Who will be Conor Murray’s successor?

By Armchair Halfback / Roar Rookie

With almost a decade of Test rugby now under his belt, it’s easy to forget just how meteoric Conor Murray’s rise to Test rugby was.

Prior to the 2011 Rugby World Cup, Murray made just eight appearances in the Munster run-on side. Incumbent Munster scrumhalf Tomas O’Leary, a key part of Ireland’s 2009 grand slam triumph, struggled with injuries and loss of form while Murray cemented his place in the Munster side through the late winter and spring of 2011.

Ireland took three scrumhalves to the 2011 Rugby World Cup. The others – Eoin Reddan and Isaac Boss – were both in their 30s and in the twilight of their respective careers, and Murray quickly established himself as Ireland pre-eminent No. 9.

Conor Murray has gone on to become one of the best scrumhalves in the game. He was even named No. 9 in World Rugby’s team of the decade. There have been two Lions tours, a win over the All Blacks in 2016 and a grand slam with Ireland in 2018.

At 188 centimetres tall and weighing 93 kilograms, Murray is one of the biggest scrumhalves in the game, virtually an additional backrower. He has a good passing game, he is a competent tactical kicker, he has an ice-cool temperament and he has good game management.

With 15 tries and 100 points at Test level, Murray also has an eye for the try line and is an accomplished goal kicker also.

Conor Murray (Photo By Brendan Moran/Sportsfile via Getty Images)

Contenders

Murray turns 32 in April, so it’s possible that the 2021 Lions tour – assuming it goes ahead – will be his swan song. Murray has had his share of injuries and perhaps hasn’t been at his best since the halcyon days of Ireland’s 2018 grand slam.

While there have been plenty of challengers for the Irish No. 9 jersey over the last few years, no one player has managed to wrest it from Murray’s grasp.

John Cooney (Ulster)
30 years old, 11 caps

John Cooney has been in scintillating form for Ulster since his move from Connacht to the northern province in 2017. While at Connacht, Cooney struggled with injury and for game time behind incumbent Kieran Marmion. An excellent passer and a brilliant runner, Cooney is a dynamic scrumhalf who scores freakish tries. He’s a genuine game-changer.

But at 30 Cooney is only one year younger than Murray, so time is likely against him in his quest to be Ireland’s next long term scrumhalf.

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Kieran Marmion (Connacht)
28 years old, 28 caps
For many years Marmion has been Murray’s understudy. A player with excellent vision and a good passing game, his career highlight was starting for Ireland in their win over the All Blacks in Dublin in 2018. Marmion turns 29 in February, so, like Cooney, time may not be on his side.

Luke McGrath (Leinster)
27 years old, 19 caps
Luke McGrath has been Leinster’s first-choice scrumhalf throughout the team’s three recent European Rugby Champions Cup wins and long unbeaten run in the Pro14. An intelligent player with a good pass, a perceived lack of X factor has seen Andy Farrell prefer his Leinster teammate and rival Jamison Gibson-Park at Test level.

Jamison Gibson-Park (Leinster)
28 years old, five caps
Gibson-Park, one-time understudy to Thomas Perenara at the Hurricanes, is a livewire scrumhalf who has become popular with Leinster fans since his arrival at the club in 2016. To date Gibson-Park has had his struggles at Test level, but Ireland coach Farrell regards him highly and has chosen Gibson-Park in his latest Six Nations Squad. Like Marmion, Gibson-Park turns 29 in February.

So, the question is: who is a genuine long-term contender?

Conor Murray. (Damien Meyer/AFP/Getty Images)

Craig Casey (Munster)
21 years old, 21 Munster appearances
If Conor Murray is one of the biggest scrumhalves in the game, then ironically his Munster understudy, Craig Casey, is one of the smallest, at just 165 centimetres and 76 kilograms. What Casey lacks in size he makes up for with tenacity and a fiercely competitive spirit, akin to Springboks scrumhalf Faf de Klerk. Casey is the best passer in Ireland, is a good game manager and is able to squeeze through the smallest of gaps.

His potential hasn’t escaped the notice of Ireland coach Andy Farrell, who has given Casey the third scrumhalf spot in his Six Nations Squad. He appears to be the real deal.

Caolin Blade (Connacht)
26 years old, 120 Connacht appearances
Caolin Blade has been an instrumental member of the Connacht side since 2014. He is a tenacious and determined scrumhalf with good core skills and an excellent work rate. Though uncapped as yet for Ireland, a Test career is likely as Murray, Marmion, Cooney and Gibson-Park head into their 30s and towards retirement.

Hugh O’Sullivan (Leinster)
22 years old, 25 Leinster appearances
Schoolboy star Hugh O’Sullivan joined the Leinster academy in 2018 with high hopes and expectations. Game time has been limited by the presence of McGrath and Gibson-Park, but O’Sullivan has age on his side and hopefully can get the chance to shine in the Pro14.

The rest of the pack

Nathan Doak and Lewis Finlay are two players of great promise who have excelled at underage level. Finlay who is in a similar mould to Craig Casey, starred in Ireland’s excellent under-20s side in 2019.

Nathan Doak, 19 years old, is a tall scrumhalf who has already played at Pro14 level for Ulster. At Connacht, No. 9 Stephen Kerins playing for Ireland under-20s in their win over the junior All Blacks in 2016, the first win by an Ireland men’s team over New Zealand. Like O’Sullivan at Leinster, he has had to bide his time behind senior players.

Summary

The challenge for the top brains of Irish rugby is an interesting one. A quorum of competent but late-career contenders dominate the pecking order, and this must be a concern for Ireland coach Andy Farrell and his succession plans given it’s unlikely many will be around beyond the next Rugby World Cup.

Currently the only post-2023 Test contender playing regularly at Pro14 level is Craig Casey. It’s apparent that coach Farrell and high performance director David Nucifora need to cultivate pathways to ensure players like Lewis Finlay, Nathan Doak, Hugh O’Sullivan and Stephen Kerins get regular game time at Pro14.

It certainly seems that Craig Casey is the overwhelming favourite to be Murray’s long-term successor, but Ireland needs increased depth in a position where other contenders are long on potential but short on Pro14 experience.

The Crowd Says:

2021-02-04T23:42:10+00:00

Derm

Roar Guru


He's already up against it, Highlander in this Six Nations. His squad selection had had a lot of commentary, particularly the omission of players like Cooney, and the inclusion of Gibson Park instead. Feeling with some is that he's gone with the tried n trusted and not taken a strong enough chance on players coming up. Same problem at out half, with none of the rest stepping up to the mark sufficiently. I can see another RWC quarter final exit coming up... the more salient question might be will the exit be before or after it?

2021-02-02T12:10:31+00:00

ojp44

Guest


Intriguing ! I can only conclude that one of the Roar editors is a closet Milo fan :stoked:

AUTHOR

2021-02-01T21:31:51+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Hi Benjamin - that was the Roar editors, not mine, I wrote it as TJ, not sure why they changed it!

2021-02-01T21:27:21+00:00

Highlander

Roar Guru


Mz and AH Just listened to an interview with Alan Quinlan, not a commentator I rate, but he is an unashamed Munster big noter. His comments on what he wants to see from Conor Murray, "looking to see some zip in his pass". If Alan Q is calling it out, its a thing!

2021-02-01T15:43:57+00:00

ojp44

Guest


Interesting article AH, thanks ! I was intrigued by your reference to Thomas Perenara and now I cant help wondering if you, like the villain Milo from the movie The Last Boy Scout, insist on calling everyone by their full / correct first name ? eg Thomas rather than TJ, Joseph rather than Joe (nod to Milo there) etc... I only get called by my full first name when I'm in trouble :unhappy: cheers Benjamin

AUTHOR

2021-02-01T05:37:09+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Just keeping the seat warm for Rog... :laughing:

AUTHOR

2021-02-01T05:36:14+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Thanks MZ, thanks for the bio on Stewart - he really was the next big hope for a brief time. Re Nevin, (and Foley) must be a day for mentioning those gone too soon, a reminder that this is just a game.

2021-02-01T05:06:54+00:00

mzilikazi

Roar Pro


Did not think you would see my comment there, Highlander, as I wrote so late. But thanks for this response. And I value your judgements, and will have a very close look at recent Murray games. "Ireland seem to have lots of depth at halfback, coach just gotta have the courage to pick one" Totally agree re coach courage....and he has other key decisions to make, especially how to best use what he has in different games/what tactics to employ....esp. v England. Playing the same game as last year will see. imo, another defeat.

2021-02-01T05:02:10+00:00

mzilikazi

Roar Pro


Jonny Stewart, AC. Just looked at Wiki. and got this: "In 2020, Stewart started his master's degree in Utrecht, where he started playing for the Utrechtse Studenten Rugby Society So I would surmise he has not made the grade with Ulster, and has now gone back to his Law background, with a 2.1 BL Degree from Queens. I hope to talk to a couple of contacts in Ireland soon, and will raise his name....let you know any more I find out. Interestingly a Wallace H S product.......same as Nathan Doak......relatively new Union Shool....in my day they were a hockey school. Ian Whitten and Chris Henry also products, and Nevin Spence, who tragically died with his father and brother in an awful farm accident.

2021-02-01T02:35:14+00:00

Highlander

Roar Guru


Derm, how is Farrell's coaching being received? Seems to me he is suffering from the same issues as Ian Foster at the AB's. Behaving like a continuity coach when perhaps more change agent action is required.

2021-02-01T02:12:52+00:00

Highlander

Roar Guru


Lets not inflate the issue Mz. I think he is a fine player and probably the perfect halfback for the early iterations of the Schmidt era, but has never been a player blessed with a top quality pass and now that age is being over-layed upon what a less than optimal technique, its become a core issue for the side. I think his best years were 2013/15 when he was that very direct running halfback, always sniping from the base and had to be constantly watched. Always more a runner than a passer. But time and injury have claimed him. The last 2 England games, the NZ and Japan games at RWC exposed that lack of pace, both of pass and of foot and he just puts those outside him under needless pressure now. Similar to how Peranara got showed up last season. Shame that Cooney didn't get to play the 6N games he was selected for back in March, he was named as a starter and then Covid hit. Ireland seem to have lots of depth at halfback, coach just gotta have the courage to pick one.

AUTHOR

2021-01-31T22:56:04+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Thanks Derm, great to hear from you! I watched the Bennetton v Munster game from the weekend and they badly missed Casey's energy and direction - they really should have lost, but for a bit of JJ's brilliance in extra time. I wouldn't be surprised if Caolin Blade gets some time at test level. Not sure why Cooney hasn't excelled at test level. He did an interview on the House of Rugby Ireland podcast and my read is that Cooney does better with coaches that give him free reign. Apparently Matt O'Connor wanted him back it at Leinster, but Cooney refused and stayed with Pat Lam's Connacht and the rest is history.

AUTHOR

2021-01-31T21:56:44+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Thanks MZ, I think this one (which is a companion piece to the article about Johnny Sexton) has sorely missing your comments! I agree with you an all the points you make - McGrath's being playing very well atm and Cooney's got great x-factor and is just a joy to watch. Thanks for the link to the story about Casey, proud Shannon man like Anthony Foley, gone to soon. I'm very curious about what happened to Jonny Stewart? As an academy player he was being flagged as Ruan Pienaar's successor (plaudits indeed) but he's no longer in the Ulster squad or academy - ostensibly replaced by 34 yo journeyman Alby Mathewson. He never managed to oust Dave Shanahan for the #2 spot at Ulster and Shanahan's is serviceable competent, nothing more..

2021-01-31T20:05:59+00:00

Derm

Roar Guru


Comprehensive analysis of most of the options, AH. I agree that Cooney and Marmion are out of the running due to age and performance. I don't buy in to the clamour that Cooney should be in the current 6N squad. He's a good squad player but seems to shrink into himself on the test stage. Age is also against him. Gibson-Park, to my mind, is also not a long-term test starter. He normally plays the role off the bench at Leinster behind Luke McGrath. Ireland are going to come unstuck if Farrell sees him as Murray's successor. Craig Casey certainly looks promising and it's right that Farrell gives him an early outing at test level to see if he can cope. Alongside him, I'd include Caolin (Kway-o-lin) Blade at Connacht who I think has surpassed Kieran Marmion in the last 12-18 months and deserves a shot - he has age on his side too. Nick McCarthy, moved from Leinster to Munster last season, has been a little bit unlucky in getting game-time. He moved because he thought he'd get more of it, but Munster now have 5 scrum-halves on their books having brought in Paddy Patterson from Leinster on a short-term loan due to injuries and test duty for Murray and Casey. Young Nathan Doak at Ulster, son of former Ulster player/coach, Neil Doak, also looks promising, but at 19, is unlikely to feature for RWC 2023. Conor Murray has certainly recovered a lot of his previous good form this season. His long-term neck injury had an effect and impact on Murray's game long after he got off the treatment table. As Murray said himself, the worry of the injury repeating itself and causing life-long damage, had him hesitating at crucial moments in the game. He's put that behind him now, and his game has improved as a result. Farrell has picked a squad for the Six Nations, but that won't stop him having a review of his player panel after the French match in Round 2 and making a couple of changes if he has to - even taking account of the Covid bubble. His choice of 9s may be one of them. For other hopefuls, their next best chance to impress is likely to be in whatever range of test matches are organised for November this year, with the Lions tour dominating proceedings for the present.

2021-01-31T05:54:13+00:00

mzilikazi

Roar Pro


Only reading this article now AC...been out of comms. in some remote country past few days. Good topic, and article. Thanks. Highlander does not rate Connor :happy: I think Connor went through a very poor spell post RWC, but has come back into better form, though below his peak, which imo was around the Lions in NZ series. Like you, I rate Cooney, and was a big mistake not to take him to RWC Japan. I don't see JGP as anything special...competent, yes, but hard for me to place him above several of the other contenders. I like Luke McGrath, the one to watch going forward is Casey.....you may have seen the photo of him in this article :https://www.the42.ie/craig-casey-munster-ireland-5339202-Jan2021/ Poignant photo, that one. A great Munsterman gone too early was Anthony Foley.

2021-01-30T11:50:50+00:00

Pundit

Roar Guru


'plenty of pace and quality putside sexton' true tho. why is murray getting stick, while sexton could be the link that broke the chain?

2021-01-30T11:49:27+00:00

Pundit

Roar Guru


erm speed of delivery is a problem yes, but due to the weakness in the forwards. if you look more in depth, you will find that yes, murray's passing technique is worse than smith's, but when compared to the rest of the world, he's rather good, and the spin and range of the passes are prolific. why will you need power if your hands to the job. The pass is fast and accurate for all we need to be concerned.

AUTHOR

2021-01-30T06:59:43+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Larmour struggled a bit at FB in the autumn - Shane Daly has more physical presence, good under the high ball and a big boot...

AUTHOR

2021-01-30T06:57:53+00:00

Armchair Halfback

Roar Rookie


Time will tell!

2021-01-30T04:49:30+00:00

Highlander

Roar Guru


yep - its horrible, even that gif is nothing more than competant Stands up, passes from his lower arms and wrists, generates no power from his shoulders release position is poor. Its a long list. Google conor murray passing and aaron smith passing and look at the images on the ball release - its a massive difference The speed of delivery from the base of the scrum has been a huge problem for Ireland post 2018.

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