History against Maguire in bid to save Tigers' season ... unless they can emulate '99 Broncos or '57 Rabbitohs

By Paul Suttor / Expert

Anything short of a finals berth is set to bring down the curtain on Michael Maguire’s time as Wests Tigers coach and he will have to overcome history if they are to recover from their dreadful start to make the finals.

The 1999 Broncos are the only team in the NRL era which has lost its first five matches before scraping into the finals. The only other team in premiership history to have started 0-5 was South Sydney in 1957, who then won 11 of their next 13 to finish third in the 10-team competition, beat Wests in their first playoff before they were eliminated by Manly in the preliminary final. 

Maguire’s side has won its past two matches after a five-game losing skid to give Tigers fans a flicker of hope that their 2022 campaign can be salvaged.

An unlikely surge to the finals could potentially save Maguire’s position with the club set to show him the door if he goes four straight seasons finishing in the also-rans.

Unlike the 1999 Broncos team which was jam-packed with stars loike Darren Lockyer, Steve Renouf, Gorden Tallis, Wendell Sailor, Petero Civoniceva and Shane Webcke, the modern-day Tigers are a combination of players who are past their prime or yet to live up to their potential.

The decision to switch Jackson Hastings to halfback over the past fortnight, with Luke Brooks taking on a secondary playmaking role, has helped turn their fortunes around.

(Photo by Mark Evans/Getty Images)

There have been another eight teams who have started the season with five straight losses since 1998 and most finished well out of the finals race.

The only other side which sniffed the playoff equation was the Sydney Roosters of 2007, who finished the season strongly to end up 10th, just one point out of eighth spot.

Perhaps ominously for Maguire, the catalyst for that late-season resurgence was Chris Anderson’s mid-season exit as coach with interim Brad Fittler guiding them to five wins and a draw in the closing eight rounds.

Of the other 0-5 starts to the season, Canterbury last year finished last with a 3-21 record, the 2018 Eels also collected the wooden spoon (6-18), the 2016 Roosters scraped into second last (6-18), the 2008 Rabbitohs got no higher than 14th (8-16), the 2005 Knights finished 8-16 but occupied the cellar, the 2003 Sharks achieved the same record to be 12th while the Sea Eagles in 1999 started as badly as the Broncos but ended up 13th (9-14-1).

Wests, who have not registered a hat-trick of wins since Round 6 in 2018, face a team in a similar predicament in Wollongong on Sunday.

St George Illawarra kicked off the season in sluggish fashion, losing four of their first five before breathing life into their cause, and the tenure of coach Anthony Griffin, with back-to-back wins over the Knights and Roosters.

(Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

Griffin copped a lot of flak for demoting young guns Tyrell Sloan and Junior Amone but after the losses kept coming for a fortnight with Moses Mbye and Jack Bird in their spots, they’ve at least been able to get back on a winning track.

Maguire and Griffin are similar coaches in that they both favour an old-school approach and have copped more than their fair share of slings and arrows from the fans and media. 

After winning the premiership, South Sydney’s historic 21st trophy, in 2014, Maguire’s enjoyed just one season with a winning record when he oversaw a 13-11 campaign the following year which ended via a first-round playoff loss to Cronulla.

He missed the finals in his last two seasons at Souths with 9-15 records and 12th-placed finishes each time before he was sacked so the club could promote assistant Anthony Seibold to the top job.

Maguire’s three seasons at the Tigers have yielded similarly mediocre results – an 11-13 record in 2019 to finish ninth, 7-13 for 11th in 2020 and 8-16 for 13th last year.

In fact, his career NRL strike rate has dropped below 50% for the first time this season with a 113-115 overall record.

To his credit, Maguire has not shrunk away from the intense spotlight on his performance, ignoring what he calls “the external” and is determined to see out the rest of his contract at the Tigers which runs until the end of next year.

“Winning in a footy organisation definitely changes the conversations but we’re all very focused on knowing we’ve got plenty to do and we have to turn up tomorrow knowing we’ve got to do it all again,” he said at his Saturday captain’s run media conference.

“I think Jacko has definitely added to what we’ve been doing but I think our middles, our forwards are laying a really strong platform. 

“The conversations between Jacko and Brooksy add to what allows us to play this style that we’ve been and we said before the whole season started we’re going to change subtly in our attack.”

(Photo by Matt Blyth/Getty Images)

Just when it looked like Maguire would have a settled spine, fullback Daine Laurie is out with a knee injury for at least a month with Starford To’a taking over the No.1 jersey.

Griffin’s task of a third straight win to keep the wolves from his door has been made harder with Jaydn Su’A out for the foreseeable future after he suffered a serious ankle injury in the Anzac Day win over the Roosters.

Five-eighth Jack Bird is an outside chance of playing this weekend after being cleared of a broken arm, however the knee damage he also suffered against the Tricolours is more likely to rule him out with young gun Junior Amone set to replace him in the starting line-up.

“We’ve built some momentum over the past couple of weeks so it’s really important we go on with it now,” Griffin said.

The Crowd Says:

2022-05-01T09:18:30+00:00

Tim Buck 3

Roar Rookie


Sorry to assume your a Souths fan. Ignore my other reply. I will get to work on it asap.

2022-05-01T09:13:52+00:00

Tim Buck 3

Roar Rookie


You can call Ken Kearney a loser if you like. The history of Rugby League is fascinating and the phrase "unhappy grandchildren of disgruntled supporters" isn't much of an argument. There wasn't any TV in 1955 so no video ref. The referee was on his own and had total control. Souths' 1955 fairytale was the making of Col Pearce. Can you tell me how Souths got a huge junior league while Easts got a few clubs? What about the Newtown, Glebe and Annandale juniors. All those little suburban clubs struggling in a residential competition. Wests were always given leftovers.

2022-05-01T08:21:16+00:00

JennyFromPenny

Guest


Cowboys 2/8 in 2007 before going on to make the prelim. Parra 3/9 in 2009 before going on to make the GF.

2022-05-01T08:12:35+00:00

PeterCtheThird

Guest


I am not by any stretch of the imagination a South Sydney fan. I am interested in what constitutes evidence, how that evidence is tested and what constitutes proof. I look forward to reading your article.

2022-05-01T07:38:35+00:00

PeterCtheThird

Guest


Fair enough.

2022-05-01T06:52:18+00:00

Tim Buck 3

Roar Rookie


I'd put more weight on the opinion of Ken Kearney than a Souths fan who hasn't heard of the evidence and assumes there is none. Some years ago Alan Clarkson, the SMH RL writer, came out and said that he and Col Pearce were friends who followed Souths. Why do you think he would say that? In the 1968 grand final Ron Coote knocked out Bill Bradstreet after he played the ball. Col Pearce penalised Coote but didn't send him off like Bill Wilson was sent off in the 1962 grand final for punching Bill Cody. Scrums were a big part of the old game and in 1967 and 1968 they packed a scrum down after every four tackles. Col Pearce gave Eric Simms lots of kicking practise with numerous scrum penalties. Dick Huddart, the English international, couldn't understand how Souths could get away with so many high shots. A friendly referee would explain it. Ken Kearney played hooker in the 1955 preliminary final and in one scrum he asked Pearce what a scrum penalty was for. Pearce replied "To show you who is boss". The penalty count was 26-9 with 15-2 in the second half. I gave up Rugby League because of head injuries sustained throughout the 1972 season.

2022-05-01T04:17:27+00:00

The Sporacle

Roar Rookie


Sorry there is no sarcasm / taking the P emoji :thumbup:

2022-05-01T04:01:34+00:00

PeterCtheThird

Guest


You seem to be alleging that Grant Atkins’ refereeing is biased. Got any actual stand-up-in-court evidence or just “You know, (taps side of nose) nudge nudge, my third cousin heard that the bloke who empties the bins said…”.

2022-05-01T03:57:02+00:00

PeterCtheThird

Guest


Jesus wept. A summary, in advance, for whatever you write: There is no evidence that Col Pearce’s refereeing was biased towards Souths. There is only mumbling from the unhappy grandchildren of disgruntled supporters of losers who “knew somebody who knew somebody who’d overheard in the front bar that a bouncer said…” To quote the film, “Let it go!”

2022-05-01T01:58:57+00:00

no one in particular

Roar Guru


Doueihi would have missed enough tackles to let in more tries

2022-05-01T01:43:09+00:00

Sean

Guest


Papallii and Korisou will make a big difference in the middle. Add Stefano and Douhie and a couple of other decent recruits and they will be close to finals next year

2022-05-01T01:40:47+00:00

Tim Buck 3

Roar Rookie


The South Sydney miracle run was in 1955. It was, like the 1967 and 1968 grand finals, refereed by Col Pearce who was a Souths fan according to his mate, journalist Alan Clarkson. I'm writing an article about it.

2022-05-01T00:28:06+00:00

The Sporacle

Roar Rookie


Obviously Atkens wasn't refereeing back in 57. I don't think the Tigers will make the 8 and I don't see them making it next year, also I tipped Parra to win it this year and had the Cows in a race for the spoon. I think they'd be happy with 9th but next year they need to be there or I think Madge is gone :thumbup:

2022-05-01T00:08:36+00:00

Stevo

Guest


They've been without their best back Adam Doueihi all season. I'm sure some of those losses would've been wins with him there but I agree with Paul, too many early losses to make the finals.

2022-04-30T23:36:51+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


I cannot see them making finals and by the way the season is panning out with the other bottom 8 teams stepping up I don't think that should be the only measure of his success. The way I see it currently, there is only 4 teams you could lock into finals so externals factors like injury will play a part in the final outcome.

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