Super Rugby Round 4 tips and predictions: Nobes’ moment of glory

By Brett McKay / Expert

The good news, Roarers, is that a certain cocky South African has been subdued by the Lions’ failure to recognise Buenos Aires as a place they need to send their full squad.

That should be enough to keep him down for a little while, even if his sizable lead remains.

The flow-on from that is that Nobes’ pulled a perfect round out of last weekend, and in a moment of wonderful graciousness, sent his Round 4 tips though no earlier than usual. A wonderful human being whose success is here to be shared!

Hopefully that will be a lesson for the Capetonian, but I fear the silence may not last. Mainly because he’s often on the money…

In other disturbing news for you lot in The Crowd, I’m catching you. Be afraid.

Last week: Nobes 8, Harry 7, Digger 6, Brett and The Crowd 5.

Nobes
“Thanks guys, l think I had no luck in some of the tips I missed in Round 2, but Round 3 was compensation time and I am back and in the chase. Anyhow, Round 4 presents some new challenges where injuries, suspensions, and fatigue from travelling must be taken into consideration from now on.

“The Crusaders just seem to win somehow and the Blues seem to lose even when they deserve to win, I think this path will continue. The Chiefs seems to have everything under control and the Rebels do not have any fire power to stop that. Bulls will go back to winning against the Sunwolves.

“Hurricanes will take care of a very depleted Highlanders team. Brumbies should take care of already well travelled Waratahs team. I do not think anybody will beat the Lions in Johannesburg in the regular season this year. The Sharks look to strong for the improving Kings.

“And Jaguares should take care of the Cheetahs in Buenos Aires.”

TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Canes, Brumbies, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares.

Harry
“This round is all about two games, I think. Canes v Landers; Tahs v Brumbies.

“The rest seems simple enough, barring an odd card or off day:

Clinical ‘Saders over the ragged Blues.
The mighty Chiefs over the rabble of Rebels.
The big Bulls over the wee Sunwolves.
The fast Lions over the slow Reds.
The brutal Sharks over the toothless Kings.
The scary Jaguares over the friendly Cheetahs.

“In the main card games, I’ll go HOME!”

TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Lions, Hurricanes, Waratahs, Sharks, Jaguares

Digger
“Go Nobes, chase Harry down!

“’Canes by plenty.

“The Blues strike me as the kind of team that can go from whoa to go within a week considering their talent, and Aucklanders will tell you the Canterbury rivalry is the be-all and end-all so we shall see what that brings out of them. But you can’t tip them of recent respective form between the two sides.

“In Melbourne, the cowbells should ring loudly, while I am not sure the Brumbies can dominate the ‘Tahs up front like we have seen in South Africa. Back at home now, I am going to back the Waratahs; I think they have more points in them.

“The Bulls and the Sharks speak for themselves. The Jaguares should get themselves on a bit of a roll, and in what shapes as an exciting encounter between the Lions and Reds should end up in the home sides favour at altitude.”

TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Hurricanes, Waratahs, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares

Brett
So the upset didn’t come off last week, though I was only 25 seconds away from being the tipping genius you all feared. And you feared it; don’t fool yourself otherwise.

This week, I’m not seeing much chance of an upset. And much as I’d like to make up some lost ground, I’m afraid I’m following these blokes this week.

Realistically, seven of the eight games are pretty obvious. So obvious, in fact, that I pumped them all into one of those multi-bet thingos to see how obvious the bookies think it is, too. And they think it’s more obvious than even I do, because they’re barely paying more than two to one odds. So, that’s simple.

The only game that gives any real cause for concern is the Waratahs-Brumbies derby, which I’m really happy to note will now be played for the Dan Vickerman Cup.

And though the Waratahs at home would normally be too strong, I think we’ve seen over the last two weeks that the ‘Tahs without Bernard Foley is a whole other prospect. The Brumbies will take some confidence in how they were able to come back last week, and actual momentum should be too much for training track success.

TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Canes, Brumbies, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares

Get your tips in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed before kick-off in the Crusaders-Blues game on Friday.

The Sure Thing

Something new in 2017, where we all nominate the one thing we’re absolutely certain will happen over the course of this weekend.

Digger
“I have been terrible at this so far this season but here is one to contemplate: the South African rugby teams combined will score more points than the Black Caps manage in their first innings against the Proteas in the Second Test at the Basin Reserve.”

Harry
“The team in Sydney that kicks better will win.”

Nobes
“Jaguares will not get a yellow this weekend.”

Brett
Crusaders-Blues to be closer than Hurricanes-Highlanders. A lot closer.

And Bernard Foley will now almost certainly be a late inclusion on Saturday night.

Got a sure thing yourself? Let us know in the comments below, and enjoy your rugby this weekend…

The Crowd Says:

2017-03-17T11:53:17+00:00

IvanN

Guest


Not enjoying this format. I would prefer a Super 12, 3 from each then add another 12 teams for Tier 2 Plate (include other countries) Winner of SR plays a once off against Euro Cup Winner.

2017-03-17T07:15:38+00:00

Machooka

Roar Guru


Yep... makes sense.

AUTHOR

2017-03-17T07:03:17+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


No great variation in the Crowd tips: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Hurricanes, Waratahs, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares

2017-03-17T06:59:04+00:00

RobC

Roar Guru


Lost me there mate. No plans to live in Sydney :D

2017-03-17T06:33:53+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


I hope this is true, Machooka. I thought D.Horwitz played a few good games last year so has that SR experience while B.Hegarty has just looked a little lost and fragile. Anyways no matter rain or shine, this sucker will be cheering on the boys in blue, aka NSW Tahs, on Saturday night.

2017-03-17T06:29:31+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


Blackn'Blue mate ... no matter where I roam ... that's where the footie heart is .. *S* ... not even being happily married to an Aussie for 45 years can change that!

2017-03-17T06:22:08+00:00

Machooka

Roar Guru


Ha! And what would you make of a tragic Blues supporter who actually lives in REDs country!?! That's a double whammy...

2017-03-17T06:15:53+00:00

Machooka

Roar Guru


Yeah Thugby... it's not good about the Bernard, but I'm still thinking with Hegarty behind a pack that now has Hollaway back, and Hannigan on the pine, we should just manage it. Although, in saying that the weather will play it's part no doubt!

2017-03-17T06:14:54+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


SBW will be back end of April ..

2017-03-17T06:08:46+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


Bit early for that Brett, only 4th round

2017-03-17T05:59:01+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Hi Nobes,They were going to win the war, or wine and dine them? :)

2017-03-17T05:54:14+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


That's the trouble, 'too good to continuously fail' .... they are exasperating, somehow the powers to be cannot get them to gel as a unit... When they do ....................... I'll be there! ... lol

2017-03-17T05:51:04+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


A draw for the Lions with a Saffer ref??? Ha ha... now I have a lovely bridge to sell you, great views of the Opera House right near it. :)

2017-03-17T05:44:01+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


I hope so RT, the Blues are just too good to continuously fail. They and Queensland Reds have one massive similarity, they both are experts at plucking defeat from the jaws of victory. :)

2017-03-17T05:40:22+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Bugger! Almost as soon as I finished typing the above, I find that B.Foley is still having issues from his head knock and will miss the Tahs' victory over the Knackered Shetland Ponies. Really sounds like the bells have been ringing in his head for him to miss 3 weeks. Must have been one hell of a knock he got. B.Hegarty is ok, but he hasn't taken control of the backline moves, in fact D.Horwitz looked far more composed when he subbed for Hegarty last week. On the upside, Jed Hollaway is back at #8 and big Willie at lock, so the Tahs now have a " full strength" forward pack. Its a pretty decent backrow with J.Dempsey, M.Hooper and J.Hollaway. Lock is our weakness, so thank gawd Ned Hannigan is back also. Just hope the backs can utilise the forward's momentum and they have sorted out their defence alignment. Great to see M.Hooper, N.Phipps and S.Kepu (all for Tahs) running out for the 100th Super Rugby games in this match, now called the Dan Vickerman Cup. Read an article on the Tahs' website where Kepu talks about his debut for NSW against the Brumbies and Dan Vickerman in that match.

2017-03-17T05:31:23+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


*Laughing @ RobC and his Draws!*

2017-03-17T05:29:17+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


About to start, the first game of the round that is Thugby... ... heart overruled the head here (a change of heart), in backing the mighty Blues to get over the 'Saders!! ... Looks too easy, which means ...... Good luck with your Tahs... *S*

2017-03-17T05:16:12+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


G'day young RT,I'm sure the Blues will come good soon to get that smile on your dial. The big problem is picking when! You hit the nail on the head with TBM looking a little out of sorts with Luatua's absence. Incidentally where is the Sunny Bill? Injured, off boxing or on some sort of leave?

2017-03-17T04:59:11+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Firstly, congratulations to the Nobes for plucking a full house last week. The Blues and Tahs are killing me again in this year's tipping contest, damn I'm going down the Tipping Table faster than Monica Lewinsky could ever have dreamed of. A strange quartet of tipsters this week, all four agree on every match except the Tahs vs Brumbies. I can understand Brett punting for the Knackered Ponies but Nobes mate, follow the Gurus from SA and NZ on this one. So I'll side with Digger and Harry this week. The ground will be really gross as its been raining for 3 days in Sydney so I expect to see multiple rolling mauls from the mauling donkeys. :) Good to see that B.Foley and Willie the Fatman back in town. I.Simone has looked a little lost at IC which is a shame as I had him tagged as a future star. To be sure Begorrah (St Pats Day) Simone's defence has been a bit of a disappointment. The bloke who has looked good at IC is Duncan Paia’aua from the Reds. Its not often you see Ryan Crotty of the Crusader continuously put on his backside by a new gun. Paia’aua's attack and booming field kicks have also looked pretty good. Interesting that even Nick Stiles has seen the obvious and pushed S.Moore to the reserves. I wonder what M.Cheika will take from this.

2017-03-17T02:21:01+00:00

RobC

Roar Guru


Thanks gents. This going to be a Major round. Plenty of love, hugs and man love to go around. It could drive others to be envy. Saders will win. But Blues will improve. Will be closer than most think. Rebs/Chiefs, Bulls/Dogs, Sharks/Kings: same category Canes by plenty If Tahs lose, they should be dropped from SR Lions v Reds. DRAW, if Reds set piece does well. But not counting on it esp 2H Go JAGS!!!! But I also like Franco's boys. Jags by a nail/leg/whatever biter

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