Justin Langer and the rest of the Australian brains trust will no doubt spend a few days reviewing the Ashes tour to date, now that the halfway point has been passed.
There will naturally be a lot of disappointment following the failure to close out the series in the third Test, but what other points are they likely to take from the performances so far?
The top three spots in the batting order remain an issue. Australia has not enjoyed any decent starts this series, which places a lot more pressure on the middle and lower orders to contribute.
Steve Smith has batted brilliantly and Marnus Labuschagne has been a revelation. Travis Head and Matt Wade have had some good moments, as has the tail, but expecting the lower order to score runs against Jofra Archer is an unrealistic proposition.
The bowlers have been very good this series and went within a whisker of keeping the Ashes in Australia’s grasp.
The euphoria over England’s win in the third Test hides a few facts. They needed to win this game, and prior to the match starting, were expected to do so handsomely, given the emergence of Jofra Archer and the absence of Steve Smith.
Their entire side failed to make 100 with the bat for the fourth time in 18 months in the first innings and their openers were both back in the shed for 15 in the second.
Archer remains their main strike bowler and is proving particularly lethal against the tail. They’ve also relied heavily on Ben Stokes’ batting and bowling so far, though there have been signs of improvement with the bat from Joe Root, Jonny Bairstow and Jos Buttler.
The one area of concern for Langer would have to be Australia’s catching. The first innings of the last Test showed what the team can do when catches are held, but the second showed what happens when chances aren’t taken.
So where to from here for the Australian side?
First of all, the bowlers need to continue doing what they’ve done successfully for the first three Tests: making the English batsmen play, getting into the middle order as quickly as possible and cleaning up the tail without allowing them to get settled.
The batting is still a concern, but this was known to be the case before the series started. The side will be boosted by Steve Smith’s return and with Labuschagne in career-best form, Australia can build decent scores around them.
(Photo by Gareth Copley/Getty Images)
In order to do that, Langer and Tim Paine need to get the top three right to allow Head and Wade to make runs without the pressure of trying to hold the innings together. Paine also needs to relax at the crease and focus only on his batting and not being concerned about captaincy or any other factor that might distract him from making runs.
Selectors will be looking closely at the tour game before the fourth Test to see if this can provide some guidance, otherwise they may be forced to simply go with their gut and choose who they think might do a job in the top three and hope for the best they’re right.
A lot of time will also be spent on catching, but above all, Langer will be focusing on maintaining concentration in the field so those half chances that Australia has missed this series are taken.
The team also needs to focus on getting England out by taking all chances that come their way and not relying on umpires making favourable decisions. They need to adopt the same approach with batting, staying focused to avoid 50-50 calls that might go against them.
The report card for the series to date indicates Australia is at least on level terms, if not a nose in front of England. The side won at fortress Edgbaston held out for an honourable draw at Lord’s and held the upper hand for much of the third Test without Steve Smith.
The next game is one where the side needs to go all out to win. Jimmy Anderson is likely to be back, but Steve Smith will return. This will give England a very strong attack, but their batting still remains frail and their fielding is indifferent.
If Australia can focus on getting a good start with the bat and blunting England’s attack, the bowlers are capable of taking 20 wickets as long as they receive 100 per cent support from their fielders.
A win in the fourth Test means we keep the Ashes. This needs to be the message to a squad who is right in this series.
Paul
Roar Guru
I like Ronan's team with Khawaja as an opener, Peter. I think he bats well with Warner, is clearly way more experienced in Test cricket than Harris and has a pretty good record opening the batting from memory. As for the bowlers, no idea who should play, until we get a chance to see what sort of pitch the Poms will turn out. I gather it's been really hot just recently, so no doubt we'll get one that seams all over the place!
Peter Hunt
Roar Guru
We can beat that team with Warner, Harris, Labuschagne, Smith, Head, Wade, Paine, Cummins, Starc, Hazelwood and Lyon.
Paul
Roar Guru
so assuming all thing are equal, their side will be Roy, Burns, Root, Denly, Stokes, Bairstow, Buttler, Archer, Broad, Anderson & Leach. 5 very useful bowlers and 2 maybe 3 useful batsmen!
Jero
Roar Rookie
The timing of the nine day break couldn't be better, as you say Paul. I'm no psychologist, but I think the "let's move on right away" approach Paine expressed is only helpful if it's for public consumption only. They really need to crunch through what went wrong in the final stages, and get it all out in the open as a team. It's got to include talking about why the pressure got to them so that they don't go inward when the pressure's on again and unable to function at near their best when it counts. Having a Plan B, a Plan C, thinking about what to bowl, to whom, what field settings they need to rotate the strike and to actively hunt for a wicket other than just drying up the scoreboard. How not to burn reviews. How to retain control. All these things which were absent when it mattered the most when they were under intense pressure. There are no guarantees of winning in any situation, and out of the box performances like Stokes' happen, even if extremely rarely. But they've got to be better next time. I don't think they'll get the mental reset they need if they don't work through all the negative thoughts they surely must have, and have tools to deal with them.
Peter Hunt
Roar Guru
The selectors will be lynched if they drop Leach. He's achieved folk-hero status! Have you seen the vision on Twitter of him reinacting his famous single to backward square-leg? Though it grates, it's hilarious! I totally agree about the benefit of the gap between Tests.
Paul
Roar Guru
I think this break between Tests could not have come at a better time Jero. Hopefully a few guys get a chance to have a break or have a relaxing game, all with the purpose of resetting the mind in preparation for the most important game of the series,
Paul
Roar Guru
hi Peter, I think Australia surprised itself with the ease that it got to a century lead after two days. Yes, there would be huge disappointment, but if the squad leaders dissect both the game and the series to date, Australia has won at least as many of not more sessions and key moments as have England. Yes they get back Anderson, but the guy most likely to go out of their XI would be Woakes (unless they decide to play 4 quicks and drop Leach). If Woakes doesn't play, they'll have at least 3 guys fighting for the number 11 spot, coupled with a fragile opening pair - huge responsibility falls onto 4 or 5 guys to make runs. The nice thing is the break between games, Guys can clear their heads while the brains trust pumps positive thoughts into them, so they're right to go in 10 days. England can take great heart from their win, but that only squared the series - and its only a great win because eof a completely inept first innings batting display.
Peter Hunt
Roar Guru
I like the optimism, Paul. I agree it is worth remembering that England were expected to win this Test with some ease, particularly after Australia was bowled out on the first day for 179. That England needed one of the greatest innings of all time - and that is no exaggeration - to achieve a narrow win, should be cause for Australian optimism re the respective strengths of each side. My major concern is the psychological victory England achieved. We threw everything at them and still lost. Will we begin the match at Old Trafford with a defeated mindset? This is where the leaders in the Australian team need to stand up.
Jero
Roar Rookie
How they prepare against Derbyshire, in the nets and in fielding drills are one thing. How they prepare psychologically is another. That's where the real lift is needed, in my opinion. They choked at Headingley, and until they find ways to deal with that it will remain the elephant out in the middle.
English twizz
Guest
Low scoring game it looks like with bowling attacks so strong
mikkk
Guest
Good