What Australia must learn from England

By Luke Karapetsas / Roar Pro

When it comes to sport, in general we as Australians have a very high opinion on ourselves, and for the majority of sports that we play, we are strong competitors in comparison to the rest of the globe most noticeably in cricket and rugby.

Our other national teams, while not exactly the best in the world, are still recognised as a worthy foe against other countries. There is a sense of arrogance in Australian sport, in we believe we are the best because we have the facts to back it up.

That’s true in all sports except football.

Before I get attacked in the comments for berating the standard of the Australian national team let me state that the growth in Australian football over the past few decades has been phenomenal.

We are at a much better state than we were. We have qualified for four straight world cups. We have won the Asian cup. The Western Sydney Wanders have won the Asian Champions League.

But we are absolutely kidding ourselves if we think that the Socceroos, with these players, with such little preparation with new manager Bert Van Marwjik, with such turbulent times at FFA headquarters will be able to get out of the group stage of the FIFA World Cup in June.

Despite this, there is still arrogance by die hard football fans in this country. I use the term arrogance rather than optimism because so often I have heard us dismiss the quality of our opponents in our group (except for France of course).

I recently had this debate with a few friends of mine. Most of them were not what I would describe as football fans but enjoyed the celebrations of the World Cup. But they dismissed Peru and Denmark as relatively weak sides.

No side that makes it to the World Cup can be dismissed as a weak side. They got there because of merit and that they are a part of the best teams in their respective confederations. The arrogance I speak of can be seen with a recent comment I spotted on the Socceroos Facebook page.

“We should smash Denmark easily! Who have they got beside Christian Eriksen? And Peru? Who cares about them! They only just beat New Zealand!” (sic)

This arrogance is also seen by a certain European national team, England, the only difference is that the English are a bit more vocal than ourselves.

If you have not read Soccernomics by Simon Kuper and Stefan Szymanski I’d strongly encourage you to do so. In this book, they summarise the cycle that England go through in every major tournament, despite this being written in 2010 the cycle can be applied eight years later in Russia.

(AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

It consists of the following:

1- Unrealistic expectations will form in the English media
Until recently, England had a count down at their national team’s training base at St George’s Park for days until the semi final of Russia 2018. Many English football fans believe it is their ‘God- given right’ to win the world cup despite the quality of their team being average overall

2- England will meet a side that has superior quality than themselves
In South Africa this was Germany. In Brazil, this was Italy. In Russia this is going to be Belgium. I believe that Belgium are going to defeat England but the English media is not going to refer to the quality of players.

They are going to refer to some other scandal, possibly the recent England–Russia diplomatic crisis and that is going to cause referees to be swayed against England or something else as ridiculous. Anything but the fact that the team is not as good

3- England will get knocked out of the world cup, far from whatever lofty ambition was established by the media
You can see this from England’s recent tournament history. In Brazil they went out at the group stage, in Euro 2016 they went out against Iceland in the round of 16, no matter where England finish, it will be well below what they wanted.

4- A scapegoat is found for the results
Again in Euro 2016 it was Joe Hart and Roy Hodgson. The English media will find some player or manager to blame, still refuting the fact that their side is simply not as good as who they were up against. Casualties will come from this, people will lose their job and players will lose their place in the starting line up

5- England go into the next tournament with unrealistic ambitions and the cycle repeats
So why do I mention this? Because the Socceroos do the exact same thing. With the exception of Brazil were anyone could see that our group was far too difficult. In South Africa we blamed the fact that Tim Cahill got red carded against Germany (similar to how Beckham was sent of in 1998 against Argentina).

It was because of that our goals were not reached. The referee was what we blamed, later we blamed Cahill and then finally we sacked Pim Verbeek. Then went to the Asian Cup expecting to win the thing.

I have no doubt that we are going to do the exact same thing again in Russia where things do not go our way. We will not progress from the group stage, we will blame van Marwjik because of it, ignoring the fact that our squad has not had any serious development since 2006. Australian football is stagnating and we need to reassess our ambition.

(AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

England still refuses to reases their ambitions and are ridiculed for their arrogance and sense of entitlement. Similarly we seem to be entitled when it comes to the Socceroos. We expect to just walk in to Russia and crush Denmark and Peru.

We saw this in World Cup qualifying against Thailand, Saudi Arabia, and even a few days ago against Norway.

There is nothing wrong with having ambitious goals but they need to make some sense. In business, this is referred to as the SMART principle of goals. It mentions that all goals must be ‘Specific, Measureable, Attainable, Realistic and Time Bound’.

If we look at the FFA’s ‘Whole of Football Plan’ there is a lot of unrealistic ambitions at least within the time frame that they have specified. While they have given themselves at least 20 years to make “football Australia’s number one sport” there is a lot that needs to be achieved before they can do that.

How about start with the addition of promotion and relegation?

How about expansion that should have been started at least two years ago?

How about creating a more democratic congress?

I will give the FFA some credit for creating these goals, they are specific at least when you read the entire document and they are measurable. But at this stage, when so much of the focus on football is what is happening of the pitch they are no longer (at least right now) realistic.

(Photo by Don Arnold/Getty Images)

As I have said there is nothing wrong with ambition, but blinded ambition where nothing is being done (as seen through the FFA’s current failure of a plan,) just causes us to be stuck in a loop were the fans will set their own unrealistic expectations.

I want to see all the FFA’s goals as outlined in the plan come to fruition. Nothing would bring me greater happiness as a football fan. However, when there has been no progress on these goals in four years, we need to come up with a new plan. A set of smaller plans that our leadership is going to focus on implementing.

I do not want to come across on this article as someone who is being negative just for the sake of being negative. It is only once we are realistic with ourselves can we make more effective goals to eventually lead up to the ambitious targets that we set ourselves.

The Crowd Says:

2018-04-02T09:42:48+00:00

esko

Roar Rookie


What do you say to the children who believe Australia can actually win the world cup in 2018?

2018-03-27T07:34:03+00:00

Waz

Roar Rookie


tend the agree, no one be ever started out to climb Mt Everest by saying “I don’t think I can do it” lol

2018-03-27T06:24:10+00:00

LuckyEddie

Guest


We are the only sport that brings in outsiders to run our game. We are yet to have an actual football person running football and that explains the disaster the FFA has become.

2018-03-27T06:01:03+00:00

Doc Disnick

Roar Guru


I'd rather go in with unrealistic expectations and flop vs a lack of confidence to save face in the event of failure Born losers are the latter. We'll smash both Denmark and Peru and probably give France a shellacking too.

2018-03-27T01:49:52+00:00

HardcorePrawn

Roar Guru


Interestingly, it appears that the Italians are looking to England for inspiration too, but for very different reasons, as they rebuild following their failure to qualify for the World Cup: https://www.theguardian.com/football/2018/mar/26/leonardo-bonucci-italy-england

2018-03-27T00:46:48+00:00

chris

Guest


Oh wow...you got me there!

2018-03-27T00:39:15+00:00

i miss the force

Guest


almost as tiresome as Nemesis attacking other sports

2018-03-27T00:38:21+00:00

HardcorePrawn

Roar Guru


To be fair though, Barry Glendenning is an Irishman, so is unlikely to overplay England's chances. He's also a Sunderland supporter, so speaks from experience of disappointment and low expectations...

2018-03-27T00:33:35+00:00

HardcorePrawn

Roar Guru


"England will meet a side that has superior quality than themselves... In Brazil, this was Italy." I'd say Uruguay were the side that proved far superior for England that year. While Italy won their encounter between the two European teams they were pretty shambolic in those group stage games too. Neither nation covered themselves with glory at that tournament.

2018-03-27T00:17:10+00:00

Kangajets

Guest


Spot on

2018-03-26T23:58:21+00:00

That A-League Fan

Roar Guru


Agree with you Luke and Nemesis. We've gotten back to earth with that 4-1 loss against Norway. And too much expectation for us to go out of the group stage against three teams in the Top 15!

2018-03-26T23:12:16+00:00

reuster75

Roar Rookie


The English football culture is centered more around their club sides than the national team so as a result there's not really a lot of interest in overhauling the English system to give them more of a chance at international tournaments. It's mainly the tabloid press that builds up English expectations but even they aren't anywhere near as bad as they used to be as the focus on the premier league is becoming all consuming. The lesson we can learn from the English is that without proper investment in youth football and a commitment to a consistent playing style at all levels we will never do much more than the occassional appearance at the knockout stages (based on the expansion of the world cup to 48 teams which will give more spots to Asia diluting the quality of the qualifiers). I haven't heard anyone writing Denmark or Peru off, on the contrary there seems to be mass panic at the prospect of that group hence the FFA's decision to revert back to a Dutch coach for the tournament.

2018-03-26T22:47:14+00:00

chris

Guest


tiresome

2018-03-26T22:14:46+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Luke, as far as I'm concerned, the FFA is doing a fine job for every aspect of football .... EXCEPT the operation of the ALeague. Even on this point, the FFA did a fantastic job operating the ALeague during the first 10 years. Now the job is too big for the FFA, who have a huge portfolio of responsibilities - far wider responsibilities than any other sporting body in Australia. Having said that, I would like the FFA Congress to be more diverse & reflective of the football electorate, but, if the ALeague were to move to an independent operating model, I'd be willing to put up with the existing gerrymander electoral voting at the FFA Congress. For all the governance issues, the Whole of Football is doing extremely well. On every level - other than the elite men's competition - the sport of football is far ahead of every other sport in Australia.

2018-03-26T22:13:02+00:00

Kangajets

Guest


Luke Listen to the guardian football weekly podcast featuring Barry Glendenning and other French Italian commentary. It’s on twice a week Very sensible and realistic analysis of Europe football and quite funny at times No commentators expect England to do well in the World Cup this year In the past , the newspapers have built English up , but it’s a massive football market where they will say anything to sell a paper. Don’t believe the hype Also , your mate must be the only person I heard who is writing off Peru and Denmark.

2018-03-26T22:00:59+00:00

peeko

Guest


i dont think there is point being made here. yes, some people out there dont respect our opposition enough, so what? confusing tabloid media with having the same qualities as the playing unit isnt a good analysis.

AUTHOR

2018-03-26T22:00:38+00:00

Luke Karapetsas

Roar Pro


Hi Partyhat Thanks for reading the article Obviously I would have to disagree with this. For sure some media outlets are realistic but for the most part, the fans are just as ignorant. The cycle that I referenced earlier is justified. It happened in South Afirca, it happened in Brazil, it happened in France with the Euros and it WILL happen again in Russia

2018-03-26T21:57:21+00:00

i miss the force

Guest


yeah, you tell those ball tamperers. no one ever cheats at football

AUTHOR

2018-03-26T21:56:21+00:00

Luke Karapetsas

Roar Pro


Hi Nemesis Thanks for reading the article, however I think you have missed the point 1- "The FFA are clueless and all the other sports in Australia are being administered perfectly" It is absolutley no secret that the FFA are clueless, whilst I cannot point out specfics I am certain that you have critised the FFA in some point. I am not saying that all other sports are being administered properly however given the recent dramas at FFA headquaters, I am saying that some other sports are being adminsitered a lot better than the FFA. Does this mean that other sports are perfect in their administration, of course not. The AFL has had the drugs scandal a few years ago and just last week we have had the ball tampering crisis in cricket. But I still believe that overall these sports have been better administered than soccer 2- "When you think things have improved to a satisfactory level please write another blog" But things have been improving. I have also mentioned in the article the following -How we have qualfied for four straight world cups (Italy, Chile, Holland cannot say the same) -How we have won the Asian Cup -How we have won the Asian Champions League The A-League is NOT rubbish. No where in my article did I mention this. The A-League is a very entertaining competiton. Neither you or I have dismissed this. We need to have realistic expectations that are somewhat ambitous but not so ambitous that we inevitably fail to reach them. We need an overhaul of our expectations so that we can set these ambitous targets in the future. A 20 year plan that was established four years ago is currently failing in everyone of its expectations. Why is this the case? When any long term strategy is failing, it only makes sense to reevaluate why it is failing. If that means changing goals then so be it. However if the FFA can convince me that they have an effective plan (that is actually working) to achieve these ambitions then so be it. Regardless thank you for your comment. This is an opinion website and whilst you and I clearly have different opinions I respect yours and hope you continue to post on this website. Thanks Luke

2018-03-26T21:56:20+00:00

George K

Roar Pro


I guess the author's intent relates to what used to be England then? It could be the author assumes Australia may be on the same path then?

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