In an AFL season where being surprised is the only constant, the most predictable outcome – GWS occupying a top two spot on the ladder – has come to pass, and the Giants look more dangerous by the week as we get closer to finals.
You don’t get a prize for putting GWS up the top in your preseason predictions – but hands up if you had Richmond sitting in third after Round 20. I can see one of you there, all the way in the back. And, sir, I think you’re lying.
The two clubs are connected in the form of Brett Deledio.
Deledio left Richmond last year, ostensibly to chase premiership glory in his footballing dotage after 12 excellent years at Tigerland for nary a finals win. He was to add another layer of experience and class to a Giants list already overflowing with both.
Missing the first 19 rounds of the season meant that we were yet to see how Deledio would fit in at GWS, presumably as a high half-forward, pinch-hitting as a versatile option leading from the goal square with the odd run off half-back.
We got a taste of what’s to come when he made his Giants debut against Melbourne on the weekend. His impact was okay. GWS would have won without him, but they looked all the more ominous for his presence in arguably their most complete performance of the year. It probably wasn’t a coincidence.
Deledio’s reputation at Richmond was of the highest calibre. For years it seemed the Tigers simply couldn’t win with him out of the side, or at least not against any team of substance.
To emphasise the point in 2016, Deledio played only 11 games for six wins. Without him Richmond lost nine of 11. In 2015 the Tigers won 14 of 18 with Deledio but only one of five when he missed. The stats did not read kindly for 2017 with him no longer on the list.
In many ways, though, Richmond are the anti-GWS. We could talk about the long, proud history of the Tigers, steeped in VFA and VFL traditions. We could talk about the soulless AFL franchise, the Giants.
GWS were handed priority selections and high draft picks when entering the competition right at the time when Richmond were at their most vulnerable, languishing at the bottom of the ladder. The Giants were preordained for success, almost as an executive order from the AFL. The Tigers have been the least successful team of the last 30 years.
GWS have the gilt-edged list dripping in the quality of midfield dynamos, silkily skilled running half-backs and a third-string key forward in Rory Lobb that would be the number-one man at many other clubs. Richmond had Ivan Soldo as its best option in the goal square on Saturday.
On the field the Giants and Tigers have diametrically opposed game styles.
GWS love nothing more than to cut opposition sides to ribbons with their blazing run-and-carry from half-back and through the midfield. Williams, Wilson and Shaw, feeding Kelly, Ward, Shiel, Coniglio, Whitfield and Scully, among others. When on, they make the ball sing and dazzle us with their pinpoint precision and perfect weight. They want to be good and, just as importantly, look good.
Richmond has risen to third on the back of grit and graft. With an understanding that the most dangerous football of the best teams is created from the back half, they have quadrupled down on forward pressure. They get the ball in quickly, directly and often dirtily – by any necessary means. But once in they give opposition defenders hell and no time or space to rebound with.
GWS were missing Jeremy Cameron, Jon Patton and Toby Greene in their win over Melbourne and still almost topped 100. Gulp. Richmond were missing Jack Riewoldt and still almost did the same against Hawthorn.
Good sides find a way to win when covering for their best players. Great sides can still look good doing it.
Clearly the Tigers are not a great side yet. The Giants are on track to be. One of the oldest axioms in footy is that a champion team will always beat a team of champions. The Western Bulldogs showed GWS this in their stirring preliminary final win last year.
This September we might just see Richmond get their chance to do the same.
Philby
Guest
I'll tell you what, you guys here at the Roar are late to get on board the Tiger train, even if grudgingly, as here. The last time the Tigers were written about on this site, there was some reporter rabbiting on about how the Tiger's loss to St Kilda was not an aberration, but a locked-in pattern that was sure to repeat itself until we surely missed the finals. That, despite all evidence and logic (and win-loss ratio) telling people of even mediocre intelligence what was unfolding. Good judges like Wayne Carey, Tim Watson and Jason Dunstall saw this coming from early to mid-season. Well, you finally (almost) got there by round 20, so well done to you.
Philby
Guest
...and I would add that if our own team is eliminated, we go for the team playing the best footy, and for God's sake not Hawthorn again!
Philby
Guest
What you and all non-Victorians don't seem to grasp, is that if our own team doesn't win, we don't give a rats whether the team that does win is Victorian or not. It's a club competition, not a state competition, you see.
13th Man
Guest
Would be the worst possible outcome. I'm heading to this year's grand final as a neutral and I really hope GWS arent there. A Richmond v Adelaide GF would be the best outcome I reckon.
David C
Guest
His kicking accuracy has been pretty good this year actually.
David C
Guest
Yep, the Geelong game is a danger game for Richmond because everyone is writing of Geelong already. Richmond haven't beaten Geelong for 10 years and this is at Geelong!
TigerMan
Roar Rookie
My take is that Richmond is where they are by trust. Trust in their teammates to give 100%, trust in their teammates to back them up and trust in their teammates that an error can be redeemed. The Tigers may have 4 pillars of concrete in Cotchin, Martin, Reiwoldt and Rance but it is the trust of these 4 in their teammates which is then reciporacated back to them. They play a great brand of team football where one player covers for the next. It is great to watch.
Raimond
Roar Guru
I want to see GWS win, in order to see Victorians lose their minds.
Mark
Guest
If if if. Typical Tiger fan.
Josh
Guest
You mean Canberra against South Melbourne ?
tibor nagy (big four sticks)
Guest
Absolutely..He will do all the bullocking work down the ground thus freeing up Riewoldt.
tibor nagy (big four sticks)
Guest
Great article. People are beginning to realise that we can go all the way this year. Our forward pressure is second to none. We are kicking winning scores sans Riewoldt. Rioli is all class, Caddy is getting better, and we are finally we are seeing Prestia lift.
Slane
Guest
Horrible news for the Tigers.
The Fatman
Guest
I'm in an interesting position because I'm the drummer. . . . People say what they feel, and don't feel that they're messing with my art."
Cat
Roar Guru
Menzel is third in the side for goals (one behind Dangerfield). Hawkins is first and Motlop is 4th.
Milo
Roar Rookie
Yes heard that too. We don't have a tall forward at the minute and at a maturing 28 next year and at the right price he may add value to the forward line. Probably had his best season with the Blues so far so be interested to know if they'll fight it and how hard. Good news is that he's going to train with Richo on his kicking deficiencies...
Rich_daddy
Roar Guru
The Tigers have had a great season to date, but it could have been even better. They should have beaten GWS and Freo and were 6 goals up against Sydney. If they'd won them, they would minor premiers.
Paul D
Roar Guru
There's a rumour that Casboult to the Tigers is a done deal
Cameron Rose
Expert
Fair case, Liam. If Richmond wins the midfield battle, then it seems their forward-line pressure and defensive set-up enables them to get games played on their terms. I think there is no better team in the comp at the moment at causing panic in the opposition. We saw several examples on Sunday against Hawthorn.
Liam
Guest
Yep. Bear in mind, though, that I don't know your squad as well, nor do I think Cockatoo's or Blicavs are as severe omissions as missing Duncan or Hawkins. Menzel's a huge out, though. He's coming, what, second in your goalkicking?