Blues have seven fullbacks, but only one 'Teddy'

By ScottWoodward.me / Roar Guru

Laurie Daley is likely to have seven players in his NSW Blues top 17 squad who played fullback in 2016, but there is only one James Tedesco.

No fullback in the game has a bigger influence on to the scoreboard than ‘Teddy’ and that is exactly the missing ingredient against the champion Queensland Maroons team.

The brilliant Tom Trbojevic is in the same ilk, but he is big enough and versatile enough to also be effective at centre or wing. ‘Dreamer’ Jarryd Hayne was stunning in 2014 at fullback and he can also play centre or wing.

Hayne is expected to return back to his best after a full pre-season under his belt, but his best is still not as good at Tedesco’s best, a nice problem for the coach.

Tedesco played 17 matches for Wests Tigers in 2016 and his game averages are off the park . He was the outstanding fullback with 6.2 tackle breaks in each game and also number one for line breaks (0.9) and tries scored (0.82). These are special numbers and to be fair, a fit Tom Trbojevic is expected to return these stunning figures for Manly in 2017.

Teddy also returned an outstanding 0.7 try assists each game which was only betted by Panthers Matt Moylan, which is why Laurie Daley likes him as a Blues pivot. Moylan’s figures at fullback compared to Tedesco’s are not in the same class and for him to claim the important 6 shirt, he would have to be in Daley’s top fifty per cent between incumbent James Maloney, Adam Reynolds and Mitchell Pearce.

Regardless of what combination Daley settles on, it will not have the organisational nous of Cronk and Thurston, but the Blues have slight edges in other areas. Providing their “General” can consistently execute the tactical short kicks well, this new look Blues team have points in them all over the park.

Other players in the expected top 17 that also can play fullback are Blake Ferguson, Josh Dugan and maybe the versatile Jack Bird, but Daley is in trouble if they ever become options.

The greatest challenge that Laurie Daley and new co-selector Peter Sterling have is to settle on a 17 who can score 22 points regularly. The Blues have averaged fewer than two converted tries in the last three years; simply not good enough against a great Maroon team.

The Maroons have been able to post scores of 32, 52 and 26 over the last nine Origins against Daley-coached Blues teams and NSW have only passed the 18-point mark once when they scored 26 points in game 2, in 2015.

NSW have averaged scoring 11 points while the Maroons have averaged 18 points over the last three series.

Daley has won five of his 12 Origins as coach, not bad given the opposition has names like Smith, Thurston, Inglis and Cronk. Those guys know how to post a winning score and it is easy to think defence against them, which over more than a decade has been the Blues biggest mistake.

To defeat the Maroons on a regular basis and win multiple series, the Blues must field a team that can manufacture between 18 to 22 points. They should not be thinking: “let’s defend 12 points”.

Batsmen had the same mentality when they faced Shane Warne, but like the Maroons, he was too good and the bats who had the best record against him where the ones who took him on and attacked.

NSW must back their talent and relentlessly attack Queensland.

Daley has indicated that he knows the Blues have a problem with posting points and has shown his hand what he intends to do about it.

Selecting the silky Matt Moylan with the beautiful pass and deceptive speed in the halves is a big change. Also, the availability and injection of Jarryd Hayne and ‘Turbo’ Tom T into the backline will promote points.

The Blues never lack anything in the forwards at Origin time and again they will field another more than competitive pack minus former skipper Paul Gallen. This may create an opening for the classy Trent Merrin, who as well as being a superb defender can also promote second phase play.

The big advantage that the Maroons have enjoyed over the Blues for over a decade is the creativeness in the halves, and again with Cronk and Thurston, they will ensure they execute their last tackle options correctly ensuring the Maroons good field position.

The Blues must find a winning combination from the experienced Mitchell Pearce, Matt Moylan, James Maloney or the injury prone Adam Reynolds, who has the superior tactical kicking game.

Someone will be unlucky.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2016-12-17T23:48:21+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Muzz Funny that Fullback is the only position you have coupled and Tedesco should be the first player picked. Muzz, you have to drop off from Cleary, he is not ready for Origin. Did you watch his last game this year when he missed 5 tackles when targeted; that will be much worse at Origin level. The fact that you have Wallace at 9 indicates it is a problem area.

2016-12-16T19:14:55+00:00

The spectator

Guest


Alot of 7's played 9 along side Daley at origin level. Hasler, Toovey and Johns. Pearce can play 9 not a prob and more than likely will focus on good service as opposed to say wanting to control everything! Daley dosnt try something different to continually chasing the way Q play, Nsw fans are screwed.

2016-12-15T08:44:43+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Wallace is all class at hooker

2016-12-15T08:44:07+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Yeo wd not let the team down

2016-12-15T08:27:31+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Think there is a ton of talent for 2017, Wallace and Cleary wd give NSW some class around the ruck and Peachey has the X factor coming off the bench in the second half

2016-12-15T08:08:45+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Great minds...

2016-12-15T04:43:15+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


Incredible. Bird in for Leilua is the only difference in my team. You're a terrific judge Muzz.

2016-12-15T02:25:28+00:00

Muzz

Guest


1. Tedesco/Moylan 2. Turbo 3. Leilua 4. Hayne 5. Morris 6. Maloney 7. Cleary 8. Woods 9 Wallace 10 Fifita 11. Cordner 12 Jackson 13 Merrin 14 Boyd 15. Klemmer 16. Frizzelle 17. Peachey 18 Trbojovic

2016-12-14T10:29:27+00:00

Pomoz

Roar Rookie


Now I think of it, Hayne on the wing with Ferguson or Morris inside at centre would absolutely shut down Inglis. That is a big wing centre combination.

2016-12-14T10:27:05+00:00

Pomoz

Roar Rookie


Two points: The analytics are not as clear as you say. Teddy has more tries. Moylan has more try assists (substantially more), offloads and line break assists. Moylan's defence is much better than Tedescos (check out the missed tackle %, Teddy's is 38%, Moylan's 20%). Moylan has 9 try saves versus Tedescos 6. Teddy has more tackle breaks. It really is not as clear as you say, other than you like to watch Teddy run and score. Fair enough. But its the overall impact on the team that matters which includes assists and missed tackles. Second point, it doesn't make sense to say Teddy can't be wing when there is a precedent going back to Andrew Ettingshausen where centres play wing, half backs play wing (Greg Alexander, Kangaroo tour). More recently Dugan played wing, Hayne played wing, Boyd has played wing, Inglis has played wing. That argument just simply doesn't stack up. If we had two specialist wingers who were the best thing since Andrew Johns, then fair enough. If Hayne gets up to form, you might even have Hayne and Teddy on each wing. Hayne was MOM when he played wing for NSW. In the end it is all about the team balance. My view is that the team is better balanced with both players in the team and it adds massive strike power and assists without losing anything from the wing. A point proven when players like Boyd plays there for QLD (who usually plays fullback at club level).

AUTHOR

2016-12-14T06:56:10+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


If Wallace is the 9 then the Maroons are unbeatable

AUTHOR

2016-12-14T06:54:00+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Pom Teddy is THE fullback or he is out. He is not a wing mate. Also, I agree Moylan has a beautiful pass and try assist in him but he simply is not as influential to the scoreboard as Teddy. That is an analytical fact.

AUTHOR

2016-12-14T06:50:19+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Hats 100% agree

AUTHOR

2016-12-14T06:49:47+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Albo, The big problem with the Panthers list is defence. Only finished 15th in 2016 with 859 Missed Tackles (Storm only missed 582). They certainly have points in them but their balance is horribly wrong IMO.

2016-12-14T05:19:19+00:00

The spectator

Guest


Scott, stats dont show everything.

AUTHOR

2016-12-14T00:14:57+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Spec/Pom The difficulty is the coach will not select a 9 to start if he does not play there at club level. 4 does not go into 2 so he has to leave out 2 very good players and one of them may be ideal to relieve Farah at some point. Peace or Reynolds, if they miss the half's top 2 could both do a good job at 9 no doubt. If Farah is fit then he has no competition as the starting 9, although he was not mentioned in the list of skippers which is not a good sign from the coach.

2016-12-13T23:53:14+00:00

Pomoz

Roar Rookie


If Sterlo gets Daley to think, period, I'll be happy.

2016-12-13T23:51:13+00:00

Pomoz

Roar Rookie


It's not a bad idea at all. Gower also made a pretty good hooker as well. It just depends on the halfbacks skills and how tough they are. I agree Pearce is no shrinking violet, neither is Reynolds. As a Panther I love Wallace but I think we should focus on the future not a stop gap for a year at best, he is too old. Peats is the only viable prospect I have seen for NSW. Pearce or Reynolds at hooker gives NSW another kicking option.

2016-12-13T23:41:59+00:00

Pomoz

Roar Rookie


Scott I agree its a big "if" whether Hayne can recapture his best form. I think he can, but time will tell. Just a thought, anybody who saw Moylan in the last 5 or 6 rounds and especially against the Dogs wouldn't acknowledge his ball playing prowess. It is better than Teddy's no doubt and something NSW severely lacks. To offset Moylan's pedestrian kick returns Mansour and DZW do the hard yards for the Panthers so it makes minimal difference. A great option for NSW would be to copy that and have Moylan at fullback and Tedesco on the wing (Teddy is so much quicker than Moylan he will make a much better job of being a winger). Tedesco can drop back for kick returns and Moylan can step up in the line in attack. Then we get the best of both worlds, Teddy's running game and Moylan's passing game. I wouldn't usually say it was a good idea but NSW is severely lacking in creativity and need all the help they can get.

2016-12-13T21:48:21+00:00

Magnus M. Østergaard

Roar Guru


Correct, and I did actually mention Reynolds man my brain is useless

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