Under the pump: The players (and coach) who must nail Round 2 in The Rugby Championship

By Harry Jones / Expert

If the whole industry you work in was poring over your reviews, performance improvement plan, final warning and running betting pools on your time of termination, you’d feel it a bit.

Ian Foster is crispy. Well done. He’s a hot chicken with the oven beeping. It is not even clear if a narrow win at Ellis Park can save his job.

Maybe it should. The All Blacks are only five wins from 14 in Johannesburg’s rugby citadel; one of their worst returns in a stadium they’ve often been to.

A big win for the All Blacks may keep Foster for the Bledisloe Cup, where he could sweep and buy his ticket to France on NZRU bucks.

A loss seems doom; another trouncing and he may have to fly coach, using his severance allowance.

(Obligatory caveat: Foster seems a very nice man and we Bok fans all wish him long and continued employment as the head mastermind of Kiwi rugby; we suggest he hire Allister Coetzee as his attack coach).

But which players are also under the pump in Round 2?

I’ll look at two per team in this fascinating and more even Rugby Championship.

New Zealand

The coach-captain bond in rugby is deeper, richer than in any other sport. Coaches in the NFL call every play; in volleyball, netball and in the NBA, the coach is shouting into players’ ears almost the entire game. Baseball and football managers use hand signals and bring their players to them for conference continually.

In rugby, a captain is an extension of the coach; his handpicked voice and mind.

On The Roar Rugby podcast this week we were joined by Stuart Lancaster and our own Nick Bishop.

One topic was captaincy; leadership. Lancaster made a good point: in life, in business we know leadership doesn’t peak in our twenties and thirties. Yet a Test captain (usually about 30) is asked to lead 23 highly competitive players in the heat.

There are passages of play in which one voice becomes more vital than any other.

Sam Cane is a quiet sort. Peter O’Mahony sledged him and there has seemed to be no response from Cane. He looks slow to the loose ball and breakdown. Siya Kolisi beat him to the floor in Round 1 and to be honest, Cane had a better position. He also could not dent Malcolm Marx at the ruck.

Can you imagine the French pack simply not being able to move Marx?

So, Cane must rise. Or he may be sitting in 17B next to Foster.

(Photo by Phil Walter/Getty Images)

The other Kiwi upon whom pressure sits is young Ethan de Groot. There is no greater scrum examination for a young loosehead than to try to decipher the strange and wonderful and 50-cap successful long bind of Frans Malherbe.

If de Groot gets it wrong on the hard, hard field with 60,000 sauced up Saffas baying for more scrums, that fast start the All Blacks need will be gone.

Referees are human and a dominant Bok scrum in their fortress with perfect turf is a fearsome thing for a young lad.

Territory cannot be won with a faulty scrum. There is not a good reserve loosehead, either.

If Cane captains better and gets to the right spots sooner than Kolisi, Marx, and Kwagga Smith, the All Blacks will be better. If de Groot can split Malherbe and his hooker, he will have done his part and may have that No 1 jersey for a while.

South Africa

Marx’s reward for being Man of the Match is his more familiar Bomb Squad role. He will likely be the first reserve on the pitch.

So the pressure resides on Joseph Dweba, a muscular bloke last seen brushing Dan Biggar aside.

His throws will need to be perfect, his brake foot must satisfy Luke Pearce, and he needs to get off the floor to carry as quickly as he dances with the Gwijo Squad. Crucially, he will need to make good decisions at the back of the Bok maul.

Dweba can cement his spot as the third string hooker for the World Cup, and then, anything can happen. Remember, Marx played over 70 minutes of the 2019 final.

Australia

James O’Connor, in your long and distinguished and roller coaster career, you have seen almost all. In 2011 he coolly slotted the match winner at the Cake Tin to oust the Boks in a quarterfinal, and here he is over a decade later steering the Wallaby ship in Argentina.

He does not hop like a bunny any more. He isn’t a running threat. But he has seen every eventuality on a rugby pitch.

He’s the closest thing Australia has to Jonny Sexton (without the perfect touch off the boot).

Far from home, in the dreaded second match on tour, it is possible a few young Wallabies can melt or aging stars can go down.

JOC is the stabiliser. As odd as that sounds, amigo.

But that makes him essentially the captain. Pressure.

In the pack, I see Rory Arnold as playing for one of the three Giteau spots later, even next year if that is still the rule.

He will be working against good locks, even if Guido Petti would have been the better benchmark. A bad performance here and Arnold may be seen as a mere luxury?

Look for him to be highly motivated to show why he is a cut above the locks seen in the English series.

Argentina

Thomas Gallo is 23. He is very short. He is very heavy.

Argentina has a big pack problem. They have wonderful hookers and a big angry back five. But no notable props.

Gallo could be an answer. He has only four caps for Los Pumas. He’s up against Taniela Tupou, who is also not tall.

This sumo wrestle will greatly interest both Michael Cheika and Dave Rennie, who both know even as the number of scrums has fallen steadily at Test level (with longer advantages and better hands) the “penalisable” portion has risen. Referees like Angus Gardner ping half of all scrums.

You cannot go far in a World Cup with a suspect tighthead.

The other player who has a lot to show is Gonzalo Bertranou. On our podcast with Marcelo Bosch I listed him as one of the four Pumas I was most impressed with against Scotland. With Tomas Cubelli on the bench, and Nic White his opposite number, this is a perfect time for the nippy and intelligent Bertranou to shine.

Round 2 will have its winners and losers; who do you see as carrying a big load this time?

The Crowd Says:

2022-08-14T03:10:54+00:00

Tim J

Roar Rookie


Dweba did struggle, it is amazing what pressure can do. Mounga I was impressed with as he controlled the well, De Groot has a bright future. He had a very good SRP and carrying that form. The Boks will learn from the game going forward! The ABs now will be looking for consistency now that they have belief.

2022-08-14T01:47:19+00:00

Good Game

Guest


Point taken - specifically when drilling down on actual in-game coms. Also, thanks for the piece.

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T15:42:53+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Dweba not really holding up to the exam so far. Mo'unga definitely handling rush D better than BB did. de Groot also doing well.

2022-08-13T15:12:28+00:00

Tim J

Roar Rookie


Thanks Harry, and totally agree. I just was not aware how his recovery was coming along, it is great to see him back! Maybe not for Foster and co though.

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T15:07:11+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Duane was carrying a knee injury all season. Couldn't run full pace in URC playoffs. He's a good healer and usually starts well after injury, but with Kwagga and Jasper on the bench, it's a safe way to test him.

2022-08-13T14:53:50+00:00

Tim J

Roar Rookie


Harry, I thought Vermuelen, would start for sure. It seems that Thor has misplaced his mighty Hammer, mentality he seems somewhere else and not 100% focused.

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T14:34:45+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Originally, I had Handre Pollard as the other Bok under pressure (because he is the only recognised goalkicker and Test rugby often comes down to a kick), but now I think I would have added Duane Vermuelen just because this match could go a long way to answering the question surrounding age and fitness for France 2023. He just had an operation. He is not young. Jasper Wiese, Evan Roos and Elrigh Louw are chomping at the bit. Time for Thor to show up.

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T14:11:57+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


I agree that being dominant should not be penalised! I'm sure you meant 'dominated' but the balance in modern rugby is there is far fewer scrums (6-12; it used to be 15-25) but the risk/reward has been enhanced with 25-50% of scrums resulting in penalties.

2022-08-13T14:08:57+00:00

Broken Shoulder

Roar Rookie


I deleted my company's website last night. Some weeks are better than others.

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T14:03:18+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Tony is working on this. We first wanted to prove we can do a season! (We are on Spotify).

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T14:02:26+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Yes, I think Round 2 closer than Round 1 mostly because it matters so much to the first round losers.

2022-08-13T13:32:43+00:00

In brief

Guest


Being dominant at the scrum is not an offence and should not be rewarded with a penalty. Just saying..

2022-08-13T12:19:17+00:00

Peter

Guest


The one dimensional play is a fallacy swallowed by your coach, who apparently fell asleep. Also promoted by the media. The predictable game plan has already delivered back to back vicories. This will be the 3rd in a row if the Boks prevail ????

2022-08-13T12:03:02+00:00

mzilikazi

Roar Pro


Boks at Ellis Park. Tough place to take on a team that is World Champion. I have watched Ethan de Groot with interest for a couple of years now. Still a young growing lad, as seen last week, when he took a few tumbles, one comical even. I think the Karoo hunting man will be too much for him at this stage. Looking forward to seeing if Mu'unga on the end of Smith's great pass can help the AB's do more than last week. WB's need to start well and make Pumas play catch up rugby. This one tight, I would fear.

2022-08-13T11:37:51+00:00

Just Nuisance

Roar Rookie


Actually you guys covered a huge amount of ground . I am very impressed by your interview skills Harry . And damn I’m on the same page as him , be very cautious about playing someone out of position no matter how talented they are , at least that’s the impression I got when he compared ( brutally) the ABs and Irish midfields . Loved the simplicity philosophy too . ( Eddie , Ian , Michael , are you listening ) . Jake White has had success almost every team he has ever coached and core skills , good decision making and a really simple game plan his forte . Super stuff . May I ask a question though , why not go mainstream on You Tube , Spotify etc . I’m not picking anything up on that .

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T11:27:16+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


I just expected a fired up Cane

AUTHOR

2022-08-13T11:26:54+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Thanks, JN! I cannot even tell you how fun that was! Had a 20 point outline. Got to point 5. Haha!

2022-08-13T11:22:20+00:00

Tim J

Roar Rookie


Spot on jcmasher, every point is so true.. :thumbup:

2022-08-13T11:16:00+00:00

Tim J

Roar Rookie


Exactly Dusty, it has taken time but Rennie is building the depth required. First time for along time player’s are not guaranteed their spots, with others now pressuring them for the jersey. It is great to see and this will build tight bonds going into next year.. :thumbup:

2022-08-13T11:06:21+00:00

Dusty10

Roar Rookie


Good to hear Tim. Aussies and Kiwis are family at heart anyway, our rugby differences are the equivalent of sibling rivalry, I reckon! And, realistically, Aussie rugby HAS been a bit of a joke in recent years. The Brums can be relied upon to win a little respect, but the other Super teams haven't given us much cause to celebrate and the Wallabies are so hot and cold it can be pretty frustrating. Regardless, we're a decent team who can beat anyone on our day, we just don't have the depth and talent that other nations do, but we'll get back up there :)

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