Usman Khawaja looks likely to be dropped for the first Test against India on Thursday after being left out of the team for Australia’s only warm-up match which started yesterday in Mumbai.
Given the way Khawaja floundered against spin in the Tests in Sri Lanka last year it would be crazy for Australia to deny him a practice match in India if they actually planned to pick him for the opening Test.
So his absence from yesterday’s line-up strongly suggests the Test selectors have already made the decision to dump Khawaja. If so, I believe they are making the right choice.
Why? Allow me to explain.
Captain Steve Smith, star opener David Warner and prolific new middle-order batsman Peter Handscomb are automatic choices in the top six.
The fourth lock in the batting line-up is an all-rounder, whether that be Mitchell Marsh or Glenn Maxwell, because Australia cannot possibly take on the dominant Indian batting line-up with only four bowling options.
Australia can expect to spend a ton of time in the field during this series – India’s average first innings score was 550 in their recent five-Test home series against England. In light of that, fielding just four bowling options would place massive strain on Australia’s gun new ball pair, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood.
With Warner, Smith, Handscomb and an all-rounder locked in, that leaves Khawaja, young opener Matt Renshaw and veteran Shaun Marsh to fight it out for the two remaining spots.
Shaun Marsh, to my mind, should be the second player picked in the batting line-up after Smith, thanks to his incredible Test record in Asia – 393 runs at 79, including two centuries.
The final spot then is between Renshaw and Khawaja.
The 20-year-old is a complete unknown in these conditions – he has never played in Asia in any format. Renshaw has made a fantastic start to his Test career, averaging 64 after four Tests, and made 184 in his last Test innings, during which he expertly countered Pakistan’s star spinner Yasir Shah.
With his endless patience and willingness to bat well within himself, Renshaw is a fine foil for the cavalier Warner. Among international batsman Renshaw is most similar in style to gun English opener Alastair Cook, who has a sensational Test record in Asia.
Of course, that does not at all mean that Renshaw is destined to succeed in India, he could just as easily flop, as have so many Australian batsmen before him.
But he does look confident against spin and is yet to garner any mental scars against slow bowlers in Asia. The same can’t be said of Khawaja, who looked petrified against spin in Sri Lanka and was dropped after four consecutive failures in that series.
It would be a tough call to drop Khawaja, who has piled up 1349 runs at 64 since being recalled to the Test team after a long absence in November 2015. On a horses-for-courses basis, however, he should not be in the starting line-up in India.
In Sri Lanka, the left hander’s batting against spin was a complete mess. It’s not just his technique against spin which is a concern, but also his mentality. Khawaja looked flustered and panicked against Graeme Swann earlier in his career and, three years on in Sri Lanka, nothing had changed.
Khawaja lacks a clear plan of how to get off strike against slow bowlers when conditions favour them. He allows them to deliver dot ball after dot ball until something gives. His timid, unfocused approach in Sri Lanka prompted the selectors to drop him for the third Test in Colombo.
It also looks like it has convinced them to leave him out of the starting line-up next week in favour of Shaun Marsh and Renshaw. If Khawaja does appear at Pune it will now come as a major surprise.
DingoGray
Roar Guru
Look quick, Mitchell Marsh got over 20 in Red Ball Cricket. He has to be in the Test Team.
DingoGray
Roar Guru
Khawja goes on overseas tours to sit on the Pine and get splinters. It's written into his contract!
GutFeel
Roar Rookie
It'd be kinda nice to see Khawaja bat against India just once to conclude that he can't bat against India. Similarly, it would be nice to see Shaun Marsh maybe make a hundred against India, average say a bit closer to 30, or at least bat in one test in India before concluding that he is a lock to make runs.
Adrian
Guest
A couple of bad tests in Sri Lanka, with a fair bit of luck involved, and he's supposedly destined to be bad in India? That's crazy talk. Khawaja is in form, and in form players should play. Maxwell and Mitchell Marsh are out of form, and it'd be risky to play either. I'd play 6 batsmen.
qwetzen
Guest
I notice that two of Lyon's *four* wickets were the openers Ronan. Cheaply too. It's useful for a side to have a spinner who can come on early and do that....
qwetzen
Guest
Don Freo said: "Probably because it doesn’t really show anything." Are you being deliberately obtuse? In an ideal world of cricket stats we'd know all the tabulations, but Clarke's %age is a reasonable stat to counter the *unsupported* opinion that he was a "great player of spin".
Ritesh Misra
Roar Guru
Excellent analysis. On basis of above logic it indeed seems that Khawaja will sit out.
Don Freo
Guest
If you are suggesting Warner should not be in the side, say it. That would advertise a definite bankruptcy of cricket knowledge.
Ross
Guest
That's the main point, why didn't he play the tour game given he was a star of the test summer
Ross
Guest
For some reason don Freo is not getting this point
TheCunningLinguistic
Guest
After sifting through your gibberish, I have come to the conclusion that your moniker must be in jest.
TheCunningLinguistic
Guest
Oh, the irony- love it! Well picked up, qwetzen.
Sinep eguh a evah i
Roar Rookie
Lyon bowling terribly.must be dropped now
Chris Love
Roar Guru
While he's had more chances than any, the most recent ones haven't been flops..
Rebellion
Guest
I think if Khawaja still played for NSW there wouldn't be an issue - Shane Watson extended his career by moving down there - only the diabolically bad opener with the goatee who used to play for Tasmania couldn't get back in the team If anyone shouldn't be playing it is Marsh. After Phil Hughes he's been given the most chances to redeem himself in a baggy green and has been a flop. If they are that desperate to play Marsh then drop Renshaw until Marsh fails again
Ronan O'Connell
Expert
I wonder how many of the SOK army squirmed slightly in their chairs when they read the scoreboard? Lyon has been smashed, 2-131 at a whopping 5.3 runs per over.
jamesc
Guest
Top comment
jamesc
Guest
renshaw is not, he should be dropped.
Art Vanderlay
Guest
I'll raise you: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lIuJ0kSsUQA
TheCunningLinguistic
Guest
Well said, qwetzen! Know your limits, I say. :-)