The Roar's AFL expert tips and predictions 2016: Round 2

By Josh / Expert

Welcome back Roarers to our AFL expert tips. Round 1 was definitely something of a mixed bag, but all of our experts scraped through with passable results, as did The Crowd. BJ Conkey leads the team on seven after a single week, with everyone else close behind on six.

Round 2 presents a number of challenging games for the tipping crew, along with the big question of how much do we read into Round 1 form versus how much do we stick with our own pre-season prediction of which teams would fail and which teams would flourish?

It may only be the second week of the season but Collingwood vs Richmond on Friday night is already the battle of the walking wounded and a crucial match for both teams. The Pies will be missing Dane Swan and Steele Sidebottom through injury and suspension, while the Tigers will be missing Brett Deledio, Shane Edwards and possibly still Ivan Maric.

It’s hard to tip either team with any confidence based on their respective concerns but I’m personally going to take a punt on the Pies with the hope that they can bounce back from an absolutely shocker last week against Sydney. But if they let me down again they’ll be dead to me!

The Adelaide vs Port Adelaide Showdown on Saturday should be a thriller as always and is hard to predict. Port got a win in Round 1 and Adelaide didn’t, but you’d almost say the Crows looked more impressive in a competitive loss to North than Port did using a late burst to outdo St Kilda.

My tip is that the Crows will get the job done in this one but it really is close to a 50/50 match and should make for tantalising viewing.

The game of the week however will undoubtedly be the grand final rematch, Hawthorn and West Coast at the MCG. The Hawks copped a 30-point loss from the Cats last week to start the season while the Eagles took a ten-goal win over the Brisbane Lions, but let 100 points through their backline in doing so.

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In addition to their existing outs of Jarryd Roughead, Liam Shiels and Brad Hill the Hawks have now lost Luke Hodge for 4-6 weeks and that will shape this contest pretty heavily. The Eagles won’t want to let through a triple figure score again this week, but they should be able to lift for a win in this one.

Melbourne should beat Essendon, the Bulldogs should account for St Kilda, Fremantle should be too good for Gold Coast and ditto for Sydney over Carlton. Despite the Blues showing some courage last week, I’m calling a Swans victory the Lock of the Week.

GWS and Geelong might be a bit of a contest despite the Giants flopping in Round 1 while the Cats impressed – its a Giants homegame too. The Cats should win it but there’s genuine upset potential here.

No North fan on earth would feel confident in a fixture at the Gabba even if it is against last year’s second-to-last team, but the Roos should win that one – should.

Michael Di Fabrizio
Hawthorn losing can be classified as unusual in itself, but so too can West Coast giving up 100 points on its own turf. Fair to say both sides didn’t fire at 100 per cent last week.

Nonetheless, the Eagles had some big names flexing some early muscle. Ominously, Nic Naitanui hinted that a career-best year could be on the way. Matt Priddis and Josh Kennedy racked up the possessions and goals, respectively.

Add in whatever value you can put on the redemption narrative and it’s the Eagles for grand final re-match honours.

The match I’m most looking forward to is the Showdown. I went as far as tipping the Crows last week (oops) but I’m just not as willing as others to immediately place them in the slider category in 2016. Loss of a certain midfielder aside, they won a final last year after a season that can’t have been easy on the playing group.

Problem is, it’s hard to make the case for Port not rebounding this year. And last week – much unlike the Crows – they had players step forward when it counted.

But if for no other reason than football justice, I’m going with the team that played better football over a longer period last week. The Crows better not let me down again.

BJ Conkey
The Tigers defeated the Pies in both match-ups last season and after a full seven-day rest the Tigers will inflict more pain for Nathan Buckley and his boys.

Travis Cloke hardly got a chance against the dominant Swans and if he doesn’t touch the ball early it could be another long night for Collingwood fans.

While Port Adelaide got the chocolates against St Kilda, the fact their backline gave up 100 points worries me for the Showdown.

The Crows had their chances to beat North Melbourne and if it wasn’t for bad goalkicking in the final term they would have secured the four points.

Milestones are always big for footy clubs and Adelaide will lift for Daniel Talia’s 100th game.

I’m sticking by the Dockers. As Anthony Hudson said during the commentary last week ‘Fremantle couldn’t play any worse if they tried’, that’s exactly why they’ll bounce back at home as there’s no way they can play as badly as they did in week one.

Aaron Sandilands is back and loves playing the Suns. He had 70 hit outs last time they played. Besides that, Fortress Domain Stadium is enough of a reason to pick Fremantle in this one.

The fact GWS faded so badly in the last quarter against Melbourne makes their match against the Cats a no brainer for me. Dangerfield should only need 30 disposals for the Cats to get over the line. The Giants will continue to miss Jeremy Cameron until he returns from suspension.

Round 2 BJ Conkey Michael Josh The Crowd
COL v RIC RIC RIC COL RIC
ADL v PA ADL ADL ADL ADL
ESS v MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL
BL v NTM NTM NTM NTM NTM
STK v WB WB WB WB WB
FRE v GCS FRE FRE FRE FRE
GWS v GEE GEE GEE GEE GEE
HAW v WCE HAW WCE WCE WCE
CAR v SYD SYD SYD SYD SYD
Last round 7 6 6 6

Good luck to all with your tipping this week. We’ll be back with more expert tips ahead of Round 3!

The Crowd Says:

2016-04-03T07:33:45+00:00

The Original Buzz

Guest


3 from 9 this round, Sydney, Roos and Bulldogs. Won't be tipping Port or Freo again any time soon.

2016-04-03T06:27:39+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Why do you ask?

2016-04-03T01:28:34+00:00

Macca

Guest


Hey don - Whats the most exciting thing about Freo circa 2016?

2016-04-02T22:46:29+00:00

Macca

Guest


Got the Suns as well Buzz but shouldn't have ruled out the bombers

2016-04-02T01:00:24+00:00

The Original Buzz

Guest


"Despite the Blues showing some courage last week, I’m calling a Swans victory the Lock of the Week." I am hoping this comment will came back to haunt you.

2016-04-02T00:40:49+00:00

The Original Buzz

Guest


You got the Collingwood call right Macca, there goes my tips after the first game.

AUTHOR

2016-04-01T13:21:16+00:00

Josh

Expert


Panned out alright! Just barely.

2016-04-01T06:17:57+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


You'll love this one, Macca. Blues tragic, Sam Pang, was asked by by Mick Molloy what was the most exciting aspect of Carlton, circa 2016. His answer? "The de-listings!"

2016-04-01T05:39:54+00:00

Samantha

Roar Rookie


I was tipping Port but considering the late outs I m changing my top to the Crows

2016-03-31T19:44:33+00:00

Ben

Guest


Port are 19-18 (including 2-1 in finals) since round 13, 2004 (after a 10-1 start to the 2014 season) Crows are 20.5-15 (including 1-1 in finals and a draw given for the Geelong game last year) Factoring in Crows soft draw last year and Port's tough one.... hmmmm pretty similar. Crows did go 10-1 to start the 2014 season though and have lost Dangerfield who played in all of those 35 games.

2016-03-31T11:36:53+00:00

Macca

Guest


FFS Don!

2016-03-31T11:19:15+00:00

Ben of Phnom Penh

Roar Guru


Generally form has proven no guide when it comes to the Showdowns. It's just one of those things that makes the Showdown so damn interesting. The main concern for both sides is the size of the inevitable injury toll.

2016-03-31T09:37:07+00:00

AB

Guest


Can't actually remember the last time Hawthorn would've been such underdogs for a home and away game; let alone at the MCG against a non-Victorian side. Five or six years at least, I would think.

2016-03-31T09:32:14+00:00

me too

Guest


Not a chance - every team able to field 22 players will be odds on against essendon. Melbourne scraped by a poor and undermanned gws last week.

2016-03-31T09:29:28+00:00

me too

Guest


Best ever top draft pick. longest serving Saints captain, record B&F winner, probably second only to Carey amongst CHFs in AFL era. Don't be surprised if the Saints get up for him - two very close games between these two last year, with honours split. The Saints have McCartin in, which should see Nick afforded more freedom if they play him at CHF, with Bruce up alongside Paddy.

2016-03-31T09:23:08+00:00

me too

Guest


what are the crows?

2016-03-31T09:20:40+00:00

Doc Disnick

Roar Guru


6/9 last week. 90000 people ranked ahead of me in the offical AFL tipping competition. All those tu4ds who picked the home team last week are going to be screwed over royally this week. Flip a coin for the blowdown. My best advice is to tip the Crows, simple because they appear to be underdogs and it's the better bet to make up ground in any tipping comp. The big one though is WCE vs Hawks. I'm tipping the Eagles to flog the Hawks by 10+ goals! You heard it first here.

2016-03-31T06:33:47+00:00

Sean Teuma

Roar Guru


The Demons at odds of $1.13 and a lock in everyone's tips. Never thought I'd see the day. Could be biased but giving us a genuine Top 8 chance this year.

2016-03-31T06:21:07+00:00

The Original Buzz

Roar Rookie


The Showdowns are never easy to pick and it will be harder this year than ever before. Both teams seem to lift and play a totally different brand of footy in these games. I went for Port as they played at home last week and I think that may be an edge. The Crows have had three coaches in three seasons and I think that may also have an effect at some point throughout the season. This is not saying that their current coach won't do well, Pyke has them playing well and I think he will take them up the ladder but just not this year.

2016-03-31T06:01:19+00:00

johno

Guest


Well I've gone Port, West Coast and Richmond for the above Port - I just always fancy in the derbies the team that ha not travelled the week before. Last year Freo won the first and West Coast the second both not having travelled the week before. Strangley Port got the travel free option twice last year but could only manage 1 win, with the Crows winning a tight match in the second by 3 points. Adelaide however was playing at home for the first time since Phil Walsh's death and may have had a bit more of a desire to win that one. As for West Coast - no Hodge, Naitanuiing rucking against nobody in particular and no Lake = big advantage to West Coast. the Tigers .... nothing makes me want to tip Collingwood right now..

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