The Highlanders picking up the mantle of the black sheep of the Kiwi rugby teams from the Blues has meant the team has become the butt of many a joke for Kiwi fans.
Truth is, it is easy to forget how good a side the team was back in the late 2010s, winning their first title in 2015, and making finals for five years running. While it has been a comedown under Clarke Dermody, that has mostly come about from their current inability to knock off their fellow Kiwi sides.
Unfortunately for Highlanders fans, it’s been a long time. Currently, they are on a 16-match losing streak against other Kiwi sides, with their last victory being a 35-29 win against the Blues in Round Eight of Super Rugby Aoeteroa, in April 2021.
Ironically, what has kept them in the hunt for finals is that their form against Australian and Pacific sides has still been solid, sneaking into eighth place in 2022 before just missing out in last year’s season.
Thomas Umaga-Jensen will be a major loss for the Highlanders, out this season due to injury. (Photo by Joe Allison/Getty Images)
Dermody comes into 2024 with significant change needed to bring the men from Dunedin back into the fold – but fortunately for him, a major asset has just been appointed as the Highlanders Director of Rugby.
2024 Summary
Any club would give up their best scrum machine to access Jamie Joseph for a week, but having him as your Director of Rugby is a massive coup for the Highlanders.
Ever since he departed Otago after leading the Landers to their premiership, Joseph’s star has continued to ascend, transforming Japan’s national side into a strong, competitive outfit, getting them to their first-ever quarter-finals at a World Cup, and securing their transition into a Tier 1 rugby nation, the first in Asia.
However, as they say, you can take the boy out of Otago, but you can’t take the Otago out of the boy – and when the Landers needed him, he returned.
It is important to acknowledge how much of an influence Joseph will have on the organisation, not just the players, but Dermody and the coaching staff too. He will know how to get that squad humming again, provide clear direction for the staff, and provide them with the means to back themselves and deliver results.
It is such a shame though that the Highlanders have said goodbye to so much talent – in a hypothetical scenario, if Joseph had only joined a year earlier, the squad at Forsyth Barr in 2023 could have really turned things around.
As it is, 2024 will be a challenging year for the Highlanders – despite welcoming Joseph back to their ranks, they have said goodbye to a mammoth 23 players from last year.
That departing group contains veteran players like Rhys Marshall and Aaron Smith, exciting new All Blacks like Shannon Frizell, and even reliable clubmen like Marty Banks, Scott Gregory and Mitch Hunt.
While five players will still be connected to the Otago and Southland NPC franchises, the Highlanders, despite being regarded as New Zealand’s weakest side at present, will undergo arguably the most significant change, and by extension, the most significant challenges, any Kiwi side will face in 2024.
Squad & New Inclusions
The Highlanders have, by a considerable margin, the least amount of international representation in their squad. Five players have international experience, only three of whom have played for the All Blacks.
However, it is important to recognise where those players are, and with two world-class props in Jermaine Ainsley and Ethan de Groot in the front row, the scrum should still be on firm footing.
Folau Fakatava will be an invaluable player at scrumhalf, and he’ll be bolstered by a valuable new arrival in Welshman Rhys Patchell at flyhalf. With exciting Los Pumas talent Martín Bogado in the back three, key positions across the park will be covered.
Watch every match of Super Rugby Pacific ad-free, live & on demand on the Home of Rugby, Stan Sport
However, look beyond to the wider squad and things look a little more shaky. The Highlanders will be welcoming 12 new players into the squad in 2023, with six players coming from Otago and Southland, and all having played 27 NPC games or less.
It does offer up a significant question of depth at the Highlanders, but they will be well supported by the other inclusions of Mitchell Dunshea arriving from the Crusaders and veteran Tom Sanders who returns from Japan in the forward pack.
In addition, they will be joined by the likes of exciting centre option Tanielu Teleʻa and winger options Jacob Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens and Timoci Tavatavanawai joining from the Blues and Moana Pasifika respectively.
Combined with the established talents of captain Billy Harmon, Will Tucker, Josh Timu, Connor Garden-Bachop and Jonah Lowe, the Highlanders will have options available.
Aaron Smith will headline a large contingent of Highlanders players heading overseas. (Photo by Dianne Manson/Getty Images)
Squad: *denotes new signing
Props: Jermaine Ainsley, Ethan de Groot, Ayden Johnstone, Daniel Lienert-Brown, Saula Ma’u, Rohan Wingham*
Hookers: Henry Bell*, Ricky Jackson*, Jack Taylor
Locks: Mitchell Dunshea*, Fabian Holland, Pari Pari Parkinson, Will Tucker
Loose Forwards: Nikora Broughton, Oliver Haig, Billy Harmon, Max Hicks, Hayden Michaels*, Hugh Renton, Tom Sanders*, Will Stodart*, Sean Withy
Scrumhalves: James Arscott, Folau Fakatava, Nathan Hastie
Flyhalves: Ajay Faleafaga*, Cam Millar, Rhys Patchell*
Centres: Jake Te Hiwi, Tanielu Teleʻa*, Josh Timu, Matt Whaanga
Wingers & Fullbacks: Martín Bogado, Connor Garden-Bachop, Jonah Lowe, Jona Nareki, Jacob Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens*, Timoci Tavatavanawai*, Sam Gilbert
Folau Fakatava is set to be one of the key players for the Highlanders in 2024. (Photo by Joe Allison/Getty Images)
Strengths & Weaknesses
Truth be told, the numbers do not stack up well for Dermody and the Highlanders. On several occasions, his tactics have been able to ask questions and stay in the fight in many contests in the 2023 season, especially against non-Kiwi opposition.
However, like with the Rebels, the squad often fell away in the back half of games, allowing the opposition to grab come-from-behind victories or worse, pile on the points.
The squad as a whole struggled hugely with an ability to score points and achieve go-forward in attack – sitting in second last for tries scored and defenders beaten, and last overall for clean breaks, carries and metres gained.
Concerningly, they also sat second last for tackles won (83%) and had the fourth worst scrum in the competition, winning 79% of their scrums.
This suggests a couple of key things: that the team struggles with offence and sticking to structure when momentum swings in the opposition’s favour, but also that their depth issues are significant and that the reserves coming on can’t manage to maintain the momentum and see the team home.
Shannon Frizell is a major loss for the men from Otago. (Photo by Dianne Manson/Getty Images)
In 2024, those depth issues have only gotten worse, not better.
While some decent talent has been brought in as cover, the Highlanders will be coming up against much more decorated teams on both sides of the Tasman – should they lose any significant players (such as Ethan de Groot – who will be out of their first fixture against Moana Pasifika), the scales further tip in the opposition’s favour.
While Jamie Joseph will provide some much-needed leadership and direction for the young squad, Dermody can resort to the element of surprise tactically. When able to stick to strategy, the Highlanders have been able to challenge a lot of teams with more experienced players, and they could steal a few clashes.
They will really need to drill their players on such tactics to have a chance to stay in the contest. But, judging by their decision to field a stronger side during trials, this focus on tactics and strengthening cohesion could prove fruitful to build momentum.
Fixtures
The Highlanders will kick off their campaign hosting Moana Pasifika, a welcome start to the season and much needed to further strengthen team dynamics. Super Round will see them face the Blues in the first clash of the weekend, followed by a trip to Sydney to face the Waratahs.
Week Four will see their second clash of the season at home, where they will take on a strong Brumbies outfit, followed by a trip away to Hamilton. However, they will enjoy their last clash before the bye at home, welcoming the Hurricanes.
Straight after the bye, the Highlanders will immediately commence their Australian tour, playing away matches against the Rebels and Reds before returning home to host the Western Force. They will then travel to Tonga for their historic second clash against Moana Pasifika, before returning for the South Island derby clash against the Crusaders, which they will host in Dunedin.
The Highlanders will finish the back half of the season with trips to Auckland and Wellington in Rounds 13 and 15 respectively, and will host the Fijian Drua as their final home match of the season in the penultimate round of the competition.
Predicted Finish: 11th
While Jamie Joseph will be a huge influence on the Highlanders, a squad with plenty of question marks around their depth and an unfavourable draw with no back-to-back weeks at home will mean the Highlanders will have their work cut out to make finals.
Finals are still very achievable for the men from Otago, given last year’s 11th-placed Rebels were still in the hunt going into the final round of the season, but to achieve such a goal will be a significant uphill battle in 2024.
Otago Man
Roar Rookie
We were top 9 Muzz mate.
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
Best you stick to the other code Dual, as apparently, knowing this is just not a club game, we Landers fans do know they'll be up for it this season. They'll be in the top 8 again under Joseph.
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
Pretty right there OM, as even last season, where we did finish in the top 8, it's hard to even think about where we were beaten up front. Geeez we even had the measure of the Saders in the tight, with our players. Now where did the Saders finish last season?
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
Interesting write up Nick, as you're virtually writing off the Landers before they step foot on the field! To even say Shannon Frizell was a new AB is a little outta whack. After hearing & seeing some vision on this ' new squad ' shall we just wait & see till a few games into the comp. this squad is performing? As I've already mentioned previously, Jamie is no mug, as even with many of his whanau residing in Otepoti, & his Moko playing for the Otago Spirit, he knows what it takes to take a squad, virtually, over a little time, to where they should be. I too, do query those scrum stats, especially after Ethan de Groot, was hardly ever outpropped last season, & his workrate around the field has improved immensely. Yes even the back up, forwards do look good IMO, & in the backs, there is some good talent emerging. If we see Jona Nareki, return to the form we know he has, then he'll possibly prove to be one of best wingers in Aotearoa. Shall we just wait & see what will happen, as I'm pretty confident ATM, knowing Jamie will make some necessary adjustments. Like what he proved & did with the Japanese national team.
Dan James
Roar Rookie
The Highlanders may have lost a couple of greats--Smith and Frizzell--but they have also culled many poor players. They've recruited wisely and now look a much better balanced side than they have been. That forward pack will give most other sides plenty of trouble. The Gilbert- Tele'a midfield will have some punch... and best of luck to all those trying to tackle Tavatavanawai. The Highlanders will be a lot higher than 11th on the table.
Coker
Roar Rookie
It may yet turn out to be over-optimistic, but I'm fairly confident (hopeful?) the Highlanders will go quite well this season (although that has little to do with Joseph's return). The tight-5 is a little questionable, especially with the news that de Groot's fitness is, again, in doubt, but the loosies are outstanding, Fakautava finally gets his chance at 9, Patchell can surely only be better than Burns was at 10, the midfield is highly promising, and the back-3 is a massive step-up on anything seen in the last few years. Of those leaving, only Frizzell (especially) and Smith represent significant losses, and they're in positions where the Highlanders have excellent replacements and so are more than offset by the arrival of Teleʻa, Tavatavanawai and Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens. So 6th seems much more likely than 11th (the latter would require them to finish behind all the Oz teams which seems, shall we say, unlikely...) Of course, this assumes a reasonable run with injuries. If those reach Crusaders-level, all bets are off.
Dualcode
Roar Rookie
Lowlanders been pretty average lately, and I wouldn't be surprised if they finish outside the top eight.
Otago Man
Roar Rookie
Highlanders will be back in the play-offs. Something seems off about that scrum stat, my recall is that the Highlanders had the least penalised scrum in the comp and generally had an edge on most packs. Our backline was terrible last year following on from previous seasons. While it is sad to lose Aaron Smith and Shannon Frizell I think it was time to change up the attack and I believe Fakatava is ready. The key acquisition might actually be Kenny Lynn as the attack coach. Midfield looks solid and skillful and there is real speed and power in the back 3.