Super Rugby Round 1: Now with 25 per cent more expert tipsters

By Brett McKay / Expert

Yes Roarers, it is time. All the pre-season talk can stop, the last-minute research can cease, and so can the sleepless nights.

Super Rugby kicks off this weekend in South Africa, and with it comes the kick-off of The Roar’s expert tipping panel for the season.

Yes, much to the thrill of reigning champion Nobes, we’re all back on board again for the year.

We’re still not entirely sure why the season is kicking in South Africa a week early, and I’ll presume it’s because they want an extra week to get ready for Eddie Jones in June, but we’re not going to concern ourselves with trivialities like facts.

But it’s not just Harry, Digger, Nobes, and myself. This year, it’s a very warm welcome to the tipping panel to Roar expert, and author of the widely acclaimed cracking new rugby book, A World in (Union) Conflict, Geoff Parkes!

Geoff even has the honour of kicking the season’s tipping off…

Geoff
Thanks Brett for the invite to the panel, even if it’s only a desperate measure designed to lift you off the bottom of the ladder!

The Stormers need to get a few wins on the board before Cape Town runs out of water, up by 15 over the Jaguares.

The Lions may have let their golden opportunity pass them by last year and I’m sniffing an upset win to the Sharks, away from home, to start their season. Sharks by 3.

TIPS: Stormers, Sharks

Sure thing: After bringing in a psychologist over the off season to help improve mental strength and discipline, the Jaguares will still concede two yellow cards and one red and believe the whole rugby world is conspiring against them.

Nobes
Good day for all, I hope we have more rugby and less political issues this year. I am back to attempt to defend my title after a well-deserved rest. It is a hard job to beat the experts representing countries with such a long and winning tradition in rugby.

To make things harder everything starts all over where we left it last year. Apparently, the beginning of this new journey is between the man with the impeccable prose against the struggling Spanish speaking chap who sweat until the last game of Super Rugby in 2017.

The Stormers may have to go with a 19-year-old fly-half, but Jaguares are in the usual adjusting time in the hands of new coach Mario Ledesma. He already has problems in the centres, where Jaguares will have to improvise a new tandem due to some early injuries suffered by their usual starters. So, against my heart and because I want to make it really clear that I want to win again this year, I will tip the Stormers.

For the other game I will stick to my rule and go with the Lions at home. To tell you the truth I have not seen or heard much of the Sharks lately, but this Lions team must be hungry after two years of making the finals and come out empty handed.

TIPS: Stormers, Lions

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Sure thing: Plenty of yellow and may be some reds. The officials will want to set the pace of how this season will be run and there is no better chance than these matches to make their point clear, from the very beginning.

Harry
Nobes nipped me at the post last year because the Lions couldn’t win a home game when it mattered most, and Kwagga Smith was not as good a break-dancer as a blonde Kiwi coach.

So, it’s fitting we start the new season looking at a tricky derby at Ellis Park and a Jaguares match.

The thirsty Stormers should stumble to a home win against the possibly improved Jags. But they’ll have to do it with a 19-year old at flyhalf.

The well-settled Sharks look the better side, this year, and I’ll go with the early upset. The tired Lions may finish fourth or fifth this season, because Gloucester will challenge for a title. Enough said.

I fully realise I am selecting the child flyhalf, Matador wing, lockless Stormers (no Eben, no PSDT) over a Test team, and that I am tipping AGAINST last year’s bridesmaid at home. But fortune favours the foolish.

TIPS: Stormers by a little, Sharks in a tussle

Sure thing: Uppercuts, hooks, jabs, and haymakers. It’s a Joburg-Durban derby. And the Argies are in town. Bring your handbags!

Digger
Here we go, here we go!

Despite much negativity surrounding the competition, I am greatly looking forward to another fine season, the off seasons are getting too long down here. How much break can a bloke need?

Anyhow, to our shortened convoluted Saffie beginnings we go to a dry Cape Town and it’s the Stormers for me, simply in two seasons I have no evidence nor faith in the house cats winning away from home so a good start it should be for the mild cold front.

I must say, I do like the look of the Sharks squad this year and would be my ridiculously early pick of the African conference, so I am backing them in, even away to the Lions who have some changes to deal with. Rugby players’ memories are long and no doubt for me the Sharkies will want to avenge their agonising Combrinck last minute monster penalty from last season from their collective psyche. Guppies for me.

And no doubt the Bulls will be thankful for the gift of the first-round bye, a much-needed break with the whole, I mean entire, all of it, season ahead of them.

TIPS: Stormers, Sharks

Sure thing: Whinging will ensue, games on too early, many will claim they were not aware, and the point of the competition will be raised. Yip, another season will have started! Let’s go!

Brett
So last year, I looked at teams each week, looked at head-to-head records, home-and-away stats; everything. And look where it got me!

This year, I’m trying two new risky ventures: firstly, I have indeed brought Geoff into the fold because I fancy my chances against him, and secondly, I’ve not looked at the South African teams at all. Aside from their jersey launches, I’ve read nothing.

And I can’t see why it won’t work this week; I mean, there’s stories all the time of people with no knowledge at all winning tipping comps with a simple ‘I like their jerseys’ philosophy. Who am I to argue with scientific evidence like that?

Therefore, I’m going with the Stormers and Lions. Honestly, have you seen their 2018 playing strips?!? They’re magnificent! The Jaguares and Sharks have nothing on them, b-o-r-i-n-g to the extreme by comparison. I can’t see this failing for me.

TIPS: Stormers, Lions

Sure thing: A hasty revision of strategy, and actual research to feature next week. And just to get it in first, ‘no Australian losses’…

Get your tips in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed Friday afternoon AEDT.

Who gets your tip? Got a sure thing yourself? Let us know in the comments below, and enjoy your rugby this weekend…

The Crowd Says:

2018-02-17T12:10:03+00:00

RobC

Roar Guru


Hey guys! Thanks for you tips. If Stormers lose, they should be punished. No water for a week Lions should win, if they play like last year. I think they will

2018-02-17T02:01:39+00:00

ClarkeG

Guest


Emery the Highlanders the latest recruit.

2018-02-16T01:17:07+00:00

piru

Roar Rookie


I'm claiming grandfather status

AUTHOR

2018-02-16T01:02:52+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


UPDATE: current tipping trends for The Crowd, nearing 300 votes received... 83.0% STORMERS 66.1% LIONS

2018-02-15T23:28:02+00:00

Machooka

Roar Guru


He's back! He's red and black ;)

2018-02-15T22:07:56+00:00

Nobrain

Roar Guru


Etzebeth is not playing. He usually has the most fun with him.

2018-02-15T21:49:09+00:00

Marius Ciliers

Roar Guru


A hearty welcome back to our experts. And thank bloody beer Life returns to normal..and we can proceed again..albeit as a Saffa with our error in parliament fixed on valentines and a good slugfest from 4 teams to look forward to. It be a bloody awsum week sofar. Come win or lose,one thing remains sure and true: Emm Stormers are going to make it rain in Cape Town,blitzkrieg phase play and points,offloads and clean breaks,contest breakdowns like trojans.. And come 57 mins and 20 secs into the 2nd half emm Jags are gonna lose the plot.. Keep a lookout for stormers backline..besides elende..sorry,allende.. With the loss to the brilliance of chance..as in a kwaga making a kwaga of himself..facepalm,my Saders won at altitude and barely snatched Victory over a rampaging Lions outfit in ol Joburg. With "Akkies" gone,toetie gone,rassie in, and "The Error" resigning in Parliament..Rugby in Saffa land might get overlooked by them devious powers that be and just like Trump taking all the flack n headlines..everyone else can actualy get stuff done !! Meaning that 2018 will in all likelyhood be remembered as the year the Saffas came n collecting..scalps,throphy's and hearts. Round 1 of Super Rugby starts with 3 Saffa teams winning..cause I see test rugby at Ellispark and A storm front moving in over Newlands.. Stormers over Jags Lions over Sharks or a draw..

2018-02-15T21:44:52+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Baylion, I like a few things, and I don't like a few things: LIKE: Leyds at 15. The bench (except Ramone); especially JJ! The Nizaam-Wiese-Kolisi loose trio. Wilco-Kitshoff power up! Willemse trusted to start at 10, at age 19. DISLIKE: Raymond Rhule defending against Jags' flyers. Crocodile Arm Ramone throwing into the LO late in the match.

2018-02-15T21:40:13+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Levanini will have fun.

2018-02-15T19:17:39+00:00

Baylion

Roar Rookie


Jaguares: 1. Arregui Felipe 2. Creevy Agustín 3. Tétaz Chaparro Nahuel 4. Alemanno Matías 5. Lavanini Tomás 6. Matera Pablo (c) 7. Ortega Desio Javier 8. Lezana Tomás 9. Bertranou Gonzalo 10. Sánchez Nicolás 11. Boffelli Emiliano 12. Ezcurra Bautista 13. Orlando Matías 14. Moyano Ramiro 15. Tuculet Joaquín Bench to be confirmed

2018-02-15T19:16:21+00:00

Baylion

Roar Rookie


Stormers: 15 Dillyn Leyds, 14 Seabelo Senatla, 13 EW Viljoen, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Raymond Rhule, 10 Damian Willemse, 9 Dewaldt Duvenage, 8 Nizaam Carr, 7 Cobus Wiese, 6 Siyamthanda Kolisi (captain), 5 John Schickerling, 4 Chris van Zyl, 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Mbongeni Mbonambi, 1 Steven Kitshoff. Replacements: 16 Ramone Samuels, 17 Jacobus Janse van Rensburg, 18 Carlu Sadie, 19 Jan de Klerk, 20 Kobus van Dyk, 21 Justin Phillips, 22 George Whitehead, 23 Johannes Engelbrecht.

2018-02-15T19:15:25+00:00

Baylion

Roar Rookie


Lions: 15. Andries Coetzee, 14. Sylvian Mahuza, 13. Lionel Mapoe, 12. Harold Vorster, 11. Aphiwe Dyantyi, 10. Elton Jantjies, 9. Ross Cronjé, 8. Warren Whiteley (c), 7. Cyle Brink, 6. Kwagga Smith, 5. Franco Mostert, 4. Andries Ferreira, 3. Ruan Dreyer, 2. Malcolm Marx, 1. Jacques van Rooyen. Replacements: 16. Robbie Coetzee, 17. Dylan Smith, 18. Jacobie Adriaanse, 19. Marvin Orie, 20 Marnus Schoeman, 21. Hacjivah Dayimani, 22. Howard Mnisi, 23. Rohan Janse van Rensburg. Interesting. Going for two loosies on the bench and only two backline players, no reserve scrummie or flyhalf and two centres

2018-02-15T19:10:37+00:00

Baylion

Roar Rookie


Lions by 8 Jaguares by 5

2018-02-15T18:48:09+00:00

Nobrain

Roar Guru


Jaguares: 15 Joaquin Tuculet, 14 Ramiro Moyano, 13 Matias Orlando, 12 Bautista Ezcurra, 11 Emiliano Boffelli, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Gonzalo Bertanou, 8 Tomas Lezana, 7 Javier Ortega Desio, 6 Pablo Matera, 5 Tomas Lavanini, 4 Matias Alemanno, 3 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro, 2 Agustin Creevy, 1 Felipe Arregui Replacements: TBC

2018-02-15T17:33:09+00:00

Go the Wannabe's

Guest


I think most people are ambivalent about Super Rugby here in the West Geoff. If you haven't got a team to follow......pffffft. Not much more to say really.

2018-02-15T14:13:27+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Tim Rogers Support all the Saffas who were in the Force, but are now finding their places. Hell, just support Saffas. In particular, the Saffas in the Cape. Prime Minister quit bc he's a thief, coaches have no clue, no water, crime worse than Baghdad, and quotas. What's not to love?!

2018-02-15T14:00:26+00:00

Tim Rogers

Roar Rookie


No Brett but heart isn’t in SR when your team has been thrown underneath a bus. I hope players do well but i’m more interested in teams that come out of Perth.

2018-02-15T13:45:59+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


DavSA The Shorks have the best bench in the comference Beast, Akker, Dan du Preez, Bosch, et al Not sure about their scrumhalves, though!

2018-02-15T13:44:39+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Maybe the biggest losses are: Ackermann Sr Ackermann Jr Akker vd Merwe The akkers fell too far from the tree

2018-02-15T11:48:25+00:00

AC

Guest


Was torn on the Sharks/Lions - then I saw McKay's tip. Sharks by 14. Told you it'd get personal B Man - plenty of rounds to go :)

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