Surprise results as A-League's expansion teams are decided

By Paul Nicholls / Roar Guru

The need to expand the A-League has become a hot topic of late, especially as the TV rights deal is up for renewal in the 2017-18 season.

Proponents of an expanded competition believe an extra two teams would be needed so as to create more television content which would lead to a better TV rights deal for the league.

So the idea has a fair groundswell of support but these new teams must come from somewhere. While not arguing for the need to expand, assuming the league was to expand for the 2017/2018 season, who will the new teams be?

On the way I will develop some criteria that should deliver the answer.

The issue is so important that delegates from all over Australia, including many Roar commentators, were willing to forgo the delights of winter for an all-expenses paid conference at a Port Douglas resort.

To assist them, FIFA has despatched a special advisory committee with experience gained from the 2022 Qatar World Cup bid.

As they sat down to their entrée of oysters they were handed this list. It is all the cities/regions that have previously put their hand up to have an A-League team. In accordance with David Gallop’s mantra of “fish where the fishes are”, they are sorted by population.

1. Auckland 1,418,000
2. Gold Coast 557,822
3. Tasmania 495,354
4. North Queensland (Townsville/Cairns) 442,333
5. Ipswich (Ipswich/Towoomba) 422,010
6. Canberra 391,645
7. Sunshine Coast 306,909
8. Wollongong 268,944
9. Geelong 250,651

The source for these figures is either Wikipedia or the Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 census, with places in brackets added together. The sauce for the oysters was mornay.

The lead in time is relatively short. The teams need to be ready to rock and roll, leading to the first criteria.

Criteria 1: the stadiums must be in place now
Applying Criteria 1 takes out the Sunshine Coast and Ipswich so our list is down to seven.

Congratulations the Auckland Whales you are the first cab off the rank. Take your jerseys and suit up for season 2018. Is it that easy though?

Wellington Phoenix’s position in the league has often been called into question with regards to the Asian Confederation. Adding a second New Zealand team could be risky. And besides, there may be a revolt from Australian football fans if a New Zealand side took one of the expansion slots.

Criteria 2: The two new teams must be from Australia
Now we have Gold Coast and Tasmania in the top two positions. Will the Tasmania van Diemens take the field in 2017? No.

There are a variety of reasons why they wouldn’t, but an easily definable one is the home stadiums.

AFL/cricket stadiums don’t look great on TV or make for a fantastic fan experience for football. As the lobster and barramundi is brought out, we can look at Criteria 3.

Criteria 3: The new teams must play out of rectangular stadiums
Applying Criteria 3 knocks out Geelong and Tasmania. So that brings the list down to the following: Gold Coast, North Queensland, Canberra and Wollongong. I believe this will be the shortlist that the FFA will be looking at for the next expansion, and I wouldn’t argue if any of these four were chosen.

After a desert of Tiramisu and salted caramel ice-cream, our delegates headed out for some well deserved rest, where even Roar commentators from different sports were seen laughing and joking with the diehard football ones.

Arriving back from the swim up bar with cocktails in hand, our delegates filed in to make the final decision.

As the FFA advisory committee were reluctant to leave the pool, our delegates were now on their own. Could they just take the top two names off the list, Gold Coast and North Queensland?

Remember both these teams have failed before. It would be a huge risk for the FFA to reinstate these teams after they have already been kicked out only recently. How would they decide? After twice trying to chat up the barmaid, one of the delegates invoked the “once bitten twice shy rule”.

Criteria 4: Teams that have previously been kicked out of the league cannot reapply
And out onto the plate drops two names: Canberra and Wollongong.

The Canberra Pollies and the Wollongong Wallys will be the two new expansion teams. After a few more days of rest and recreation, our delegates head back to cooler climates and the more serious business of posting bitter comments on sports websites.

As the final results come through, which two teams did our erstwhile colleagues from the FIFA advisory committee recommend? A handwritten scrawl on the back of a beer coaster from the swim up bar contained their answer: Bali and the Maldives.

The Crowd Says:

2015-02-12T12:15:39+00:00

Spanagakos

Guest


Would illawarra be a better than wollongong

2014-09-05T11:18:39+00:00

KaanFlarezz

Guest


Firstly i am from Wollongong. In my Opinion Canberra is a must, they have a proposed stadium to build, 420 000 population, the capital of Australia, a willing owner in Tom Rogic and a market where footballers will want to play. Dump the phoenix and keep clear of Nz teams they are a different country, their teams always perform badly and it is Australia's top level of football. Gold Coast has one of the most successful economies in Australia, a population close to 600 000 (Gold coast has about 500 000 tourists annually) If they give Gold coast another try i think they will do well. Wollongong has a great stadium for a-league but will have problems because of tenants St george Illawarra Dragons over in NRL. The gong is a great city with major infrastructural and residential developments under construction, at the moment Wollongong is rapidly reaching the 315 000 population mark but after that Wollongong doesn't really have further population growth potential. I can imagine like the wollongong hawks in basketball players will be coming in and ou by the season. Wollongong along with Western sydney has rich numbers of youth footballers that can grow up and play for a wollongong based side. I don't have much to say about campbeltown but they are definitely a good option. I don't think Tasmania is ready for an a-league club.

2014-09-05T11:18:36+00:00

KaanFlarezz

Guest


Firstly i am from Wollongong. In my Opinion Canberra is a must, they have a proposed stadium to build, 420 000 population, the capital of Australia, a willing owner in Tom Rogic and a market where footballers will want to play. Dump the phoenix and keep clear of Nz teams they are a different country, their teams always perform badly and it is Australia's top level of football. Gold Coast has one of the most successful economies in Australia, a population close to 600 000 (Gold coast has about 500 000 tourists annually) If they give Gold coast another try i think they will do well. Wollongong has a great stadium for a-league but will have problems because of tenants St george Illawarra Dragons over in NRL. The gong is a great city with major infrastructural and residential developments under construction, at the moment Wollongong is rapidly reaching the 315 000 population mark but after that Wollongong doesn't really have further population growth potential. I can imagine like the wollongong hawks in basketball players will be coming in and ou by the season. Wollongong along with Western sydney has rich numbers of youth footballers that can grow up and play for a wollongong based side. I don't have much to say about campbeltown but they are definitely a good option. I don't think Tasmania is ready for an a-league club.

2014-07-16T23:22:56+00:00

Shane

Guest


Put a team in Fremantle. Create a derby with Perth Glory. They'll get a bunch of fans who follow the Dockers in the AFL with nobody to follow in the summer.

2014-06-23T10:36:55+00:00

Bondy

Guest


Daniel You dont have to be black to be skilful at football, if you dedicate yourself to a craft it doesn't matter the skin colour ..

2014-06-23T09:59:18+00:00

Daniel

Guest


I would like to see a team from Darwin/Northern Territory this would be great for the area and with all the aboriginal's that are fantastic at playing AFL if we could get any of them interested in Soccer then Australia would have there own very skilled players like the Brazilians.

2014-06-09T13:01:53+00:00

Chuq

Roar Pro


You'd probably be more accurate to count Tasmania as (Hobart/Launceston 360,000), as the bid proposal includes playing matches in both those cities, although the club would engage with population centres across the entire state (pre-season matches, school clinics, etc.)

2014-06-09T12:57:41+00:00

Chuq

Roar Pro


The Tasmania bid is based on the population catchment of the two largest cities, Hobart (pop 220k) and Launceston (120k) so for the purposes of this table you could use a population of 360k. They are 200km apart, approx 2 hours by road. The feasibility study recommended a split of games between Hobart and Launceston, since it would attract casual/walk-up crowds in both cities, and also the ability to sell north/south only memberships. Yes - Tasmania doesn't have a rectangular stadium of the appropriate facilities. But to the surprise of some armchair experts, this is not even on the radar for FFA, York Park and Bellerive Oval are excellent venues in all other regards (capacity, location, player and corporate facilities, media facilities). In fact one of the arrangements used at York Park involved the rectangular pitch being located close to the largest stand, and the cameras being on a scaffold on the opposite side. Who is going to build a new stadium with no confirmed tenants? Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix currently play on oval grounds. The challenge is financial - details are confidential unfortunately. I can say that the model was assuming no government support (for context, Hawthorn gets paid $3m a year for shirt sponsorship and 4 matches) and before last year's increase in TV rights income. Just one of those two things makes it a completely different story. At the moment the bid team has things "on-hold" - relatively inactive while there is a "no vacancy" sign up, but keeping an eye on things in case that changes.

2014-06-08T03:03:49+00:00

Patrick Hargreaves

Roar Guru


Adelaide, CCM and Newy do fine with recruitment, and none of those are any better than Canberra.

2014-06-07T13:48:25+00:00

Alexander Mitchell

Roar Pro


Could not agree more, I was talking with some mates about an 'NPL Championship', which pretty much comprises of the best teams from the different States/ Territories of the previous NPL season to create a Second Aus league. The highest finishing takes the place of the bottom team in the A-League - making the whole process much more entertaining. I don't think it's possible to put dates on it yet though.

2014-06-07T13:41:02+00:00

Alexander Mitchell

Roar Pro


I think the FFA should have given South Melbourne FC an A-League license a while ago. A geographical divide would only have made the Melbourne derby better. With the futures of both City based Melbourne clubs looking secure, I would agree that Wollongong looks like the viable option. Would love to see the Hellas in the A-League though, hopefully as the NPL strengthens and develops it will become possible to gain promotion to the A-League. In the meantime, any Melbourne residents who need a football fix (that doesn't involve a television) get down to an NPL match and support your local club. It's cheap as chips and makes for a ripper afternoon with your mates.

2014-06-07T12:43:23+00:00

Timmuh

Roar Guru


"3. Tasmania 495,354 4. North Queensland (Townsville/Cairns) 442,333" In these two cases, can the numbers even be considered as belonging to a single market?

2014-06-07T12:34:38+00:00

Paul

Guest


It would nicely set up a North-South rivalry - North Queenslanders do have a chip on their shoulder when it comes to those from the Southeast corner.

2014-06-07T05:02:18+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


Nope, just someone who has lived most of their live is Brissy and know the south side back to front. But I bow to you obvious superior knowledge.

2014-06-07T04:14:32+00:00

realfootball

Guest


More than a long shot, MF. It will never happen. The state is an economic basket case and the culture is AFL through and through. Mainland taxpayers already keep Tasmania afloat to the extent it is floating at all. The state has no industrial capacity, no tax base. There is no one local who could finance a team, and it is fantasy in the extreme to imagine an outside Melbourne City situation in Hobart or Launceston.

2014-06-07T04:11:10+00:00

realfootball

Guest


From another with local knowledge, it's pie in the sky nonsense from start to finish.

2014-06-07T04:09:47+00:00

realfootball

Guest


Rellum, this post is so far into lala land I don't know where to start./ Or perhaps I should start by asking if you've been up all night and haven't sobered up yet.

2014-06-07T04:05:18+00:00

realfootball

Guest


Absolutely.

2014-06-07T04:01:33+00:00

realfootball

Guest


I didn't rule out Tvl and GC because of previous failures. I simply suggested that Palmer's ghost is a problem, which it is most certainly is. It was a horrible failure and it will make another attempt to establish a club much harder than it might otherwise have been. But I certainly didn't rule GC out. In fact, I proposed GC and Auckland as the most likely options.' Tvl I discounted because of the difficulty of finding the finance - still upwards of $5 million, I believe.

2014-06-07T03:13:24+00:00

Jack

Guest


Very well said. Gold Coast brisbane derby has merit though just need the promotion and momentum of other derbies. Need to build that excitement

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar