All these "Six Nation" Tests are just World Cup preliminaries

By Harry Jones / Expert

England’s Australian mastermind Eddie Jones loves to say things nobody believes.

It’s a style of speech.

We all know all coaches of the six teams with a chance of the Rugby World Cup semi-finals are dreaming, obsessing, planning and fearing the key pool matches and projected quarter-final matchups.

Yet there Jones was, with his beaming face, bright-eyed and sporadically balding, fresh from watching the ritual slaughter of the Irish rebels, putting their uprising down with the brutality of a drunken butcher, telling a room of journos: “No, this has nothing to do with the World Cup. We’ll start thinking about that when it’s ten days until the first pool match.”

Ireland’s rugby intelligentsia made no such pretence. They went there. Most pundits from the Emerald Isle went into a full-blown panic about England showing New Zealand and South Africa the ‘game plan’ to handle Joe Schmidt’s ball-control offence.

The subtext was: if England can insert a couple of Vunipolas and a Tuilagi and make us crumple into little balls of damaged green marrow, what unholy hell can the Boks and All Blacks unleash if they put their mind less on tactics and more on sheer battery?

England was impressively better at the Schmidt-Farrell style than Ireland: clinical, physical, organised and no-nonsense. Elliot Daly played the part of Rob Kearney, passing well, safe as a border backstop and opportunistic to take his mad try. The English wings hunted for television time like those days when Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson find the BBC camera after Jonny May’s mum gives a speech.

Square-jawed, square-haired Henry Slade transmogrified into Brian O’Driscoll, lucky and good and also lucky and really good. His gallop, scoop, dive, crawl, stretch, and lovefest for the jugular try was something BOD would have manufactured.

Manu Tuilagi seemed as joyful as a Galway stonemason on Friday payday, looking for a fight and a laugh. The entire English backline chased like 2018 Irishmen, causing 2019 Irishmen all manner of problems in defusing the bombs laid down perfectly by Jonny Sexton’s emotional doppelganger Owen Farrell and his mate Ben Youngs (impersonating Conor Murray as a master box kicker and attack general and nuisance).

But it was in the trenches where England really did look like somebody had bugged Irish training sessions. The Vunipola in the front row was the best prop on the pitch. Jamie George bested Rory Best and did it for 76 minutes, while Kyle Sinckler only heard Peter O’Mahony’s worst insult because he was playing better than his opposite.

The white-jerseyed locks were absolute nightmares at the breakdown and tacklepoint; all of them playing like Paul O’Connell in his heyday: manic intensity with malice.

Tom Curry seemed tasked with hurting Irish backs, mostly legally, and slowing Murray’s ball, mostly illegally but that’s his job, all of which allowed Mark Wilson and the other Vunipola to smash Irish forwards.

Don’t let Eddie’s generous praise fool anyone. This was crushing for Ireland; like a hangover on the day you get sacked and come home and your girlfriend left you.

Owen embarrassed his dad, even leaving points on the field just for good measure; the home side’s back three looked adrift. The collisions seemed to offend even big lugs like Healy, but instead of becoming angry, they looked a tad docile, except to hurl invectives into the cold heavens, or mutter to their own selves. Devin Toner looked mightily miffed.

Garry Ringrose fought a good fight, but nothing came of his smart kicks and tackles. Bundee Aki isn’t really as physical as many think. Jacob Stockdale is still learning his craft.

But the entire narrative of “Ireland is the best team in the world” or even the “It’s the All Blacks or Ireland, and then, the rest” was given truth serum, because that meta-narrative depending on this micro-story: that Sexton-Murray is the best old school combination of 9-10 in the world, with apologies to BBBBB who is the best player, but not best flyhalf.

Well, it’s not clear Sexton can get from here to there, meaning Japan. He was rash, he was uneasy and at the end, he looked miserable. Murray should have been replaced at the half by a better half. But the rest of the bench offered little.

It’s not too early to talk about confidence. Only a handful of Tests precede Ireland’s campaign to progress past the quarter-finals for the very first time, and confidence is king. Scotland awaits and it will be no picnic at Murrayfield.

(Photo by David Rogers – RFU/The RFU Collection via Getty Images)

Meanwhile, everyone who wants to boost their confidence should play France at the moment, because they keep finding incredibly difficult ways to lose matches: the way 2018 Ireland won it with a Sexton drop goal after what seemed like a hundred phases, the extra four minutes that gave the Boks a larcenous win at the end of last year, and now, to give Wales a comeback from 0-16 at halftime, when it really should have been 0-21.

Wales pulled off the largest fightback in Six Nations history, and Warren Gatland, who takes the opposite view from Eddie Jones said: “We’ve forgotten how to lose.”

Liam Williams looks like he could become a World Cup hero, George North is still much younger than we think and the Welsh backline looks like they have depth in every position, with top quality in smart Jonathan Davies, feisty Gareth Davies, calm Dan Biggar and a veritable bevy of loose forwards seemingly rolling off some assembly line deep in a lost and magical coal mine.

Wales looks like they are just a couple of players (the Kiwis: Gareth Anscombe and Geoff Parkes’ cousin are probably at risk) away from sneaking into the semi-finals in the Big Dance; but Josh Navidi, Justin Tipuric and that big nasty bugger at No 8 filling in nicely for Toby Faletau looked the goods.

The opening weekend did show us a few things about the World Cup, Eddie: teams will have to bring more than boring competence to get into the final four, depth is all, every season poses new problems and don’t count out England, bloody England.

The Crowd Says:

2019-02-07T13:30:12+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Kane, I’d love to believe that but I think Smithy is enjoying his life after his cancer scare and I think he is over coaching the AB’s again. We are lucky we had him for as long as we did.

2019-02-07T03:04:09+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Yes agree there Geoff, many seem to pin the entire success of the world cup on the match they saw last weekend, when the relevance is so far from that reality that its next weeks fish and chip paper at best. Playing a WCup campaign in Japan in September has little to no connection to a England Ireland 6N match in Ireland, the dynamics come WCup time a totally different order of merit.

2019-02-07T00:24:49+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


Will we see Wayne fly back in to assist like he did with the last RWC? He’s currently coaching in Japan. May have been a pre planned move getting him their coaching to understand and the dynamics of playing in Japan etc

2019-02-06T22:40:41+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


I think Nick, the English performance was one out of the box. A bit like the 2012 game against NZ. However last weekend’s game was ‘away’ as will the RWC so all credit to England. Performances like last weekends and 2012 have not been duplicated often ... in my opinion, no game I have watched in the ensuing 7 years from England have matched those outstanding performances. I think the next few games in the 6N will tell us more.

2019-02-06T22:35:16+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


Can’t see Wales making it either. Ireland just might tip over the Boks or All Blacks in the 1/4s. But can they back that up with two more wins? Probably not

2019-02-06T22:23:57+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


And I’ve dismissed Wales????

2019-02-06T22:22:45+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Watched the replay mate, I thought Young outplayed Murray and Farrell outplayed Sexton due to the dominance of the English pack. I thought it certainly curtailed Sexton’s influence.

2019-02-06T22:17:10+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Actually Harry, I think the Boks and Ireland did NZ a favour by beating us last year. The ABs have long memories, in both games, one at home, the other away, Hansen was out coached (he won’t have liked that) and will be looking for retribution at the appropriate time. From the ABs viewpoint though, I think Wayne Smith’s retirement has been a huge void to fill and that’s with respect to the efforts of Scott McLeod in defence. Likewise I’m sure ‘the professor’s influence in attack supporting Foster is missed. Interesting times with the RWC not so far away now.

2019-02-06T22:02:06+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Harry, I still believe Ireland are in with a chance but their big match will be in the quarters once more. I might be crazy but I also think Aussie will also not be easy at least to make the big dance due to their draw. BTW I don’t mind enchiladas, but only with ‘the good stuff’ as ingredients ???? Not quite cut and dry just yet

AUTHOR

2019-02-06T20:35:17+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Sexton will be 34 when he plays the biggest match of his life: a QF with big Boks or athletic All Blacks hitting him just as he passes and kicks. IF he can be healthy enough to play in that match.

2019-02-06T20:29:50+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


It also relies heavily on 1-2 older players not getting injured.

AUTHOR

2019-02-06T20:22:23+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


So true. The things that were being written about Schmidt and Farrell and Sexton and the Irish pack! Basically, that they had invented a new form of rugby. It all looks very old school to me, heavily dependent on orders, shape, fitness, and CONFIDENCE. I like it very much. But others can get fit, form a shape, and get confident (from beating it).

2019-02-06T19:28:05+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


I agree Harry. That’s why I’ll have my money on Ireland stage of elimination - ¼ final should I finally be able to find someone to offer it. Problem is I think those odds would have taken a tumble after last weekends hiding.

AUTHOR

2019-02-06T19:08:06+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Cheers, NB! I agree with you that it wouldn't be a "carbon copy." England did two main things very well: tactical kicks to a ragged back three, and snot-knocking smash-mouth gain line mastery. The Boks can do the latter, and will need to improve on the former. The All Blacks are not bad at the kicking game, when they want to do that, and I think they can pick a pack and a midfield that is at least the equal of England.

AUTHOR

2019-02-06T19:03:53+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


JN: Yes, this RWC makes teams go really deep into their squad, and rewards the "big" teams with RWC pedigree. So far, without fail. It's a bit like the other World Cup. Not many Cinderella stories. Probably the faves will emerge from the pools, even if Fiji could scare Australia, but in the QF, I just think the underdog Boks will overcome Ireland, or the ABs will put them away.

AUTHOR

2019-02-06T19:01:39+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Decent points, Neil, and impossible to refute, of course. For me, the Irish have become too coach-dependent, and also rise and fall too much on how well Murray-Sexton play, given that Sexton has a bit of the fragility that being 33 brings, and Conor is just a bit off the pace, now.

AUTHOR

2019-02-06T18:59:28+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


It is a tough run, but I would say the ARG-FR-OZ run won't be as bothersome as the Irish QF vs SA or NZ. That must annoy Ireland. To be the best or almost best and your reward is facing ABs or the scary Boks in the QF!

2019-02-06T13:52:05+00:00

Nicholas Bishop

Expert


I'm not so convinced this will be a plan so easy to repeat H - even for England! A very special set of circumstances came together to produce that England performance, while a fair few of the Irish players were underdone. Do I believe the ABs and Boks could simply copy it? Absolutely not. NZ don't have the kicking game and the Bok backfield is nowhere near strong enough. Having said that I do agree that Joe Schmidt has top find a way to make Ireland more flexible in time for the WC :)

2019-02-06T13:30:05+00:00

Just Nuisance

Roar Rookie


Depth , Depth , Depth . And then depth. ...and then.... only 3 teams really have it and you have identified them Harry.

2019-02-06T08:46:23+00:00

Neil Back

Roar Rookie


Another very entertaining and on point read Harry, thanks for that. I think England just did Ireland a huge favour. I suspect this has given the Irish a shake every side needs from time to time, and preferably not in a RWC semi. They still have a world class coaching team and world-class players. To write them off as one dimensional and predictable would be as foolish as writing off England after a calamitous 6N - and let's remember this was a single match. Add to that Connor Murray arrived at the Aviva carrying poor club form and Sexton a suspected lingering injury and rust - your key catalysts for mid-game change are kneecapped. That's not always gonna happen. I'm not prepared to exclude the Irish from your triumvirate of NZ, England and SA as most likely to lift the urn just yet. Any side would have struggled to contain that English performance.

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar