Which finalist is best placed to deliver premiership glory?

By Cameron Rose / Expert

If Richmond, for some reason, doesn’t continue its current winning streak all the way through to the last Saturday in September, just who is the team best placed to deliver premiership glory?

The Tigers probably will go all the way, but in the unlikely event they don’t, let’s examine where the other finalists are at.

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North Melbourne and Essendon are two clubs that are just happy to be there after years in the wilderness, but both will fancy their chances of snaring a win and won’t be limiting their thoughts to just one.

The last finals win for the Bombers was against Melbourne, which gives you some idea of just how long ago it was. The Kangaroos have an average losing margin of 78 points in finals played since their last flag.

Five of these losses have been by 87 points or more.

Both clubs have similarly ranked defences and good solid midfields with a sprinkling of class, but have been let down at various times by dysfunctional forward-lines, which will eventually see them come up short.

In terms of this week, the absence of Brent Harvey, and the experience of Jobe Watson and Paul Chapman, tips the match in Essendon’s favour.

Port looks to have re-captured something closer to their early season form over the last two or three weeks, and will be looking to put the Tigers right back in their place.

Similar to Richmond, they look irresistible when they’ve got their hard-running, fast-moving game going. The Power midfield is tough and skilful, their defence is reliable and tough to penetrate, and they have an array of potent and versatile forwards, and along with significant helpings of x-factor that never goes astray in finals.

The Richmond brains trust must put more thought and energy into stopping Robbie Gray than anyone else. He is the heartbeat and creative centre of the team.

Adelaide Oval will be heaving like never before under the weight of expectation from two rabid supporter bases.

Geelong are, by consensus, the weakest of the top four teams heading into this finals series, largely due to being unconvincing when beating weaker teams, and having been put to the sword at various stages by each of Sydney, Hawthorn and Fremantle.

Their best is dazzling, but seldom does it last longer than a ten or fifteen minute burst, and their poor patches have a tendency to go for longer. It’s hard to see them winning three matches in a row against the sort of opposition they’ll be coming up against.

Hawthorn have fought through injury to senior players and illness to their senior coach to impressively secure another top two finish.

We know their best is incredibly hard to stop, and they know how to produce it under the fierce pressure of finals.

Slick ball movement is their forte, thanks to a team of outside runners that are both skilful and the best anticipators in the league. Watch them swarm once they know their teammate is about to win the ball.

Not one player in brown and gold will ever shirk an issue, and opposition defences can be made to look lost at sea in the waves of forward Hawk momentum and a multi-pronged, high scoring attack.

Sydney plays host to Fremantle in what I predict will be the first of two occasions this September. The Swans are the team to beat, and in a funny way, their loss to Richmond on the weekend only reinforced the point.

There can be no doubt that the Tigers are the form team of the competition, albeit lacking the class of the top four sides. The fact is, Sydney were able to be within three points despite not being at full intensity for the first quarter and missing the best forward in the game (Lance Franklin), arguably their two best midfielders this season (Josh Kennedy and Ben McGlynn), as well as their number one ruckman in Mike Pyke.

They’ll be producing a much sharper and formidable unit on Saturday.

Fremantle are their main danger, clicking into gear at the right time thanks to a new-found potency in attack over the last three weeks, complementing their famed defensive pressure.

With Nat Fyfe to be welcomed back into a side that kicked nine goals in a row against an in-form Port on the weekend, their claims are irresistible. It won’t be easy to contain a side consisting of him, Sandilands, Mundy, Barlow, Ballantyne, Walters and Pavlich for four quarters.

The second wave of players, led by the immensely talented Lachie Neale, are also capable of much destruction.

The winner of Sydney and Fremantle will have one foot in the grand final with a home preliminary final to come, most likely against Geelong. The loser will be my tip as the other team to get there.

The case can be made that this is the best weekend of pure football for the year, and we’re going to be served up four potential classics, with storylines many and varied.

Let finals football begin!

The Crowd Says:

2014-09-04T13:00:22+00:00

Deep Thinker

Guest


Geelong have been written off all year - and they have not been convincing. But they have a convincing squad player for player (just missing that second tall forward). They have all shown brilliance throughout the year, but the team has not quite clicked. But last week (against Brisbane I know) there was a spark that I haven't seen for a while as a Cats fan. I think they will beat Hawthorn. If that happens, everyone will be wetting their pants over them.

2014-09-03T00:44:14+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Pretty much the exact same thing was said when it was suggested 3-4 weeks ago the Tigers could still make the finals ...

2014-09-03T00:40:01+00:00

the cat

Guest


Any credibility Cameron had was totally blown away by his comments on Richmond. No serious commentator who wasn't seriously medicated could believe Richmond will get anywhere near the grand final.

2014-09-02T14:59:51+00:00

Rob

Guest


Port will destroy Richmond

2014-09-02T13:01:45+00:00

Pope Paul vii

Guest


Deliberate misses Ary. Should be a cracker..

2014-09-02T10:46:00+00:00

Aransan

Guest


Pope, you have missed a few key Essendon players: Hibberd, Hurley, Hooker, Goddard, Winderlich and especially Ryder. You will also pay if you ignore Stanton. Should be a good game. Carlisle will be available the following week if Essendon win and apparently Fletcher will be a chance if the Bombers make it to the preliminary final. My guess is that the winner of this game will make it to the preliminary final.

2014-09-02T09:54:30+00:00

Doc Disnick

Roar Guru


Hawks for me. As much as I want the Cats to win, the Hawks have the wood on the Cats. Kennet when he made his famous statement a few years back was actually correct, it's just that not many people picked up on it correctly. Sure the Cats have been dominate in the home and away season, but the Hawks have beaten the Cats pretty much every time it counts over the past 25 years. This week doesn't count for a huge amount either, but it will make it very tough for the team that loses. Prelim onwards is where the pointy end of the season is at. Freo outside chance. Swans can match it also, but I like the Hawks on a dry deck at the G.

2014-09-02T08:24:32+00:00

Troy

Guest


Swans and Hawks look best placed - Swans a tick better i think but there's always the fact that they have to travel, relatively minor though it is, for the GF. If either Cats or Dockers win the first week though they would probably become of the two favourites. As we all know, history shows it is hard for the others. I'll go with Sydney.

2014-09-02T07:42:47+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Guest


Intriguing times ahead. Despite being midfield hacks, backward defenders, stagers, paceless and having a forward line preoccupied by dividing their pay packets by possessinos gathered I reckon Sydney will get over the top of the Purple Perfection, who will be dazzled by their own brilliance. Geel vs Haw is interesting. Hard to split. Geel very excited because Hawkins is going good and Lake is in doubt. I think Hawthorn might get over the line. Essendon will believe they are ordained to beat North. Last time North didn't lay a glove on them so they will definately rectify that. I could try analysing why North will win but I don't want to get distracted by names like Jobe ( what's with the e? ), Heppel, Chappy, Daniher ( seriously? Another one? ) and Zaharakis. Just get it done North. Get the ball forward to big Brownie and co and kick the buggers out of it. Port should end Richmond's golden run. Jack R will get some more late season scowls and goals in but really Port should have too many guns.

2014-09-02T07:42:44+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


What a great night!!!!!! Ash McGrath lob one from the middle of ANZ to a vacant 50 metre Forward Line! Oh the amount of lip I gave that night, it's wonder I didn't leave the stadium on a stretcher!!!!!! Oh the Nostalgia!!!!!!!

2014-09-02T07:06:20+00:00

johno

Guest


And just like that Ross comes out and says Morabito is a wildcard to play in defense!! Great minds think alike :)

2014-09-02T06:53:34+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Constant delight in our boys!

2014-09-02T06:46:38+00:00

andyl12

Guest


That's a good one Don, I never rated your sense of humour until now. Maybe Freo fans have redeeming qualities after all.

2014-09-02T06:30:54+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


For third? You know that QF happened last year, don't you? Are you going to call back a team from another season to play this year? Not a good plan.

2014-09-02T05:59:24+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Tommy Hawkins is a big cat!

2014-09-02T05:59:02+00:00

Mango Jack

Guest


That's dead wood, Don. 1-all this season and the Hawks won the last really meaningful encounter, in last years QF. Sydney are the Hawks main rivals now.

2014-09-02T05:58:09+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Your house would be such a grumpy old house, no one would take that bet.

AUTHOR

2014-09-02T05:54:50+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


Haha, the best post all day Dingo!

2014-09-02T05:53:47+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Dawson's great skill is not just the tight checking but his reading of how to dispose. His spoils are deliberately effective. If there is a crumber around, he will destroy to advantage. If, as is often the case, Sandi is nearby, Zac will destroy to the boundary so we get first possession from the throw in.

2014-09-02T05:34:06+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


Cam, I'm on board of the Bandwagon! My Lions no good, but I do like Big Cats, so come on you Tigers!!!!! so get invoice "like the tigers of old we're strong and we're bold oh we're from tiger -YELLOW & BLACK oh we're from TIGERLAND"

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