Injuries and India soften up Proteas for Australia

By Ronan O'Connell / Expert

Australia face a daunting task against South Africa when their Test series starts on Thursday, but the Proteas may be more vulnerable than expected due to three major injury concerns and having their confidence rocked by India.

Champion quick Dale Steyn is expected to miss the first two Tests with a heel injury, while skipper Faf du Plessis and middle-order batsman Temba Bavuma are in doubt for the first Test due to broken fingers.

Meanwhile, the Proteas were humiliated by India on their home turf this past month, losing seven of their last nine matches in an unprecedented run of defeats against a visiting Asian team.

While the home side beat India 2-1 in the Test series that preceded these limited-overs matches, the Proteas lost the last Test of that series and have since been beaten in six out of eight white-ball matches.

India bossed their hosts across those ODI and T20 fixtures, with their spinners running amok and captain Virat Kohli destroying the bowlers he faced.

Virat Kohli (AP Photo/Rui Vieira)

Test cricket is a vastly different format, quite obviously, but momentum can flow from one format into another, whether positive or negative. We saw that the last time Australia and South Africa clashed in Tests, just over a year ago.

Australia entered that home series under pressure, after being flogged 5-0 in the preceding 50-over series in South Africa – Australia’s worst-ever result in an ODI series. The Aussies will be hoping the Proteas feel similar heat due to their capitulation against India in recent weeks.

A major factor in that run of losses has been an awful luck with injuries. Not only have Steyn and Du Plessis missed all or most of those matches, but the Proteas have also at times been without superstar batsman AB de Villiers and gun wicketkeeper-batsman Quentin de Kock.

Both De Villiers and De Kock have missed the past few matches in an effort to be fit to face Australia on Thursday in Durban. It seems likely that pair will play in that match, but the hosts will be without Steyn and probably at least one of Du Plessis and Bavuma.

The unavailability of Steyn is a great disappointment for cricket fans, given the phenomenal battles he has had with Australia over the past decade. With 70 wickets at 27, no quick in world cricket has caused the Aussies more trouble in that time.

Cricket needs Dale Steyn back. (AFP PHOTO / ALEXANDER JOE)

Yet losing Du Plessis for the series opener would be an even bigger blow to South Africa. They are well placed to cover for the absence of Steyn thanks to their incredible pace depth, which I wrote about recently.

But their batting stocks are not nearly as deep as their pace stocks, meaning Du Plessis would leave a gaping hole in their top six, while also depriving them of his impressive leadership and on-field tactics. The skipper loves playing against Australia, having piled up 713 runs at a touch below 60 in eight Tests against them.

Among that haul have been several innings of extreme importance. Most famously, he made 78 and 110* on debut at Adelaide in 2012, saving the Test for his side with an eight-hour masterpiece in their second innings.

In the next Test, at Perth, Du Plessis’ knock of 78* rescued his side from 6-75 on Day 1. In his most recent match against Australia, he compiled a wonderful 118* in a total of 259 on a juicy Adelaide deck in the day-night Test.

South Africa’s middle order is already weakened at present due to the major form slump of De Kock, who has averaged just 14 in his past eight Tests, so they can ill afford to be without Du Plessis.

His absence would also make it harder for the Proteas to find the right balance to play five bowlers, the strategy they used in all three Tests against India.

The Crowd Says:

2018-02-27T07:44:22+00:00

DavSA

Guest


It is Dav , Fergus not Dave . Try and "read" properly. Picking on a small error which I posted off the top of the head and then using it to justify an attack on me was pretty uncalled for . You did say that Elgar of late has been mediocre and I simply disagreed with that . How on earth did I read that wrong.

2018-02-26T10:22:08+00:00

Hari

Guest


Don't ask the rationale, I feel Aussies are in for a surprise!

2018-02-26T03:14:18+00:00

Fergus

Roar Rookie


Get your facts right Dave it was 86 not out. also maybe read what people write, i know for some people using there brains to think and critically evaluate can be very difficult but do try "Your probably right on Elgar he has had a stellar past two years but his most recent form has been mediocre (very close to good though, he was borderline for me, maybe i was harsh) if you don’t count Bangladesh. Same goes for Markram i guess." Read it and weep Dave.

2018-02-25T13:44:34+00:00

DavSA

Guest


Elgar mediocre Fergus ? scored 90 plus on a snake pit.

2018-02-25T12:55:53+00:00

Fergus

Roar Rookie


It's not like comparing a chicken and a zebra its like comparing how 2 teams batted without doing an indepth comparison of every wicket. "you’re not factoring in the wickets" so did Steve Smith average 70 odd across the indian series even though 2 of the pitches where mindfields? did Usman Khawaja average over 50 during the SA series? did he average over 86.75 during the first 3 shield matches when only one team score of over 300 was made in Queensland's shield matches? the answer to all the above is yes and the point being that good form can be maintained on difficult batting wickets. i get your point it's easier to score on batting friendly wickets, but that doesn't mean the difference cant be accounted for (you just assume i haven't) With regards to Australia's wickets being flat you neglected to mention that on those flat wickets England got all out 4 times, twice losing by an innings defeat, one on the SCG. Why you said even the SCG i don't know as at times in the past year it's been super flat and it spun considerably on days 4 and 5 this year so it had something for the bowlers latter on. But yes, Australia played on flatter wickets then South Africa. I'd say a good career average is mid 40's and that takes into account playing on both flat wickets and challenging wickets. Furthermore i'd say playing on difficult or good wickets +/-'s 5 runs (not very scientific i know). So when comparing players playing on good wicket to bad that 10 runs. So a 40+ average player for south Africa would be in good form and a 50+ for Australia would also be in good form, 40 v 30 for mediocre and 30v 20 for poor. On that basis Australia would still come out ahead Now if you want to work out a the percentage of team runs batsmen score, then control using team scores in order to work out what the actual difference between playing on flat wickets and juicy wickets is, be my guest but i don't have the time or willpower so rough guesswork is what i used. Keep in mind a batsmen's confidence is going to increase more from scoring a century on a flat track then it is from scoring a half century in difficult conditions.

2018-02-25T11:27:51+00:00

Nudge

Guest


Fergus, you're not factoring in the wickets when judging the form of their "most recently completed series". One series was played on flat Australian wickets where the ball virtually didn't swing all series. One test match wicket was rated poor because the wicket was so flat. Even the SCG Australia made 650 odd. Now compare that to the South African wickets against India. All 3 tests had plenty of movement off the pitch and in the air. One match was stopped for 20 minutes while discussions were had to cancel the match because the wicket was to dangerous. So you can't compare the form of the 2 batting teams. It's like comparing a chicken to a zebra.

2018-02-25T11:23:53+00:00

DavSA

Guest


The pitch preparation is certainly the Elephant in the room. What are we going to get ? I am done second guessing as I am inevitably wrong. However who is calling the shots re pitch preparation . Is it The SA Board or is it the senior players?. A few batsmen were really hurt , Elgar in particular took a nasty blow to his visor which injured him . Other players on both sides in The Indian series ended the matches with fingers in particular taking a hammering. Elgar appeared less than pleased in a post match interview with regards the pitch.

2018-02-25T09:52:46+00:00

Fergus

Roar Rookie


Your probably right on Elgar he has had a stellar past two years but his most recent form has been mediocre (very close to good though, he was borderline for me, maybe i was harsh) if you don't count Bangladesh. Same goes for Markram i guess. AB did look great but he didn't perform great, he performed mediocre, the wickets where tough at times but good enough that a good player i.e. kholi could average in the mid 40's and get a century. SA's tour of Australia arguably had wickets of a similar difficulty and players managed to average mid 40's to fifties there. Faf is recovering from an injury so who knows how that will effect his batting, though last i checked broken fingers don't seem to bother him much. Yeah it's a bit of a shame but Amla's not quite the same, whether it's his eye or just a run of mediocre form i don't know.

2018-02-25T09:42:44+00:00

Fergus

Roar Rookie


I probably should have specified that to judge the form of the players i took there most recently completed series. So i wasn't including bangladesh because away from home on non-spinner friendly wickets their attack is cannon fodder attack, basically give me runs. Dave i said on form Australia's batting lineup looks better, there's no doubt south Africa's lineup has a superior record with the bat but it doesn't matter how good you have been it matters how good you are right now.

AUTHOR

2018-02-25T07:17:32+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


Bob Shaun Marsh also had a decent match in what was a low-scoring game with scores 25 and 39no.

AUTHOR

2018-02-25T07:11:16+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


DavSA while the Proteas were happy to play one less batsman and have Philander at 7 against India I've got a feeling they'll consider that a bit risky against the much stronger bowling attack of Australia. I'm expecting Bavuma to come in at 6, with one of Ngidi or Maharaj missing out on the 1st Test, depending on pitch conditions.

2018-02-25T05:44:56+00:00

DavSA

Guest


Barring injuries Paul the team picks itself. Elgar , Markram , Amla , ABDV , Du Plessis , De Kock , Philander , Maharaj , Morkel , Rabada , Ngidi. Thats just off the top of my head . This was the team that beat India and will be again barring injuries the one to play Aus. Even if fit Dale Steyn will not get selected unless one of the other quicks get hurt. . Too risky. Bavuma will be first in if either ABDV or Du Plessis are injured and Klaasen will take the gloves if De Kock is injured.Sounds pretty settled to me. There will be no surprises.

2018-02-25T05:08:06+00:00

Rob

Guest


Maybe SA will be battle harden considering the quality opposition they faced? England were very poor in the bowling department and I suspect the Proteas will be a significant step up. On the batting side the Proteas tail should be much more difficult to bounce out. The English really gave little resistants. I was more confident leading into the last series against India than this one against SA.

2018-02-25T00:14:24+00:00

El Loco

Roar Rookie


Which has now turned into a passable five wicket win. As you say Ronan, not great but not awful. And ultimately beneficial, I'd far prefer a real contest warm up game than a few top order players retiring on 102. This sort of game keeps everyone on their toes and we're gonna need that attitude going into the tests.

2018-02-24T05:29:05+00:00

Nudge

Guest


Why is it gobbing off? Don’t just read the headline, listen to the question and Smith’s full response. He was asked by a reporter will SA’s tail be bounced. He answered honestly and said yes, but said unlike during the ashes our tail with cop the same due to the opposition’s increased bowling pace

2018-02-24T05:04:32+00:00

DavSA

Guest


Agree on all Dave except your assessment of Temba Bavuma. He has a test average after 27 tests of 34 . Considering that he had a very slow start to his career he appears to be improving all the time. Also a very popular player within the team and brings in a good dressing room vibe . Very important. He is a superb fielder , particularly at short leg. You wont see any of the established stars willing to stand there.

2018-02-24T04:43:43+00:00

DavSA

Guest


It was reported on Inside Edge , a local Supersporrt discussion programme Ronan . The programme guest was an SA selector Zondi. Agree on Markram. He has been groomed for some years now , right from junior level to assume the captaincy once Faf moves on. I know he did not have the greatest series against India with the bat but apart from Kohli who was also a dash lucky in the amount of lives he was gifted , who did really? When Markram is on song he is one of the most attractive stroke players out there and very watchable.

2018-02-24T04:21:28+00:00

Nudge

Guest


South Africa’s batting line up is pretty strong. Markram has had a sensational start to his test career. He looks the real deal. Elgar is looking more and more like Justin Langer just with a few less shots. Amla is definitely not the same as he was but he’s going to be good for 1 test ton, Devilliers is an absolute gun and will be up for this. I can hardly remember Duplessis failing against us, and while De-Koch is out of form, for players of his class that can change completely. It wouldn’t surprise either if the wicket has a bit in it SA might just play 4 fast bowlers in Morkel Rabada Philander and either Ngidi or Steyn which allows them to play another batsman. Personally I hope they go with the 4 quicks and Maharaj which will give us a big chance to rip through their lower order

2018-02-24T03:18:06+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Guest


Mitch Marsh is swinging the new ball.7 runs from five overs in the SAA second dig.Every second delivery from Starc is doing something

AUTHOR

2018-02-24T02:52:56+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


TOUR MATCH WRAP: Australia rolled SA "A" for 220, with Lyon and MMarsh struggling a bit with the ball, and Cummins (4-32) and Hazlewood (3-40) doing well. Then Australia were reduced to 7-178 as every one of their top 7 (apart from Handscomb) made between 22 and 45. Australia's tail bumped them up to 329, with Cummins making 59no. Now SA "A" are 0-55 in their second dig. Not a great hit-out so far for Australia, although not awful either.

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