The Brumbies and the Reds should provide most of Rennie's Wallabies

By Spiro Zavos / Expert

At last, some good news for Australian rugby.

The Brumbies totally out-played and out-powered an unbeaten Chiefs side coached by master coach Warren Gatland, breaking their 13-year hoodoo in Hamilton.

And the Reds, after a rocky but at times promising start to their 2020 Super Rugby campaign, smashed the Japanese Sunwolves 64-5 at Brisbane’s Suncorp Stadium in a ten-try, record scoreline of total rugby.

Aside from the sheer pleasure and relief the two victories provided for a jaded Australian rugby public, the wins were marked by dominating forward play and skilful and often powerful back play that gave a hope – perhaps even expectation – that the Wallabies might be stronger than earlier results this season have suggested.

The main point I would make here is that Dave Rennie needs to forget the Rebels and the Waratahs (including possibly Michael Hooper) as must-select players and look to the abundant talent in the Brumbies and the Reds for a new-look Wallabies side this season.

Take the situation of the halves pairing.

It seems obvious to me that the halves pairings of the Brumbies, Joe Powell and Noah Lolesio, and of the Reds, Tate McDermott and James O’Connor, are the way of the future for the Wallabies.

(Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)

But not necessarily as their Super Rugby pairings. The Wallabies could start the more experienced Powell with O’Connor and use McDermott and Lolesio as backups.

But of all the Australian No. 10s we have seen this season, Lolesio looks to be the most likely player to become the next long-term Wallabies No. 10.

This assessment includes consideration of O’Connor too. O’Connor played splendidly against the Sunwolves, but there is not much more growth left in his game, whereas Lolesio looks to have a full range of skills and an attitude suggests that there is plenty of upside in the various skills he has to be developed.

For instance, he is extremely dangerous inside the opposition 22 with his speed (a crucial gift for a No. 10) and his toughness in offloading in the tackle when charging into the weak shoulder of a defender.

He doesn’t get flustered, has a deft passing game and, unlike O’Connor, is a reliable goal kicker.

Both Powell and McDermott have the advantage over the other Australian halfbacks, and their opponents on Saturday, of being high-energy players.

(Steve Haag/Gallo Images)

One of the banes of Australian halfbacks in the last decade or more has been their tendency to stand over the ball for an eternity before releasing it to the runners. This emperor penguin tactic allows the defenders to set themselves either to attack the one-off runners or to counter the box kick.

Neither halfback used the box kick much, a good thing as it is an overrated tactic now that contesting kicks can lead to yellow and red cards for charging players who mistime their leaping.

Usually the box kick just gives back the ball to opponents inside the kicker’s half. What is the advantage of this?

The Brumbies showed that Tevita Kuridrani is the block-busting defender and attacker that the Wallabies need at inside centre.

And Tom Banks is the devastating broken play runner, a wildcard attacker who can’t really be defended when he is on his game.

Banks out-played Damian McKenzie, who just could not make breaks against a well-organised, energetic and sometimes brutal Brumbies defence.

Before the match there was a great deal of talk about the Brumbies tendency towards playing what I described as rollerball rugby, an obsession on using the rolling maul as their main attacking weapon.

The Australian ran an interesting table that showed the Jaguares (26), the Chiefs (17), the Lions (17) and the Rebels (16) had used the rolling maul more or as often in their first three matches as the Brumbies (16).

Sports opinion delivered daily 

   

The Brumbies, though, retained possession of the ball in all their rolling maul attempts, as opposed to the 88 per cent record of the other four teams.

Moreover, the Brumbies scored three times from rolling mauls, compared with the five times by the Jaguares, one try by the Chiefs and no tries by the Lions and Rebels.

What are we to make of these statistics?

The statistics suggest to me that the rollerball rugby approach to attacking lineouts near the opposition’s tryline is fool’s gold.

And what was interesting and encouraging (for those of us who deplore rollerball rugby) is that the Brumbies seem to have acknowledged this as they ran a number of variations to the rolling maul which the Chiefs found difficult to counter.

I am often critical of the game plans, usually of an ultra-defensive nature, that Australian Super Rugby teams tend to adopt, especially when they are playing away from home.

But, miracula dictu, the Brumbies came to Hamilton with a must-attack attitude and, more importantly, with the game plan and the players to put the plan into operation.

Surprisingly, it was the New Zealand team, playing at home, which played the defensive game.

I called Warren Gatland the ‘master coach’ earlier in this article. His record deserves this compliment. But he has a weakness in his method in that he often prefers defensive tactics over attacking methods.

(Michael Bradley/Getty Images)

The Chiefs started the game by kicking long, trying to pin the Brumbies inside their own half and, presumably, to thwart their anticipated rollerball game. Interestingly, this was the same exit play that France used in their Six Nations victory over Wales at the weekend.

The problem for the Chiefs with this position game tactic is that they ceded an aggressive attacking game to the Brumbies. When they tried to wrest back some momentum in the first half, they found this was beyond them.

The Chiefs’ negative tactics played into the hands of the energetic Brumbies runners, especially the former Warrior Solomone Kata, who proved to be too strong to handle for the smaller Chiefs defenders.

Perhaps the Chiefs were tired after their quick turnaround from playing the Sunwolves in Japan. Perhaps too the early loss of Luke Jacobson after ten minutes of play was a factor. But whatever the reason, there was no line speed in the Chiefs defence.

However, teams play as well or as badly as they are allowed to play.

The Brumbies played one of the best matches by an Australian side in New Zealand for some years.

It is not praising the Brumbies too highly to note that the manner of their victory, the way they fought back so effectively when the inevitable challenge from the Chiefs came, had strong echoes of the famous Wallabies triumph over the All Blacks at Perth last year.

The Sunwolves, like the Chiefs, had to come to Brisbane from Japan. But the Reds had to make the even more difficult trip from Buenos Aires.

There was only energy and intent, however, in the play of the Reds. All the promise they had shown in their first three losses on the road came together in a virtual explosion of running with the ball.

The Reds had squandered leads in their previous (away) matches against the Brumbies, the Lions in South Africa and against the Jaguares (with some contentious refereeing decisions). But all this was forgotten as they scored virtually at a run-a-ball-rate with 49 points in the first 50 minutes of play.

There was power and energy all over the field.

The Reds, for instance, are developing a loose forward brigade of Harry Wilson, Fraser McReight and the captain Liam Wright who could take the Wallabies through to the next two Rugby World Cup tournaments.

A standout young player for the Reds in the backs was the centre Hunter Paisami, who in his first home Super Rugby match was even more impressive than the injured prodigy Jordan Petaia in his first home match.

The Reds play a rampant Sharks side, with three wins out of four matches, at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday night. This will be a stern test for the Reds youngsters to show to real mettle of their talent.

Let the good times roll.

The Crowd Says:

2020-02-27T01:22:45+00:00

MitchO

Guest


Actually Fionn, thanks to Cheika we know that JOC can cover 13 if needs be during a game. TK is still the first choice of course. If TK is injured before the game then guys like English can come into consideration. Lets hope a Hodge and a Pasiami can come into consideration too.

2020-02-25T22:35:21+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


But part of the reason why it exists is for the risks that this brings. Arnold only ever stood up well at test level in 2019. Until then he had struggled to make his mark. How well is he playing in France? It's no good selecting him on 2019 form, if he isn't playing like 2019 now.

2020-02-25T22:33:01+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


I feel JOC doesn't fit what a typical Aus 13 is though. He was wedged there because we used Kerevi at 12. But generally the bigger players are at 13 for us. You wouldn't want something like Toomua & JOC in the centres for example.

2020-02-25T22:15:02+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


Nah Wilson is a bit off. Some positives but also some big negatives to remove compared to other players (his habit of offloading to nobody for example).

2020-02-25T22:14:02+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


Absolutely Samu would be more physical than Mumm and unless there was desperate need for another key line out jumper I'd never consider Mumm over Samu. I'm not saying purely select on height. But if you have good performing taller and bigger players like Valetini I'd pick them and use Samu as a utility sub. Unless Samu's form was well ahead of Valentini and McCaffrey (which it is at the moment as he's just easing back), I'd have him behind them for now.

2020-02-25T17:38:13+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


You’re overrating Harrison’s performance as he is so hampered by his team and underrating Lolesio’s because he is advantaged by his quality team. But looking purely at demonstrated performance on the field, Lolesio has well outplayed Harrison, despite that poor performance against the Highlanders.

2020-02-25T16:47:58+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


The line out isn’t necessarily an issue, if you have strong jumpers in the second row and in the third back row position - Australia’s, New Zealand’s and England’s line outs all worked in the World Cup, for example. Having a ‘big body’ isn’t that important. Just depends on how physical a presence is around a field. A back row with Samu would be more physical than one with Mumm. 3 of the 4 World Cup semi finalists got there playing two 7s.

2020-02-25T10:51:02+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


Sure, and when using rush defences there tends to be more ‘misses’, which aren’t really misses when the player runs out of the line to pressure the guy who receives the ball - often 1-2 players will ‘miss’ the tackle while someone else makes it. It isn’t really a surprise, though, when a player who has primarily played 12 has a better tackle completion percentage than a guy who has primarily played 10. They both have fine defensive stats for 10s.

2020-02-25T10:40:16+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


Forgot that JOC can played 13 if required. Fair, which brings me back to wanting a 6-2 split with McCaffrey as the second back row replacement.

2020-02-25T10:27:28+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


Is such a shame Petaia is out again, I'm very much in the wait and see on this one. Especially since there are multiple ways to cover. If we have JOC, To'omua and Kuridrani then we have two options for each of 10, 12 and 13 in the starting lineup. Means a form player in any of those three positions can earn the bench spot.

2020-02-25T08:22:58+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


Nah it’s also the line out, to a smaller extent the scrum and just having a big body. It really depends on the whole group and what you need against what you have though. Probably are cases it can work well. I felt the issue was that it went from fitting two world class players, to having two small back row roles, so maintaining it even without the two of them.

2020-02-25T08:06:45+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


I‘m always shocked by how small and light the official stay say Samu is. I mean, I presume they are right, but take at look at the highlights from the Chiefs game. He looks very big in both of his tries. The problem wasn’t the two short guys per se, it was that neither of Pocock or Hooper really offered any ball running. Samu offers the ball running we need and is also quality at the breakdown.

2020-02-25T08:04:55+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


I see what you’re saying, I do. That said, I don’t think Wessels has ever sufficiently rated English. I understand his desire for someone with a little more flair, but every time he drops English the centres tend to look horrid. English is very quick, defends well and can throw a pass. I dunno, maybe Paisami or Magnay might be better calls at this stage?

2020-02-25T04:53:55+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


In the context of rugby around the world, Hooper is in that class.

2020-02-25T04:47:19+00:00

scubasteve

Guest


You are right on the spoilt aspect but Hooper is no slouch. Most of the last few years he has been coached to focus on being outwide. Just look at his stats the last few weeks, they look good. Defensively and try scoring he is outstanding. Ill take those two traits over the last resort jumper.

2020-02-25T04:08:56+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


In his defence he's been working his way back in due to spending the pre season playing in Japan.

2020-02-25T04:05:53+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


Hard to pick him if he isn’t even first choice for the Rebels. . Particularly if we have JOC and TK in the starting lineup that can cover 13. . I guess first step is making the most of the opportunity that the injury to Hodge has opened up.

2020-02-25T03:09:28+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


Yeah, but he’s the only 13/wing with a significant body of work at super rugby level over multiple years.

2020-02-25T02:22:23+00:00

jameswm

Roar Guru


True, and Fainga'a suffers for it a bit too.

2020-02-25T02:02:46+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


He didn’t really shine for Rebels A v the Tahs A. English’s biggest contributions where at the ruck rather than constructing attack. Was greasy conditions but had Deegan at 10 so thought they should have been able to be a bit more threatening given the level

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar