Origin is hard, a sweep is harder: seven talking points for State of Origin 2021

By AJ Mithen / Expert

State of Origin is in the bank for season 2021 and New South Wales retain the shield, though they dropped a tight game three on the Gold Coast. Brad Fittler’s team were faster, fitter and more committed when it mattered, and the future looks bright for the men in blue. Here are your talking points from State of Origin series 2021.

Sweeping a State of Origin series is really, really hard
Queensland were friendless with tipsters for game three after two complete hidings and a 76-6 points differential. But their game three effort showed that when it comes down to it, pride can will a team over the line when you’re facing a 3-0 whitewash.

These are the best players in the game and there’s reason why there has only been seven 3-0 results in 40 odd years. Maintaining the rage is hard, and as we saw in game three, Queensland weren’t going to go down without a fight for the third game in a row.

The Blues were slightly off their game with the series in the bag, and Queensland lifted. Not that Maroon fans should be celebrating too hard, because James Tedesco was still the captain raising the shield aloft at the end of the game.

More Origin 3
» REACTION: Now that’s a game! Queensland avoid clean sweep
» PLAYER OF THE SERIES: Who won the Wally Lewis Medal?
» STRANGE DECISION TO KICK?: NSW tactics questioned
» AS IT HAPPENED: Game 3 scores, highlights, result and blog

Queensland planned for ‘old school Origin’ and it showed
For better or worse, rugby league in 2021 is a faster game where possession is usually rewarded with points. Origin games are traditionally a slow and low grind, but 2021 was different.

This might be due to the speed with which the Blues went about their business, but Queensland showed up for a grind, found themselves in a sprint race and couldn’t adapt quickly enough. Fittler let his side rip and Brian To’o, Latrell Mitchell and Tom Trbojevic obliged.

The Maroons adapted and applied themselves better in defence during game three, shown by Brad Fittler’s comment during the game that the Blues were struggling to avoid getting drawn into the grind. But for the Maroons, it was too little too late.

Wayne Bennett taught Brad Fittler a big lesson
Brad Fittler’s 2019 New South Wales Origin win was supposed to be the dam breaker, unleashing a flood of New South Wales wins that would dwarf Queensland’s 11 out of 12 series wins between 2006 to 2017.

But Bennett the master coach gave Fittler and co. a huge reality check last year when they took a team dubbed the ‘worst Queensland side of all time’ to the series win. It sat Fittler on his backside and caused some deeper thinking.

“We looked at our team and thought ‘we should win’, Fittler has said about the 2020 series. “But we learnt early if you don’t keep coming together as one, then it’s pretty hard to win it individually.”

“I think a big thing we took from (that series) into this year is connecting as a team and working for each other, and it showed in the first two games.”
Fittler wanted this series badly. And that meant his team wanted it badly too. When New South Wales turned it on, Queensland couldn’t go with them. But game three did give them a reminder that they may not get things all their way in the future.

Paul Green = Craig Bellamy?
Coaching a team to a premiership is a tremendous achievement in rugby league. It’s bloody hard and deserves all the due credit and regard.

But it’s not like coaching State of Origin.

Spending months formulating, planning and tasking a squad you’re intimately familiar with is a completely different beast to bringing the state’s best players, and their idiosyncrasies and personalities, together for a week and a half and try to impart your influence on them. You have a small time to make a big impression.

Wayne Bennett could do it, Mal Meninga could do it. Even Paul Vautin could do it. These were coaches who dealt with the player and the attitude rather than the tactics, and they were bloody good at it.

Paul Green might well be good at man management, but this series he’s found himself in the same position as arguably the greatest coach of modern times, Craig Bellamy. Bellamy’s New South Wales teams of 2008-10 ran into some of the best Queensland players of all time, winning just two games from nine. Green’s team may well face a similar problem.

Green talked his team down before the series, didn’t show much flexibility to try and salvage things on the field and made baffling selection decisions like playing AJ Brimson at hooker in game one and only giving him 16 minutes. His press conference walkout before game three was not great.

The rumour mill has Queensland legend and future immortal Billy Slater positioned to take over from Green. If Fittler can relaunch the Blues team, could a fresher approach like Slater’s work too?

(Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

State of Origin still draws the eyeballs
Rugby league’s midyear showpiece has long been the jewel in the Australian TV sporting crown, pulling in huge ratings regardless of whether a game is a dead rubber or not.

It’s true Origin’s ratings numbers have steadily declined over the last few years, but so has everything on free-to-air television. The big ‘event’ shows aren’t rating like they used to because people have more options across any number of streaming services, where they’ll often watch the shows they’d usually watch on TV at a more convenient time.

It’s taking some time for the media to catch up to this, because contemporary reporting of TV ratings still makes comparisons to very different times.

Game one and two of this series rated national peak audiences of 3.1 million and 2.9 million, substantially up on last year’s stand alone series games and staying relatively consistent even though the scores were blowouts. Hundreds of thousands more watched online.

Origin game one, a 50-6 scoreline, is currently the highest rating program on Australia television in 2021 and will remain so until the Olympics you would imagine.

Game three’s rating are due out later on Thursday. So don’t listen to the doomsayers, Origin is still well and truly the games people watch.

Kalyn Ponga made a huge difference
Ponga aggravated a groin injury in camp before game one, which ruled him out of Queensland’s first two games and it had a huge effect on their attack.

We saw his influence on the contest in game three – strong running metres, dangerous with ball in hand and also aware in defence to break up more than a few New South Wales attacking moves. His knockdown of a Tom Trbojevic pass in the 73rd minute saved the game – it was headed for James Tedesco who would have been in under the posts untouched.

He’s a polarising figure for some, Kalyn Ponga. Many marvel at his talent and ability to make things happen on the field, just as many don’t understand what all the fuss is about.

Game three showed how good he can be. Hopefully he stays fit and is able to do the same for Newcastle.

Would he have made things different if he was available earlier? Maybe not, but you never know…

(Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Amidst the wreckage, there’s some green shoots for Queensland
For Paul Green’s issues this series, you can’t deny his side was hamstrung by injuries at the worst time. Five-eighth Cam Munster was clearly dinged up. Harry Grant shouldn’t have played game one and missed the next two. Their game breaker Ponga wasn’t seen until game three. Josh Papalii was suspended for game one.

But there were some good signs from the Maroons in the form of prop Moeaki Fotuaika, who was immense in all three games. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow brought a bit of spark and better defensive awareness in the centres in game three as well. Using AJ Brimson properly and playing Kurt Capewell in the forwards rather than the centres is also helpful to the cause.

Individually, these players might not set the world on fire but combined with a fit Munster, DCE, Grant and Ponga and forwards like Papalii and Christian Welch, there’s the skeleton of a decent State of Origin side. Whether it’s enough to challenge this New South Wales mob is the question.

The Maroons had moments during the series. But you don’t win a State of Origin series by piecing together one decent game out of three.

What did you notice from this year’s Origin series? Is this New South Wales side about to settle in for years of dominance?

The Crowd Says:

2021-07-16T00:38:34+00:00

Michael_1984

Roar Rookie


It is interesting: there have now been 40 series played so far (1982 - 2021) - the first two years (1980 and 1981) were stand alone games even though they were embedded in a series with the first two games of such series being under the traditional interstate format. Out of these 40 series, 6 clean sweeps occurred during the first 20 years (1982 - 2001). These were: 1986 NSW, 1988 QLD, 1989 QLD, 1995 QLD, 1996 NSW, 2000 NSW. On the other hand, only one clean sweep has occurred during the last 20 years (2002 - 2021) which was QLD in 2010. The by 10 year breakdown is: 1982 - 1991: 3 clean sweeps (QLD 2, NSW 1) 1992 - 2001: 3 clean sweeps (NSW 2, QLD 1) 2002 - 2011: 1 clean sweep (QLD 1) 2012 - 2021: No clean sweeps Also, there have been 11 times that NSW have won the first two games (1985, 1986, 1990, 1993, 1996, 1997, 2000, 2003, 2014, 2018, 2021) while there has only been three times out of this where they have gone on to win the third game and hence take out a clean sweep (1986, 1996, 2000). On the other hand, there have been 8 times when QLD have won the first two games (1984, 1988, 1989, 1995, 2007, 2009, 2010, 2016). Of these, they have gone on to win the third game and hence take out a clean sweep 4 times (1988, 1989, 1995, 2010).

2021-07-15T18:08:53+00:00

Ad-O

Guest


Clean sweeps are only difficult if you're NSW. Qld do them with their "worst ever" side all the time.

2021-07-15T12:56:18+00:00

Bernie Vinson

Guest


Lets make all Nine commentators SOO coaches and be done with it whether they have any experience or not - what about James Bracey??

2021-07-15T12:20:40+00:00

Hopeless Knights

Roar Rookie


Ironic yes but if the Halves just gave them early ball or Teddy wasn’t doing his best Gallen impersonation and trying to build up his stats NSW most probably would of had a sweep. Thankfully QLD got a win so I slept well.

2021-07-15T08:21:16+00:00

Lance Boil

Roar Rookie


As. QLDer I am glad you think so.

2021-07-15T06:32:18+00:00

mushi

Roar Guru


" If Fittler can relaunch the Blues team, could a fresher approach like Slater’s work too?" I don't really get this. Fittler is a decade north of Slater and had at least some experience in a failed stint as a first grade coach. And did Fittler relaunch the blues? Most of the gap is talent - now it's possible based on age that he has illegitimately fathered most of them them once he became a league celeb (the over representation of Penrith does bring some questions...) , but not sure billy would have that same window of opportunity and was in Melbourne to boot

2021-07-15T05:47:07+00:00

E-Meter

Roar Rookie


he was hopeless for both sides

2021-07-15T05:40:02+00:00

Opposed Session

Roar Rookie


Qld will continue to only win the odd series or maybe the odd back to back series going forward. The Qld NRL clubs don’t have development systems required to match NSW clubs. The fact that a Sydney club can play a kid in their system from 16yo through to first grade is a huge development advantage IMO. You just can’t match what a club like the Panthers can do, still a really inexperienced side in terms of NRL games. Yet off the chart in team cohesion after playing together for up to 5 years before NRL. Which is why elevating both of their halves and lock (among others) worked seamlessly in origin. Qld just can’t match that cohesion cause they barely play together coming through. Qld dominance previously was hugely assisted by Cronk, slater and smith all playing together at club. With the end of the NYC comp, Qld clubs can no longer play their talent under their banner. Not much changed for NSW teams at end of NYC. They still mainly play in their junior comps in the same jerseys. Qld’s teams only get to share talent through affiliations which dilutes effectiveness. Don’t get me wrong the ISC is a strong competition and helps turn them into NrL players but doesn’t fully develop them under your brand. I think if I was trying to make the NRL a fair and even competition, I’d be going back to reggies, 20’s and 18’s in some format. I think this is a huge reason Qld teams have now dropped their standards cause they don’t play together coming through. You can have all the junior development nights you want as an NRL club but nothing beats playing together under the same principals week in week out. To me this is the widening gap between the states. We might get to mask over it at origin level every now and then, but Qld NRL teams will continue to get beat on cohesion.

2021-07-15T04:52:25+00:00

Sydneysideliner

Roar Rookie


Yeah I might just be overexaggerating a couple of moments. Kicking the ball out on the full after a huge slog defending on the goal line was a coach killer; he's always on the verge of giving away a penalty in defence; plus I'm sure there were a few questionable moments in attack. But it's all against this impossibly high standard we set for him. He's basically the new Wally for Qlders now...

2021-07-15T04:25:31+00:00

Bernie Vinson

Guest


SOO ref gave 9-1 to losing team in 1st SOO yet saw it was 2 obvious (NSW management allegedly fuming) so gave same no. of 6 again calls to each team in SOO3 except Qlds were generally in attacking position & 3/4th tackle (worth more) & NSW were on Ist tackle in own qtr (worth less). Suddenly when NSW were attacking and being more than 1 score down the flood of 6 again calls came to make the score close. This is not the Roller Game or WWE or is it?

2021-07-15T03:56:45+00:00

dogs

Guest


Interesting point, but I necessarily don't see that as a positive for us (QLD). He was giving it the "QLD are better in the tight games" angle. The other angle is NSW are able to really dominate a game, but QLD can only manage to scrape a win at best. If you were talking about a club team, you'd be taking it the 2nd way. Still interesting, and I'll take it over losing the close games as well as the floggings.

2021-07-15T03:38:22+00:00

peterj

Roar Rookie


Thanks AJ appreciate the balanced view of the match. I never thought it would be a cakewalk but I thought the blues would still win. Well done to QLD for avoiding the whitewash and bring on next year!

2021-07-15T03:27:23+00:00

Tom

Guest


Hunt was just as guilty of that. NSW have lost every penalty and 6 again count this series, which is wholly inconsistent with their dominance in the first 2 games. Sutton is a terrible referee who has ruined too many Origins, finals, and regular season NRL games.

2021-07-15T02:23:07+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


I thought he played pretty well… but I think he does need to tone down the aggression and g.rubbiness. I think he’s distracting himself with it at times, looking for opportunities to niggle rather than play…

2021-07-15T01:40:48+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


I could (but won’t) give a list of forward passes and walking off the mark – favouring NSW that should have been dealt with that weren’t. Ref errors didn’t favour either side, went both ways all night.

2021-07-15T01:38:22+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


The ref didn't decide the outcome. Plenty of errors favoured NSW, there was no bias.

2021-07-15T01:34:51+00:00

Andy J

Roar Rookie


I had to laugh when Gould started tslking about the blues dynasty! One in a row champ , slow down. Qld with a fit spine will challenge well!

2021-07-15T01:34:20+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


Good points. Some may disagree, but Origin seems always best when QLD are either in control or highly competitive. If NSW ever do have a Dynasty then the series may really be looking drab.

2021-07-15T01:21:22+00:00

Peter1

Guest


More Melbourne Storm bashing?

2021-07-15T00:50:38+00:00

Phil

Roar Rookie


Ponga played well,making a big difference to QLD. He was caught out in defence when Mitchell scored but squared the ledger later on when he skipped out of Mitchell's attempted tackle in the lead up to Hunt's 2nd try. Munster was OK however I think he's playing wounded, some type of injury. NSW are deserved winners, two out of three aint bad. I'm still not convinced Freddy is a good coach as that game, with the talent we have, should not have been lost.

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