Makings of a champion: How the NRL top eight was built – Part 1

By Tom Rock / Expert

The NRL is a copycat league. Rivals clubs watch how the top sides conduct their business, and then scramble to replicate their success.

It’s why anyone who’s had so much as a passing conversation with Craig Bellamy is granted at least one head coaching opportunity, and why clubs are lined up 15 deep to sign the untried and untested Craig Fitzgibbon.

So it’s a little surprising to see the make-up of the finals sides in 2020. Each has taken a different path to qualify for finals football and below is a closer examination of how this year’s top four was constructed:

Penrith Panthers: Junior development model
Penrith was built the right way – developing local juniors into NRL-calibre players.

When they run out this weekend, up to 14 of their 17-man squad will have made their debut for the Panthers, which is an incredible ratio.

Ivan Cleary has done an outstanding job piloting his young side through a turbulent season. To make it through 20 rounds of NRL football — including a pandemic pause — with only a single defeat is a testament to Cleary’s coaching chops.

But the man largely responsible for creating this enviable roster is Phil Gould, who arrived at the club to find it on the brink of financial ruin. Within a few short years, Gus not only tidied up the balance sheet but managed to secure funding to establish a world-class centre of excellence and a forge a formidable junior pathway program.

Penrith now appear to be the model of stability, but it hasn’t always been smooth sailing. Gould’s ability to build an NRL program is second to none, but his interpersonal skills would make Ellen DeGeneres blush. Coaches came and went with the regularity of a bowel movement, and Gus himself was punted before his dream finally became a reality.

The results, though, speak for themselves. Out of that academy came the likes of Nathan Cleary, Liam Martin, Jarome Luai and James Fisher-Harris – all current or future representative players. And there’s plenty more where they came from.

Some will point to Penrith’s lack of frequent flyer miles and a lucky run with injury as the secret of their success in 2020, but the fact remains that the mountain men now boast the talent and depth to remain a major force in the NRL for years to come. This is how you build a football side.

Melbourne Storm: Coaching and culture model
Up until a few years ago, the Melbourne model seemed relatively straightforward – spend the bulk of your salary cap on a core group of superstar players and fill out the rest of the roster with journeymen and Bryan Norrie.

That narrative changed when Melbourne made the grand final in 2018, the year after a lovesick Cooper Cronk defected to the Sydney Roosters. It was further compounded a year later when the Storm were awarded the minor premiership without Billy Slater at fullback.

So what exactly is the Melbourne model? Simple — exceptional coaching, unrelenting standards and a strong team culture. In short, the Storm are successful because of Craig Bellamy.

Storm coach Craig Bellamy after winning the 2017 NRL grand final. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

For more than a decade Bellamy has been making water out of wine – coaching up players unwanted at other clubs and transforming them into strong first-graders. But for all the praise heaped on the irascible supercoach, there was always a suggestion that Melbourne’s sustained success was due to their trio of future Immortals.

In 2020, we can put that idea to bed once and for all. While the Cowboys continue to struggle with life after Johnathan Thurston and the Broncos are still searching for the next Darren Lockyer, Melbourne have replaced two of the greatest players the game has even seen without even finishing outside the top four.

The emergence of Cameron Munster, Brandon Smith, Ryan Papenhuyzen and, to a lesser extent, Harry Grant is why Bellamy is the best in the business, and the reason why Brisbane are willing to sell their soul to sign him.

He’s a proven winner and someone to build a club around.

Parramatta Eels: Recruitment model
Parramatta’s roster reminds me of a glamour mansion perched above Wamberal Beach – it looks spectacular from a distance, but you get the feeling that one big swell could demolish it entirely.

The Eels are rugby league’s patchwork quilt, with their squad featuring a veritable zoo of recycled talent. Their captain’s a former Sea Eagle and their playmaker’s a former Tiger. There’s a Panther prowling the centres and a pair Roosters posturing in the pack. And if you look closely, you might even spot a former Bunny laying down in the ruck.

In fact, of Parramatta’s best 17 players, only four made their debut for the club. Outside of the Gold Coast, this would be one of the lowest ratios in the league. This is a shocking statistic for a club always lauded for possessing a nursery rich in junior talent.

The recruitment model is not for the faint-hearted. Time and time again, the approach of signing talent while neglecting junior development has proven disastrous. The Wests Tigers and Gold Coast Titans are the most recent examples of clubs who’ve tried to buy their way out of trouble, only to pay above the market rate for below-average talent.

But while Parra employ a dangerous formula for furnishing their roster, they do deserve credit for assembling one of the NRL’s more talented teams. And they’ve done this by investing in the right players.

It may sound simple, but for a club relying on external talent, hitting on recruitment decisions is critical. A good example is Clinton Gutherson, who was an inexperienced Manly junior coming off a serious knee injury when Parramatta scooped him up. A risky signing at the time, but one that has paid major dividends.

Clint Gutherson (Brendon Thorne/Getty Images)

Mitchell Moses is another example. He exited the Tigers in acrimonious circumstances as a player high on potential, low on production and clueless in defence. And while he’s still yet to deliver on the big stage, he represents a significant upgrade over the ragged collection of past playmakers who’ve failed to fit into Peter Sterling’s size 9s.

With the right people calling the shots, the recruitment model can work. But the margin for error is slim. For every Mitchell Moses, there’s a Corey Norman. Get that decision wrong and it can take years for your club to recover.

Sydney Roosters: Premiership model
The Roosters approach team building like it’s a video game. Nick Politis identifies the players he wants, fiddles with a few settings in the options menu, bashes a few buttons, and bam – James Tedesco and Cooper Cronk arrive. In the same off-season. Nothing to see here.

The boys from Bondi cop their fair share of grief for massaging the salary cap, but the true secret of their success isn’t the potent pulling power of Politis — although that certainly helps. What the Roosters can offer that no other club (outside of Melbourne) can match is the chance to win a premiership every season.

In the 20 NRL deciders since the turn of the century, the Chooks have featured in eight. This magnetism the club has for the Provan-Summons Trophy is a major attraction. Young players like Tedesco see the Roosters as the perfect launching pad for their budding NRL careers. Likewise, veterans like Brett and Josh Morris see Easts as their best chance to finish on a high.

Brett Morris (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Players want to join. They want to be part of successful culture where winning premierships is the expectation. They want all the trimmings that come with representing the most glamourous and well-connected club in the country. And they’re willing to take less money to make it happen.

This is where the Roosters really have an edge. Not only do Brett and Josh Morris — still arguably the best at their respective positions — actively force their way onto the roster, but they do so for less combined money than Blake Ferguson will earn in 2020.

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Having quality players willing to sign for less money gives the Roosters unrivalled flexibility to invest in key positions. The result is a roster rich with talent, depth across the park and a superstar spine which makes them a contender every year.

That’s how you sign Cronk and Tedesco in the same off-season.

The Crowd Says:

2020-09-30T14:29:34+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


I wish you guys all the best. .Let's get the Panthers home..

2020-09-30T08:48:39+00:00

Wild Panther

Roar Rookie


Great article The Panthers will now start to combine the Junior Development Model with the Premiership Model. When that starts to happen the will be unbelievably strong with players from other clubs wanting to come for unders. Seems the Junio Development Model is the best to me.

2020-09-30T08:29:41+00:00

Dwanye

Roar Rookie


I think the question about parra is can they make ‘their’ style long lasting like the storm and easts?

2020-09-30T08:24:04+00:00

Dwanye

Roar Rookie


Would the best be a mixture, a balanced well run mixture? So it cover the years one is weaker.

2020-09-30T06:55:29+00:00

Hard Yards

Roar Rookie


Great piece of writing. Good job.

2020-09-30T06:50:20+00:00

Footlong

Guest


Moses was a Parramatta junior ?? Did Holy Cross and Carlingford Cougars RLFC move to Parramatta ??

2020-09-30T05:24:30+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


Don't disagree with any of that , but if in 20 years no more than three or four NRL players are Victorian born and bred it shows the futility of the Top down model of expansion. If you follow that model say 2 or 4 moŕe times without increasing the player pool you severely degrade the competition. You cant have a comp where no team areas produce junior footballers. It don't work. Like I say ( now where does that come from) I want to be WRONG.

2020-09-30T05:05:57+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


your absolutely right about the salary cap advantages of the Panthers heavy reliance on juniors but the downside is their competitiveness for premierships and the need for this system to keep pumping out top quality juniors, because those they currently have, will often move when offered the big bucks. They're obviously right in the mix this year but since 2011 when Gould stepped in, their highest finish is 4th and even as recently as last year, finished 10th. Contrast that with the Storm & Roosters, of the teams you've written about so far, who have been THE teams to beat for premierships for most of the last decade.

2020-09-30T04:09:52+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Roar Rookie


Been there Tom - three in five years - it was bloody hard work at the time but it gets easier - enjoy it - and enjoy the finals

2020-09-30T04:04:19+00:00

zonecadet

Roar Rookie


How about we look at it in a different way. The governing body wanted to expand the Professional competition and did so. Pretty sure they wanted to make money as a result through new markets, new paying fans, new sponsors, new TV contracts. What junior players got was more opportunities to make it to the big time. On what criteria has the Melbourne Storm not delivered on that?

AUTHOR

2020-09-30T03:37:55+00:00

Tom Rock

Expert


Thanks Paul. You make a fair point about Penrith. They won't always have a bumper crop of kids to pick from. But having the luxury to choose between your own home grown talent or going to market like most other clubs is a competitive advantage. And even if their kids are only average, you would rather furnish your roster with cheap juniors than with overpriced veterans (I'm looking at you Wests). I just think this approach is more sustainable in the long-term, and puts less stress on your salary cap. If a handful of these kids don't work out, just move along to the next one. This is exactly the situation the Panthers found themselves in with Burton and Luai. The latter was further along in his development, but the former was said to have more long-term upside. So they give Luai a chance to prove his worth knowing that if he fails, they can move on to Burton. As it turns out Luai has had a bumper season and looks to be the future number 6. Either way, they had cover. I'm sure most clubs would kill to have this problem.

AUTHOR

2020-09-30T03:31:14+00:00

Tom Rock

Expert


Thanks Geoff, it's good to be back mate. I have a 10 month old at home, so finding time to think, write and bathe have proven challenging.

AUTHOR

2020-09-30T03:30:08+00:00

Tom Rock

Expert


Hi Andrew. I totally agree that Parramatta have produced some very good juniors. The problem has been that until recently, they weren't holding on to the right ones. The fact that you point out that Moses, Matterson and Nathan Brown were Parramatta juniors, were allowed to walk and then were signed from other clubs at a later date is less than ideal. These are the sort of scenarios that lead a club to paying overs for talent that was already on their roster to begin with. The good news for the Eels is that they now seem to have the right people in charge of making recruitment and retention decisions. They have a talented roster, and by the sounds of it, some good kids coming through. I hope they hold on to them.

2020-09-30T03:26:30+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


Your first point is moot. Get back to me when juniors from Victoria start playing in the NRL in an significant numbers. I am happy for the long game so I'll see you in 18 years ( God willing) and we can see who is right. I want it to be you but I am sure it won't.

2020-09-30T03:22:33+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


Of course it's chicken and egg. You think it's egg. ( that after a long period of time expansionist areas will grow their own talent as the game becomes more popular and juniors numbers grow.) I think it's chicken ( that even after let's say a reasonable time like oh 40 years, expansionist clubs will still get almost all players from ourtside their own area , unless their areas happen to be in certain parts of QLD or NSW.) Now we I am happy to give a Perth team or the Storm 40 years to see what will happen. The half way mark in Victoria does not fill me with optimism.

2020-09-30T02:12:37+00:00

zonecadet

Roar Rookie


There are Juniors in Melbourne, they do exist and you would think are better off for having the Storm here. As for clubs developing juniors what exactly does an NRL club do for juniors in their area in real financial terms on their own? I would suggest any funding comes from an ARL 'pool' which would, in effect, come from revenue generated by all RL sources including teams in non-rugby League heartlands. As for talent leaving your area and no thanks for "all your hard work" in developing it that argument could as easily apply to NRL clubs that 'poach' (I'm looking at you Roosters) players who other clubs have developed.

2020-09-30T01:29:44+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Roar Rookie


True Harry - the Raiders tried that approach for a while with Carney, Dugan, Croker, Vidot, Fensom and the rest of the Raiders U20s team from 2008 but that blew up in their face. Mind you the Raiders have noweher near the size of the nursery that the Panthers now have to choose from.

2020-09-30T01:26:16+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


This is an excellent piece Tom. I know there are some who will quibble about specifics, but I think generally, you've nailed the different approaches the teams you've written about have taken to make the finals. I was interested in a side comment you made where you thought the Penrith system of junior development was the best. I wonder if that's the case, especially in the long term? I'd have thought the systems employed by the Storm and the Roosters are a better way to go, where there's a balance of approaches, all managed by a strong management group and coached by some of the best in the game. By all means use as many locally sourced players as possible, but these teams don't exclusively rely on that source, especially at the Roosters where they bought Cronk & Tedsco to fill a couple of critical holes. I've two other concerns with the Penrith system. What happens when the well runs dry? There only needs to be a season or two where the crop of junior coming through are not great quality and the team's in trouble. I also wonder what happens when the people doing the recruiting and retaining move on and the next people in that position aren't keeping or retaining the right people? Again, until the junior hit the top grade, no-one can be sure whether they're going to cut it or not. Very much looking forward to Part 2.

2020-09-30T01:21:09+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Roar Rookie


Great article Tom - and great to have you back. Where've you been? Summed up these four clubs perfectly. Really interesting approaches taken by each club to get them to where they are today. Some of the Gus Gould haters may give you some grief but there is no doubt that his infuence has laid the foundation for Ivan Cleary to come in and cash in. But Ivan must have something given the way they are purring along like a well oiled machine. Coaches Robinson and Bellamy have set the benchmark for establishing dynasties while the Eels are the interesting outlier with a bunch of talented recruits brought in from all over the place to fill particular roles - Gutheson, Moses, Ferguson, Paulo, Sevo, Blake, Matterson, Cambell-Gillard etc - they've sputtered a bit at times of late but they've shown have the capability of blitzing teams when they get it together. Brad Arthur needs to be given a bit more credit for what he's achieved. They might achieve a bit more than what we thought in this finals series. Looking forward to what you have to say about Ricky's approach.

2020-09-30T01:06:18+00:00

Walter Black

Guest


I was in complete agreement until your last para. I agree we need to develop jnrs but to say we should not expand into an area because there are no jnrs there is a little chicken and egg. What we need to do is put clubs in places where fans or potential fans are, where we can grow the game and then put some of that money back into jnr development.

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