a real chance of exceeding Connor's modern day record 109 tournament wins. In fact, Federer owns over 80% of all ATP open era records. And this will increase. Novak will not win 20 slams, in fact Novak will end up winning less than 18. Rafa, as great a player as he is, only has about 3 slams left in him. Losing slam matches as a 33 and 34 year old may be very though for him to take. I expect he will retire before 35. So his opportunities to catch Roger will be limited. And there is zero chance that Rafa will come close to Roger's other records. People may look back and think, was the post 2008 period weak? The argument being that a 35/36/37 year old Federer has been so rampant almost 10 years later. Australia is now playing faster than what it was, in fast slightly quicker than the relatively slow Wimbledon. Roger has played through the very slow era where 35 shots were common in every game, and 5 and 6 hour matches not uncommon. Given his strength is in fast surfaces. that has been difficult. Now, the average surface is getting slightly quicker. If this continues, Roger may dominate for years. And had the courts not been slowed down so much, we could be talking about Roger with over 30 slams, more like 35. The persistence and resilience of Federer has paid off. The Ultra slow courts may go some way in explaining why this might be perceived as a weak era, with a relative dearth of skills. Yes, Roger is the GOAT, not just for all he has achieved, but also for his role modelling abilities, and for his rescuing of tennis from the drudgery of 6 hour matches where the player who makes the least errors wins. Here is to the GOAT!!!!

2018-02-13T04:17:44+00:00

express34texas

Guest


I think Borg would have something to say about best player pre-1980. Laver was also 5-8, which is one inch taller than Schwartzman. I'm sorry, but nobody that short is competing for anything substantial against today's top players. The game has changed a lot today, hindering the power players more and bringing the weaker counterpunchers more into the mix. But, Fed remains the best overall at playing on any surface.

2018-02-13T02:08:26+00:00

Lancey5times

Roar Rookie


My favourite stat is that Federer has now won 10% of the Slams that have ever been played!

2018-02-12T22:57:36+00:00

Fionn

Guest


So 3 of the 4 was played on grass then. Tam's point not have been 100% factually accurate, but the fact is that Tam is right in saying that Laver won most of his slams (Aus, Wimbledon and US) on the same surface as opposed to the different surfaces today. The fact is that from about 2001 surfaces were slow down to create longer rallies, advantaging guys like Djokovic and Nadal and disadvantaging guys like Federer, Hewitt or even Murray. The Wimbledon of the 1990s was much faster than today.

2018-02-12T18:46:45+00:00

express34texas

Guest


I'm well aware of the pitfalls of H2H stats as I mentioned; otherwise, why I would bring up Courier's H2H advantage over Agassi, etc? And why I questioned those who think Nadal is superior to Fed based on H2H, which I don't and not that close even, yet at least. But, then I doubt they would say Djoker is superior to Nadal, or Djoker is superior to both of them since he owns the H2H advantage against both currently. It's different times nowadays, and some older players are doing better. But, Nadal/Djoker both have now just reached their 30s. Djoker looks like a trainwreck. Nadal is getting injured a lot. I seriously doubt Nadal is winning 5 more FOs, but with many of the top player hurt and Fed probably not playing any clay this season, it looks a lot more likely for Nadal winning the FO this year. Almost never do we see players winning GS titles in their 30s, and about 90% of those players are doing it at 30-31, almost nothing at age 32+. Nadal/Djoker have it a lot easier now since younger players aren't anywhere near as good as they were, and Fed is an old man in tennis years at 36, so yes, they could win more. You were primarily talking about saying we can't declare a current GOAT, which is wrong, if someone wants to debate this. Fed is clearly the GOAT currently, not much debate(at least good debate), but while highly unlikely, that could potentially change when Fed/Nadal/Djoker all hang up their racquets.

2018-02-12T10:57:53+00:00

John Erichsen

Roar Guru


There are so many factors and many have changed over time. From the changing surfaces in more modern times, compared to the three grass surfaces 50 years ago, to the great players on the pro circuit in the late 40's through to the start of the Open era, unable to compete for major championship titles. Even the absence of many great players from the Australian Open when it was scheduled at the end of the year (Borg only played in one Australian Open, Connors only two). There will never be a truly equal playing field to compare from one era to another. Major titles are the measure used but that really does little justice to the likes of Pancho Gonzalez and Ken Rosewall, who were on the Pro tour for much of their prime tennis years.

2018-02-12T10:33:52+00:00

John Erichsen

Roar Guru


Please share when the French open was played on grass...

2018-02-12T10:16:08+00:00

John Erichsen

Roar Guru


Laver's career is an am amazing one, but we need to remember that some of the professional players, who couldn't play in the late 50's and early 60's dominated Laver for much of their career. For example, in 1963, Laver, on the back of his first Grand Slam, was beaten by Rosewall 11 of 13 matches on the Australasian tour of the pro circuit. Gonzales played for 18 years on the Pro tour, having a very good record over Laver, even though he was 10 years older than Rod. I wont ever discount what Rod Laver achieved, but I will acknowledge that major titles alone don't tell the whole story. Their major titles tally may not compare with Federer, Nadal, Emerson, Laver and the Joker, but don't discount either Rosewall or Gonzalez from the best of all time discussions.

2018-02-12T10:05:42+00:00

John Erichsen

Roar Guru


Any Laver fans who discount Federer from being the GOAT because of his well-known struggles against Nadal, should do some research about Laver's troubles with Pancho Gonzalez and at times, Ken Rosewall. Both Laver and Federer are real contenders for the GOAT, but we should remember that Gonzales played on the Pro tour from the age of 21 until the Open era commenced when he was 39. Major championship victory totals only reveal part of the story. Do we remember that in 1963, the year after Laver won his first Grand Slam, Rosewall won 11 of 13 matches against Laver, played on grass courts during the pro circuit's Australasian tour?

2018-02-12T04:23:34+00:00

Matt H

Roar Guru


Also by saying Djoker's slams are worth more because it was in the Federer/Nadal era, is sort of acknowledging that Federer and Nadal are the great players of the generation. Novak won a number of those slams while Federer battled back injuries and Nadal struggled with multiple injuries.

2018-02-12T02:11:03+00:00

clipper

Guest


Federer is the GOAT of the GOAT era - 3 of the top 5 players of all time including the greatest clay court player. To reach 20 GS titles is amazing, but to win 3 out of the 4 he last played over the age of 35 is unbelievable. Even during his fallow years his record was such that most players would be ecstatic with it. It's hard to judge eras, but the modern game encompasses many more countries that it did, on different surfaces and with a strong AO - many players wouldn't even bother to come out here years ago.

2018-02-11T00:18:37+00:00

duecer

Guest


Also to be factored in is that that half the players weren't present when Laver won his first slam - guys like Rosewall, who had a good record against Laver and Gonzales.

AUTHOR

2018-02-10T20:02:13+00:00

Ritesh Misra

Roar Guru


Terrific views and inputs above. will respond and react to them. Thanks a lot

2018-02-10T13:41:52+00:00

vasilios magklaveras

Guest


fed between 2011 and 2016 made 5 slam finals and won 1 title. he also won 1 W.F title and was a finalist 3 times. he also won 7 masters titles. in total he won 22 atp titles and he was no 1 for 17 weeks but mostly he was in top 3 excluding 2013 and 2016. AND THOSE NUMBERS WERE ACHIEVED IN HIS........"decline"

2018-02-10T10:07:18+00:00

tam

Guest


And Laver playing all those slams on grass. If Feds were playing 4 slams on grass 2003-2007, he would have won 16 slams straight. Laver is nowhere near GOAT. Bringing him into this conversation is just a joke.

2018-02-10T05:10:10+00:00

Fionn

Guest


I don't think you can compare the modern era with the old era. The games are so different now. I think it's fair to say that Laver was the greatest of about the pre-1980s era and Federer is the greatest of the modern era.

2018-02-10T04:45:22+00:00

Karma Miranda

Guest


We're still comparing Federer to Nadal in the G.O.A.T discussion? Come back to me when either of them have actually done the Grand Slam. Laver did it as an Amatuer, then again 7 years later when the Amatuers unified with the Professional circuit. Beat all comers twice. Laver

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