ANALYSIS: Wallabies have serious issues with forward depth - but there's plenty of promise if rookies are required

By Sam Larner / Expert

Eddie Jones’ first squad includes incredibly experienced players like James Slipper (127 caps) and Michael Hooper (124), but you know all about them.

So, in this article I’m looking at the uncapped forwards and seeing what they might bring if called upon. The five in question are Matt Faessler (hooker), Zane Nonggorr (prop), Richie Arnold (lock), Tom Hooper (lock), and Josh Kemeny (flanker).

I’ve written about Richie Arnold before for The Roar so I will keep this brief. He has had an exceptional season with Toulouse. He’s started 23 times as the French side reached the semi-finals in Europe and won the French league. Australia have a settled second-row with Cadeyrn Neville and Nick Frost but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Arnold come in as a starter there.

Matt Faessler has scored 11% of all the Reds’ tries and tops the league for tries scored from hooker.

via GIPHY

However, he’s not just a try scorer. His all-round performance has been one of the best in the league regardless of position. His throw success is just under 90% which is more than good enough and his defence, both tackling and turning the ball over, has been elite.

Hooker is a spot where Australia are lacking experience. The only other hookers selected are Dave Porecki and Jordan Uelese who have just 25 caps between them. Given his season, Faessler has a genuine shot at not only being included but potentially starting.

Zane Nonggorr had only started once in 18 matches before this season for the Reds. But 2023 has been his year and he’s started 11 times out of the 15 matches he’s been involved in. That has led the 22-year-old tighthead prop directly into the Aussie squad. He plays like a forward and his carrying game is one of his biggest skills. However, as you might expect with a younger prop, his scrummaging isn’t yet at the elite level. He has been penalised a lot this year and that is normally an area of concern when looking at a prop’s stats. However, this is his first season starting and it is something which looks to be improving.

I don’t expect Nonggorr to be thrown in immediately, but he has more than enough about him to justify his spot in the squad and will benefit from the development opportunities he’s given.

Tom Hooper can play right the way across the backrow and that flexibility is something Eddie Jones has always valued. With England he took Courtney Lawes from a second row to a flanker and Maro Itoje made the journey back and forth between the back row and second row on numerous occasions. Australia have suffered from a seemingly random selection policy with their backs, but they would benefit from some players who can fill multiple roles in the forwards.

via GIPHY

The squad is actually low on experience in the second and back row. Sure, players like Michael Hooper, and their buckets of caps help mask the issue, but the lack of experience is there.

Of the 11 players selected at second or back row, only three have more than 30 caps; Hooper plus Pete Samu and Rob Valetini. Tom Hooper’s selection looks to be one that has more than an eye on the future. There are a lot of ageing Australian players who are staring down the barrel of their last ever World Cup. Tom Hooper represents the future, and he has shown enough in his, admittedly limited, career to suggest the Aussies will have cover when Michael Hooper, Samu, Skelton, Arnold to eventually hang-up the boots.

Josh Kemeny has been excellent this year in a poor Rebels’ side. The backrower has contributed in every area he would be expected to excel; attack, defence, lineout. He has the most lineout steals for the Rebels and the third most lineout takes. But in addition, he’s made the third most carries and the most offloads among the Rebels’ forwards.

Josh Kemeny. (Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

This has been his breakout season, but the Rebels have given him playing time in his previous two seasons to make sure he is ready for this. That will bode well for Australia because although he is untested at international level, he has plenty of club experience to fall back on.

One concern is that he is quite light for a back row player. That may count against him if Eddie wants to play a low possession game where his forwards are expected to make tackle after tackle. Kemeny can do that, but he will be a lot better when he’s allowed to stretch his legs in the open field. I really feel that if Jones can give him those opportunities, then he could be an exceptional find for Australia.

There aren’t too many massive surprises for the forwards in the Australian squad. It is a group with some totemic players; Slipper, Hooper, and Allan Alaalatoa. But there are also very inexperienced players within the pack.

Not just inexperienced at international level, but at club level as well. It is going to be a challenge for Australia to gel those differing experience levels together. That is especially true when so many of the most experienced will be jetting off into the sunset after Rugby World Cup 2023.

If Eddie Jones can bring this squad together and crucially, get the younger recruits firing in The Rugby Championship, then not only does immediate success look likely but long-term success is guaranteed. That is easier said than done however.

The Crowd Says:

2023-07-05T20:09:48+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


My uninformed impression was that Nonggor was scrumming way better at the tail end of the season. At 22 he can improve fast and he’s big and athletic. High hopes for him

2023-07-05T20:08:39+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


Skelton starts. Just a matter of whether it’s Frost or Arnold with him. Will Eddie throw Thooper in or go with the more (relatively) experienced Holloway? I like Faesller but don’t see why Eddie picks Uelese if he’s not going to use his scrumming power to protect the second string props.

2023-07-05T17:53:00+00:00

Francisco Roldan

Roar Rookie


Hello Sam, how are you...! Good performance-based read. AUS during 2022 accumulated 33 penalties originated in scrum during 14 games played. In this metric it sometimes outperforms ARG. Discipline is the main job to take into account in a world cup, because you would run the risk of being at the mercy of the best kickers in the world :rugby:

2023-07-05T14:05:47+00:00

Cec

Roar Rookie


Thanks Sam, I’d perhaps curtail “immediate success and long term guaranteed success” until we see which version of Ed turns up. Let’s hope it’s not his end of tenure version with ENG which got him sacked. There are guys in AUS A that should be in WB and WB that should be in AUS A. I’m not a fan of blooding youngsters against top 4 teams and prefer they take the AUS A route & earn their stripes at that level first & ease into internationals.

2023-07-05T11:59:48+00:00

West Aussie Exile

Roar Rookie


Thanks Sam. Enjoyed article. Like many others, excited to see Tom Hooper in action but concerned about depth at prop and hooker -I think we'll definitely learn more about where we stand over the next few weeks

2023-07-05T11:44:10+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Thanks, Sam. Even in a smash and grab, the boss of the gang gotta have some redundancy, as someone always goes down.

2023-07-05T01:54:06+00:00


I thought Kemeny would be a good size for a modern 7 as he’s listed at 110kg? I do hope he and Tom Hooper are the future in the back row

2023-07-05T01:03:00+00:00

Perthstayer

Roar Rookie


Well done for identifying promise. I agree these guys have potential but they have been growing in sides losing regularly. They will benefit from a handful of faces in WBs camp that I refer to as winners. At international or the highest club level. In RC 2021 Cooper & Kerevi set the bar I'm setting for the whole team (home wins vs SA but they were world champs). Add in Arnold & Skelton who are in great shape (in mind and body), as well as a decent length of time in camp rather than the NH tossed salad, and WBs are as well set as they've been in many a year. All boats get higher in a rising tide.

2023-07-05T00:05:14+00:00

John Ferguson

Expert


Cheers Sam! I think that the quality of coaching can form these inexperienced athletes into genuine players. There's not many Aussies coaches I would say that about but Eddie knows how to light the fire and spur players, young and old, into another gear and to set higher standards for themselves. But fundamentally at a glance, what you've said is true, starkly the Australia A suad has far more experienced players in it that have been left out, that shows depth is growing in Aus. Well done Dave Rennie who was forced to reach deep into Australia as well as had a policy to big up-and-comers.

2023-07-04T23:32:35+00:00

Rocky's Rules

Roar Rookie


Hey Sam Seeing as you're Welsh (not queenslander :))... how about some articles on the Dragons. The 2 nations are due to clash in RWC pool.

2023-07-04T23:20:46+00:00

Ray

Roar Rookie


Bobby. Surely, they cannot play TT and Bell as a first up game, for both. TT barely contributed to 2022 Wallabies after a full season of games, so with nothing under his belt, it would be difficult to see him lasting 20 min. Bell may be a better bet, but you cannot take too many fitness suspect players into the one game. It puzzles me that they weren't left at home to get a couple of club games in for the full 80 min.

2023-07-04T21:35:22+00:00

Bobby

Roar Rookie


Sam, thanks for the article. Lack of depth at Prop is a concern. Even if TT and Bell play, they are undersone and often injury follows. Slipper and AAA are extremely important at this stage. Zane N has stepped out of TT's shadow this year but... Agree with the rest. I think Hooper is made for Test rugby.

Read more at The Roar