You would think I’d have learnt from tipping mistakes of competitions and expert panels past, but there I was by the end of the first round of Super Rugby, giving up a three-game lead already.
Turns out the worst thing that could happen is that all of my unique tips could, indeed, be incorrect. And worse, Harry bloody Jones picked the card to start off the season in true Capetonian style.
So, one thing’s for certain of the panel this season. I’ve made it a contest.
Your humble correspondent aside, it was actually a really good round of tipping last weekend, and the hairy man will lead us off with another full round of nine games.
Last week: Harry 9; Digger, Nobes, and The Crowd 8; Brett 6.
Harry
“Howzit, my chasers.
“The Force will be without line breaks, tackle busts, and tries; thus, will see Red. The Cyborg Chiefs will make Auckland feel Blue. The Highlanders will fall to Dagg’s dagger; the Crusade continues.
“The Sharks will journey inland with their big pack, strong maul, and clever-kicking captain; there’ll be no Lambie on this Brumby barbie. The Kings will be upgraded to Emperors because the Sunwolves are neither sunny nor wolfish. The Hurricanes will wage successful counterinsurgency against the thin-skinned Rebels.
“Despite pouty, silly Elton Jantjies (and never because), the Lions will taze the Tahs. The Stormers will bring Scottish star Huw Jones back, in place of crocked Damian de Allende, and hand the Jaguares a loss (with 3 cards). The scrumless Bulls will squeak by the Cheetahs, because bulls are too big for cheetahs to stop.”
TIPS: Reds, Chiefs, Hurricanes, Crusaders, Sharks, Kings, Lions, Stormers, Bulls
Digger
“Canes by plenty.
“Reds to overcome the Force; better bench and more strike power to me. I am backing the Chiefs at home over the Blues due to their defensive effort against the Highlanders, and the Blues looked a bit shaky under pressure for the first 20 in Melbourne.
“Highlanders at home, especially after the news of Mo’unga being out and Bateman still not available. The clan will surely be highly motivated after a disappointing outing against the Chiefs, and will be desperate not to drop two at home.
“Brumbies and Sharks are proving the most difficult for me to settle on, in the end I will plump for the home side based on a great effort away from home last week though the Sharks are more than capable.
“From there, Sunwolves over Kings because it’s not in South Africa, Stormers over the Jaguares and Bulls to come back hard after their loss over the Cheetahs. Have to back the Lions at home over the Tahs after their showing against the Force last Saturday.”
TIPS: Reds, Chiefs, Hurricanes, Highlanders, Brumbies, Sunwolves, Lions, Stormers, Bulls
Nobes
“Some very difficult calls this weekend but this is how I see it.
“The Reds will improve from last weekend and there is just not enough Force there. Chiefs at home will show the Blues what it takes to score against them. It is matter of how large the score is going to be in favour of the ‘Canes over the Rebels.
“Highlanders are already in a must win situation at home. I think the Brumbies will have just enough to overtake the brave travelling Sharks. Too much speed for the hungry Lions to take over the jet-lagged, red-eyed, Waratahs.
“Jaguares will feel the storm. I think they were awful against the Kings. Bulls will be awake in the first half this time against the Cheetahs. And the Wolves will eat the Kings at home and get the first win in front of that great crowd.”
TIPS: Reds, Chiefs, Hurricanes, Highlanders, Brumbies, Sunwolves, Lions, Stormers, Bulls
Brett
Yeeesh… catch up tipping already. What can possibly go wrong from here, then?
If the Reds played like they did for the last 35 minutes last Friday night, they should be too good. But I’d quite like to be wrong about this one, ‘cos I think the Force showed some nice touches last week. Home ground advantage gets the Chiefs the vote, but I’ll admit to be very nervous about this one.
Hurricanes is easy. Highlanders, not so much. Ben Smith is out; can’t pick the home side. No wait, Richie Mo’unga is out, too; can’t pick the Crusaders. Brumbies by not many at home, and Sunwolves by enough at their home away from home. Ahhh-rrooooooooo, etc etc.
Lions should be too strong, and the Stormers will definitely be too strong – I’m more convinced than I was a week ago. And I’ve succumbed to peer pressure on the Bulls. I had Cheetahs initially, but got nervous when seeing everyone else’s tip. I already regret my decision.
TIPS: Reds, Chiefs, Hurricanes, Highlanders, Brumbies, Sunwolves, Lions, Stormers, Bulls
Get your tips in now. The Crowd’s tips will be revealed after 5pm AEDT, but before kick-off in the Force-Reds game tonight.
The Sure Thing
Something new in 2017, subbing in for the Big Question, where we all nominate the one thing we’re absolutely certain will happen over the course of this weekend.
Digger
“Besides a Barrett definitely scoring this weekend (stop it), Dean Mumm will be at the centre of some push and shove and Scott Higginbotham will win the man of the match against the Force.”
Harry
“Referees will brandish naughty cards at Newlands this week; probably three.”
Nobes
“Sure thing is nothing, but most home teams will win. Harry is on the run and I have to catch him. I have to stay close until the Stormers travel and then it will be my time to catch him.”
Brett
The Cheetahs. There is now nothing surer in the world this weekend.
Got a sure thing yourself? Let us know in the comments below, and enjoy your rugby this weekend…
Colonel_Fabien
Roar Rookie
Hi y'all, Jaguares supporter here. I'd be happy if the Jaguares had 30% chance of topping over. Reality is 20% is more likely. Indeed, 15% would be the most realistic. I support my team, but believing in BS makes me no good. All I'm praying for is for the Jaguares not to be trashed (+40). A good licking (+30) seems inevitable, but they are strong enough to avoid being trashed. Will they be so? I have my doubts. Just want them to be focused & disciplined and hold on & hang in for as long as they can. Hoping the bleeding is for no more than +24 for the Stormers. +12 or less (hahaha, so much for BS!) and I promise to sing "And the Band Played Waltzing Mathilda" at the pub.
Rugby Tragic
Guest
Ha!... I'm not surprised you are going with the crowd, but on a more conciliatory note, I agree the game should be a cracker. There is some real talent on display. Apart from the battle of the midfield, I'm very interested to see how the back rows handle each other, in particular Luatua/Messam, Ioane/Leitch and Gibson/Boshier, the latter being the young Turks, but there are match-ups right across the field. I'll concede you have us in the halves.... but stranger things have happened. Enjoy the game and good luck (but not too much of that!)
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
Yeh Mate, I'll be still supporting Tony, & his squad!!!!! Go the Landers.!!!!!!!!!
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
Ummmm, Chook........... I'll decline Buddy!!!!!!! Cheers
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
Com'on RT, nothing like fully supporting the cause, mate. You folk's up there are so blessed with an abundance, of raw talent, so much, that the star, Junior AB, Tevita Li, has come down to us. I do think we might possibly see the best of his talents, being exposed, with the help of Tony, as it is a very good environment, down there. As it is, I do expect, to see, a vast improvement, from the Blue's this year, as they do have an awesome squad. Cheers
Muzzo
Roar Rookie
shush please mate, as I really don't want to get her started. lol. Honestly, you should know what those from the BOP, are like? Hahaha!!. If anything, OB, mate, I am pretty confident, of the Landers lifting their game this weekend.. They have had a primary hiccup, now time for them too, what we might say, to get on with the job. Cheers.
Old Bugger
Guest
Haha - didn't consider you going any other way. Good luck but, I'm going with the Crowd's choice tonite. It'll be a cracker of a match.
Machooka
Roar Guru
Rubbish... Sydney is the true centric of time. Just ask any Qlder :)
Rugby Tragic
Roar Rookie
You are right OB .... "the rest will go with the selections... " ....... I selected Blues to get over Chiefs .. *S*
Old Bugger
Guest
Tman The upset of the round has happened mate.....the rest will go with the selections.
taylorman
Roar Guru
Nice one panel, now lets hope for the same with the Blues! You just never know...?
Phantom
Roar Rookie
Oops. And no one is picking the blues or crusaders.
Nobrain
Roar Guru
utchh!!!!
andrewM
Guest
[gloat] one up on all of you buggers and the weekend hasn't even started [/gloat]
JRVJ
Guest
That's a different metric. 93.6% of respondents think the Stormers will win, which is different from what chances the Jags have of winning (which is my point). Phrased differently, would you give the Stomers 93.6% odds of winning? I don't think so (again, different metric).
JRVJ
Guest
Look, I see the point that the Stormers SHOULD be favorites playing at home. What I am doubting is that it's a slam dunk, as you 4 guys seem to think.
Harry Jones
Expert
Sharks play better Jakeball
Rugby Tragic
Roar Rookie
Ahh Akari... you just want to back winner!... *S* ... welcome aboard!
Rugby Tragic
Roar Rookie
ThugbyFan ... funnily enough, while pleased with the result last week (more to the point, the win on the road), I don't believe the Blues played that well! ... The second half when they put on all the points, the Rebels had fallen away.. The litmus test though is tomorrow and the next two weeks... Blues have to take two of those to be a serious contender ... can you do it?... I dunno, but I'm full of hope!
Rugby Tragic
Roar Rookie
Well Muz ... you know how it is... am I really confident ... Nope! ... Do I feel the Blues can win .. Yep! ... you know the way it is ... "you pays your money, you takes your chances".. *S* BTW ... good luck with the Landers ... that too should be good game!