What will the Wallabies make of their second bite of the cherry at Eden Park?

By MakingNumbers / Roar Rookie

On Saturday night the Wallabies return to Eden Park with the task of keeping Australia’s Bledisloe hopes alive. All too regularly we witness the Wallabies commence their Bledisloe claim, hopeful and optimistic, only to have that snuffed out by a dominant All Black showing at Eden Park.

Last Saturday’s result was no exception, however with restrictions on travel, we land in the curious outcome of two games being played in a row at Eden Park.

With that provides the opportunity for our Wallabies to become familiar with the All Black fortress and find a way to somehow win on this most hostile ground and take the Bledisloe Cup to a decider in Perth.

With the teams now announced, we have the opportunity to speculate on Dave Rennie’s game plan. Bledisloe 1 and the French series have also provided a valuable insight into the style of play Rennie is directing the Wallabies too.

We see a clear deviation from Michael Cheika’s commitment to “ball in hand” play, instead Rennie is steering the Wallabies on the path of clinical set piece play and a focus on winning the collision.

The changes to the team sheet for Bledisloe 2 may just improve Australia’s chances of keeping the series alive. In the forward pack we see Lukhan Salakaia-Loto shift to the bench after starting in all four of the Wallabies Tests this season.

In his place Matt Philip is now tasked with commanding the lineout, which was a clear early concern in game 1. The loss of Salakaia-Loto’s physical presence will need to be taken up by Lachlan Swinton if the Wallabies are to win the collision and match the physicality of the All Blacks forward pack.

Swinton is beginning to show a control of his strength and aggression under the leadership of a more experienced team, in comparison to that of his Waratahs squad. If Swinton and fellow loose forward Rob Valetini can consistently shut down the powerful carries from the likes of Ardie Savea and Akira Ioane then the Wallabies will nullify a very important weapon of the All Blacks.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

In the backline Matt To’omua’s inclusion to the run on side is likely a sign of his return to form rather than a significant change to the back line attack and defensive structures.

To’omua at his best still remains Australia’s first choice at inside centre, his experience and leadership will be a welcome addition to his teammates at 10 and 13.

Hunter Paisami will shift out one position to accommodate To’omua, but still expect to see a number of touches at first receiver and employment of Paisami’s kicking game.

Paisami is developing well as a multi skilled, Test standard midfielder. While his second half performance in Bledisloe 1 provides serious concern of his ability to handle the pressure that comes with the responsibility of the number 12 jersey.

The inclusion of To’omua will likely alleviate much of that pressure, their combination in defence will be critical for the Wallabies success. Paisami will need replicate his first half performance from Bledisloe 1, dominant first up tackles that stick and stop Richie Mo’unga’s plays and prevent the game slipping away from the Wallabies.

In the back three, Andrew Kellaway has been justly rewarded for his performance in Bledisloe 1. There is a feeling that only one to two more solid performances, will see Kellaway lock down the number 14 jersey for the remainder of the Test season.

Given the must win status of this match, Marika Koroibete’s return is greatly welcomed, his runs off attacking set piece will be Australia’s sharpest weapon.

Marika Koroibete celebrates scoring a try. (Photo by David Ramos – World Rugby/World Rugby via Getty Images)

As we saw in Bledisloe 1, the use and timing of impact players from the bench will be critical once again. The early inclusion of Taniela Tupou and Lukhan Salakaia-Loto will be required to continue the physical standard set in the first half.

Tupou will be relied upon to deliver a dominant scrum platform in which Australia can attack from. If Australia can get a lead in the first half, seasoned replacement’s such as Nic White and Reece Hodge will be trusted to maintain the tempo and guide the game to a close.

The Eden Park Test is often thought as the death nail for Australian hopes of a Bledisloe return. However the resulting fluid nature of game and venue scheduling brought on by Covid-19, means the Wallabies have been presented with an opportunity to play their Tasman neighbours twice in their favourite backyard.

This has the potential to be of benefit to the Wallabies, with more games played at Eden Park, the more the team will become familiar with the environment and learn to shut out the peripheral distractions and media hype and treat the venue like any other pitch.

A win at Eden Park will provide a confidence and momentum for the Wallabies leading into a decider at Perth.

The Crowd Says:

2021-08-14T10:52:35+00:00

adam smith

Roar Rookie


Hahaha was bittersweet for sure bro :laughing: guess I won't make that mistake again…I'll take your advice & never bet against them again :laughing:

2021-08-14T09:43:19+00:00

J Jones

Roar Rookie


I never bet against the AB's (to lose head to head) its the only team I won't... too emotionally invested.

2021-08-14T09:41:14+00:00

J Jones

Roar Rookie


sorry brother I was thinking of you too. 2nd half must've burned.

2021-08-14T09:38:12+00:00

adam smith

Roar Rookie


Well, tonight’s game just proves why I don’t gamble often :silly: :laughing: :crying:

2021-08-14T04:56:52+00:00

Jokerman

Roar Guru


They should win by 40 but it will probably be 47-22 with Koroibete scoring an awesome try.

2021-08-14T04:29:46+00:00

Double Agent

Guest


47-22? Didn't you say they'd win comfortably by 40 points? Maybe you meant 67-22?

2021-08-14T00:34:08+00:00

Double Agent

Guest


"the death nail' It's death knell. You'd think Moaman would've already pointed this out. :shocked:

2021-08-14T00:26:52+00:00

DAVEC

Roar Rookie


Rennie is a good coach but needs the right kind of players

2021-08-14T00:20:58+00:00

stillmissit

Roar Guru


I thought it was the captains run, but not sure about that. I read it somewhere.

2021-08-14T00:19:32+00:00

stillmissit

Roar Guru


Never heard of him being dropped he has been injured for a while.

2021-08-13T21:33:02+00:00

J Jones

Roar Rookie


but there’s zero chance under fozzy (or so you say)… you’ll not need to quit… right?

2021-08-13T13:32:54+00:00

Jezdexter

Roar Rookie


I went looking for more numbers and found that one as well, but I’m fairly sure that’s male and female including 7s as well as 15s. Edit: it also seems to include people who participated in one off school camps and the like, not just people who play every week. Those numbers have Australia 4th with France England and SA ahead of us. NZ are still around 150k in 5th. I can’t find any actual numbers for females in Australia though, NZ have 30k on their site.

AUTHOR

2021-08-13T13:16:45+00:00

MakingNumbers

Roar Rookie


Would be interested to know the accurate numbers. Rugby Au site has a headline number of 246,000, which I thought was high.

2021-08-13T13:05:30+00:00

TJ-Go Force!

Roar Rookie


I won’t quit for you champ or anyone from NZ.

2021-08-13T13:03:52+00:00

Jezdexter

Roar Rookie


Registered male participation numbers for Rugby from u13 up. Australia 85000 NZ 135000 Caveat: those numbers are from Wikipedia (so reliable.....) but if correct, the only sides in the top 10 with less players than Australia are Wales and Scotland. England at 1.5 million, SA at 630000 and France at 350000 seem to be the 3 biggest.

2021-08-13T12:55:39+00:00

adam smith

Roar Rookie


I’d like to reply with some sort of “intelligent” comment Mr. Jones…but I literally have no idea what you’re talking about about, such is my limited gambling knowledge :laughing:

2021-08-13T12:50:16+00:00

Kashmir Pete

Roar Guru


Cheers MN, thanks for article!

AUTHOR

2021-08-13T12:39:14+00:00

MakingNumbers

Roar Rookie


Given our population in comparison to NZ. I would assume our participation numbers in rugby are greater. The sport does however compete for talent against more popular codes. I understand your point but I don't agree that playing in a lower level of competition is the solution. I have no problem seeing the Wallabies lose (and occasionally win) against the All Blacks and Springboks. I think a shift to second tier international competition would be more detrimental to the sport in Australia. I would prefer to see inclusion of Fiji into the current club and RC format.

2021-08-13T12:31:06+00:00

J Jones

Roar Rookie


there’s plenty of point start options… you didn’t need to go for the win. But good luck to you, $11 is over valued to me, so its a decent chance at netting that kind of return.

2021-08-13T12:25:18+00:00

adam smith

Roar Rookie


Sportsbet had the Aussie's at $11 for the win when I checked last night. I am a notoriously poor gambler & even worse at picking a winner…but I thought I'd have a crack & put $200 on the Wallabies. Maybe an uneducated guess, but Foster's coaching & the AB's poor record of late, doesn't inspire me with confidence. Nor does the second half fight-back in the first test, inspire much in the MIB's. I think this is the "shakiest" the AB's have been at home for a long time, & the Wallabies the better coached side. Specially if the Wallabies can channel the same intensity as the third French test.

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