GPS data: Training the next wave of AFL analytics

By Ryan Buckland / Expert

The National Basketball Association has just tipped off. As the likes of Cleveland’s LeBron James, Golden State’s Stephen Curry and Houston’s James Harden go to battle on the court, there’ll be more than the 30,000 in attendance and millions tuning in on a variety of screens watching.

Sitting some 10 metres above the court, six motion tracking cameras will capture all of the action, 25 times per second, in a way that gives analysts access to where every player is at every moment of the game.

The SportsVU system, a partnership between American sporting statistics pioneer STATS LLC and the NBA, are installed in every professional arena, and produce a truly mindblowing array of numbers and statistics to help quantify what happens, and why.

Well, they’re mindblowing to a nerd like me, anyway. The richness of the information that these six little cameras bring to the table adds so much to a fan’s understanding of what’s happening on the court.

For example, the eye test suggests New Orleans Pelicans power forward Anthony Davis – affectionately known as The Brow (give it a Google) – is an immense defensive force. But the box scores, the basketball equivalent of disposal counts, don’t really account for that.

They show he blocks two shots per game, which is above average, but when you consider there are upwards of 80 shots taken in a 48-minute NBA game, it’s very obviously a deficient statistic.

Data collected by SportsVU cameras gives a much richer picture: when Davis is standing within five feet of the basket, and there is an opponent with the ball also within five feet of the basket, opponents score just 48 per cent of the time, compared to an NBA average of more than two thirds.

The added information provided by these cameras is truly staggering – entire cottage industries have emerged in the US to crunch the numbers.

American sports have always led the way when it comes to the use of data and other information to assess performance, in part a product of private ownership and the general wealth that professional sports in the US command.

But there’s an Australian connection here, too. Catapult Sports, an ASX-listed Australian organisation, is exporting its world-leading technology to sporting organisations around the world. They’re the company that make those little devices that sit in between the shoulder blades of AFL jerseys that look like restaurant buzzers.

One of their more notable clients is the Golden State Warriors in the NBA, who won it all last year in part because of an incredibly clean bill of health at the pointy end of the year.

These wearable devices, of which there are many varieties produced by a number of firms nowadays, are a more individualised version of the SportsVU cameras in use in the United States. The AFL was one of the first sporting leagues in the world to adopt wearable technologies.

Yet, in many ways, I see the AFL as in the dark ages when it comes to the use of data and analytics to inform and explain what’s happening on the field. I have no doubt that there’s a whole heap of information and knowledge collected by the league and clubs, but so precious little of it makes it out into the public domain.

Regular readers will be aware of my frustration on this issue (#freethestats).

One area that certainly piques my interest is spatial information – or adding a ‘where’ element to statistics like kicks, clearances and inside 50s. For a game like Australian rules football, with a field that spans 165 metres in length and more than 100 metres in width, adding a dose of location data would improve our understanding of what’s happening immensely.

But that’s perhaps what’s holding things up. The game is so complex, with so many players and played on such a large playing surface that there’s still some way to go when it comes to developing a simple, economic solution.

To get a little bit of an insider view on this issue, and the role that GPS and other location data can and could play in the AFL, I had a brief chat with Sam Robertson, who has a very interesting professional life.

Ryan Buckland: Thanks for your time Sam. From what I’ve seen and heard about you, you’ve got something of a unique professional career, working in academia but also in a professional sports setting with the Western Bulldogs.

What is your role with the Dogs, and how does this mesh with your academic career?

Sam Robertson: I am fortunate enough to hold a dual role with the Institute of Sport, Exercise and Active Living (ISEAL) and the Western Bulldogs as the Senior Research Fellow/Senior Sport Scientist. This essentially means that I serve two masters, but also that I have different KPIs on which to deliver.

This obviously revolves centrally around improving performance from the football club’s perspective, whereas at the university high quality research outputs and generation of funding are paramount.

RB: How do AFL clubs currently use GPS data? What information does it provide that regular statistical analysis doesn’t?

SR: GPS data can be used in multiple ways and for different purposes. For example, most clubs use this technology to obtain information in training and matches relating to the workloads players are experiencing. Some clubs will also use this to inform their rotation strategies.

A unique advantage that GPS provides over ‘regular’ statistics is that the data has a spatiotemporal component to it; that is, we can also gain an understanding of where a player is on the field at a given time of the match. This obviously provides an additional depth of information over and above a player’s kick count, number of tackles or shots on goal.

RB: What would you call the best, or most widely used statistic in this type of work?

SR: Certainly clubs do look at physical output of players in matches; distances spent in certain running velocity zones or the amount of high intensity running. This information can have important implications for assessing player recovery, risk of injury and to a lesser extent, performance.

The important thing to recognise in using GPS in this way is that a player will only really cover distances in a match that i) their opponent or ii) their team requires them to do so. In fact, as is the case in some other team sports there is some evidence to suggest a negative relationship between increased movement profiles in the AFL and team performance.

RB: And how does that play out, say, in a weekly review or individual performance discussions?

SR: From a spatiotemporal analysis perspective, teams are able to use GPS data in conjunction with more traditional notational analysis to gain further insights into How and Why an event occurred in a match; rather than just a descriptive metric. Perhaps the main challenge in using GPS in this way at present however relates to its accuracy. As the technology improves, this error should decrease however in the interim, alternative methods such as radio-frequency identification (RFID) are also gaining popularity.

Of course, it is important to be asking the right questions which can be addressed using data from the technology; rather than analysing it aimlessly. Certainly the next step forward is to utilise this information more with respect to individualising player-specific information across different facets of the game.

RB: Are there untapped opportunities related to the use of GPS and information data for coaching or analysis?

SR: As I mentioned, using this information to obtain spatiotemporal insights into the tactical components of the game remains a logical next step. However, improving the quality of the data would be required in order for more accurate insights into this area to be obtained. Of course, there are also issues with using the technology at indoor venues which means alternative solutions are required in such instances.

This is where other alternative player tracking technologies (such as RFID or vision) can provide advantages of GPS at the present time.

RB: In your experience, are there any technologies or processes that you have observed in overseas sports that you believe would provide valuable insight for AFL clubs? If so, can you provide an example?

SR: Certainly the previously mentioned areas probably represent the first that spring to mind. In the US, the use of the SportVU system has facilitated interesting new insights into the tactical components of NBA basketball.

Using inertial measurements units to classify different player movements in an automated manner would also improve the efficiency and granularity in which training and match workloads can be quantified. As wearables become less cumbersome, they may experience an increase in use to provide real-time user feedback on skilled movement quality in athletes.

RB: That’s excellent, thanks for your time.

The Crowd Says:

2018-06-29T09:38:14+00:00

John

Guest


Asking the right questions is the key. How can we see through the quantitative data to make sense of our qualitative understanding of the mathematical variables in the game of AFL. Of course these interpretations require skilful deliberation. Thus the feedback becomes measurably more significant.

2015-11-04T00:47:36+00:00

trenerry boy

Roar Rookie


I think your stats misleading

2015-11-03T08:32:13+00:00

sticks

Roar Rookie


63% of people use stats the wrong way, although only 52 % admit or are aware of this, 37% of people use stats correctly, although out off those 37% only 82 % are aware of that.

2015-11-03T00:30:58+00:00

Dalgety Carrington

Roar Guru


Much like yourself WiG, stats are but a tool. They can be very useful to discover as well as explain. Many often use them in the wrong way and it is a mistake to think they are a "thing" that stands alone particularly well or can simply be universally applied. But they can help justify a position, sometimes even the most jaundiced, fear-driven and inflexible ones, not very often, but sometimes.

2015-11-03T00:24:24+00:00

sticks

Roar Rookie


WhereIsGene said "Interesting article Ryan, and no offense but I find stats in general to be massively overrated." 35 % of all people surveyed agree with that !!

AUTHOR

2015-11-03T00:05:07+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


Respectfully, WIG, you've completely missed the point.

2015-11-02T23:30:52+00:00

WhereIsGene

Guest


Interesting article Ryan, and no offense but I find stats in general to be massively overrated. Of course its always been the Yanks who've been fascinated with them, and as you know we mindlessly copy everything the Americans do about 5-20 years after they do it. Dreamteam & Supercoach fawning over stat points pretty much makes me sick. Possessions are such a horribly impotent measure of a player's worth to a team in an era where they've never been easier to acquire. Yeah, Tom Rockliff racks up 40 cheapies a game and does almost nothing with them and has almost no effect on his team's fortunes whatsoever, is that supposed to impress me? Meanwhile Cyril wins matches off his own boot touching the ball less than 15 times, and the nanosecond he takes possession literally every player on the opposition team collectively sh-ts a brick. I could go on about how stupid it is to rate a team's midfield by how many inside 50s it generates (a kick that misses all targets by 20m and lands just inside the boundary is every bit as good as a 60m pinpoint pass to a teammate as far as that stat's concerned) or even how little we can tell about a forward's output by how many goals he kicked (how many were in junktime? who was he playing on? how often did his team go to him?) and so forth. But yeah mate, feel free to get jolly about these stats while I go on evaluating the game with the only tool that actually means a thing - my eyes. So while there's probably half a dozen teams in the comp with midfields statistically better than ours, I'll happily kick back while Hawthorn's midfield keeps smashing every other team in September safe in the knowledge stats mean jack.

2015-11-02T06:09:13+00:00

BigAl

Guest


I think all of this is pretty interesting, and good to see an Aussie Co out there with leading technology, though a lot of it will just statistically prove what is bleedingly obvious ! It could also add another dimension to Fantasy League comps.

2015-10-31T02:12:31+00:00

George

Roar Rookie


Coaches jobs are to win, not entertain.

AUTHOR

2015-10-30T11:43:04+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


Who is suggesting otherwise?

2015-10-30T09:59:52+00:00

Nick Nack

Guest


This is all well and nice, but you still need the talent to find the ball.

2015-10-29T20:00:36+00:00

Camo McD

Roar Guru


It's interesting the ongoing tactical progress of the last 15-20 years: flooding, zoning, utilising the bench virtually every minute, a higher preference for keeping possession. I wouldn't say many of these 'advances' have made the game any more exciting or entertaining though. Would be interested to know if average scores have increased or decreased over the years. Hopefully the spatial data will show some benefits of positional play compared to everyone on the field crowding around the ball but I suppose it depends on how it's interpreted. I have every confidence Ross Lyon etc will draw the most boldly attacking, least cynical conclusions...

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