Lets put Essendon's season in perspective the right way

By Pierro / Roar Rookie

Something is happening with the team from Tullamarine.

It appears Essendon are developing composure in the final quarter each week and intelligent football-playing minds besides the run and dash off half-back for three or fewer quarters a game.

Let’s put the season in perspective as there have been several Roar Gurus questioning Essendon’s form and top eight credentials.

At the start of the season, an article was posted with such sentiments and last week another article was posted along similar lines, but these writers may need to revise their thought processes.

Without their key full forward (Joe Daniher), without their all-star tackle wizard (Devon Smith), without all three first-team ruckmen, without Orazio Fantasia’s forward goal poaching brilliance and without their All Australian defender (Michael Hurley), Essendon did something remarkable last night by beating Adelaide away from home soil – their first away win this season.

With Dyson Heppell nursing a fractured foot of sorts, playing through the pain barrier no doubt, and Essendon falling 30 points behind Adelaide halfway through the second quarter, who would have bet on the Bombers coming from behind to win their fourth game in a row?

Yet they did just that to win another finals style match given the ladder positioning.

Essendon won by playing aggressive football on the break off half-back, which they are widely known for, but they also won via highly contested football at the stoppages and winning their way forward via the outside corridor for the most part.

More importantly, Essendon won the game via a composed team effort with some thoughtful football and that’s what may be changing. They often picked out their players and delivered kicks with more accuracy and forward-thinking, in addition to their quick runs off half-back.

Players like Conor McKenna are now using their mind to find targets after running off half-back with dashing speed, instead of just kicking bombs forward to the opposition.

Midfielders like Zach Merrett and Dylan Shiel decided to kick for goal on the 50-metre line instead of passing short to forward line mayhem. They backed themselves in and actually kicked set shot goals. Many of them.

Perhaps someone got them all drilling kicks from set shots in the last month?

Players like Jake Stringer have adapted to play relentless teamwork-oriented football alongside their outrageous skills and tackling. The young defenders have stood up without Hurley, allowing Hooker to go forward and transform another football game with key forwards missing for the second or third game in a row.

And what can we say about mercurial Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti? He played a different role, playing deeper and running down every player in sight after his match-winning goal last week.

At the start of the season, I said Essendon were a five-to-seven placed prospect. It was another rough start to the season, which had Dons fans reaching for the headache pills.

On top of that, there was a rather unfortunate umpire memory lapse about the clear rule that concedes a free kick where any opposition team member climbs the goal post when a player is kicking for goal, and some very questionable umpiring in the Anzac game against Collingwood, where Essendon lost by four points yet won three quarters of football.

(Photo by Paul Kane/Getty Images)

It was clear the Bombers looked to be unlucky on top of the poor start. Those eight points (or, at least four points) could have seen Essendon sitting second on the AFL ladder this morning or inside the top four.

We cannot dwell on such misfortune, as results cannot be changed – especially when relying on the AFL to do the right thing and overrule such a huge breach of umpiring and player madness.

I have never seen a player climb a goal post so high and never seen the AFL write such an insipid explanation for such a major error in umpiring. I digress.

The results from these games onwards leave me to think Essendon are a solid top-eight team, especially given their injuries over the course of the season and, in particular, the last half a dozen games.

We can confirm Essendon have work to do against top four teams that beat them well after the season got rolling properly, namely the likes of Geelong, West Coast and Richmond. The Bombers like dry ground for their elite running style and pace and gave Brisbane a good beating which seems like a pretty good result now.

I realise the season is not done yet and Essendon’s percentage is one of the lowest in the top eight, which means they may need to make the final eight by one outright win, making their job a tad more difficult.

It could be very close still if they can’t finish on level points with the teams placed fifth to eighth with inferior percentage.

I don’t believe the club can finish top four either, but this is a team with a core of young players only getting better in McKenna, Mason Redman, Martin Gleeson, Matt Guelfi, Mark Beguely, Aaron Francis, Darcy Parish, Andrew McGrath, Jordan Ridley, Brandon Zerk-Thatcher and hopefully a new agile ruckman in Sam Draper.

There are more as well. For the first time in over a decade or more, Essendon has depth emerging in the squad and plenty of time with them.

These are in essence baby Bombers. Remember that team anyone?

Sure they may still lack an inside midfielder that has eluded them since Jobe Watson left.

We can confirm Essendon is decimated with key injuries and the Gold Coast game must not be taken lightly after four huge finals-style matches.

Funny results have happened all season but a win up at Vegas on the beach would give Essendon a big chance before another round of finals-style matches with Port Adelaide, the Bulldogs and Collingwood.

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Not to mention another two matches interstate after last night’s trip to Adelaide.

If only Essendon could have a seven-game run-in at the MCG like Richmond instead of playing at five different grounds in the last seven games going interstate three times.

We can’t make excuses as that’s football thanks to the wonderful fixture planning by the AFL.

The injuries still make it difficult for Essendon but maybe everyone can start to acknowledge that Essendon are a top-eight team even if they have not reached the heights of a top-four team without their full complement of elite players available consistently all season let alone the exodus since Hurley, Fantasia and all three ruckmen went down let alone Heppell hanging missing a few games as he soldiers on.

Let’s hope Gold Coast don’t provide another 50 to 1 upset this season which seems to happen each round this year.

Let’s also hope Heppell can keep playing through the pain barrier with a genetic foot disorder. Maybe he should have the operation immediately at the end of September as next year Essendon will need its captain to enjoy pushing those baby Bombers to the top four.

You never know, Essendon could win a finals game and silence the doubters, let alone win two of them, but it’s hard to predict with the long term injured players they have probably not coming back to play this season.

Next season could get very interesting Bombers fans.

Dear Santa, please let Essendon re-sign Sam Draper so we can have an agile young ruckman for the first time since Paddy Ryder left – even if Draper needs more experience and is a gamble.

Icing on the cake. Please find an elite inside midfielder. Nat Fyfe would be fine. Result from cake baking with these requests granted is a premiership flag. Happy for this note to go to Adrian Dodoro.

The Crowd Says:

2019-07-24T00:49:56+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


That's why I'm excited about Parish. He has a genuine ability to kick goals. Langford too, although he's a bit behind Parish in terms of midfield ability.

2019-07-20T05:53:41+00:00

jeff skinner

Guest


I think the fact that the vfl bombers are playing so well that gives Essendon a depth that is able to cover injured players and do so with confidence. write them off at your peri.This an Essendon side fullof confidence anything is possible

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T05:43:01+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


Thats good analysis . Its not going to necessarily win a premiership but it is a bit like how the baby bombers won one a long time ago in the 90s. Blistering speed. The match against Collingwood was more sustained grinding down though where collingwood were holding on for three quarters but generally there is a pattern going on with some blistering segments of attack. I think the key change is the defense has become very tight and hard to break down in the last six matches. Only West Coast at home in Perth got on top of the revised defense in the last half a dozen games or so.

2019-07-20T05:21:04+00:00

Rissole

Roar Rookie


I definitely agree with you about Rampe climbing the post. That was farcical. The umpires also clearly lost their composure in the Anzac Day game. We were the better team despite not getting the 4 points.

2019-07-20T05:19:18+00:00

Rissole

Roar Rookie


Yes we have had very good moments this season and some big wins with key players out. Have very much enjoyed the output of the halfbacks and young brigade.

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T05:14:26+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


Rissole can stomach the Collingwood result despite even Collingwood players stopping on the field several times in shock but the Swans game is unacceptable when a player climbs a goal post and the rules are clear with the umpire in plain sight of it all. Clearly the umpire just did not know the rule book . No excuse for that . Clear loss of four points. Moral of the story Essendon is a top 8 side and could easily have gone top four . Im not sure they are top four even if they were placed there given three of the top 5 sides beat them well enough. Im happy to agree with results where Essendon got beaten fair and square and agree most umpiring balances out. Essendon was not good enough against Eagles, Geelong and Richmond as I state clearly in the article but my article is basically what the title suggests, contrary to other recent opinion pieces questioning wether Essendon are a top 8 team

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T05:07:59+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


I was there too DJCJ. I only have two gripes for the year where the umpiring was just so poor it was unacceptable. It cost them 8 points in one kick games which would have placed them second. I list them in the article to merely evidence that Essendon are a top 8 team especially given the clear breach in the Swans match. I was at the Collingwood match too. Never seen a last quarter with such awful umpiring but the Swans game was extraordinary unless AFL players are allowed to pretend their coconuts at the top of the goal post . It was there for all to see. Gerard Whateley said the AFL's spineless statement was a new low on the matter disgracing the integrity of the AFL with a new low. Thats just what he said not me.

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T05:02:35+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


PPV will no doubt avoid commenting on your accurate observations DJCJ

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T05:00:28+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


Are you kidding me PPV did you watch Rampe climb the goal post in sydney I thought he was going up to find coconuts. Its a 101 breach for all to see. Even Longmire was caught lyp read saying that was a free kick to Rampe. Hardly a moral victory seeing we slaughtered them kicking behinds all game and went down due to the breach of a clear free kick. Collingwood game atrocious if you listened to Roos and Co. Even Brereton agreed . As for the North game if it wasn't for hurley going off and Hooker getting spasms Brown would have had a few less. Lucky to get so close . North came off some soft wins despite a nice turn around since they got rid of a coach that clearly needed to go. Sorry your stat attacks don't hold up if your watching the games.

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T04:56:10+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


Good stat countdown PPV but I don't think Essendon have any sweetheart treatment int he last five years in particular if you happened to be reading media articles for three years on the trot and hilarious comment on the AFL giving us sweetheart treatment . 5 day and 6 day turn arounds to two interstate games a few times this year five different grounds in last seven matches. Try richmond playing 7 straight games at MCG and North Melbourne cushy advantage down in Tassie. I actually like North Melbourne but I think Essendon beat them well with a 19 point lead going in to the final term and Essendon didnt extend an advantage like they should have second half. Sometimes the Frees are deserved . Your going on about fair treatment by AFL when a swans player climbs the goal post which is a clear breach winning them the game (in which we kicked floods of behinds in any event) and every commentator was scratching their heads over the woods game decisions in the last quarter which were crucial errors in a four point match

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T04:47:44+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


Agree be wary of the underdog this year. Essendon in fact has been under dog in its last three matches and won

AUTHOR

2019-07-20T04:46:23+00:00

Pierro

Roar Rookie


Rissole clearly has it out for Essendon but you can't deny how exciting Essendon is let alone the fact that they are now a consistent team with huge omissions . Is Brisbane a mediocre team because we beat them well. Is Collingwood a mediocre team because they just shaded it in the anzac game losing three quarters of football to Essendon

2019-07-20T04:20:54+00:00

Rissole

Roar Rookie


There are no moral umpiring victories. You get gifted some and you get ripped off. I like to complain as much as anyone but you'd imagine it'd even out long term.

2019-07-20T04:09:01+00:00

DJCJ

Guest


Good point. Their last quarter bursts have been a bit of a signature this season. 4 goals unanswered in 15 mins last night. R16 v Syd - 4 goals unanswered in 12 mins R15 v GWS - 5 goals to 1 in 20 mins R13 v Haw 3 goals unanswered in 7 mins R11 v Car 3 goals unanswered in 16 mins R10 v Rich 3 goals unanswered in 6 mins R9 v Fre - 3 goals unanswered in 11 mins R4 v Bris - 5 goals to 1 in 15 mins

2019-07-20T04:09:00+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Roar Rookie


Good point. That's about + 2 per game though, usually in the back half. It's just that Pierro is claiming 2 moral victories because of the umps while discarding 3 tight wins where the umps where all but wearing the red sash. I know I know that free kick counts can't be the same but you should be thankful for what you get.

2019-07-20T03:49:45+00:00

Rissole

Roar Rookie


Come on Pope, a bit rich from a North supporter. So some have gone our way, about damn time I say. Last 15 years free kick differential: North + 472 (2nd behind the Eagles) Essendon - 166 (12th)

2019-07-20T03:47:34+00:00

DJCJ

Guest


As far as umpiring is concerned, I haven't been too bothered this year from an Essendon perspective, but the Anzac Day game (which I attended) had possibly the worst half of umpiring I have witnessed. First half was ok - but in the 2nd half, even opposition players were stopping play and acknowledging blatantly obvious frees to Essendon not being paid. Also the non-application of the shot clock twice in the last 3 minutes (both to Thomas) where was he given 50-55secs for his shot (twice) - which no one picked up post-game. I'll never ever forget that last quarter! (The booing of Pendlebury BTW was in fact related to his "doing a "Selwood" and getting a free late in the last)

2019-07-20T03:33:24+00:00

DJCJ

Guest


Still a lot of footy left. Gold Coast as silly as it sounds is a danger game. After a long run of losses, even the poorest sides often turn it on when they're not expected to. Port and Dogs at Marvel are 50:50 propositions, as is Freo in Perth. The Dons are a real conundrum. They could win 4 of their last 5 and finish 5th with a home elimination final against a non-Vic side (GWS or one of the SA teams likely), or win just 2 - scrape into 8th and travel for yet another interstate finals hiding. But put Daniher, Smith, Bellchambers, Hurley, Fantasia back in + two highly rated youngsters in Draper and Mosquito available next year - and provided they start well, Top 4 is a possible outcome for them in 2020.

2019-07-20T03:31:35+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Roar Rookie


Rd 15 vs GWS 77-71 frees 29-14 Rd 16 vs Syd 76-66 frees 26-16 Rd 17 vs North 86-81 frees 20-15 Your mob get sweetheart treatment from the umps and AFL media love. Collingwho? Join in the chorus, I go for North.

2019-07-20T03:21:16+00:00

Rissole

Roar Rookie


Worsfold is an excellent man manager, has galvanised the group and has developed previously lacking mental fortitude in the players. In all these close games he has been coaching from the bench and delivering the right messages to players and, it would appear, leaving the tactics to those upstairs.

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