Six talking points from A-League finals: Week 1

By perry cox / Roar Guru

After 27 rounds and the first week of finals, then there were four, while two teams have gone into the off-season to ponder what might have been.

Strap yourself in for some finals review, some finals preview, and general topics of interest in the A-League week one finals talking points.

Now things get serious
Do not let the sub-title mislead you, of course the last 28 weekends of football have been serious, but now we are down to the final four, and all four teams left will feel that they have a rightful place at the big kids table for title honours.

Perth, the newly crowned premier, will want to enshrine their status as the best of the season by winning the two games necessary to cement themselves as the best in the land, as champion as well as premier, for season 2018-19.

Sydney FC, the long-time custodian of that title as best in the land, will be wanting to re-assert their authority, after astonishing failing to make last year’s showpiece, but now perhaps more so incredibly with a chance to rectify that injustice under a new coach.

And then there are the reigning champion, Melbourne Victory, under the tutelage of Kevin Muscat, who just knows how to get his charges primed for these games at this end of the season.

As for Adelaide, well they’ve just won an extra-time thriller, so their mentality should be: anything is possible.

Perth will be a truly intimidating prospect next weekend, because while it is true Tony Popovic has yet to win the toilet seat trophy, he still knows how to prepare his teams to get there.

The structure, the discipline, the work ethic, he simply knows how to get his players ready for the penultimate game to make a season’s worth of work all work at the same time.

Of course, why that preparation and performance has yet turned into grand final glory, that is an answer that I cannot yet fathom.

No doubt, Poppa would love to answer that question come the final game in two weeks’ time.

Perth Glory coach Tony Popovic. (Photo by Albert Perez/Getty Images)

Yet while one coach is looking to kick off his legacy with a championship, another will come to Perth looking to finish his legacy with one.

Talking points has all the credit in the world for Marco Kurz. Told a while ago that his services were no longer required next season, he has been even more determined to finish this year off as strongly as possible.

So for the team that had difficulties winning at home (so much so that they waited until there were only 90 seconds left in extra time to beat City), they travel to Perth hoping that they can maintain the vital winning edge that carried them across the line late on Sunday night.

Yes, they have just played an extra-time final game in Week 1, and they now have to travel to Perth, but so what?

This is a cut-throat finals series, and if you can’t get yourself up for 90 minutes of football, extra travel and game-time or not, then what on earth will get you firing?

Perth should hold no fears for Adelaide, at least not in terms of being a travel-weary team playing the new premier.

Remember, in 2000, Wollongong Wolves travelled to Perth, and came back from 3-nil down at half-time to win.

So going to Perth doesn’t have to be the death wish that some might seek to make it out to be.

As for the other semi-final, you would think that Melbourne are slight favourites going into the match in Sydney, right? Despite playing away from home.

There has just been something less than convincing about Sydney all season long.

Whether it has been cohesion with recruits, or the fixture list involving juggling ACL commitments, or the all-too-obvious factor of getting used to a new coach, Sydney have flattered to deceive this campaign, yet here they stand one game away from the biggest game of the year.

Remember, the Sky Blues are coming off a last-start loss against the Jets, and haven’t played for two weeks.

In many ways, the top two are punished for finishing so high, because unless they play each other in the grand final, the someone from outside the top two has had a better run of matches to get ready for the big game.

So, Sydney FC will have poor form and a lack of match fitness coming into a game against a purring Melbourne Victory.

And the Victory are indeed firing at the moment, make no mistake.

Muscat will still be a tick upset that his side missed out on second place, and it would not surprise if the wily operator were using that as an added incentive for his team, with a point to prove to Sydney that the table cannot be believed.

Melbourne put the cleaners through a tough opponent on Friday, so with good form, and a great finals record, why should they travel to Jubilee stadium with any fear whatsoever.

Can Kevin Muscat’s men take on Sydney? (AAP Image/Darren Pateman)

Melbourne showed Wellington what a champion looks like
Was the Victory victory on Friday ever in any real doubt?

That is not to take anything away from Wellington, nor is it to actually take anything away from Melbourne to suggest they simply had to show up.

But there truly is just something about Melbourne Victory teams in week one of the finals that just screams: start preparing for next week’s game.

The history, the record, the personnel, the coach, the storied Victory tradition of winning when it matters and making their way to grand finals has all created an expectation of the navy blues such that of any sporting result over the weekend in Australia, in any code, Friday night was the one you had the most confidence in.

What Melbourne does is so much more that money and recruiting.

It is even more than simply Kevin Muscat, a man who has been at the club from day one, either as a player or coach, who is continuing that winning tradition.

It is a deep-seeded mentality in the club that has determined that they want to be the best football club in Australia.

In hindsight, the Jets never stood a chance in last year’s grand final, not against a team that is moulded to win, such that winning is in their very name.

Granted, Wellington fought back, and fought hard, but up stepped Ola Toivonen to put away the third goal, and carry on that Victory tradition of winning the big games when it matters.

You can’t bet against the Victory maintaining that tradition in Sydney next week.

Ola Toivonen of the Victory celebrates scoring a goal. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Can the Phoenix rise once again?
Wellington cannot rest on their laurels from an otherwise successful season, and nor can they allow the final loss of the season to define both this season and the next.

Every season needs its darling, and luckily enough for the A-League, between Wellington lighting up the field, and the Glory surging to the top, there have been two darlings to behold.

Yet, while Wellington have enjoyed a successful season, the departure of Mark Rudan hangs heavily over the club’s head.

And, unfortunately for the Phoenix, the means of their final loss has the ability to leave a bit of an after-taste in the mouth.

Conceding three goals to a strong opponent is nothing to be ashamed of, but accumulating seven cards, one of them red, and finishing the season without the full compliment on the field, that’s a tough end to a season of success.

So it truly is a shame that Mark Rudan will be leaving, and won’t get a second season to finish what he is starting.

Mark Rudan. (Source: Wikipedia)

Which once again leaves the Kiwi club in something of the unknown.

Ufuk Talay takes the reigns, and no doubt he will do his best, but uncertainty will hang over this club now until Round 1 next season, and should things not start well, it can be a hard road to travel.

For everything that the Phoenix have achieved this season, truly must they almost start again, and it would be one of the great shames of the A-League if they went the way of the Jets this season, and were unable to truly build on the previous season’s success.

Adelaide play better away from home anyway
Adelaide took every moment possible before finishing City.

With a raucous crowd behind them, and playing the defensive-minded Melbourne city unit, Adelaide were never going to pile on the goals in the second elimination final.

Adelaide took their chance, and defended as well as they needed to, particularly on the back of a determined performance from Paul Izzo.

That is cup football though.

That is what a finals series is about.

It is not always about the best team, though Adelaide arguably were, it is about the team that has the mentality to win when it matters.

Adelaide, going into the game with a shaky home record this season, would, or at least should have been nervous.

So when Ben Halloran finished in the 119th minute, himself a big off-season recruit with some pressure going into this season, the Reds players and their fans celebrated accordingly.

Adelaide should go to Perth holding no fear.

They have shown they can win.

They proved exactly that, when it matters, in their win over Melbourne City.

What an off-season it will be for Melbourne City
What will City Football Group make of their Melbourne outpost after season 2018-19?

Player unrest, limited attack, no real identity other than grim defence, is that what CFG want out of their investment in this team?

To be fair to Warren Joyce and his men, once they finished fifth, the key was about playing winning football, which when you’ve lost to a last minute of extra-time goal, you can at least argue you played football that could win a game.

Jamie Maclaren of Melbourne City. (Photo by Mike Owen/Getty Images)

But City were never going to go on a championship run, to be honest.

They scraped fifth place when Wellington tanked the last game of the season, and City’s problems this season were well-known as they struggled to field strikers, and became overly reliant upon a defensive system that held teams out, but didn’t win matches.

City will look on the loss in Adelaide with pride, and had any of their second half chances been taken, this would be a different talking point.

But City didn’t take their chances.

And ultimately, you could at least put it to the paymasters of Melbourne City Group, that part of that comes down to the coaching.

It should be an interesting off-season for Melbourne City indeed.

One last note worth rating
Talking Points, despite some criticisms, genuinely has made every effort to talk up Australia’s little league that could.

Perhaps one of the best outcomes of the season was that the VAR criticisms that received such uproar to kick off the early rounds now appear to be a thing of the past.

The league should be commended for working through those technical issues, and creating a system that appears to be working.

Touch wood.

However, one thing that simply has been abominable has been attendances and ratings.

Only 16,000 attended the Friday night fixture hosted by Melbourne Victory, watched by an even poorer 35,000 on television.

At time of writing, 13,000 attended the Adelaide versus City game (while it should have been a sell-out, it is a commendable attendance for the timeslot) and the TV ratings were not yet known.

Melbourne, a team that averages 20,000 crowds during home and away, could not get that many for their last home game of the season.

As for those watching on television, they are frighteningly poor, poor figures.

Yes, there will be arguments that streaming numbers are not included, but the NRL and AFL, managed to get in excess of 100,000 viewers for all bar one of their games over the weekend (the lowest rating game that talking points found was Giants v St Kilda in the AFL, with a low 50,000).

It remains such a shame that the A-League, for all the quality on the pitch, is not being received by many viewers, whether at the game or on tv.

So unless there are about 250,000 people watching the game via streaming services, then the failure to get eyeballs on the game should have people in a position of power worried, if indeed they even care anymore.

The Crowd Says:

2019-05-09T07:04:37+00:00

PB

Guest


Phoenix didn't have anyone to replace Fenton. Lowry did his best, but anytime the ball went his wing all the pressure escaped. That's all. No choke, just not enough experienced players to get through the season.

2019-05-07T04:36:47+00:00

Brainstrust

Roar Rookie


I think Rudan and Joyce both choked. Rudan left out Singh and had the seniors at the back with two slow guys either side of them. Toivonen would not be able to believe his luck to be able to outpace players these days so easily. Fenton was one of their big key players losing him was bad, but replacing him with a center back made it even worse. Muscats team looked a lot more balance with more pace on the wings, and it suited Antonis a lot more. If Camsoba had more end product they would be really dangerous with this formation.The only issue is I cant see the value in Donachie at the back, I think if they played Deng then that would have countered Wellingtons threat with his pace, and Roux would have helped MV scored even more. Joyce went big against Adelaides pace despite them having no aerial threat. They would have paid the penalty if Adelaide had not been so terrible. Adelaide pressing was high paced for the majority of the match, versus the slugglish efforts from City. McLaren again if a defender is anywhere near him he loses the ball, just a waste of space and if they had played Harrison as striker , leaving McLaren on the bench they would have won in normal time.

2019-05-06T04:46:37+00:00

Jordan Klingsporn

Roar Guru


About 14,000 tickets for the Perth game have been sold. And they’re all presale so its looking good. P.S i had a dream the other night that i was at GMBHA Stadium for Western United’s first game and it was sold out. Weird dream but…. meh.

AUTHOR

2019-05-06T03:26:46+00:00

perry cox

Roar Guru


I love the responses. But understand the material you're responding to. I just want more people to enjoy the game. Meanwhile, your trying to start an unnecessary disagreement with someone who should be on your side. Equally, you're right. You're responding to a blog. You too can't be upset if someone calls you out on the manner. It works both ways. Anyway, this has really run its course. We've generally found more common ground today than usual.

2019-05-06T03:20:58+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


Karlo, you write a blog & want people to respond. If you only want "yes posers", that's too bad. You want 50k fans to turn up to watch AUFC? Fine, but based on 14 years data about attendances for AUFC matches in Adelaide, that's just irrational forecasting. How about you set your expectations for: AUFC to have every match at Hindmarsh "SOLD OUT". By that I mean, every match at Hindmarsh there are no ticket available for people to buy. Doesn't matter if only 13k turn up, if every ticket is sold it means the product is in huge demand. That's what I'd call a reasonable objective. And, it would create a vibe that better than 25k people sitting at the Adelaide cricket oval to watch AUFC.

AUTHOR

2019-05-06T02:57:20+00:00

perry cox

Roar Guru


I don't recall people complaining about the atmosphere at the Grand final Adelaide hosted. Nemesis, you've got a bit of the pugilist about you, which is fine. You need to direct it carefully though. So I would like 50,000 people attending home and away fixtures regularly. I didn't realise wanting more spectators and viewers meant I don't like football in this country. That's on me I guess.

2019-05-06T02:34:14+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


So, your high hopes for ALeague include moving from a purpose-built rectangular stadium with a perfectly manicured football surface to a a cricket oval where the viewing & atmosphere will be substandard for fans and the playing surface will be awful?

2019-05-06T02:24:30+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


"Optus don’t want you to watch EPL – they want you to move your home broadband and mobile service to them." Thank you, Waz. I've been banging on about this for so long it's good to know someone else also understands this basic concept of the Optus Sport business model.

AUTHOR

2019-05-06T02:21:30+00:00

perry cox

Roar Guru


I was wondering what took this comment so long to arrive. I have high hopes for the A League. So sue me.

2019-05-06T02:11:15+00:00

Waz

Roar Rookie


They don’t tell the advertisers. Optus pay for the EPL out of mobile subscribers and Broadband subscription; advertising and subscription to the sports package are an added bonus. Optus don’t want you to watch EPL - they want you to move your home broadband and mobile service to them. Foxtel’s biggest weakness is lack of mobile and competitive broadband offering. Therefore they’re reliant on subscription and advertising, both are failing business models.

2019-05-06T02:00:02+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


You think AUFC should be selling out a 54,000 capacity cricket oval? Seriously what data are you using to make such an optimistic forecast? And, why should AUFC leave one of the best football venues - for players & fans - to play on a cricket oval? Absolutely ridiculous idea. I honestly can't comprehend the thinking of many people who follow ALeague.

2019-05-06T01:48:22+00:00

Buddy

Roar Rookie


Makes you realize how differently a game can be viewed and how skewed highlight packages can be. My wife was finding Sunday game deadly dul -she didn’t appreciate the ttense atmosphere etc. I think eventually I gave in and agreed and that was the final impression but I did enjoy Friday night. Hope MV pay well at Kogarah next weekend.

2019-05-06T01:48:19+00:00

David V

Guest


Melbourne City are the GWS of the A-League in a way. A second team in a city which has a well-supported club with a rusted-on fanbase, thus unlikely to have a big fan base if ever. By contrast, Western Sydney Wanderers filled a gap in the A-League, bringing more "new" fans (well they were already football fans) to the A-League.

2019-05-06T01:39:31+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


So, from that report, PayTV advertising revenue would be around A$400M per annum. Let's assume all this Pay TV advertising revenue is attributable to Foxtel only. Total Revenue for Foxtel is around $3 Billion per year. So, advertising accounts for 13% of total revenue; subscriptions would account for 87% or total revenue. With this data, up to you to figure out what's more important to Foxtel: subscriptions or ad revenue.

2019-05-06T01:35:02+00:00

At work

Roar Rookie


I personally would much prefer we send our strongest team to Korea for the ACL as it’s a must win. With all the local success SydFC have had the last few years, I’m really wanting (and prefer) to get out of the group in the ACL.

2019-05-06T00:54:19+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


You haven’t quite pinned me down in terms of my thirst for knowledge. I do know that a quick google pulled up an article about the surprisingly large amount of revenue pay tv draws from advertising. https://tvtonight.com.au/2011/07/how-much-does-pay-tv-make-from-ads.html

2019-05-06T00:42:39+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


No problem if you're not convinced. The information is out there, you can form your own views. But, if anyone is involved with operating a business, or have plans to do so in the future, I'm sure they won't need much convincing. However, given you responded to another post "Actually, I just wanted to watch football, not become an expert in broadcast business models", you clearly don't have interest in understanding the levers that drive businesses.

2019-05-06T00:39:11+00:00

Jack George

Roar Guru


I completely agree about Melbourne City, they are that team that consistently make it into the finals but never look like winning the A-League.

2019-05-06T00:32:08+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


I’m not convinced...but I’ll take your word for it.

2019-05-06T00:29:10+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


" A big chunk of revenue must come from the advertisers" I have OptusSport. I tune in a few minutes before kick-off. I do not watch anything at HT. I don't recall seeing any ads on OptusSport, other than ads for Optus. Maybe there are ads & I'm just not being observant. There are definitely no ads before the Goal Highlights, or Mini Matches. KayoSports/FoxSports does have regular Gambling Ads & McDonald's that's all I recall. It's PayTV. The whole lure of the PayTV model is "Ad Free viewing".

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