Round 16 Questions: Broncos’ big gamble? Burton biggest boot ever? Give nod to Noddy? Papa on downhill slide?

By Paul Suttor / Expert

The State of Origin behemoth is put aside for a few days for NRL to take centre stage again.

Well, not really. The focus on Round 16 is who can show they deserve a phone call from Brad Fittler or Billy Slater for Origin III on July 13. David Fifita, Ryan Papenhuyzen, Jack Wighton, Latrell Mitchell, Reece Walsh … 

For actual NRL fans, there are a few teams who need to start getting their act together or it will be too late come August or September.

The eight teams in the top eight have all only lost once in the past five weeks, apart from the Rabbitohs – who have gone 2-2 as well as the Round 13 bye.

For the other half of the competition, the Raiders (3-2) are the only ones who haven’t lost at least three of their past five with the Roosters (1-4) a particular concern as they have now dropped to ninth heading into the toughest task in the NRL, a Friday night trip to Penrith.

And it’s Beanie for Brain Cancer Round. So do your bit to support the worthy cause by warming up your noggin.

Here are the burning questions for each team heading into Round 16.

Thursday

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm at 4 Pines Park, 7.50pm AEST

Are Sea Eagles too conservative? It’s clearly tougher without Tom Trbojevic to create attack but Manly don’t have much flair in their spine of Reuben Garrick, Kieran Foran, Daly Cherry-Evans and Lachlan Croker. And with Dylan Walker coming off the bench, it’s more of the same. They are third in the NRL for completion rate at 81 per cent but ninth for line breaks. Time to give it some air or bring in an attacking player with some spark – maybe it’s time to install Josh Schuster at five-eighth and send Foran to the bench utility role.

(Photo by Robert Cianflone/Getty Images)

Should Ryan Papenhuyzen be on Blues bench? The Storm flyer has been so close to making his Origin debut for three straight years. He was in the extended squad in 2020 but was hobbled by a calf injury after his Clive Churchill Medal-winning effort in the grand final. Last year his chances were ruined by a lengthy stint on the sideline due to concussion problems and this season, knee, hamstring and COVID-19 conspired against him. The Damien Cook on the bench experiment worked for NSW in Origin II but if a spot opens up somewhere at the Blues, the Melbourne fullback could finally get his call-up.

Friday

Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans at McDonald Jones Stadium, 6pm AEST

Should Knights try to re-sign Anthony Milford? He was non-committal earlier this week when asked about his future beyond this season, which suggests he’s either already signed, sealed and delivered for a return to Brisbane to link with the Dolphins or he genuinely doesn’t know where he will end up. Newcastle need to bolster their halves for 2023 after Jake Clifford and Adam Clune have failed to nail down a position this season so if they’re not going to keep Milford around, they need to find a playmaker who can revive their comatose attack, which is a distant last in the NRL at 13.1 points per game. 

David Fifita (Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)

Will pent-up rage finally bring out the best/beast in David Fifita? David Fifita is due to return from his knee injury via the interchange. He should be embarrassed that he was not considered for Queensland selection in Origin I before he was then forced out for a few more weeks with his knee injury. Justin Holbrook needs to wind him up, literally and figuratively, have him ready to run off the back fence and charge into the Knights. Throw him in the middle rather than the edge to see if that does the trick.

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters at BlueBet Stadium, 7.55pm AEST

Is it time to rest some Panthers? Isaiah Yeo got a spell after Origin I and he claimed afterwards it was always the plan to take a week off, rather than it being a result of the head knock he copped in the first minute of that match. With the premiers holding a four-point lead over Melbourne at the top of the ladder, Ivan Cleary should have the luxury of being able to rest his many Origin and international representatives over the final ten rounds. 

(Photo by Matt King/Getty Images)

WTF are Roosters thinking by signing Matt Lodge? For a club that regularly talks up its vaunted culture, the possibility of taking on Lodge on a short-term deal for the rest of the season makes zero sense. If the answer is Lodge, there’s something wrong with the question. Desperate times can provoke desperate measures and this looks to be a straw-clutching exercise.

Saturday

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Cronulla Sharks at CommBank Stadium, 3pm AEST

Has there been a bigger kicker than Matt Burton? His towering bombs during Origin II had the crowd oohing and aahing and the Queensland wingers bumbling and fumbling. Dual international Andrew Walker was known for his sky-scraping kicks, Wests Tigers winger Pat Richards could bring rain with his and Kevin Longbottom is part of Rabbitohs folklore for his long-range boot, but they would have been doing well to get more hang time than Burton.

Do Sharks need to upgrade their spine? Matt Moylan is still yet to agree to terms for a new deal at Cronulla. They’ll continue to be a very good side with Moylan and Nicho Hynes as their halves but probably not a premiership-winning one, unless Hynes, fullback Will Kennedy and hooker Blayke Brailey become representative starters. No team in the NRL era has won a title without at least a couple of current rep stars in their spine apart from the anomaly that was the 2005 Wests Tigers with Kiwi five-eighth Benji Marshall the only member of their quartet who had gained higher honours that year before the decider. 

North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, 5.30pm AEST

Who will make way for Kyle Feldt? The veteran winger is close to a return from a knee injury, named in the extended reserves. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow and Murray Taulagi have been in form on the wings, Peta Hiku and Valentine Holmes are ensconced in the centres and Scott Drinkwater has done exceptionally well at fullback after missing the cut at the start of the year.

Are Broncos better off resting Adam Reynolds and Payne Haas? Adam Reynolds (ribs) and Payne Haas (ankle) are hoping to play and the club expects both to suit up. These are their two most important players and Kevin Walters would be better off sacrificing a win or two here and there over the next few weeks if it means these two will be available down the final stretch of the regular season. Reynolds is set to need ongoing pain-killing injections to manage his rib problem while Haas received needles in both shoulders before Origin II and then suffered ankle damage.

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels at Accor Stadium, 7.35pm AEST

Can Lachlan Ilias bounce back? First of all, there was way too much of an over-reaction to Ilias being benched before half-time in South Sydney’s loss to the Dragons before the Rep Round break. Young halfbacks have bad games, it happens. Remember the time Andrew Johns turned up with his hair dyed red for a big game against Manly in 1996? Peter Sterling in commentary said it drew unnecessary attention and he played like a clown that day. Souths have invested heavily in Ilias in light of the decision to let Adam Reynolds walk so they need to persevere with him over the coming weeks even if his mid-season rookie year doldrums continue.

Lachlan Ilias. (Photo by Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)

Can Eels keep it together despite roster distractions? Nathan Brown is the latest high-profile Eel to have his future placed in the spotlight with the club letting him know he can walk next year if he can find a better deal elsewhere. They can deny it all they want but 2022 is likely to be Parra’s best chance for a few years to finally break their title drought with Reed Mahoney, Isaiah Papali’i, Ray Stone, Oregon Kaufusi and Marata Niukore moving on next year. The last hurrah factor could be a galvanising force over the second half of the year but there is also the danger of a team fracturing quickly in this scenario.

Sunday

New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers at Mt Smart Stadium,, 2pm AEST

Is it time for Shaun Johnson to head to Super League? As he nears his 32nd birthday in a couple of months, now could be the time for the Kiwi legend to head to the UK to see out his career rather than sticking around and risking ending his NRL career outside of the first-grade team. He may retire altogether but he could benefit from a late-career switch to the less defence-focused Super League like a couple of his contemporaries in James Maloney and Mitchell Pearce have done in recent years.

(Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Why shouldn’t Tigers go with Brett Kimmorley as coach next year? He’s been working with the club’s pathways for a couple of years so he should know better than anyone which young stars from their massive junior nursery should be elevated to the senior ranks and, perhaps as importantly, which ones shouldn’t. Kimmorley was one of the smartest players of his generation who was always overcoming adversity of being considered the inferior alternative to Immortal Andrew Johns. He knows how to defy the odds when you’re not seen as being the best of the best – that sounds exactly what the Wests Tigers need.

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders at WIN Stadium, 4pm AEST

Should Zac Lomax get a run at fullback? A couple of years ago he was being groomed as a potential No.1 option but after a brief run, he was switched to the centres and never given another chance. With Tyrell Sloan dropped because he wasn’t quite ready for the NRL and Cody Ramsey doing a decent job without setting the world on fire, perhaps the Dragons should try Lomax at the back over the second half of the season. It’s worked with Jake Averillo at the Bulldogs so why not give it a shot.

Is Josh Papalii finally starting to regress? You’d be forgiven for thinking big Papa is older than his actual age of 30 as he has been a fixture for the Raiders since he was a teenager in his rookie year of 2011. His average running metres per game is down to 122, the lowest it’s been since 2016, and Maroons coach Billy Slater seems to think he’s only useful in short spurts in the Origin arena, giving him just 26 minutes in Perth after 22 in the series opener.

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The Crowd Says:

2022-06-30T02:49:39+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


I won't comment on Papa's form for Canberra but he was gassed in Origin 2 after 12 minutes. Its not good enough. I don't think he is suited to the modern Origin game . I want to drop him for game 3 but I can't because he has been huge for us for a long time. Maybe off the bench to match Paulo.

2022-06-30T02:05:23+00:00

Dwanye

Roar Rookie


Hi Brett. That’s how I have seen it t also (hoped maybe), who has a crystal ball? The core is good. It not like in the past and they waited for most an entire team to come through Jr’s. I don’t think it doomsday’s stuff, yet. Lol

2022-06-30T01:23:20+00:00

Womblat

Guest


Yeah I reckon. His value has skyrocketed and I believe he's worth near seven figures as well.

2022-06-30T00:56:05+00:00

souvalis

Roar Rookie


Panthers bought in Pangai late last year no one spoke of him upsetting the culture..

2022-06-30T00:38:56+00:00

Justin

Guest


Will he stay as a Bulldog? He didn’t wish to take up an option on his Bulldogs contract. Wants to see who will be the next coach there. Really only signed on to be coached by Trent Barrett. Plus, despite not playing in the halves to win a premiership. Will probably get offers of near a million a year, for his next contract. Maybe over a million, if a club is desperate enough to offer whatever to get a top player in the halves. I could see him staying at the Dogs. However, their offer will need to be at least near the million per season.

2022-06-30T00:20:51+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


I’m not sure why all the hullabaloo about the Roosters signing Lodge. At $100k he is a good buy, especially by comparison to who else you could get for that money. I’ll take 130rm, +20 tackles and a good offload for that money. If we are pretending that the Roosters have some squeaky clean image in the group it would take too much revision to disprove that theory. Reynolds doesn’t need a rest, he has just had one. This is an important game to test where they really are against a quality opposition. If you put Lomax to FB, who is a better centre option? I’m not sure what people expect from Fifita. Can Turbo, Tede or Mitchell score a try from every touch? His stats are up there with the best but if he doesn’t score crazy tries every week ”he’s not worth it”. If he does “why isn’t he taking more of the hard yards?”. The bloke cannot win. He is a backrower but he is judged against other $1m halves and FBs because that is what a club offered to pay him.

2022-06-30T00:17:47+00:00

Brett Allen

Guest


There are no such things as premiership windows. The Eels will be fine in ‘23, our core of Moses, Brown, Gutho, Junior & RCG is in place long term. The loss of Reed Mahoney hurts, but young Brendan Hands may end being better and Josh Hodgson will be good in the medium term. We have a terrific batch of young forwards in Ky Rodwell, Elle El-Zhakem, Wiremu Greig & Dave Hollis ready to step in to fill the gaps left by the departing players, as well talented outside backs like Sean Russell, Solomone Naiduki & Hayze Perham, as well as the returning Haze Dunster to bolster our backline depth. Only a journo who only looks at the best 17 thinks otherwise.

2022-06-29T23:30:08+00:00

Womblat

Guest


I'm no Canterbury supporter by any means but Matt Burton is fast becoming one of my favourite players in the NRL. Some weeks back he was out pre-game warming up and I was near the fence and I called out "give us a torp, Matty" and without even looking our way he launches this unbelievable Steeden missile (that "thump" is tattood in my head) what looked like more than 50 meters in the air with that effortless, uber-timed left boot that had us all hooting approval. He just grinned and carried on. I know the AFL dudes can send a package too but I don't think I've seen a bigger kicker in League, including that freakish Andrew Walker. Pretty awesome stuff.

2022-06-29T22:57:19+00:00

souvalis

Roar Rookie


The running meters for Papa include a 26m when taken off early and a 45m against Manly when not right so give a false picture of his form and contribution. The last 2 months he's been as good as he's ever been almost working in tandem with Tapine in taking it up and ripping in with all his usual vigour. Why Billy uses him so sparingly is frustratingly mystifying, no Blues prop is going as well as him in clubland.

2022-06-29T22:23:06+00:00

Dean

Roar Rookie


Hey Paul, good reading thank you. The Lodge signing by the Roosters is very strange, not the long term squad building usually expected from Robinson. I wonder if this is a case of too many problems to resolve in the short term, with Lodge providing the ability to paper over one by restoring a strong presence in the middle. With their starting middles aging, injured and on rep duty it helps at least one problem. My concern for the Roosters is there is a bigger issue, such as a concern over Keary's health and ability to keep playing, which makes a short term solution very valuable. Re my Dragons - couldn't disagree more about moving Lomax to fullback. If we had this discussion three years ago with Mary attempting to keep his job I would have absolutely agreed to giving him an extended run. However, stability in the spine is essential as is providing young players the ability to grow into the role. Not everyone has the ability of a Reece Walsh to be highly effective almost immediately and the only way the Dragons can grow their young fullbacks is giving them time and exposure, introducing another change just sets both back in their development as well as changing team structure, creating a hole at right centre and breaking up what is an effective right side threat of Lomax and Ravalawa. Speaking of Ramsey and Sloan, both earnt plaudits for their first few games at fullback over the last year. Let's give them the chance to become the stars they indicated they could be. A different problem for the Dragons is if one of them doesn't play fullback. Ramsey has proven too small for modern day wing - he's ineffective on kick return - and neither seem suitable for centre or another position. That's a lot of the club's emerging talent sitting in NSW Cup rather than developing as first graders.

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