As the Ashes loom, how will selectors weigh runs against Sri Lanka?

By David Schout / Expert

As far as squad announcements go, yesterday’s 13-man outfit to face Sri Lanka appeared to appease the increasingly irate masses.

Joe Burns makes a welcome return after a month where his previously under-analysed Shield career all of sudden became back page news. Similarly, Matt Renshaw’s capital grew despite playing very little cricket.

Great white hope Will Pucovski completes the trio of batting inclusions – the young man who represents hope in a brooding, reflective time of Australian cricket. Tick, tick, tick, most fans said.

Through their picks, the selectors have created an ideal scenario for the press – a four-way ‘bat-off’, with the incoming trio and unproven Marcus Labuschage going ‘head-to-head’ in the Cricket Australia XI game against Sri Lanka starting next Thursday.

The selectors deserve praise for fielding a strong CA XI in Hobart – a step in the right direction to re-introducing competitive tour games in world cricket. But how they determine the value of runs scored against Sri Lanka in the context of this year’s Ashes will be intriguing.

Australia’s next test match after the Sri Lanka series is, in fact, the first Ashes Test at Edgbaston on August 1. White-ball cricket (against India and Pakistan, and then the World Cup) dominates the 2019 cricket calendar, and the selectors will have little red ball form to go on before that opening encounter in Birmingham.

Of course, the Sheffield Shield (post-BBL) will play a role in Ashes selection, but even that concludes in late-March/early-April, a whole four months before the Ashes. As a result, the upcoming Sri Lanka tour could play a significant role in determining Australia’s squad for the UK.

Big runs against what is likely to be a mediocre Sri Lankan attack could still yet prove the currency needed for a ticket to Heathrow later this year. It is, after all, the last international audition. But this goes down a potentially dangerous path.

Will runs against Sri Lanka in Australia be seen as crucial to Ashes selection? What weighting will the selectors give runs against the world’s seventh-ranked side?

It’s possible that Marcus Labuschagne, should he be selected for the first test at the Gabba, could make runs against Sri Lanka on his home deck. The 24-year-old looked organised at the SCG against a strong Indian attack, eventually enticed into a mid-wicket trap for 38.

Hypothetically, should he make a ton in the Sri Lanka series, this could elevate him as a serious chance to be part of that Ashes squad. But given he has yet to play any first-class cricket in the UK, it would leave him exposed to the entirely different UK conditions.

Australia’s Marnus Labuschagne leaves after his dismissal (AP Photo/Kamran Jebreili)

It is similar with the young Pucovski. The pair are yet to play any form of county cricket, and while big runs against Sri Lanka so early in their careers – again, hypothetically should they be picked – would be impressive, it shouldn’t beholden the selectors into picking them for the UK, where facing Broad and Anderson on green seamers presents a monumentally different task than Lakmal and Kumara on home decks.

Labuschagne and Pucovski contrast with Renshaw and Burns in this regard, who have form in the UK game. Renshaw with a swashbuckling cameo at Somerset earlier this year, and Burns with Leicestershire and Middlesex in recent years.

This is not to suggest that the selectors are blessed with an abundance of batting riches on which to pick from for the Ashes – Justin Langer made that clear last week. But selection, you would hope, would be far more nuanced than on the back of runs against a mediocre pace attack at the end of the summer.

Joe Burns reaches 50 against India. Will he be selected for the upcoming Test? (AAP Image/Dan Himbrechts)

You would also hope for a shelving of the notion that if a batsman is to make a hundred against Sri Lanka, he must be picked for England.

The lack of batting experience leading into this year’s Ashes again begs the question why the selectors haven’t included Glenn Maxwell in any of their red ball plans.

It has become almost monotonous talking about the unlucky Victorian’s plight, but Wednesday’s squad announcement was just another indicator they have no plans for him.

It’s another dagger to the heart of a player who deserves an extended go at the top, one many of his colleagues have been afforded but has never come his way.

The Crowd Says:

2019-01-10T15:07:14+00:00

CUW

Roar Rookie


I wonder what the conditions in England will be like in coming August / September European weather has been odd last year and right now they arre having very cold weather - unprecedented. India found it hard to play in the conditions. compared to those in aussy ....

2019-01-10T12:32:30+00:00

Sgt Pepperoni

Roar Rookie


Any talk of bowling experience in the UK? Apart from Siddle have any of our lot played over there recently?

2019-01-10T09:36:48+00:00

Sir Francis

Roar Rookie


I'm not sure it matters. Won't Warner & Smith take 2 spots? With Harris, Khawaja and probably Head taking 3 more spots. There's only, maybe, 2 spots left. Hopefully they have those players already in mind. I feel sorry for Wade & Maxwell. Wade averages almost 40 at FC level and Maxwell 41. Also, Kurtis Patterson seems to have become forgotten (also averages 41). Having said that, I am a big fan of Renshaw. That 184 he got V Pakistan in Sydney was a terrific knock. He started slow, like a good test opener (see Taylor/Lawry) while Warner went hard and then he also started to attack. He showed the temperament to play a long innings and change his speed as the game dictated. I liked Bancroft too but I don't think he is good. If Pucovski gets a run I wish him the best (I've never seen him!). I am actually worried about the bowlers. Starc & Hazlewood averaged over 30 over the course of 2018. The selectors may need to consider some extra options (how is Pattinson going these days???). I can't believe I am pushing all these Victorians! What's wrong with the world?

2019-01-10T07:28:13+00:00

pakistanstar

Roar Rookie


This is why it's baffling that Labuschagne is still in the team/was picked to begin with (not that he should've been given a baggy green in the first place). Pukovski is a different story, he'll be going to the UK IMO but he most likely for the experience. He'll probably be able to cement his place in the side with a couple of centuries then piling on the runs in that back half of the shield season.

2019-01-10T05:03:28+00:00

Matt H

Roar Guru


"Joe Burns makes a welcome return after a month where his previously under-analysed Shield career all of sudden became back page news." I take full credit for this. Poor. Joe. Burns. https://www.theroar.com.au/2018/11/30/poor-joe-burns/

2019-01-10T01:12:04+00:00

Paul2

Guest


"Surely it comes down to match conditions and the context of the runs scored." You would think so. Labuschagne's scoring a hundred against Sri Lanka in Brisbane tells you nothing whatsoever about the likelihood of him scoring runs in an away Ashes series. Still, if he scores a ton in either test SL, the selectors will almost certainly take him to England.

2019-01-09T23:50:16+00:00

Big Daddy

Guest


The only reason the selectors deserve a pat on the back is for leaving the Marsh's out rather than who they put in. These two have had a fair go at the top and not delivered, just proves they are not test cricket. What irks me more than anything is they made Mitchell vice captain. They might still be able to perform at white ball level but something tells me they still might be on the plane to England.

2019-01-09T23:22:22+00:00

Lance Boil

Roar Rookie


Yes Paul it shouldn't just be about the number written in the scorecard. I am hoping the pink ball conditions and Brisbane humidity really tests the batsmen and those with the technique and temperament get to demonstrate how they have a chance of success in the Ashes.

2019-01-09T22:25:33+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


Surely it comes down to match conditions and the context of the runs scored. If player one goes out in easy batting conditions, sticks around for 5 hours to make a hundred after being dropped twice, how does that stack up with another player who goes out to bat with the new ball only a few overs old, the light is dodgy and the ball is moving and makes a chanceless 60, where he's in complete control? I think guys in contention should have their entire season's batting examined for the Ashes tour. Guys like Langer will know how to balance the runs scored versus the quality of the attack, etc.

2019-01-09T19:33:48+00:00

Kopa Shamsu

Guest


Not very much IMO except day night match. Conditions & attack will be vastly different. They should more concentrate on technique & the way batsman playing particular bowler & how is he getting out rather than falling for false impression of score board. I am hoping in day night match ball will swing a little. SL has 1 or 2 really good swing bowlers in their disposal.

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