Based on form, the A-League top six is an utter lie

By Stuart Thomas / Expert

Normally by this stage of an A-League season, with just a handful of matches remaining before the semi-finals, form lines have been well and truly set.

Usually the Premier’s Plate has been grasped, as Sydney FC has done this season, the teams to occupy the top four look likely and the scrap for the six has been mostly decided, bar the odd team hanging on to mathematical hopes of scraping into the finals.

True to 2020 madness, the current season is a completely different kettle of fish. An extended break, forced changes in personnel for some clubs and a frantic resumption of play where teams are being asked to back up on short turn arounds, have all lead to some unpredictable results.

As such, the top six is reading as something completely inaccurate; a farce if you will, considering what we have seen unfold since the resumption.

Most notably, Sydney FC look anything but runaway plate winners and outright favourites for the title. Losing two matches on the trot is something teams careering away into the distance rarely do, yet after a solid 3-1 win against Wellington to reignite the season, things have turned pear shaped for the men from the harbour city.

Against the Jets, Steve Corica’s troops ran out of legs and ideas in their second match back and after a 14-day quarantine, Melbourne City sprung back into A-League play and staked an even stronger claim of contention with a 2-0 against Sydney over the weekend.

The Sky Blues may well be still atop the ladder, yet favouritism in betting markets deserves to be elsewhere at this point in time.

The team many thought to be Sydney’s biggest threat, had the season not been interrupted by COVID, has also returned without the spark and energy required. Ufuk Talay’s Wellington began with that loss to Sydney, before winning 2-1 against an underdone Glory some five days later.

Potentially it appeared business as usual for the men in yellow. However a 1-1 draw with the impressive Reds and a ponderous performance against the Wanderers has seen them gather just four points in as many games and subsequently slip a rung on the ladder.

A loss this coming Wednesday to the Roar would see them descend further into fourth and potentially within the clutches of Perth Glory and/or Adelaide United; the latter appearing like real title contenders after an impressive resumption to play.

At this stage and despite all the promise of their pre-COVID performances, Wellington appear destined to be playing in an elimination final, rather than waiting for the winner of one, in a final four semi-final situation.
Whilst Brisbane Roar sit fourth, there is likewise little to write home about.

The aforementioned Reds held on against them for a 1-0 win in their first match back before the Queenslanders used a little bit of fortune and desperation to hang onto all three points against Melbourne Victory in their second; not the most impressive of wins considering the plight of the victory right now.

Perth Glory still look slightly short of a gallop and after an expected win against the Mariners, fell victim to Wellington and the Reds put a fistful past them.

Diego Castro of the Glory reacts after a missed shot (Photo by Paul Kane/Getty Images)

In short, Adelaide’s return has been the cream of the crop. Yet to lose since play resumed, three points against Sydney FC this Thursday will definitely have tongues wagging around their chances to do some damage come finals time.

Perhaps the most deceptive feature of the current top six, considering the recent form at our disposal, is the more fact that Newcastle Jets are not in it.

Also undefeated since play resumed, wins against Sydney FC and Western United were split by a disappointing goalless draw with the Mariners; a result that may well loom large should the men from the Hunter indeed miss the finals as it appears they may now do.

Those two pesky points will prove costly, with just one match remaining for Newcastle against the Phoenix on the 13th of August, and still three points required to draw level with Adelaide and Perth on 34 points. By then, both the Reds and Glory will likely have moved ahead and even if they should not, the Jets currently possess a poor goal difference.

In truth, Western Sydney perhaps hold the best chance of those sitting just outside the eight; unbeaten after the resumption and with winnable matches against Perth and Western United in the next four days, six points will see them inside the six and destined for finals.

As bizarre as 2020 has been, the chaos of a pandemic has set up a quirky situation where the current top six on the A-League ladder appear out of order given current form and Newcastle destined to miss out altogether, despite being in the best form of all.

That scenario opens up myriad possibilities for the finals series to come, once that is, we work out exactly which teams will be competing in it.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2020-08-05T06:25:58+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


In the mail Coastyboi. You are spot on in you assessment of the more articles and posts the better and the subsequent exposure. My definitive goal every single time I hit the keys.

AUTHOR

2020-08-05T06:23:46+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Strewth, that's harsh. I'm a whippersnapper!

AUTHOR

2020-08-05T06:22:05+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


The hub of the green perhaps?

2020-08-04T09:00:20+00:00

pete4

Guest


I find the season has been compelling since the restart the intensity definitely has lifted across the board Big thumbs up for winter football!

2020-08-04T06:01:12+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


you're doing fine Stuart - a far more balanced writer than the young fifty year old kid you were five years back

2020-08-04T05:56:59+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


no away games? unless of course you're not a Sydney team, but you are right Stuart, it's the rub of the green, again.

2020-08-04T05:22:58+00:00

Coastyboi

Guest


Well, I enjoy your articles, Stuart, many people do. The Roar is an opinion forum, & one’s views are purely subjective. Good or bad, the more uploaded articles & posts we get, the more exposure football receives. It’s similar to a YouTube algorithm, where increased comments bring higher exposure. Type away, folks. Now, Stu, can I have my $20 now?

2020-08-04T05:20:21+00:00

At work

Roar Rookie


I have fears that it'll be another 2017/18 where Sydney were by far the best team in the league, but fell apart when it really mattered.

2020-08-04T04:56:54+00:00

Nick Symonds

Guest


The draw is so compromised it's lost all meaning. I'm not even paying attention to the ladder as the points seem utterly pointless at this point. It's an asterisk with a season attached.

AUTHOR

2020-08-04T04:39:52+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Been pumping up the Australian game for 5 years Lionheart, as you know. That does not mean that one should live with one's head in the sand and not cite issues when they arise. That would in fact be unethical and there are serious financial ramifications for football moving forward. I'll always raise them when relevant, despite the comments by Mahler above.

AUTHOR

2020-08-04T04:37:52+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Nice attempt at getting in my head, but a dismal fail. As many times as one is accused of negativity, excessive and blind positivism is also cited. Either can be applied in isolation and with talk of a significant reduction in salary cap, a threatened Mariners, Macarthur struggling to whip up funds, it might be fair to say the prediction has indeed some relevance. You have little idea how much I do not want that to be the case, nor how many positive spins I have put on the Australian game in the past.

AUTHOR

2020-08-04T04:33:26+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


I agree, a strange performance from Sydney in many ways and a solid, professional display from the City boys.

AUTHOR

2020-08-04T04:31:10+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Offset by the fact that there are no away games either I suppose. No one to blame in that regard really, an unfortunate rub of the green.

AUTHOR

2020-08-04T04:29:30+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Firstly, my simple comment on the Roar was that there was "nothing to write home about." Compared to what I said about the premiers that is extremely mild and I stand by the point that Brisbane have yet to hit the sparkling form they were showing some months back. I hope they do, it was great to watch them improving as a squad. As for the ladder from Jan 1st, that is fine, but not the point here which is to suggest that things are all over the shop after the resumption.

2020-08-04T03:02:40+00:00

Rodger King

Roar Rookie


Link? Got it, DOH!!

2020-08-04T03:01:22+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


Simon Hill has an article in today's Guardian, worth reading. About possible future broadcasting of football in Australia.

2020-08-04T02:58:16+00:00

Rodger King

Roar Rookie


I hope he hands it back, the FFA are likely to be easier to deal with than him apparently. Or if the CCM can't work in 'paradise' and are relocated, plenty of hands just shot up. Hello Wollongong or Canberra.

2020-08-04T02:57:40+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


I don't think Stuart's deliberately meaning to deride our game, but I do agree about the games thus far since the return. They've been high tempo mostly, for the full 90 minutes - I assume because of the cool weather. Also good to see plenty of youngsters and new coaches. We would all have been complaining much louder if our season was cancelled, but it was poorly scheduled from the get go.

2020-08-04T02:50:51+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


geez Andy, the first six minutes aside, Roar dominated that match.

2020-08-04T02:30:40+00:00

Waz

Roar Rookie


Ha Ha :laughing:

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