The future of Australian football is all up to chance

By Stuart Thomas / Expert

As Al Pacino famously said in his pre-game address during the 1999 film Any Given Sunday, ‘that’s what living is; the six inches in front of your face.’

I love that image. It presents such a succinct message of opportunity and a blunt reality that strips back much of the nonsense with which our minds can often become cluttered.

It asked a simple and fundamental question to the gridiron team that he was fictionally coaching.

Will you take your chance?

That’s what sport is, in essence. A series of moments and chances that present themselves; begging to be grasped, taken and acted upon.

It is that action that brings about change, without any, the status quo is assured.

Sometimes things pan out perfectly, other times poor decisions sink the athlete further into the mire. The competitor must then wait for the next moment to come along and the subsequent opportunity to extricate themselves.

Australian football exists and depends on the taking of those chances. Just as Jackson Irvine’s early header against Norway on Saturday lifted the nation and brought hope, so too Tim Cahill has pounced at poignant moments; moments that have shaped our footballing history.

Bert van Marwijk has a bucket load of chances and opportunities in front of his face right now. With six substitutions in the Oslo disaster and a match on Wednesday with Colombia where he may mirror that approach, it appears he is willing to exhaust every available avenue in order to find that for which he is looking.

Sadly, some players will miss their chance altogether and Bailey Wright appeared to lose the confidence of the manager in Norway. It was painful to watch. A competent and in-form defender produced a howler of a performance and despite not being blessed with riches in that position, it appears likely the manager will look elsewhere.

Thus a chance will present itself for someone else.

Chances can also slowly dry up and Mark Milligan must be experiencing that feeling as we speak. Frustrated at covering the right-back position after Wright’s exit, the former Melbourne Victory man was time after time confounded down the flank by Mohamed Elyounoussi.

No disgrace there, as the quality of the Norwegian is unquestioned, yet it completes a pattern of recent performances for Milligan where his old legs are becoming increasingly caught out by speedier opposition.

What chance Mile Jedinak misses out altogether when van Marwijk’s plans are formed into a squad? Unthinkable a few years back, yet with Milligan and Jedinak on the pitch together, the deficiencies in speed and agility are magnified.

Both Matthew Jurman and Trent Sainsbury’s June travel plans seem assured after the defensive effort against Norway. It appears they have clasped their chances with both hands while sitting in the stands. Life can be like that sometimes.

Tomi Juric and Nikita Rukavytsya have golden chances right before their very eyes and considering the lack of production in the front third in recent Socceroos’ history, any significant impact at all will put them on the plane.

Van Marwijk himself has taken a considerable chance in this five month adventure. While not long enough to destroy his reputation, it may also be a little too short to achieve anything of substance.

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The FFA have joined in on the risk/reward feel and handed Graham Arnold the post-World Cup reigns and a defence of the Asian Cup title. Many feel this might just be the biggest leap of all and the most significant chance taken on our national team in recent history.

On the other hand, what a moment for Arnold. If he is as improved a manger as he claims to be and continually developing his tactical knowledge, a seizing of the day and a second Asian Cup triumph might just be his defining moment.

More deeply, the growth of the game on a national scale depends on our ability to capitalise on chances and opportunities that exist right now and others that will present themselves moving forward.

Parlaying player participation numbers into A-League support, riding the wave of success of the Matildas and capitalising on booming female junior growth, as well as facing the ever so difficult structural challenges our new, tiered national competition will pose, aren’t things to be feared.

(Photo by Zak Kaczmarek/Getty Images)

The crafting of the new and expanded A-League along with a reconnection to a surging NPL should be a challenge thrived upon by those charged with its implementation.

Designing and implementing a working and effective promotion and relegation structure in Australia should also be an enthusiastic endeavour, with the potential rewards far outweighing the undoubted difficulties and challenges along the way.

In this way, Australian football is blessed with chances and opportunities both individually and collectively, despite some negative coverage.

The World Cup in Russia will no doubt be forecast in doom by many, as is already occurring, yet once again the moment is there to be taken.

It might only take an opportunistic goal against Denmark to secure a point or a Mathew Ryan save that ensures all three against Peru. When tallied along with the dour point secured in the opening match against France; knock-out stage here we come.

Sounds somewhat fanciful I know, yet as did Iceland’s chances at Euro 2016.

There are a collection of moments that lie ahead for Australian football and action and initiative rather than indecision and procrastination, both on and off the pitch, is required.

When all is said and done, seizing the moment is what life and football is all about.

The Crowd Says:

2018-03-27T21:47:53+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


When AUS missed a dozen or more real chances against Thailand that would've sent us directly to WC2018, Mr Aussie Rules suggested missed goals don't count for anything and good teams take the chances. Bad luck to your team today, Mr Aussie Rules. When Vuka saved the penalty, you must've been devastated. Chin up & stay away from sharp objects.

2018-03-27T21:08:18+00:00

Grobbelaar

Roar Guru


The future of Australian football is all up to chance The Socceroos certainly rode their luck this morning.

2018-03-27T11:20:41+00:00

Cousin Claudio

Roar Guru


Jurman has two knees.

2018-03-27T11:17:01+00:00

Cousin Claudio

Roar Guru


Nice article Stuart and that's part of my philosophy, to seize the moment. Trouble is the Footballroos have had plenty of chances to shine over the last year or two but have not taken them, particularly in the front third. Have they been drilled so much about passing the ball and keeping possession by Yokohama Ange that they have forgotten how to shoot. Is Aussie Bert drilling them so much in defence, that they have forgotten how to attack. Yes, seize the moment, but lets learn how to create the moments first. Lets teach the skill of seizing the moment to our junior footballers first.

2018-03-27T11:10:44+00:00

Cousin Claudio

Roar Guru


Apart from Iceland, Portugal lost 3-0 to a country that failed to Qualify, France lost to Columbia. Early preparation jitters or just not going to cut it.

2018-03-27T08:26:51+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Agree. I've got Luongo in my preferred Starting XI for tomorrow. But, I realise he is prone to shockers. Not just goes missing, but shockers. And that can be a real liability in the midfield.

2018-03-27T08:24:57+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Very kind words, Onside. Thank you very much.

2018-03-27T08:20:38+00:00

Kangajets

Guest


Eddie Why winter Hal ? Winter would be a disaster for the jets imo No chance you get bigger crowds on cold winter days and tv would be even worse imo

2018-03-27T07:42:55+00:00

Onside

Guest


I am so pleased we are there . We'll have a crack , Aussies always do. Regarding quality of either teams or individual players , consider for a moment the many teams ranked above Australia who missed out. The Socceroos are there mate, many huge nations aren't, how good is that. The Fat Lady ?, hells bells, she might sing Waltzing Matilda in French.

2018-03-27T07:29:18+00:00

Onside

Guest


I always enjoy your views and recall of history Nemesis. They add another dimension to this site.

2018-03-27T07:28:54+00:00

fadida

Guest


Agree. If we rule out any of our players who have had "shockers" in the last year we wouldn't find XI players to start

2018-03-27T06:45:47+00:00

Grobbelaar

Roar Guru


It is incorrect to surmise that FIFA has done us any favours. Asia's favourable WC qualification treatment was already in place before we joined, and was due to some successful oil sheik lobbying. We can thank Lowy snr for getting us into the AFC so that we could be one of three or four clubs regularly sipping from the cup of easy qualification. That's probably his single greatest achievement - it was a minor miracle at the time that he succeeded.

2018-03-27T06:13:33+00:00

LuckyEddie

Guest


Exactly Chris this ridiculous fixation with the WC is just avoiding the hard work that needs to be done to get HAL in good health. If we make it out of our group the media will give a little bit of extra coverage for a day or so then back to their clients AFL and NRL. It's interesting that the EPL took off when England, Scotland, Wales and Nth Ireland were not even qualifying for the WC. Three games in Russia , win or lose, will not define football in Australia. An expanded and well promoted HAL played in our winter (preferably) is what will define football in Australia.

2018-03-27T06:06:12+00:00

LuckyEddie

Guest


Oneside you are not allowed to criticise big Ange even when he bolted and left Bert holding the can. Ange fluked an Asian Cup when we dodged Japan and only ever had plan A. He knew what was coming and bolted. He claimed the old family responsibilities then took off to Japan, but forgot the family. He is sneaky because if we fail it's Bet's fault if we do OK it was because of him and the media play along. At the end of the day no matter who is in charge we just do not have any quality that could even cause an upset. Best get it over and done with and then get back to promoting the day in day out home league HAL.

2018-03-27T06:03:10+00:00

Newie

Guest


Yep

2018-03-27T06:02:49+00:00

Newie

Guest


Griffo, I like your spunk. Of course keep Petratos and Nabbout on! On Milligan, no, I don't like him there either but with no Trent or Matt J, what to do? Maybe as mentioned, move Jedi to the back line and put Luongo and Mooy in the centre.

2018-03-27T05:21:48+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Luongo was utterly awful in the Confed Cup vs Germany. Dragged at HT. But, to his credit, had a blinder in the 3rd match vs Chile.

2018-03-27T05:06:49+00:00

Lionheart

Guest


do you mean 'zero sum gain'? Otherwise, best you explain what you mean by zeros sum game? That to me, means the result for all codes is zero, everybody loses, which would be strange.

2018-03-27T04:49:43+00:00

Stevo

Roar Rookie


No matter the situation, always look on the bright side of life! Hear hear Stuart, nice work. I'm looking forward to tuning in to the game tomorrow to catch the next installment of the Roos march to Russia. Assuming our federal government doesn't stop us participating as it ratchets up the heat on Moscow :(

2018-03-27T04:49:29+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Disagree. We were outstanding in the 2nd half vs Germany and had the Germans camped in their own half for the final 20'. If the game went on longer, I'm confident we would've equalised. No doubt we got utterly smashed in that match in the opening 20' but Germany didn't take the chances. When AUS doesn't take chances we say "that's bad football". Then Rogic equalises and we are about to go in 1-1 at HT, but Luongo who had a shocker has a brain fade & gives away a penalty. The 2nd match vs Cameroon , I recall an even match & Cameroon had 1 major chance on the long ball counter attack & they scored.

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