The NRL premiership is still wide open

By thecolumn / Roar Rookie

With only six teams remaining in the NRL premiership, who will take the silverware?

Will it be Melbourne again? Or are the Roosters the team to beat? Do we rule out Souths and Cronulla, or are they still a chance? What about Brisbane? They haven’t won a premiership since 2006. Can James Maloney win a third premiership with as many teams?

It’s anyone’s competition this year, with just a win separating first and eighth at the end of the home-and-away season.

It seems as if everyone is backing the Roosters, with Sportbet having them at a low $3.40 to claim their 14th premiership. Melbourne come in at second despite being without star halfback Cooper Cronk.

A Melbourne win will need to be off the back of strong performances by captain Cameron Smith. We saw on Friday night that when he takes control and organises, takes the pressure comes off young half Brodie Croft to deliver, with the confident 21-year-old playing arguably his best NRL game, delivering a crucial try assist seconds before half-time.

James Tedesco seems likely to be the man to take the Roosters to their second premiership in five years. The former Tiger had an outstanding performance on Saturday night, having two try assists and three line breaks in their crucial win against the Cronulla Sharks. The fullback had a slow start at his new club, battling injuries and finding it difficult to adjust to new structures, but he looks at home now at Bondi.

Excellent performances of late have given him an outside chance at the Dally M Awards as well as a red-hot shot at the Australian number one jersey, so expect Tedesco to create even more havoc in his first finals series.

(Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)

The South Sydney Rabbitohs and the Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks fought hard on Friday and Saturday respectively, but both fell just short of having a week’s rest. Greg Inglis’s men will take on the Brisbane Broncos and the Sharks, less Wade Graham, will come up against Penrith Panthers.

For the Souths it will have to be the Burgess boys leading from the front. When they defeated Melbourne in Round 21 in arguably their best game of the year it was Damien Cook with a stellar performance off the back of the English mob’s metres and quick play of the balls that allowed the New South Wales hooker to scoop from dummy half while the defensive line was rushing to get back on side.

For the Rabbitohs to win the next three games they need more of this, which Anthony Seibold has built their season on.

The man to deliver the Cronulla Sharks to another title would have to be fullback Valentine Holmes. Recently he has looked at home at number one, helping Cronulla to win their last four games of the regular season to finish in the top four. Although it wasn’t to be for Cronulla on Saturday night, Holmes still had a solid game without it being spectacular.

Cronulla will need more from Holmes to beat the Panthers and ultimately win the premiership. When he goes to the right side and links up with the powerful Josh Dugan, Cronulla are at their best. Shane Flanagan will be wanting more of that from his fullback to keep Cronulla’s premiership hopes alive.

The Penrith Panthers have looked like a different team since captain James Maloney made his return in Round 25. The 32-year-old has led his side to victories over the Storm and Warriors, transforming a side that looked to be only making up the numbers a few weeks ago into a genuine premiership threat.

(AAP Image/Michael Chambers)

He has taken the pressure off Nathan Cleary, who now looks to be more relaxed and flamboyant, which converts into more points for Cameron Cilraldo’s men. With Maloney leading three different teams to grand finals, two victoriously, can he do it again? First they have to beat Cronulla in probably their toughest challenge of the year.

Now to the Dragons, and who saw that coming? A 30-point victory was their first finals win since 2010. It was off the back of a dominant display from their forwards, which saw them start the competition so well and leading for the first 16 rounds.

Although the Dragons put their best foot forward, it may be a difficult night for them against the Rabbitohs next Saturday. They will be without injured skipper Gareth Widdop and potentially New South Wales lock forward Jack de Belin.

They will need to their forwards doing the job if they’re to record back-to-back wins, as when they do, they take pressure off Ben Hunt’s long kicking game, which in turn frees him upto have the confidence to kick early on in sets, as we saw on Sunday. That put pressure on Brisbane and ultimately resulted in a win for the Dragons, their first over a top-eight team since Round 9.

The Crowd Says:

2018-09-11T04:31:31+00:00

Peter Piper

Guest


It will end up a Roosters v Storm GF with the decider going either way. Anything in between is just noise. Enjoyable noise perhaps but noise just the same. I would like to see the Storm go back to back but Cronk has given the Roosters an edge. Bellamy might pull off a mater stroke and find a chink in the chooks armour but failing that it will come down to brute force, skill and stamina. GREAT!

2018-09-11T00:41:06+00:00

Steve from down south

Guest


Thank you, finally a common sense post

2018-09-10T21:02:18+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Hey Paul - I agree the ref kept a skinny ten but I don’t think the Storm got away with anything in the ruck that Souths didn’t. Souths were every bit as cynical as the Storm in knowing the refs didn’t want to blow penalties. Souths had flops and second efforts all night. Melbourne’s average play the ball speed was 3.24 seconds. Souths was 3.16 seconds. As a point of comparison the average for both Warriors and Panthers was 3.56 seconds. Roosters was 3.20 and Sharks 3.25. Broncos 2.95 and Dragons 2.93. That doesn’t paint a picture of the Storm slowing the play the ball more than any other team. During all the live blogs over the weekend the old “NRL wants ......... to win” or “refs will get ........... back in this” came out I thought the refereeing over the weekend was pretty good bar the odd 50/50 here and there and we saw some excellent footy. The telling stat isn’t play the ball it’s completion. Storm 89% Souths 80% Panthers 87% Warriors 79% Roosters 93% Sharks 86% Dragons 84% Broncos 68%

2018-09-10T09:29:52+00:00

Hard Yards

Roar Rookie


That’s the best game I can recall Souths playing against a tough opponent. You’re right about Melbourne. They’re September Specialists. Did Souths play their best game of the year? Did the Dragons play their best game of the year against the Broncos? Souths and Dragons meet next. Who wants to tip? The brave - or the foolish.

AUTHOR

2018-09-10T02:55:20+00:00

thecolumn

Roar Rookie


Good points.

2018-09-10T02:43:38+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


Paul , I agree with you on the Roosters and the Sharks. Big losses for both teams and I just can’t see them coming back, but the Storm get a rails run into the GF. Nelson back, Chambers back plus a week off . I don’t see else anyone going close. No other team could have gone with Souths on Friday. Souths were sensational but still the Storm found a way home. I am an anyone but Melbourne kind of guy but the stars always align for them in September and it will take a miracle or a Sam Burgess special with the lot to beat them in October.

2018-09-09T23:31:39+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


This is a nice summary of where things stand, but I'd like to throw another couple of points into the mix. Latrell Mitchell is gone for at least one game, which will hurt the Roosters considerably. The Storm got away with some questionable tactics in Melbourne, trying to slow down the play. I wonder how they'll go if they're not able to do these sort of things? Souths side is based on confidence and this seemed to be missing when the game was on the line the other night. Sides which can get into their heads and hurt their confidence can beat them. Can the Sharks win if Wade Graham doesn't play? Will Moylan step up next game and take control as his talent suggests he should? Are the injuries to Widdop & De Belin a premiership killer for the Dragons? Mann is a very useful replacement and there are lots of guys jumping out of their skin to replace De Belin. Your're right, this season is not over by a long streak

AUTHOR

2018-09-09T23:10:46+00:00

thecolumn

Roar Rookie


Yes, forgot to change it.

2018-09-09T23:07:33+00:00

Greg

Guest


You do realise that Brisbane got eliminated yesterday?

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