Round 7 in the AFL: When nothing makes sense, look for the little things

By Ryan Buckland / Expert

How did you do with your tips this weekend? In a round where almost nothing made sense, it’s harder than ever to sort signal from noise.

When that is the case, look for the little things.

Like Dale Thomas’ throwback individual moment of brilliance against a languid Collingwood.

It was the Pies’ special day, the game earmarked as a celebration of the club’s 125th anniversary. As AFL Media remarked after the game, choosing Round 7 against the old enemy probably seemed like a good idea at the time.

Thomas has been a regular target of the Hot Take Firing Squad this season, a secret trigger clause in his contract a source of great speculation. What’s clear is his football shelf life is limited, a wingman too slow and scratchy for the pacey precision demanded by AFL football in 2017.

His career highlight reel rivals the greats, but his time as a substantive contributor to a winning football team shortens by the week.

Yet here we were, on the first Saturday in May, with Thomas reminding us what he can do when things break right. What that clip doesn’t show is the beaming smile Thomas carried as he sprinted 100 metres from the scene of the filthiest sales job you’ll see on an AFL field this season to the bench.

A man under immense pressure, his football career a handful of bad kicks away from ending, doing what he’s done from day one.

Not a lot made sense in the weekend just past. Thomas adding to his highlight reel, breaking the back of a game against his old team on their special day, was a moment of levity amidst the chaos.

What to do? Look for the little things, the breadcrumbs that lead to greater meaning. There are a few to be followed, and a handful of narratives to bust along the way.

Like West Coast, the flat track bullies of the league, travelling to Adelaide Oval and winning by ten points. The Eagles had been raked over the coals for a month after two losses at the MCG – the second a spectacular failure against a spectacular failure. So the web was spun, and the Eagles were written off as this year’s great pretenders.

(AAP Image/Julian Smith)

While it’s true that West Coast struggle to cope with the extra bandwidth of the home of football, it is also true that they are a fundamentally a strong team.

Last week, we waxed lyrical about Port Adelaide’s new-found strength, built on a relentlessness attack both to win the ball and use it efficiently. They brought this to bear against West Coast, winning stoppages for much of the game and powering forward with long kicks and overlap run.

The Power dominated the Eagles (276 uncontested possessions to 198 and winning time in possession by just shy of 11 minutes), pumping the ball inside 50 again and again.

Port Adelaide had 68 inside 50s to West Coast’s 39, and laid 12 tackles in their forward 50 to just one by the Eagles. The Power had 199 forward half disposals to West Coast’s 112. Their press was suffocating.

It paints the same, intriguing picture: Port Adelaide dominated West Coast on their home deck, as most thought they would. Except they didn’t.

The Eagles were focussed, and for one of the first times this year looked ready to neutralise an opposition that threatened often to run over the top of them. West Coast were organised and disciplined behind the ball, intercepting plenty of Port Adelaide attacks and counter-punching with quality disposals.

Sharrod Wellingham (11 intercept possessions), Tom Barrass (nine) and Elliot Yeo (nine) were critically important, zoning off their direct opponents (Port want to play one on one remember) and helping contain the marking threats of Port Adelaide. Brad Shepherd and Jeremy McGovern drew the short straws, with responsibilities for Robbie Gray and Charlie Dixon, respectively.

There were 36 contested marks in this game. The league average through six round was 25.

(AAP Image/Julian Smith)

Unlike recent weeks, West Coast were far more deliberate with their transition from defence, eschewing the rushed kicks to packs of players on the wings or attempting to run the ball out with their lack of pace.

Instead, the Eagles were patient and allowed the play to develop with creative leads from their forwards. Josh Kennedy took nine marks, just two of them inside 50. Mark LeCras and Jack Darling were similar, with five and four marks respectively, and just two and one of those inside the stripe.

But when pace was required – when Port’s press broke down for half a second – West Coast were able to make it work with quick chains of handballs. The irony of this, of course, is they did so without the services of Lewis Jetta and Jamie Cripps, two of the fastest players on their list.

The Eagles turned 39 inside 50s into 97 points, leading from start to finish in an impressive performance on the road. Now 5-2 and in the top four after this weekend’s shenanigans, the Eagles face the Bulldogs on a Friday night, the Bombers at Etihad, and the Giants at Subiaco leading into a Round 11 bye.

St Kilda were another team with an unwanted tag coming into the round. Their pressure-heavy style had seen them blow a collective tyre for a quarter or more in every game they’d played in the season to date. In those moments, the Saints lost.

No so on Friday night. With the game delicately in the balance at three quarter time, many, including yours truly, expected them to fold. The Giants were the second best fourth quarter team in the competition through four rounds, with an average margin of 18 points in the final stanza. The Saints had given up an average margin of seven points. 11 points up, GWS were a shoe-in.

Nope. St Kilda’s midfield went to work, racked up 44 contested possessions to 31 and pumped the ball inside their scoring zone 16 times to eight in an emphatic performance. Across the park, the Saints stomped all over their opponents. Seb Ross won clearance after clearance, Blake Acres was outstanding in transition and inside 50, and Jack Stevens didn’t stop running.

The Saints have issues. Their forward half is generating mixed results, with a lack of continuity not helping. Their penchant for an extra defender leaves them vulnerable to the same tactic down the other end – ill-timed injuries to Adam Kennedy and Nathan Wilson (who was in the concussion assessment protocol from five minutes into the second quarter through to the start of the second half) didn’t help GWS in this regard.

But in their first Friday night win for almost six years, St Kilda showed they can mix it with the best teams in the competition.

(AAP Image/Julian Smith)

So can Richmond. Anecdotally, the cries of ‘who have they beaten?’ could be heard ringing around the outer of Etihad Stadium on Saturday evening as the Tigers travelled across town to face the Western Bulldogs.

As is their wont, the Dogs started slow, trialling their newly open stance across the ground and conceding every ruck contest bar one to Richmond.

It cost them 26 points of margin, which took a full three quarters to make up. Once the Dogs go feral, and they’re doing it earlier and earlier by the week, they eat other teams alive with their attack on the ball and will to move forward with short, sharp handballs.

The Tigers resisted right until the last, with their on-ball division holding up in the face of a six-man onslaught. Richmond won the aerial battle convincingly, with poor entries on account of the Dogs helping in this regard.

But what was most impressive was Richmond’s aggression with ball in hand from the back half – unafraid of the massing numbers confronting them across the centre of the ground.

Trent Cotchin, once again, inserted himself into the most important moments of the game, taking two critical intercept marks in the final five minutes as the Tigers leant into the Dogs’ press.

Dustin Martin’s play of the year – I’m calling it – epitomised the Tigers’ collective attitude.

It set up the penultimate goal of the game, Richmond the benefactor of a missed illegal disposal call inside 50. The Tigers didn’t have to wait long for the make-up call; the controversial deliberate out of bounds decision paid against Jayden Short in the final minute was the final act of an excellent game of football.

Plenty will be written about the deliberate out of bounds rule this week, and rightly so. The Short decision is, according to AFL Operations Manager Simon Lethlean, the price we collectively pay for the new interpretation of deliberate out of bounds.

‘At least it’s a talking point,’ the AFL executive is probably thinking as it works out how to get out of this problem it has created for itself.

For now, we can only hope when the time comes, our team’s unfortunate soul is able to cleanly gather a loose ball with three opponents bearing down in the forward pocket, with less than a minute remaining on the clock and less than a goal required for victory, lest an insufficient intent free kick be paid against him.

All we can do is laugh. And hope.

When nothing makes sense, look for the little things.

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The Crowd Says:

2017-05-10T21:02:11+00:00

Slane

Guest


That's always been such a weak free kick. I've always hated push in the back free kicks being given out for the tackler laying on top of the tackled players back. There is no pushing involved, no added danger of injury or an unfair advantage to be gained.

2017-05-10T12:42:19+00:00

Philby

Guest


The umps rarely pay in the back now, and that is even if an opponent is sitting right on top of a player's back while he's lying on the ground. I thought 'stacks on the mill' was reserved for the playground. Ridiculous.

2017-05-10T02:40:55+00:00

Jack

Guest


yes, although they beat the hawks there..but the doggies were just a whole new ballgame methinks re pace and ball movement. anyway will get to see how that shapes up again in this weekend, same teams, same paddock.

2017-05-09T06:25:46+00:00

Mick Ray

Guest


They have won 3 from 5 there ..... 60%. The likes of St Kilda and Melbourne who are yet to win an AFL premiership would love that kind of win/loss percentage!

2017-05-09T03:28:16+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Guest


Maybe ... but if they won the contested possession or were better at restricting an opponent's ability to release a quick hand ball when in their clutches, and -importantly - ran harder in numbers to cover those Doggies streaming forward out of the back line, then they wouldn't need to station more players in their own backline. Once blokes get clear and receive the ball running counter-attacking through the midfield, it's chaos for defenders. A few weeks ago I wasn't too fussed about stalled contract discussions with JJ, due to our depth. But with the looming retirement of Murphy I now think it's essential we retain JJ. Bailey Williams is developing beautifully but JJ's pace and fitness off half-back is pretty unique.

2017-05-09T02:35:30+00:00

Gecko

Guest


Dougie if the Doggies were brilliant with their handball and collective run through-and-out of traffic, perhaps that just reinforces Slane's argument that the Tigers need to find a happy medium between pushing their defences up the ground and guarding the open spaces out the back. Or perhaps it means the Tigers need to get better, when there is a fumble or mis-kick, at contesting at least well enough to delay any Doggies slingshot long enough to allow numbers to flood back. Some of those goals against Richmond did look a bit easy.

2017-05-09T02:18:37+00:00

Tom

Roar Rookie


Easy, the way things are looking they will be playing Adelaide or GWS so the MCG issue is void.

2017-05-09T02:18:32+00:00

Tom

Roar Rookie


Easy, the way things are looking they will be playing Adelaide or GWS so the MCG issue is void.

2017-05-08T22:37:12+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Guest


Dusty' Disposal Efficiency (55%) is currently 15-25% below that of the other elite midfielders in the comp. That's an astonishing disparity. I think he's a great player too, but that statistical fact says to me he is significantly behind about 15 other midfielders (including Cotchin).

2017-05-08T22:33:27+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Guest


They couldn't win at home in the finals when it counted last year either. Worth noting.

2017-05-08T22:31:04+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Guest


I disagree with part of that; I think you're genuinely missing how brilliant the Doggies are with their handball and collective run through-and-out of traffic. Many of the handballs were scintillatingly quick and accurate whilst under immense physical pressure from Richmond.

2017-05-08T22:26:59+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Guest


Agree that in real time it looked deliberate and yet in slo-mo frame-by-frame replay it's inconclusive; why are we discussing possible umpire errors when we need slow-mo to reach an informed verdict ourselves (and in some cases still can't be sure)? I assume the media attention is because it was in the dying moments in the penalised team's forward line. As Ryan rightly points out, a more definitive mistake was made seconds earlier in Richmonds favour which had a far greater influence because it delivered a goal. I think the media as a whole focuses too much on small negative moments in games such as debatable frees, which in turn puts undue focus on these unworthy 'controversies' instead of celebrating the game itself. And it gives irate fans a platform and license to howl and whinge, rather than analyse the real reasons for their loss.

2017-05-08T21:36:17+00:00

Penster

Roar Guru


The need to find a different way to defend. The "web" as it's called is a good structure at some grounds and against teams whose kicking isn't elite, but leaves a vast unguarded patch in the middle if they've spread out to allow for the dimensions of the MCG, or unguarded passages on the flanks if they haven't. Watching the Weagles against the Hawks early 2016 from a higher stand at the MCG, it was very obvious that the Hawks simply punched holes in the "web". The defenders simply couldn't get to a content in time. Relies on precision kicking from opposition which the Hawks were good at and can still occasionally produce. Exhausting for the players.

2017-05-08T11:39:37+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Guest


Melbourne was my only let-down.and by three points Josh suggested going against the flow so I picked North,they play well in Tassie,just ask the Eagles, and the Suns on the Gold Coast, Geelong a bit flaky GWS don't travel well,yet,so the Saints who have Jack Steven Dogs due a close one,Richmond have faded a bit in their last quarters Freo six goals better at home,my only accurate margin Blues superior to the Pies Eagles match up well against Port,except in the ruck,but have better extractors when things get messy and better forwards Brisbane are woeful,so 0-6 Swans Next week I'll probably get 2,using the same front of cerebellum guesses

2017-05-08T11:23:31+00:00

GJ

Guest


Maybe they were hampered by the lack of rotations, maybe they weren't. You'll probably be the only person who will still remember this fun fact by the end of the next round. And historically about all anyone will remember is that the Saint's were better than GWS last Friday night ..

2017-05-08T08:14:00+00:00

Craig Delaney

Guest


The basic frees including push in the back are increasingly being missed. Once again rewarding the less skilled over the more skilled. Are the umps terrified to stop the so-called 'flow' of the game, which, to begin with would happen. But players would adjust, and add to that free kicks taken quickly can have devastating effect. So, the umps fears wouldn't rack up, just like the AFL's.

2017-05-08T07:42:00+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


GWS were severely hampered by lack of rotations, using 16 fewer than their quota. They were siting ducks in the last quarter. I'm not sure the Blues-Magpies (2-4 vs. 2-4) or the Power-Eagles (4-2 vs. 4-2) results were major upsets.

2017-05-08T06:38:55+00:00

Josh

Expert


Not even a mention of Waiteymania, Ryan. For shame. Good read though.

2017-05-08T05:04:57+00:00

Scott

Guest


I think it may be more that they can't play Hawthorn there. Of the 7 games they've played there since 2015 they've lost 5 and won 2. 3 of those losses were to hawthorn, then the other 2 were by 11 and 19 points. They should've beaten Richmond there in round 3 but Richmond played better wet weather footy when the rain came down

2017-05-08T04:31:11+00:00

Perry Bridge

Guest


"The umpires seem scared to pay the free kicks that they should pay and then pay the ones that everyone in the stadium knows that they shouldn’t." Exactly.

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