Our road to Russia is no more difficult than any other nation's

By Mike Tuckerman / Expert

Ask American fans how they feel about qualification for the 2018 FIFA World Cup and they won’t know whether to laugh or cry.

Despite enjoying one of the easiest routes to Russia, Americans will be watching a World Cup without the USA for the first time since 1986.

Similarly, the Italians missed out for the first time since 1958 after losing in a two-leg playoff to Sweden yesterday.

Meanwhile, the Dutch had a disastrous campaign and won’t be going to Russia either.

It marks a new nadir for a team that finished third at the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil – and promptly missed out on qualifying for the subsequent 2016 UEFA European Championship in France.

And what about Chile?

Fresh from ending a 99-year wait for the Copa America by claiming back-to-back continental tiles, La Roja promptly missed out on qualifying for Russia by finishing sixth in arguably the toughest qualifying group of all – the notoriously difficult ten-team South American slugfest.

The Socceroos, meanwhile?

Sure, we were unlucky to draw the might of Japan in qualifying yet again. And some neutral fans may suggest it was high time Saudi Arabia reached the World Cup finals for the first time since 2006.

But the reality is that Ange Postecoglou’s team had plenty of chances to seal progression, even if it hardly seems fair to miss out after losing just once in the final round of qualifying.

Asia is tough
Having lost fewer games than Saudi Arabia and boasting a superior record to Group A qualifiers South Korea, it would be easy to suggest the Socceroos have been hard done by.

But the move into Asia was designed to expose Australia to a tougher qualifying route, and it’s done exactly that.

Had the Socceroos taken maximum points against Iraq in neutral Tehran, or scored more goals against Thailand in Melbourne, it might be a moot point anyway.

And while Football Federation Australia must be sick of the sight of Japan – wouldn’t it be nice to play South Korea in World Cup qualifying for once? – the simple fact is that the Socceroos failed to get the job done when they had the chance.

There are no guarantees on a continent which boasts vast geographical and cultural differences.

Not only do its World Cup participants criss-cross oceans and time zones, but the standard of Asian football is improving at a rapid pace.

With war-torn states like Syria and Iraq playing for national pride, and upwardly mobile nations such as China and Qatar pouring money into football as a means of wielding soft power across the globe, the route through Asia is only going to get more difficult.

It all adds up to a simple axiom: Asia is tough.

And the Socceroos should underestimate the continent at their peril – something that is only now just dawning on some Australian fans.

A new frontier
The trip to the Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano in San Pedro Sula to face Honduras was a throwback to the days of yesteryear, when visits to far-flung places like North Korea, Israel and Argentina all ended in heartbreak.

No doubt the most traumatic exit was the away-goals defeat to Iran in 1997, when Australia blew a two-goal lead at the Melbourne Cricket Ground to draw 3-3 on aggregate and go out on the away goals rule.

But that two-legged tie proved the Socceroos can go to places like Tehran – where they were stared down by a hostile crowd of more than 120,000 – to get a result.

They’ve already gained more battle-hardened experience when they secured a 0-0 draw in San Pedro Sula, where a less-than-inviting home crowd gave the Socceroos a ‘warm’ welcome.

The Honduran press made much of Australia’s supposed ignorance of the Central American state, although it’s worth pointing out that the stereotypes tend to fly both ways, and there’ll probably be a few references to kangaroos and barbecues dotted throughout the Spanish-language coverage for the second leg.

Now that the Aussies have avoided a heavy defeat in Honduras, they can qualify for Russia tonight on their own terms.

It’s a tactic that worked against Uruguay in 2005, although fans could be forgiven for hoping the tie doesn’t finish up in a tension-filled penalty shootout like it did 12 years ago.

Reasons to dream
Of the 210 countries that started out in World Cup qualifying – excluding the host nation – 177 have already been knocked out of contention.

Some, like those who ended up in Europe’s star-studded playoff round, will feel reasonably confident of progressing.

Others, like the New Zealand side set to take on Peru over two legs in their inter-confederation playoff, have plenty of reasons to dream.

That’s the scenario the Socceroos find themselves in, even if some are incredulous to see them in this position.

At the end of the day, reaching the World Cup finals is difficult and if we’ve learned any lessons from a fractious qualifying campaign, it’s that we can’t take anything for granted.

We can console ourselves with the knowledge that from 2026 onwards the qualification route is likely to get easier, thanks to FIFA’s plan to expand the finals to 48 teams.

But for now, it’s worth remembering that our route may involve more air travel and plenty of logistical planning, but it’s also devoid of some of the big guns of world football.

And if we think finishing third in a group behind Japan and Saudi Arabia is unbecoming of Australia’s position in world football, it could always be worse.

We could be Chile. Or the Netherlands. Or the USA. Or Italy.

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The Crowd Says:

2017-11-15T11:42:49+00:00

Brainstrust

Guest


European qualification is the most pampered with short flights and no heat or high altitude. Iceland maybe thats their advantage . The only time a European club team from the colder part of Europe Man U was confronted with some semi tropical heat in Brazil and a long haul flight, they could not even beat a Mexican club side which comes from a colder altitude. Luckily they could rely on the sloppy unprepared and amateur South Melbourne for a win. SOuth America has extreme altitude and tropical heat, North America has tropical heat and altitude. In Asia you have both tropical heat and extreme desert heat. Altitude is there but not with major teams. Africa the altitude teams are fairly weak, but its there, tropical heat and desert heat is there as well. Oceania you have tropical heat for everyone bar the Kiwis.. Australia is the most advanced in sports science and using chartered flights.

2017-11-15T07:32:15+00:00

The Phantom Commissioner

Roar Rookie


You dont think 2010 was a difficult group?. The best African team at the tournament, one of the strongest Serbian sides in recent memory and Germany. If you look at the groups of that world cup there's at least 3 or 4 i'd rather we were in.

2017-11-15T07:03:10+00:00

Buddy

Guest


I have maintained for many years that the way to round off the World Cup is not with the final as such but several days later an exhibition game between the best players that have just taken part in the world cup (chosen by whatever means) and they play a world X1 selected from countries that did not qualify for the finals. As it is an exhibition game, skills would be on show....all the profit goes to charity - say UNICEF or similar and the final game is one everyone remembers rather than so many forgettable finals from down the years! Not quite the same as USA hosting a losers tournament I know but I reckon its a much better idea!

2017-11-15T06:17:01+00:00

Hubris

Guest


Are we truly so desperate for rich, steaming bowls of irony that we actually have "Nemesis" leading a campaign to out posters who have previously used other names or back stories? Is this really happening?

2017-11-15T05:46:27+00:00

Doc Disnick

Roar Guru


Ahh - thanks for the info.

2017-11-15T05:16:17+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


I'm pretty sure he's already using several nom de plumes on this forum right now. "Mushi" is another of his aliases from the past, and I notice Mushi reappeared today.

2017-11-15T05:13:48+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Unbelievable. You're seriously continuing with the theory that it's less intimidating for Aussies to travel to Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Bangladesh, etc. than it is to travel to USA, England, Spain, Croatia, Sweden, Denmark?

2017-11-15T05:10:17+00:00

D

Guest


Doesn't really matter - the pots are set as of the October rankings.

2017-11-15T05:00:11+00:00

Nick

Roar Guru


Question: Trip to the US where you get grilled at customs, or trip to UAE where you can use your e-passport and proceed without 'intimidation'?

2017-11-15T04:56:52+00:00

potatojuice

Roar Rookie


Time and time again you prove yourself a loose moose/goose.

2017-11-15T04:38:39+00:00

Torchbearer

Guest


It is funny to comment on 'border procedures'- I have been to Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan....and almost without exception their customs and border staff and processes are much friendlier and inviting than we get from Border Force here. Iran is an exceptionally cultured and friendly country, and all round a much more welcoming country than Australia.

2017-11-15T04:37:44+00:00

Worlds Biggest

Guest


Spot on Mike, these World Cup qualifiers across the globe have only highlighted how difficult it can be to make it to Russia. The Socceroos have made it hard on themselves and have to roll up the sleeves tonight and put in a big shift, opportunities in front of goal must be taken, come on lads !

2017-11-15T04:34:59+00:00

punter

Guest


WOW Spruce you have just blown me with that comment. You are arguing for the sake of it. See ya later.

2017-11-15T04:31:37+00:00

paul81

Roar Rookie


I'd rather see Izzo between the sticks in that situation.

2017-11-15T04:28:46+00:00

chris

Guest


Yeah really doesnt matter if you think its harder or easier or the same. The fact is we have been way better served by being in the AFC than the backwater that was Oceania. We now compete (and have won) the second most important prize in world football for Asian countries. Our clubs play in the Asian Champions league and the exposure we get is way above what we used to get.

2017-11-15T04:28:09+00:00

potatojuice

Roar Rookie


FIFA has a ranking system & it pays attention to it. wow

2017-11-15T04:23:58+00:00

chris

Guest


Im sure you can manipulate it with a few spots here and there but you have to say, going to #28 is a pretty big achievement.

2017-11-15T04:23:11+00:00

paul81

Roar Rookie


One slight problem that might have had your friend laughing VERY loudly back at you.........They managed to erase our chance of an away goal advantage..

2017-11-15T04:16:47+00:00

chris

Guest


Its good that he's been outed though. So people will no longer take his comments seriously and take him for the bitter twisted individual that he is. I wonder how long it will be until he changes to someone else and then revert back to some positive posts and then back to his real self. And the cycle continues for this poor bloke.

2017-11-15T04:15:09+00:00

Doc Disnick

Roar Guru


Brilliant isn't it! Our boys are going to kill it tonight. You going? I've got some s#!tty nose bleeder seats, but that just makes it sweeter when we win.

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