The Roar's NRL expert tips and predictions: Grand Final

By Curtis Woodward / Expert

Rugby league is much more than the eighty minutes on the clock. It is more than a match between two grand final teams. This isn’t just about Melbourne versus Cronulla.

The fight to hold the Premiership trophy aloft, as the sole survivor of a brutal 30-week war, is won and lost in the battle between the ears of 34 hardened warriors.

Anyone can run into the meat of the opposition engine room. Everyone can tackle. It is, after all, the grand final. These teams deserve to be there. Victory is snatched with one big play but it’s in the head where it is spawned – the extra effort.

When others are falling down around them, it’s the invisible havoc within that separates glory and despair. It’s over to the players and the struggle begins now.

Some will be beaten long before kick-off, a few as they walk through the bowels of ANZ Stadium as the muffled sound of 80,000 fans seep through the concrete from above.

This isn’t Kansas anymore.

The jokers are deadly serious pacing up and down the change rooms, 120 kilogram hitmen are shaking like leaves, the ice-cool halfback is vomiting in the showers, coach is talking more than usual – repeating commands, over and over.

If that wasn’t enough, each player has a million thoughts flashing through their minds: “I can’t lose. I cannot let my team down. My family is here. I can’t lose. No mistakes. It’s us or them. I can’t lose”.

And in the clutch with five minutes to play and the scores locked at 12, one man looks across the field into the eye of his opponent: Vanquisher vs. Protector, Champion vs. Gladiator, Mercenary vs. Militant.

With the aches of a millennia in their weary legs, it’s in this moment when the battle is won. From within.

Lachlan Bickley
Tips:
Storm, Bears, Panthers.
Clive Churchill Medal: Cooper Cronk
First try scorer: Suliasi Vunivalu

“Well we did folks, we made it all the way to the Grand Final and what a super exciting game we’ve got in store for us. No wait. Strike that. Reverse it.

“This isn’t what was supposed to happen at all. With the Raiders and Cowboys both falling short on the weekend we’ve been left with a Grand Final matchup only a mother could love. Especially if that mother was like, really into Greco-Roman wrestling.

“But enough complaining about the game, the real question is who is going to win it. On the one hand we have the rugby league machine that is the Melbourne Storm, fresh off a ruthless dismantling of the best attack in the game in 2016. The Storm were clinical and precise where the Raiders were careless and haphazard and in the end that was enough. On the other hand we have the Sharks who finally ran the sword through a clearly exhausted Cowboys team. In many ways it was fitting for the Sharks to triumph so emphatically over the Cowboys after Johnathan Thurston’s mob executed them so effectively in Townsville last season.

“In the end I’m taking the Storm in what will likely be a tense if not exhilarating game. Whilst the Sharks have some fine playmakers along their spine and a host of other potential game breakers the Storm have demonstrated again and again this season that they have the wherewithal to strangle any flair the opposition might possess and I expect them deploy that rugged defence to good effect again on Sunday evening.”

Tim Gore
Tips:
Storm, Cutters, Panthers.
Clive Churchill Medal: Cameron Munster
First try scorer: Will Chambers

“The Sharks will take 20 minutes to get their heads into the NRL Grand Final. By that point the Storm will have asserted their dominance and will be playing from in front, just the way they like it. The match will be played in the Octagon with play the balls slowed down to glacial speed and players constantly flipped onto their backs well after “held” is pointlessly called by the officials. Cecchin and Cummins are unlikely to blow the whistle even if Cam Smith or Cooper Cronk repeatedly target injured players off the ball – as long as they shake their victims hand afterwards, off course. They’re such top blokes like that.

“That, off course, also means that the Sharks can indulge in some play the ball slowing too. However, they just are just not as polished and practiced at it like the purple blanket is. The Sharks may get lucky if Smith or Cronk get injured, or if Maloney or Barba are right at their attacking best and can get in front of the Storm – at which point we could see another example of how Cronk ain’t so good at chasing scores. But otherwise the Storm will once again demonstrate that the best way to win a game of rugby league these days is to ensure that one doesn’t break out.”

Patrick Effeney
Tips:
Storm, Bears, Panthers.
Clive Churchill Medal: Cameron Munster
First try scorer: Suliasi Vunivalu

“In the big dance Melbourne will simply have too much class when the time comes. Cronulla have a lot to play for. People forget that Melbourne do too, and the Storm are the best at winning games.

“My Clive Churchill Medallist is Cameron Munster, who will make yards upon yards and be on the end of every play for the Storm.

“First try scorer? Have to go with Vunivalu. The guy is a phenom.”

Curtis Woodward
Tips:
Sharks, Bears, Panthers.
Clive Churchill Medal: James Maloney
First try scorer: Valentine Holmes

“This should be a tough, knock-down-drag-out, old school grand final between two hardnosed footy teams. If Melbourne are in front with twenty to play then it will be almost impossible for Cronulla to run them down. Cooper Cronk’s game management is simply too good and it helps he’s got a bloke named Cameron Smith there with him. But I don’t think it will play out that way. I think Cronulla won’t fear the occasion and will enjoy the spectacle. They need points and they need to take their chances. While the Storm squeezed Canberra last weekend, the Raiders still could have won it because they’ve got more football in them. Razzle dazzle footy scares the hell out of the Storm. Cronulla has a perfect combination of grit and brilliance.

“They both have very good forward packs so it may come as a surprise if I say the middle may not be won by a Jesse Bromwich or an Andrew Fifita. The edge may come from one of the so called “lesser likes”. For Melbourne it’s Jordan McLean (a future Australian prop) and Matt Prior who is in the form of his life.”

GRAND FINAL Tim Lachlan Pat Curtis The Crowd
STOvSHA Storm Storm Storm Sharks ???
CUTvBEA Cutters Bears Bears Bears ???
PANvROO Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers ???

Now it’s your turn. Tip against the experts!

The Crowd Says:

2016-10-01T14:30:08+00:00

Tim Gore

Expert


Spot on Alex. The Storms just play what the refs let them. Correct.

2016-10-01T10:19:38+00:00

Alex L

Roar Rookie


You put that down to the Storm? How about the refereeing over the last 20 years for totally gutting the effectiveness of the one on one tackle...

2016-10-01T09:35:16+00:00

Tim Gore

Expert


Wash your mouth out pal. I'm no New South Welshman! And if your confusing my dislike of the Melbourne Storm ensuring no open football happens in matches they play in, guilty. I like seeing trys scored, quick play the balls and back line moves. Don't happen much in Storm games Vs top 4 sides.

2016-10-01T07:13:21+00:00

Gomez

Guest


What a seriously bitter nsw person gore is!

2016-10-01T01:55:02+00:00

Renegade

Roar Guru


I'm guessing you live in Brisbane...

2016-10-01T01:23:49+00:00

Fix the scrums

Guest


Is anybody seriously into this game besides sharks and storm supporters? Don't feel much of a vibe out there.

2016-09-30T23:43:44+00:00

Worlds Biggest

Guest


Nice one Curtis, for the Sharks to pull off the upset they need to have a few tricks up there sleeve. The Storm are so structured and disciplined, teams need a good mix of attacking options to get over the chalk against them. I think the Sharks have a good mix in this area and they will need it. I just think we have seen this movie so often when the Storm play in GF's. Smith and Cronk control the game so well. Storm to win something like 15-8 and Cronk to win Clive Churchill medal.

2016-09-30T08:44:25+00:00

Hensley

Guest


Im thinking the Sharks will be too strong in the forwards and Malony will capitalise

2016-09-30T06:51:07+00:00

MAX

Guest


The majoriy of my family are Souths supporters. They think not.

2016-09-30T04:24:19+00:00

Con Scortis

Roar Guru


MAX is the second nicest person on the Roar.

2016-09-30T03:37:47+00:00

bbt

Guest


Well, it will come down to whether the Sharks play it safe or chance their arm. I was at the Storm vs Sharks game at AAMI Park, and whenever the Sharks took the chances and threw the ball around, they worried Storm. However, that style comes with the risks. All our big defeats have come when a team has really tossed the ball around, spread the defence and got in front. But - if you don't pull it off, it goes the other way.

2016-09-30T03:19:29+00:00

Faux Outrage

Guest


And this is the same lot that tipped the Raiders to beat the Storm last week...ha, and now have 'expertly' jinxed the Storm.

2016-09-30T02:55:44+00:00

Tim Gore

Expert


Max... Your ongoing support is astounding. Thank you for it. But you forgot to add foolhardy...

2016-09-30T00:49:26+00:00

Dean - Surry Hills

Roar Pro


Well done on the tipping comp this year Curtis - lots of insight with an entertaining slant - thanks. The GF sets up an interesting last week with 2 points on offer with The Powerplay. Incredibly 5 tipsters are still in the hunt to claim top honours. Lionel Watters 169 or Ray Smith 168 can both win the comp outright whilst Wayne Mosher 167, Gavin Franklin 167, and bjp 167 are still a chance of sharing the title. Good luck to all of you.

2016-09-29T22:55:50+00:00

MAX

Guest


Sorry Lachlan, Many thanks for your forensic analysis each week. If possible, would love to see more matches analysed next season.

2016-09-29T22:45:27+00:00

MAX

Guest


Thank you Curtis for etap, one of the little gems at the Roar. Your final edition is a ripper. Tim Gore is the most courageous and honest Rugby League journalist in Australia and I value his opinion above all others. He may get officialdom to see the real big two. Patrick Effeney is a realist. He used one word to sum up the Sharks biggest problem. "Class" In racing parlance the GF is a proven G1 against a good G2 performer. Curtis Woodward presents the opinion of maybe 70% of fans and nailed it with flair and passion. Razzle Dazzle got me. Love ya forever. Cronulla 21-12 and Wade Graham for the CC. The smell the blood, sweat & liniment.

2016-09-29T22:26:44+00:00

Eden

Guest


Sharks, if all their creative players can fire and fire early. Then they have to hold out Melbourne before and after halftime. Every tackle in the first 30 mins the tackled sharks player needs to be spasming like michael Hancock to insist the refs force the storm players to let go earlier. I also have to say that it's disappointing the roar can only muster one rugby league article in 24 hours just 2 days out from the GF and it is still littered with resignation and negativity. Great intro though.

2016-09-29T22:20:56+00:00

eagleJack

Roar Guru


Nice read guys, well done Curtis. My money is on the Sharks this w/end. It has a feel of destiny to it. And despite going down by 20 recently to the Storm, the Sharks created plenty of chances in that game but bombed the lot of them. I don't think that will happen again. They were in a rut at the time, already focussed on September. They didn't go on a run of 15 wins by not executing well consistently. Sharks by 6+ On a side I have a lot of interest in the State Championship due to one Cameron Cullen. Much like Matt Parcell playing for Ipswich last year, I think Manly have signed a good one. And he will ultimately play 6 for the club once Green struggles after leaving the Storm environment. Quite a common occurrence when Smith & Cronk do all the playmaking. Although I hope I'm wrong as I rate the guy, he only needs to play a simple game, with his kicking a much needed asset. But Cullen has always impressed when given a shot by the Titans. I was surprised they ran with Roberts this year over him.

2016-09-29T21:38:03+00:00

Brendon

Guest


Storm for the win. To much is being looked into the games last week, that everyone is forgetting just three weeks ago when the Storm dismantled the sharks to win 22-8. Last week the Storm played the second placed Raiders, the green machine, who were hungry and tough. The Sharks played the cowboys who were weak and tired from thrillers the previous 2 weeks. I don't even know if a close one is on the card, I'm looking at a big game from the Storm to break the hearts of league fans everywhere...

2016-09-29T21:07:13+00:00

PNG Broncos fan88

Roar Guru


Sharks 13+, Cutters 1-12, Panthers 1-12 Sosaia Feki - First Try Scorer Michael Ennis - Clive Churchill Medallist

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar